(BGS) B&G Foods - Ratings and Ratios
Canned Goods, Frozen Foods, Cooking Oils, Spices, Baking Supplies
BGS EPS (Earnings per Share)
BGS Revenue
Description: BGS B&G Foods
B&G Foods, Inc. is a leading manufacturer and distributor of a diverse portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, as well as household products, across North America. The companys extensive product range includes various brands such as B&G, Cream of Wheat, and Ortega, among others, catering to different consumer preferences and needs.
From a business perspective, B&G Foods operates in the Packaged Foods & Meats sub-industry, characterized by a competitive landscape and evolving consumer trends. To gauge the companys performance, key metrics such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow can be analyzed. For instance, a stable or increasing gross margin can indicate effective cost management and pricing strategies.
Analyzing the companys financials, a Market Cap of $362.28M USD and a Forward P/E of 6.49 suggest that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential. However, the negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -32.86% raises concerns about the companys profitability and ability to generate returns for shareholders. Further analysis of the income statement and balance sheet can provide insights into the drivers of this negative RoE.
To assess the stocks performance, various technical indicators can be examined. While the current price is below its 52-week high, it is still above the 52-week low, indicating some level of stability. The stocks short-term and long-term moving averages (SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200) can be used to identify trends and potential buy or sell signals. For example, a crossover between the SMA20 and SMA50 could indicate a shift in the stocks momentum.
From a valuation perspective, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as the Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio, Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), and dividend yield can be analyzed to determine if the stock is fairly valued. For instance, a low P/S ratio compared to industry peers may suggest undervaluation, while a high EV/EBITDA ratio could indicate overvaluation.
BGS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 361m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-05-23 |
BGS Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -80.2% |
| Fundamental | 33.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 31.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -49.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.43 of 5 |
BGS Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 17.86% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.23% |
| Annual Growth 5y | -16.74% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 146.2% |
BGS Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 31.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -79.9% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -92.4% |
| CAGR 5y | -24.14% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 5y | -0.40 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.44 |
| Alpha | -52.63 |
| Beta | 0.518 |
| Volatility | 49.08% |
| Current Volume | 2900.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2035.9k |
| Stop Loss | 4.3 (-6.5%) |
| Signal | 0.56 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-223.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 111.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.51pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 26.99% (prev 15.33%; Δ 11.67pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 155.1m > Net Income -223.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (79.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.59% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.37% (prev 21.99%; Δ -0.61pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 59.23% (prev 59.69%; Δ -0.46pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.92 (EBITDA TTM -55.5m / Interest Expense TTM 155.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.58
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 762.6m - Total Current Liabilities 259.8m) / Total Assets 2.94b |
| (B) 0.17 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 495.6m / Total Assets 2.94b |
| (C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -143.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.14b |
| (D) 0.21 = Book Value of Equity 501.4m / Total Liabilities 2.44b |
| Total Rating: 1.58 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 32.95
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.63% = 2.82 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.04% = 1.76 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.03 = -2.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -36.43 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -7.89% = -9.86 |
| 7. RoE -39.03% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -62.12% = -3.11 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -7.66% = -1.28 |
| 10. EPS Trend -13.18% = -0.33 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 50.09% = 2.50 |
What is the price of BGS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.50%, over one month by +13.02%, over three months by +4.07% and over the past year by -39.53%.
Is B&G Foods a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of BGS is around 4.06 USD . This means that BGS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.74%.
Is BGS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the BGS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4.1 | -10.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4.1 | -10.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.3 | -7% |
Last update: 2025-09-01 04:35
BGS Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 54.1m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 7.1582
P/S = 0.1937
P/B = 0.7196
P/EG = 7.93
Beta = 0.523
Revenue TTM = 1.86b USD
EBIT TTM = -143.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -55.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.02b USD (Calculated: Short Term 37.8m + Long Term 1.98b)
Net Debt = 1.98b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.33b USD (360.8m + Debt 2.02b - CCE 54.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.92 (Ebit TTM -143.0m / Interest Expense TTM 155.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.63% (FCF TTM 131.2m / Enterprise Value 2.33b)
FCF Margin = 7.04% (FCF TTM 131.2m / Revenue TTM 1.86b)
Net Margin = -12.02% (Net Income TTM -223.9m / Revenue TTM 1.86b)
Gross Margin = 21.37% ((Revenue TTM 1.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.65 (Enterprise Value 2.33b / Book Value Of Equity 501.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.77% (Interest Expense 35.8m / Debt 2.02b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -143.0m (EBIT -143.0m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 2.93 (Total Current Assets 762.6m / Total Current Liabilities 259.8m)
Debt / Equity = 4.03 (Debt 2.02b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 501.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -36.43 (Net Debt 1.98b / EBITDA -55.5m)
Debt / FCF = 15.42 (Debt 2.02b / FCF TTM 131.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 573.7m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -7.62% (Net Income -223.9m, Total Assets 2.94b )
RoE = -39.03% (Net Income TTM -223.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 573.7m)
RoCE = -5.59% (Ebit -143.0m / (Equity 573.7m + L.T.Debt 1.98b))
RoIC = -5.50% (NOPAT -143.0m / Invested Capital 2.60b)
WACC = 2.38% (E(360.8m)/V(2.38b) * Re(7.92%)) + (D(2.02b)/V(2.38b) * Rd(1.77%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.54%
Discount Rate = 7.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.32% ; FCFE base≈131.7m ; Y1≈89.8m ; Y5≈44.3m
Fair Price DCF = 10.76 (DCF Value 861.1m / Shares Outstanding 80.0m; 5y FCF grow -37.19% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -62.12 | Revenue CAGR: -7.66%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -0.50
EPS Correlation: -13.18 | EPS CAGR: 50.09%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 44.13
Additional Sources for BGS Stock
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