BKV Stock Analysis: BKV | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.959m USD | 12M Return: 18.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 21.8M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -16.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 1.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BKV Corporation (NYSE: BKV) is a Denver-based natural gas producer operating in two of the most significant U.S. shale plays: the Barnett Shale in Texass Fort Worth Basin and the Marcellus Shale in the Appalachian Basin of Northeast Pennsylvania, the latter being one of the largest natural gas fields in North America. Beyond upstream production, the company is vertically integrated into natural gas gathering, processing, and transportation, and has expanded into power generation and carbon capture, utilization, and sequestration (CCUS) activities-an emerging segment where producers capture CO2 emissions for use in enhanced oil recovery or permanent underground storage. Founded in 2015 and listed on the NYSE following its September 2024 IPO, BKV operates as a subsidiary of Banpu North America Corporation, the U.S. arm of Thailand-based Banpu Public Company.
- Natural gas prices drive Barnett and Marcellus segment revenue
- Carbon capture monetization accelerates with 45Q tax credits
- Production growth from shale acreage offsets price volatility
| Net Income: 295.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.03 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 13.25% < 20% (prev -21.98%; Δ 35.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 292.1m > Net Income 295.9m |
| Net Debt (977.2m) to EBITDA (605.2m): 1.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.31 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (102.3m) vs 12m ago 20.78% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.16% > 18% (prev 69.60%; Δ -22.44% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.83% > 50% (prev 30.01%; Δ 1.82% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.52 > 6 (EBIT TTM 432.1m / Interest Expense TTM 50.7m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 568.0m - Total Current Liabilities 432.6m) / Total Assets 4.17b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 352.4m / Total Assets 4.17b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 432.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b) |
| D: 1.19 (Book Value of Equity 2.21b / Total Liabilities 1.86b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.64 = A |
| DSRI: 1.39 (Receivables 153.0m/73.0m, Revenue 1.02b/675.4m) |
| GMI: 1.48 (GM 69.60% / 47.16%) |
| AQI: 0.45 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.51 (Revenue 1.02b / 675.4m) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 295.9m - CFO 292.1m) / TA 4.17b) |
| Beneish M = -2.24 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 26.75 with a total of 721,023 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.23%, over one month by +3.60%, over three months by -2.37% and over the past year by +18.84%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.40 (which is 5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
BKV has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.88. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BKV.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 35.2 | 31.5% |
P/E Trailing = 8.0267
P/E Forward = 21.1864
P/S = 2.9609
P/B = 1.3522
Revenue TTM = 1.02b USD
EBIT TTM = 432.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 605.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.08b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 185.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 15.4m
Net Debt = 977.2m USD (calculated: Debt 1.28b - CCE 304.5m)
Enterprise Value = 3.94b USD (2.96b + Debt 1.28b - CCE 304.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.52 (Ebit TTM 432.1m / Interest Expense TTM 50.7m)
EV/FCF = -19.81x (Enterprise Value 3.94b / FCF TTM -198.7m)
FCF Yield = -5.05% (FCF TTM -198.7m / Enterprise Value 3.94b)
FCF Margin = -19.44% (FCF TTM -198.7m / Revenue TTM 1.02b)
Net Margin = 28.95% (Net Income TTM 295.9m / Revenue TTM 1.02b)
Gross Margin = 47.16% ((Revenue TTM 1.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 540.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.59% (prev 27.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 3.94b / Total Assets 4.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.96% (Interest Expense 50.7m / Debt 1.28b)
Taxrate = 19.95% (76.1m / 381.4m)
NOPAT = 345.9m (EBIT 432.1m * (1 - 19.95%))
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 568.0m / Total Current Liabilities 432.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 1.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.61 (Net Debt 977.2m / EBITDA 605.2m)
Debt / FCF = -4.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 977.2m / FCF TTM -198.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.21% (Net Income 295.9m / Total Assets 4.17b)
RoE = 15.50% (Net Income TTM 295.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.91b)
RoCE = 14.46% (EBIT 432.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.91b + L.T.Debt 1.08b))
RoIC = 8.93% (NOPAT 345.9m / Invested Capital 3.87b)
WACC = 8.01% (E(2.96b)/V(4.24b) * Re(10.11%) + D(1.28b)/V(4.24b) * Rd(3.96%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 10.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 67.51 | Cagr: 9.08%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -198.7m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -16.30 | Revenue CAGR: -4.26% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=-9.83% | Revisions=-36% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=-7.49% | Revisions=-30% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=-5.29% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+9.5% | GrowthRev=+60.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.17 | Chg30d=-1.17% | Revisions=-36% | GrowthEPS=+41.6% | GrowthRev=-1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=9, down=23)