BKE Stock Analysis: Buckle | NYSE
Apparel Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.238m USD | 12M Return: -11% | US1184401065 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 20.1M
EPS Trend: -19.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 58.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Buckle, Inc. (NYSE: BKE) is a U.S. specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and kids, operating under the Buckle and Buckle Youth brands. The company sells brand name merchandise alongside an extensive portfolio of private label lines, including BKE, Buckle Black, Daytrip, Departwest, Gentry Country, and others. As a specialty apparel retailer within the consumer discretionary sector, Buckle focuses on a curated product mix rather than the broad assortment typical of department stores.
The company supplements its merchandise with in-store services such as hemming, gift packaging, layaways, a guest loyalty program, a private label credit card, personalized stylist services, and a special-order system that allows stores to fulfill requests from other locations or its online order fulfillment center. These offerings reflect a broader trend in specialty retail toward building customer loyalty through differentiated in-store experiences and exclusive owned brands.
The company was incorporated in 1948 and is
- Comparable store sales decline as discretionary spending softens
- Private label brand expansion drives gross margin improvement
- Capital returns accelerate via dividends and share buybacks
| Net Income: 220.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.87% < 20% (prev 21.09%; Δ -2.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 257.8m > Net Income 220.8m |
| Net Debt (134.2m) to EBITDA (314.7m): 0.43 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.08 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (51.0m) vs 12m ago 0.75% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.95% > 18% (prev 48.90%; Δ 0.06% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 125.1% > 50% (prev 121.6%; Δ 3.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 482.2m - Total Current Liabilities 231.5m) / Total Assets 1.09b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 257.4m / Total Assets 1.09b) |
| C: 0.27 (EBIT TTM 287.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.06b) |
| D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 489.0m / Total Liabilities 605.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.94 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 9.94m/7.70m, Revenue 1.33b/1.25b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 48.90% / 48.95%) |
| AQI: -7.20 (AQ_t -0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 1.33b / 1.25b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 220.8m - CFO 257.8m) / TA 1.09b) |
| Beneish M = -7.67 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 44.16 with a total of 330,713 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.94%, over one month by +8.31%, over three months by +7.09% and over the past year by -10.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 42.60 (which is 3.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Buckle has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BKE.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46 | 4.2% |
P/E Trailing = 9.875
P/E Forward = 13.6799
P/S = 1.6847
P/B = 4.3658
P/EG = 3.3156
Revenue TTM = 1.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 287.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 314.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 339.6m USD (estimated: total debt 421.4m - short term 81.8m)
Short Term Debt = 81.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 421.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 421.4m already included)
Net Debt = 134.2m USD (calculated: Debt 421.4m - CCE 287.2m)
Enterprise Value = 2.37b USD (2.24b + Debt 421.4m - CCE 287.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 287.8m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 12.40x (Enterprise Value 2.37b / FCF TTM 191.3m)
FCF Yield = 8.06% (FCF TTM 191.3m / Enterprise Value 2.37b)
FCF Margin = 14.40% (FCF TTM 191.3m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Net Margin = 16.62% (Net Income TTM 220.8m / Revenue TTM 1.33b)
Gross Margin = 48.95% ((Revenue TTM 1.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 678.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.85% (prev 46.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.17 (Enterprise Value 2.37b / Total Assets 1.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 421.4m)
Taxrate = 24.06% (70.0m / 290.8m)
NOPAT = 218.5m (EBIT 287.8m * (1 - 24.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.08 (Total Current Assets 482.2m / Total Current Liabilities 231.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.86 (Debt 421.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 489.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.43 (Net Debt 134.2m / EBITDA 314.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.70 (Net Debt 134.2m / FCF TTM 191.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 470.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.80% (Net Income 220.8m / Total Assets 1.09b)
RoE = 46.91% (Net Income TTM 220.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 470.8m)
RoCE = 35.51% (EBIT 287.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 470.8m + L.T.Debt 339.6m))
RoIC = 24.87% (NOPAT 218.5m / Invested Capital 878.6m)
WACC = 7.40% (E(2.24b)/V(2.66b) * Re(8.79%) + D(421.4m)/V(2.66b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.53 | Cagr: 0.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.10% ; FCFF base≈199.0m ; Y1≈184.5m ; Y5≈166.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 48.62 (EV 2.64b - Net Debt 134.2m = Equity 2.50b / Shares 51.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -9.12% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -19.76 | EPS CAGR: -1.17% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 58.07 | Revenue CAGR: 1.92% | SUE: 1.14 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=+0.53% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=4.30 | Chg30d=+1.03% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+3.9% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=4.15 | Chg30d=-1.35% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-3.5% | GrowthRev=+4.0%