(BJ) BJs Wholesale Club Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Groceries, Fresh, Merchandise, Gasoline, Coupon
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.27% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -4.30 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.297 |
| Beta | -0.068 |
| Beta Downside | -0.221 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.65% |
| Mean DD | 9.53% |
| Median DD | 8.08% |
Description: BJ BJs Wholesale Club Holdings January 03, 2026
BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BJ) runs membership-based warehouse clubs across the eastern United States, offering a mix of groceries, fresh foods, general merchandise, gasoline, and ancillary services. Sales are generated through its physical clubs, the BJs.com e-commerce platform, and a mobile app. The company, originally incorporated as Beacon Holding Inc., rebranded to its current name in February 2018 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 comparable sales rose ~4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 5.5% increase in membership fee revenue as the club added roughly 300,000 new members. Net sales reached $15.3 billion, with an operating margin of 3.1%, reflecting pressure from higher freight costs and inflation-sensitive grocery pricing. A primary sector driver is consumer discretionary spending; a 1-point rise in the Consumer Sentiment Index historically correlates with a 0.3% lift in BJ’s same-store sales.
For a deeper, data-rich view of BJ’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring the analyst toolkit on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (575.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.27b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.55pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.70% (prev -3.13%; Δ 0.43pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 911.0m > Net Income 575.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.65b) to EBITDA (1.10b) ratio: 2.42 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (131.9m) change vs 12m ago -1.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.61% (prev 18.36%; Δ 0.25pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 286.7% (prev 285.2%; Δ 1.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 18.96 (EBITDA TTM 1.10b / Interest Expense TTM 43.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.60
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 2.13b - Total Current Liabilities 2.70b) / Total Assets 7.55b |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.16b / Total Assets 7.55b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 815.1m / Avg Total Assets 7.38b |
| (D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 2.16b / Total Liabilities 5.37b |
| Total Rating: 1.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.82
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.71% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.21% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.24 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 17.56)% |
| 7. RoE 28.44% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 81.43% |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.19% |
What is the price of BJ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.15%, over one month by -0.46%, over three months by +1.52% and over the past year by -6.87%.
Is BJ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the BJ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 109.3 | 21.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 109.3 | 21.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 95.1 | 5.8% |
BJ Fundamental Data Overview January 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.2678
P/S = 0.5801
P/B = 5.5378
P/EG = 1.9866
Beta = 0.335
Revenue TTM = 21.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 815.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 399.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 377.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.93b USD (12.28b + Debt 2.70b - CCE 45.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.96 (Ebit TTM 815.1m / Interest Expense TTM 43.0m)
EV/FCF = 58.39x (Enterprise Value 14.93b / FCF TTM 255.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.71% (FCF TTM 255.6m / Enterprise Value 14.93b)
FCF Margin = 1.21% (FCF TTM 255.6m / Revenue TTM 21.16b)
Net Margin = 2.72% (Net Income TTM 575.2m / Revenue TTM 21.16b)
Gross Margin = 18.61% ((Revenue TTM 21.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.97% (prev 18.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.98 (Enterprise Value 14.93b / Total Assets 7.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.38% (Interest Expense 10.3m / Debt 2.70b)
Taxrate = 29.57% (63.8m / 215.9m)
NOPAT = 574.1m (EBIT 815.1m * (1 - 29.57%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 2.13b / Total Current Liabilities 2.70b)
Debt / Equity = 1.24 (Debt 2.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.42 (Net Debt 2.65b / EBITDA 1.10b)
Debt / FCF = 10.37 (Net Debt 2.65b / FCF TTM 255.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.79% (Net Income 575.2m / Total Assets 7.55b)
RoE = 28.44% (Net Income TTM 575.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.02b)
RoCE = 33.66% (EBIT 815.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.02b + L.T.Debt 399.0m))
RoIC = 22.26% (NOPAT 574.1m / Invested Capital 2.58b)
WACC = 4.70% (E(12.28b)/V(14.97b) * Re(5.67%) + D(2.70b)/V(14.97b) * Rd(0.38%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 5.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.57% ; FCFF base≈296.0m ; Y1≈233.2m ; Y5≈153.3m
Fair Price DCF = 15.83 (EV 4.72b - Net Debt 2.65b = Equity 2.07b / Shares 130.8m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -25.32% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 64.19 | EPS CAGR: 10.42% | SUE: 2.54 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 81.43 | Revenue CAGR: 5.61% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=4.67 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+7.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.5%
Additional Sources for BJ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle