(BJ) BJs Wholesale Club Holdings - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Discount Stores | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 12.131m USD | Total Return: -20.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -14.6
Avg Turnover: 193M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 24.2
EPS Trend: 44.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 81.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' 0.93 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates membership-based warehouse clubs in the eastern US. This business model relies on recurring membership fees in addition to product sales. The company offers a diverse range of products including groceries, fresh food, and general merchandise, alongside gasoline and other services.
Sales channels include physical clubs, the BJs.com website, and a mobile application. The company, founded in 1984, rebranded to its current name in 2018. The consumer staples merchandise retail sector is characterized by high volume sales and competitive pricing strategies. For further detailed analysis, ValueRay provides comprehensive company profiles.
- Membership fee growth boosts recurring revenue
- Gasoline price volatility impacts consumer spending
- Grocery sales volume drives top-line performance
- Supply chain disruptions increase operating costs
- E-commerce expansion captures market share
| Net Income: 578.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.17% < 20% (prev -3.20%; Δ 0.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.03b > Net Income 578.4m |
| Net Debt (2.56b) to EBITDA (1.12b): 2.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (131.1m) vs 12m ago -1.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.64% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1.85k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 294.4% > 50% (prev 290.2%; Δ 4.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 19.58 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 42.4m) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 1.99b - Total Current Liabilities 2.67b) / Total Assets 7.51b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 1.20b / Total Assets 7.51b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 829.9m / Avg Total Assets 7.29b) |
| D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 1.20b / Total Liabilities 5.31b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.93 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 252.8m/277.3m, Revenue 21.46b/20.50b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 18.64% / 18.36%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 21.46b / 20.50b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 578.4m - CFO 1.03b) / TA 7.51b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.52%, over one month by -5.83%, over three months by -1.24% and over the past year by -20.37%.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 104.9 | 13.7% |
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 0.5654
P/B = 5.4705
P/EG = 2.3693
Revenue TTM = 21.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 829.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 399.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 329.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.56b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.69b USD (12.13b + Debt 2.61b - CCE 46.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.58 (Ebit TTM 829.9m / Interest Expense TTM 42.4m)
EV/FCF = 43.60x (Enterprise Value 14.69b / FCF TTM 337.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.29% (FCF TTM 337.0m / Enterprise Value 14.69b)
FCF Margin = 1.57% (FCF TTM 337.0m / Revenue TTM 21.46b)
Net Margin = 2.70% (Net Income TTM 578.4m / Revenue TTM 21.46b)
Gross Margin = 18.64% ((Revenue TTM 21.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.11% (prev 18.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 14.69b / Total Assets 7.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.41% (Interest Expense 10.6m / Debt 2.61b)
Taxrate = 24.86% (41.6m / 167.5m)
NOPAT = 623.6m (EBIT 829.9m * (1 - 24.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 1.99b / Total Current Liabilities 2.67b)
Debt / Equity = 1.19 (Debt 2.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.29 (Net Debt 2.56b / EBITDA 1.12b)
Debt / FCF = 7.60 (Net Debt 2.56b / FCF TTM 337.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.94% (Net Income 578.4m / Total Assets 7.51b)
RoE = 27.41% (Net Income TTM 578.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.11b)
RoCE = 33.08% (EBIT 829.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.11b + L.T.Debt 399.1m))
RoIC = 23.51% (NOPAT 623.6m / Invested Capital 2.65b)
WACC = 4.83% (E(12.13b)/V(14.74b) * Re(5.80%) + D(2.61b)/V(14.74b) * Rd(0.41%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 5.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 84.13% ; FCFF base≈327.4m ; Y1≈269.2m ; Y5≈193.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 25.67 (EV 5.89b - Net Debt 2.56b = Equity 3.33b / Shares 129.7m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -21.37% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 44.53 | EPS CAGR: 2.66% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.57 | Revenue CAGR: 5.90% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.20 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.031 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=4.53 | Chg7d=-0.006 | Chg30d=-0.128 | Revisions Net=-18 | Growth EPS=+3.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=4.91 | Chg7d=+0.005 | Chg30d=-0.105 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.38 (4 Up / 9 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.2% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 4.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.1% (Analyst 5.3% - Implied 3.2%)