BGS Stock Analysis: B&G Foods | NYSE
Packaged Foods | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 219m USD | 12M Return: -33.4% | US05508R1068 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.72M
EPS Trend: -82.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -99.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) is a U.S.-based packaged food manufacturer that produces, markets, and distributes shelf-stable, frozen, and household products across the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. The company operates through four reportable segments: Specialty, Meals, Frozen & Vegetables, and Spices & Flavor Solutions. Its product portfolio spans a wide range of categories, including canned and frozen vegetables, cooking oils, hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned meats and beans, spices, seasonings, hot sauces, syrups, salad dressings, pizza crusts, taco kits, salsas, pickles, and baking ingredients such as baking powder, soda, and corn starch.
B&G Foods sells its products under a large portfolio of well-known brands, including Crisco, Green Giant, Ortega, Spice Islands, Weber, Cream of Wheat, Maple Grove Farms of Vermont, Las Palmas, Bear Creek, Polaner, and Old London, among many others. Distribution is conducted through a combination of direct sales, independent brokers, and third-party distributors serving supermarket chains, foodservice operators, mass merchants, warehouse clubs, specialty distributors, and non-food outlets. Founded in 1889 and headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, the company was formerly known as B&G Foods Holdings Corp. before adopting its current name in October 2004.
As a packaged foods producer within the Consumer Staples sector, B&G Foods operates in a mature, low-growth industry characterized by stable demand and pricing power tied to brand recognition. The companys business model has historically centered on acquiring and managing established legacy brands, leveraging shared manufacturing, distribution, and overhead infrastructure to improve margins across its portfolio.
- Brand divestitures continue reducing outstanding debt load
- Private label competition pressures shelf-stable pricing and margins
- Green Giant and core center-store brands drive organic volume growth
| Net Income: -70.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.98% < 20% (prev 26.99%; Δ -1.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 88.8m > Net Income -70.8m |
| Net Debt (2.04b) to EBITDA (136.3m): 14.95 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (81.2m) vs 12m ago 1.64% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.76% > 18% (prev 21.03%; Δ -0.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.26% > 50% (prev 63.42%; Δ -7.16% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM 69.0m / Interest Expense TTM 151.1m) |
| A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 1.21b - Total Current Liabilities 747.0m) / Total Assets 3.36b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 381.2m / Total Assets 3.36b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 69.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.15b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 395.1m / Total Liabilities 2.96b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.56 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 157.0m/141.5m, Revenue 1.77b/1.86b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 21.03% / 20.76%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.64) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 1.77b / 1.86b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -70.8m - CFO 88.8m) / TA 3.36b) |
| Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.40 with a total of 2,078,187 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.78%, over one month by -23.80%, over three months by -36.00% and over the past year by -33.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 2.20 (which is 8.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
B&G Foods has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BGS.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 4.3 | 79.2% |
P/E Forward = 6.6094
P/S = 0.1234
P/B = 0.6254
P/EG = 4.5532
Revenue TTM = 1.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 69.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 136.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.01b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 529.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 52.9m
Net Debt = 2.04b USD (calculated: Debt 2.63b - CCE 591.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.26b USD (218.6m + Debt 2.63b - CCE 591.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.46 (Ebit TTM 69.0m / Interest Expense TTM 151.1m)
EV/FCF = 35.29x (Enterprise Value 2.26b / FCF TTM 63.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.83% (FCF TTM 63.9m / Enterprise Value 2.26b)
FCF Margin = 3.61% (FCF TTM 63.9m / Revenue TTM 1.77b)
Net Margin = -4.00% (Net Income TTM -70.8m / Revenue TTM 1.77b)
Gross Margin = 20.76% ((Revenue TTM 1.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.78% (prev 18.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 2.26b / Total Assets 3.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.75% (Interest Expense 151.1m / Debt 2.63b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 54.5m (EBIT 69.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 1.21b / Total Current Liabilities 747.0m)
Debt / Equity = 6.65 (Debt 2.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 395.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 14.95 (Net Debt 2.04b / EBITDA 136.3m)
Debt / FCF = 31.87 (Net Debt 2.04b / FCF TTM 63.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 430.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.25% (Net Income -70.8m / Total Assets 3.36b)
RoE = -16.45% (Net Income TTM -70.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 430.6m)
RoCE = 2.83% (EBIT 69.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 430.6m + L.T.Debt 2.01b))
RoIC = 1.79% (NOPAT 54.5m / Invested Capital 3.05b)
WACC = 4.61% (E(218.6m)/V(2.85b) * Re(5.45%) + D(2.63b)/V(2.85b) * Rd(5.75%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.20 | Cagr: 1.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈88.3m ; Y1≈77.4m ; Y5≈62.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.00b - Net Debt 2.04b = -1.03b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -82.29 | EPS CAGR: -56.78% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -99.30 | Revenue CAGR: -5.95% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.55 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+7.8% | GrowthRev=-5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=-6.2% | GrowthRev=-0.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -82% (up=0, down=14)