BHP Stock Analysis: BHP | NYSE
Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 218.745m USD | 12M Return: 61.3% | US0886061086 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 221M
EPS Trend: -5.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 23.7%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BHP Group Limited is a global resources company headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, with operations spanning Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, and South America. Founded in 1851 and listed on the NYSE under the ticker BHP, the company is a mega-cap player in the Materials sector, classified under the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry. Its business is organized into three core segments: Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal, and it explores for a broad range of commodities including copper, iron, steelmaking and energy coal, nickel, potash, cobalt, gold, silver, uranium, and zinc. In addition to mining and mineral processing activities such as nickel smelting and refining, BHP is involved in potash, nickel, and copper development projects, as well as supporting services including marketing, trading, logistics, and freight operations.
- Iron ore prices swing with China steel demand
- Copper segment growth accelerates on Escondida expansion
- Record shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks
| Net Income: 9.86b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.31 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.73% < 20% (prev 14.03%; Δ 10.70% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 21.9b > Net Income 9.86b |
| Net Debt (12.0b) to EBITDA (29.3b): 0.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.88 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.54b) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.13% > 18% (prev 82.21%; Δ -43.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 51.19% > 50% (prev 47.12%; Δ 4.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 25.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 23.1b / Interest Expense TTM 896.3m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 31.0b - Total Current Liabilities 16.5b) / Total Assets 121b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 47.2b / Total Assets 121b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 23.1b / Avg Total Assets 115b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 50.9b / Total Liabilities 65.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.22 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 5.04b/4.66b, Revenue 58.9b/51.3b) |
| GMI: 2.10 (GM 82.21% / 39.13%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 58.9b / 51.3b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 9.86b - CFO 21.9b) / TA 121b) |
| Beneish M = -2.00 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 86.74 with a total of 2,650,632 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.78%, over one month by -5.97%, over three months by +10.92% and over the past year by +61.27%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 83.70 (which is 3.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
BHP has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.25. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BHP.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 77.6 | -10.6% |
P/E Trailing = 21.9566
P/E Forward = 17.2414
P/S = 3.7227
P/B = 4.5168
P/EG = 5.9512
Revenue TTM = 58.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 23.1b USD
EBITDA TTM = 29.3b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.9b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.68b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.50b
Net Debt = 12.0b USD (calculated: Debt 30.6b - CCE 18.6b)
Enterprise Value = 231b USD (219b + Debt 30.6b - CCE 18.6b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.72 (Ebit TTM 23.1b / Interest Expense TTM 896.3m)
EV/FCF = 19.28x (Enterprise Value 231b / FCF TTM 12.0b)
FCF Yield = 5.19% (FCF TTM 12.0b / Enterprise Value 231b)
FCF Margin = 20.32% (FCF TTM 12.0b / Revenue TTM 58.9b)
Net Margin = 16.73% (Net Income TTM 9.86b / Revenue TTM 58.9b)
Gross Margin = 39.13% ((Revenue TTM 58.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 35.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.78% (prev 42.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.90 (Enterprise Value 231b / Total Assets 121b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.93% (Interest Expense 896.3m / Debt 30.6b)
Taxrate = 41.89% (9.41b / 22.5b)
NOPAT = 13.4b (EBIT 23.1b * (1 - 41.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.88 (Total Current Assets 31.0b / Total Current Liabilities 16.5b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 30.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 50.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.41 (Net Debt 12.0b / EBITDA 29.3b)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 12.0b / FCF TTM 12.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 48.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.56% (Net Income 9.86b / Total Assets 121b)
RoE = 20.27% (Net Income TTM 9.86b / Total Stockholder Equity 48.6b)
RoCE = 32.70% (EBIT 23.1b / Capital Employed (Equity 48.6b + L.T.Debt 21.9b))
RoIC = 12.80% (NOPAT 13.4b / Invested Capital 105b)
WACC = 9.53% (E(219b)/V(249b) * Re(10.63%) + D(30.6b)/V(249b) * Rd(2.93%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 10.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.43 | Cagr: 0.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.23% ; FCFF base≈10.9b ; Y1≈12.5b ; Y5≈18.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 85.36 (EV 229b - Net Debt 12.0b = Equity 217b / Shares 2.54b; r=9.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -5.27 | EPS CAGR: -1.21% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 23.69 | Revenue CAGR: 1.17% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=5.08 | Chg30d=-0.29% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+26.9% | GrowthRev=+13.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=4.71 | Chg30d=+6.72% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-9.4% | GrowthRev=-1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=1, down=3)