(BHP) BHP - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Australia •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US0886061086
Copper, Iron Ore, Coal, Nickel, Potash
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.77% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.56% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 82.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 41.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 |
| Alpha | 1.59 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.394 |
| Beta | 0.831 |
| Beta Downside | 0.866 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.21% |
| Mean DD | 15.05% |
| Median DD | 15.01% |
Description: BHP BHP December 02, 2025
BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP) is a diversified global resources company headquartered in Melbourne, Australia. It operates across Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments and extracts a broad portfolio of commodities-including copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, metallurgical and energy coal, nickel, and potash-while also offering logistics, marketing, finance, and administrative services.
Key recent metrics: 2023 consolidated revenue reached US$68 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 38% and a dividend yield near 5.5%. Production trends show copper output at ~1.2 Mt (up 7% YoY) driven by electrification demand, while iron-ore shipments remain above 250 Mt, reflecting sustained Chinese steel consumption. Capital allocation is focused on expanding the Jansen copper project in Chile (targeting 1.5 Mt Cu yr⁻¹ by 2027) and extending the Western Australia iron-ore expansion, both of which are sensitive to commodity price cycles and ESG-related regulatory risk.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, consult the BHP profile on ValueRay to see the latest valuation models and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (19.47b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.64b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.65% (prev 12.54%; Δ -4.89pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.33 (>3.0%) and CFO 36.37b > Net Income 19.47b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (12.60b) to EBITDA (44.40b) ratio: 0.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.54b) change vs 12m ago 0.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 79.94% (prev 57.79%; Δ 22.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.02% (prev 68.80%; Δ 21.22pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 25.78 (EBITDA TTM 44.40b / Interest Expense TTM 1.42b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.00
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 22.83b - Total Current Liabilities 15.64b) / Total Assets 108.79b |
| (B) 0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 44.11b / Total Assets 108.79b |
| (C) 0.35 = EBIT TTM 36.65b / Avg Total Assets 104.39b |
| (D) 0.84 = Book Value of Equity 47.68b / Total Liabilities 56.57b |
| Total Rating: 5.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 83.83
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 13.10% |
| 3. FCF Margin 21.47% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.51 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 26.40)% |
| 7. RoE 42.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 7.92% |
| 9. EPS Trend -8.76% |
What is the price of BHP shares?
As of December 04, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 57.92 with a total of 3,566,342 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.54%, over one month by +3.15%, over three months by +5.89% and over the past year by +13.65%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.54%, over one month by +3.15%, over three months by +5.89% and over the past year by +13.65%.
Is BHP a buy, sell or hold?
BHP has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy BHP.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BHP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 53.8 | -7.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 53.8 | -7.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 62 | 7.1% |
BHP Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
Market Cap USD = 141.72b (141.72b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.5408
P/E Forward = 12.6103
P/S = 2.7647
P/B = 3.0061
Beta = 0.676
Revenue TTM = 93.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 36.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 44.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 24.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.60b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 154.05b USD (141.72b + Debt 24.50b - CCE 12.17b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.78 (Ebit TTM 36.65b / Interest Expense TTM 1.42b)
FCF Yield = 13.10% (FCF TTM 20.17b / Enterprise Value 154.05b)
FCF Margin = 21.47% (FCF TTM 20.17b / Revenue TTM 93.97b)
Net Margin = 20.72% (Net Income TTM 19.47b / Revenue TTM 93.97b)
Gross Margin = 79.94% ((Revenue TTM 93.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 36.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 154.05b / Total Assets 108.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.84% (Interest Expense 451.1m / Debt 24.50b)
Taxrate = 39.51% (3.83b / 9.68b)
NOPAT = 22.17b (EBIT 36.65b * (1 - 39.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 22.83b / Total Current Liabilities 15.64b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 24.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (Net Debt 12.60b / EBITDA 44.40b)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 12.60b / FCF TTM 20.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.90% (Net Income 19.47b / Total Assets 108.79b)
RoE = 42.61% (Net Income TTM 19.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.70b)
RoCE = 55.65% (EBIT 36.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.70b + L.T.Debt 20.17b))
RoIC = 34.31% (NOPAT 22.17b / Invested Capital 64.63b)
WACC = 7.91% (E(141.72b)/V(166.22b) * Re(9.08%) + D(24.50b)/V(166.22b) * Rd(1.84%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 9.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.67% ; FCFE base≈18.49b ; Y1≈15.73b ; Y5≈12.07b
Fair Price DCF = 72.78 (DCF Value 184.78b / Shares Outstanding 2.54b; 5y FCF grow -18.13% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.76 | EPS CAGR: -41.41% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 7.92 | Revenue CAGR: 13.91% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=4.17 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.1% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=4.17 | Chg30d=+0.323 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+0.1% | Growth Revenue=-2.6%
P/E Trailing = 15.5408
P/E Forward = 12.6103
P/S = 2.7647
P/B = 3.0061
Beta = 0.676
Revenue TTM = 93.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 36.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 44.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 24.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.60b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 154.05b USD (141.72b + Debt 24.50b - CCE 12.17b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.78 (Ebit TTM 36.65b / Interest Expense TTM 1.42b)
FCF Yield = 13.10% (FCF TTM 20.17b / Enterprise Value 154.05b)
FCF Margin = 21.47% (FCF TTM 20.17b / Revenue TTM 93.97b)
Net Margin = 20.72% (Net Income TTM 19.47b / Revenue TTM 93.97b)
Gross Margin = 79.94% ((Revenue TTM 93.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 36.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 154.05b / Total Assets 108.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.84% (Interest Expense 451.1m / Debt 24.50b)
Taxrate = 39.51% (3.83b / 9.68b)
NOPAT = 22.17b (EBIT 36.65b * (1 - 39.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 22.83b / Total Current Liabilities 15.64b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 24.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (Net Debt 12.60b / EBITDA 44.40b)
Debt / FCF = 0.62 (Net Debt 12.60b / FCF TTM 20.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 45.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.90% (Net Income 19.47b / Total Assets 108.79b)
RoE = 42.61% (Net Income TTM 19.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 45.70b)
RoCE = 55.65% (EBIT 36.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 45.70b + L.T.Debt 20.17b))
RoIC = 34.31% (NOPAT 22.17b / Invested Capital 64.63b)
WACC = 7.91% (E(141.72b)/V(166.22b) * Re(9.08%) + D(24.50b)/V(166.22b) * Rd(1.84%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 9.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.67% ; FCFE base≈18.49b ; Y1≈15.73b ; Y5≈12.07b
Fair Price DCF = 72.78 (DCF Value 184.78b / Shares Outstanding 2.54b; 5y FCF grow -18.13% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.76 | EPS CAGR: -41.41% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 7.92 | Revenue CAGR: 13.91% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=4.17 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.1% | Growth Revenue=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=4.17 | Chg30d=+0.323 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+0.1% | Growth Revenue=-2.6%
Additional Sources for BHP Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle