(BHP) BHP - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Australia • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0886061086

Copper, Iron Ore, Coal, Nickel, Potash

Stock: Diversified Metals & Mining
Age 38.6y
MCap 164,382m
Avg Vol 3.41M (212M USD)
Beta 0.859
Volatility 26.06%

Dividends

Dividend Yield 4.17%
Yield on Cost 5y 4.86%
Yield CAGR 5y -20.10%
Payout Consistency 84.0%
Payout Ratio 58.4%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 26.1%
Value at Risk 5%th 42.4%
Relative Tail Risk -1.12%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.09
Alpha 19.65
CAGR/Max DD 0.08
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.378
Beta 0.859
Beta Downside 0.857
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 37.21%
Mean DD 15.12%
Median DD 15.01%

Description: BHP BHP December 02, 2025

BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP) is a diversified global resources company headquartered in Melbourne, Australia. It operates across Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments and extracts a broad portfolio of commodities-including copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, metallurgical and energy coal, nickel, and potash-while also offering logistics, marketing, finance, and administrative services.

Key recent metrics: 2023 consolidated revenue reached US$68 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 38% and a dividend yield near 5.5%. Production trends show copper output at ~1.2 Mt (up 7% YoY) driven by electrification demand, while iron-ore shipments remain above 250 Mt, reflecting sustained Chinese steel consumption. Capital allocation is focused on expanding the Jansen copper project in Chile (targeting 1.5 Mt Cu yr⁻¹ by 2027) and extending the Western Australia iron-ore expansion, both of which are sensitive to commodity price cycles and ESG-related regulatory risk.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown, consult the BHP profile on ValueRay to see the latest valuation models and scenario analyses.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5

Net Income (19.47b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.64b TTM)
FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 7.65% (prev 12.54%; Δ -4.89pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.33 (>3.0%) and CFO 36.37b > Net Income 19.47b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (12.60b) to EBITDA (44.40b) ratio: 0.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.54b) change vs 12m ago 0.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 79.94% (prev 57.79%; Δ 22.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 90.02% (prev 68.80%; Δ 21.22pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 25.78 (EBITDA TTM 44.40b / Interest Expense TTM 1.42b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 5.00

(A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 22.83b - Total Current Liabilities 15.64b) / Total Assets 108.79b
(B) 0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 44.11b / Total Assets 108.79b
(C) 0.35 = EBIT TTM 36.65b / Avg Total Assets 104.39b
(D) 0.84 = Book Value of Equity 47.68b / Total Liabilities 56.57b
Total Rating: 5.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 83.85

1. Piotroski 8.50pt
2. FCF Yield 11.40%
3. FCF Margin 21.47%
4. Debt/Equity 0.51
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.28
6. ROIC - WACC (= 26.28)%
7. RoE 42.61%
8. Rev. Trend 8.20%
9. EPS Trend -8.76%

What is the price of BHP shares?

As of January 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 64.86 with a total of 3,168,592 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.09%, over one month by +10.64%, over three months by +15.25% and over the past year by +36.42%.

Is BHP a buy, sell or hold?

BHP has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BHP.
  • Strong Buy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BHP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 56.2 -13.4%
Analysts Target Price 56.2 -13.4%
ValueRay Target Price 72.9 12.4%

BHP Fundamental Data Overview January 15, 2026

P/E Trailing = 18.0254
P/E Forward = 12.6103
P/S = 3.2067
P/B = 3.4493
Revenue TTM = 93.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 36.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 44.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 24.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.60b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 176.98b USD (164.38b + Debt 24.50b - CCE 11.89b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.78 (Ebit TTM 36.65b / Interest Expense TTM 1.42b)
EV/FCF = 8.77x (Enterprise Value 176.98b / FCF TTM 20.17b)
FCF Yield = 11.40% (FCF TTM 20.17b / Enterprise Value 176.98b)
FCF Margin = 21.47% (FCF TTM 20.17b / Revenue TTM 93.97b)
Net Margin = 20.72% (Net Income TTM 19.47b / Revenue TTM 93.97b)
Gross Margin = 79.94% ((Revenue TTM 93.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 36.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.63 (Enterprise Value 176.98b / Total Assets 108.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.84% (Interest Expense 451.1m / Debt 24.50b)
Taxrate = 39.51% (3.83b / 9.68b)
NOPAT = 22.17b (EBIT 36.65b * (1 - 39.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 22.83b / Total Current Liabilities 15.64b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 24.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (Net Debt 12.60b / EBITDA 44.40b)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 12.60b / FCF TTM 20.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.66% (Net Income 19.47b / Total Assets 108.79b)
RoE = 42.61% (Net Income TTM 19.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.70b)
RoCE = 55.65% (EBIT 36.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.70b + L.T.Debt 20.17b))
RoIC = 34.31% (NOPAT 22.17b / Invested Capital 64.63b)
WACC = 8.03% (E(164.38b)/V(188.88b) * Re(9.06%) + D(24.50b)/V(188.88b) * Rd(1.84%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 9.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.36% ; FCFF base≈18.49b ; Y1≈15.72b ; Y5≈12.04b
Fair Price DCF = 80.85 (EV 217.88b - Net Debt 12.60b = Equity 205.28b / Shares 2.54b; r=8.03% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -18.13% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -8.76 | EPS CAGR: -41.41% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 8.20 | Revenue CAGR: 13.91% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=4.47 | Chg30d=+0.087 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.6% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=4.36 | Chg30d=+0.133 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=-2.4% | Growth Revenue=-2.3%

Additional Sources for BHP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle