BKE Stock Analysis: Buckle | NYSE
Apparel Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.157m USD | 12M Return: -1.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 23.5M
EPS Trend: -55.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 13.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Buckle, Inc. (NYSE: BKE) is a U.S. specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and kids, operating under the Buckle and Buckle Youth banners. The company sells both recognized brand-name merchandise and an extensive portfolio of private-label brands (such as BKE, Buckle Black, FITZ + EDDI, and Nova Industries), distinguishing it within the highly competitive Apparel Retail sub-industry, where private-label penetration is a common margin and differentiation lever. Beyond merchandise, Buckle generates incremental engagement through in-store services including hemming, layaways, a guest loyalty program, a private-label credit card, personalized stylist services, gift packaging, and a special-order fulfillment system. The company was incorporated in 1948 as Mills Clothing, Inc., adopted its current name in April 1991, and is headquartered in Kearney, Nebraska. As a mid-cap Consumer Discretionary stock, BKE is exposed to discretionary spending cycles and shifting fashion trends that broadly shape the specialty apparel sector.
- Mall traffic trends pressure comparable store sales growth
- Denim category drives quarterly comparable sales performance
- Dividends and share buybacks support total shareholder return
| Net Income: 221.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.21 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.28% < 20% (prev 19.38%; Δ -1.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 269.5m > Net Income 221.4m |
| Net Debt (120.9m) to EBITDA (323.8m): 0.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (51.0m) vs 12m ago 0.90% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.87% > 18% (prev 48.81%; Δ 0.06% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 129.8% > 50% (prev 125.6%; Δ 4.17% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 471.0m - Total Current Liabilities 230.7m) / Total Assets 1.05b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 231.0m / Total Assets 1.05b) |
| C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 291.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.01b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 458.9m / Total Liabilities 589.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.97 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 7.28m/7.93m, Revenue 1.31b/1.23b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 48.81% / 48.87%) |
| AQI: -7.54 (AQ_t -0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 1.31b / 1.23b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 221.4m - CFO 269.5m) / TA 1.05b) |
| Beneish M = -8.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.58 with a total of 407,287 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.92%, over one month by -3.95%, over three months by -21.83% and over the past year by -1.81%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.70 (which is 6.8% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Buckle has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BKE.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47 | 10.4% |
P/E Trailing = 9.6009
P/E Forward = 11.7509
P/S = 1.6406
P/B = 4.7367
P/EG = 3.3156
Revenue TTM = 1.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 291.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 323.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 325.4m USD (estimated: total debt 410.9m - short term 85.5m)
Short Term Debt = 85.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 410.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 410.9m already included)
Net Debt = 120.9m USD (calculated: Debt 410.9m - CCE 290.0m)
Enterprise Value = 2.28b USD (2.16b + Debt 410.9m - CCE 290.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 291.6m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 10.31x (Enterprise Value 2.28b / FCF TTM 220.9m)
FCF Yield = 9.70% (FCF TTM 220.9m / Enterprise Value 2.28b)
FCF Margin = 16.80% (FCF TTM 220.9m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Net Margin = 16.85% (Net Income TTM 221.4m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Gross Margin = 48.87% ((Revenue TTM 1.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 672.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.23% (prev 52.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.17 (Enterprise Value 2.28b / Total Assets 1.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 410.9m)
Taxrate = 24.06% (70.2m / 291.6m)
NOPAT = 221.4m (EBIT 291.6m * (1 - 24.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.04 (Total Current Assets 471.0m / Total Current Liabilities 230.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.90 (Debt 410.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 458.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.37 (Net Debt 120.9m / EBITDA 323.8m)
Debt / FCF = 0.55 (Net Debt 120.9m / FCF TTM 220.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 467.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.86% (Net Income 221.4m / Total Assets 1.05b)
RoE = 47.36% (Net Income TTM 221.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 467.6m)
RoCE = 36.77% (EBIT 291.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 467.6m + L.T.Debt 325.4m))
RoIC = 26.43% (NOPAT 221.4m / Invested Capital 837.8m)
WACC = 7.93% (E(2.16b)/V(2.57b) * Re(9.44%) + D(410.9m)/V(2.57b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 0.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.69% ; FCFF base≈212.6m ; Y1≈231.7m ; Y5≈288.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 83.44 (EV 4.42b - Net Debt 120.9m = Equity 4.30b / Shares 51.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 10.29% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -55.73 | EPS CAGR: -4.01% | SUE: 3.48 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 13.06 | Revenue CAGR: 0.40% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-8.31% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=-6.63% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=4.26 | Chg30d=+0.44% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+2.8% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=4.20 | Chg30d=-8.60% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-1.2% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -57% (up=0, down=4)