BLDR Stock Analysis: Builders FirstSource | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.855m USD | 12M Return: -44% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 190M
EPS Trend: -93.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -97.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Builders FirstSource, Inc. (NYSE: BLDR) is a U.S.-based supplier of building materials and manufactured components for professional residential builders, serving new home construction as well as repair and remodeling markets. The company is classified in the Industrials sector under the Building Products sub-industry.
Its product offering spans factory-built framing components such as wood floor and roof trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood - including its Ready-Frame whole-house framing solution - along with modular homes produced under the Pine Grove Homes and Pleasant Valley Homes brands, as well as windows, doors, and millwork sold under the Synboard brand.
In addition to dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board, the company distributes specialty building products such as siding, roofing, insulation, wallboard, ceilings, cabinets, and hardware. It also provides turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, professional installation, and digital services like drafting, estimating, and virtual home design to retailers, distributors, manufacturers, and homebuilders.
Builders FirstSource operates a vertically integrated pro dealer model focused exclusively on professional builder customers rather than retail DIY consumers, a structure typical of large-scale U.S. building products distributors. The company was originally incorporated in 1998 as BSL Holdings, Inc., adopted its current name in October 1999, and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
- New residential housing starts decline pressures product volumes
- Lumber and OSB commodity price swings compress gross margins
- Rising mortgage rates cool homebuilder demand and repair activity
| Net Income: 291.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.74 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.07% < 20% (prev 9.15%; Δ -0.08% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.17b > Net Income 291.5m |
| Net Debt (5.85b) to EBITDA (1.21b): 4.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.76 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (109.9m) vs 12m ago -3.91% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.89% > 18% (prev 32.15%; Δ -2.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 130.3% > 50% (prev 141.2%; Δ -10.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.18 > 6 (EBIT TTM 618.4m / Interest Expense TTM 283.4m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 3.12b - Total Current Liabilities 1.77b) / Total Assets 11.3b |
| B: 0.0 (Retained Earnings 0.0 / Total Assets 11.3b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 618.4m / Avg Total Assets 11.4b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 4.00b / Total Liabilities 7.30b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.72 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 1.70b/1.68b, Revenue 14.8b/16.2b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 32.15% / 29.89%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.47) |
| SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 14.8b / 16.2b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 291.5m - CFO 1.17b) / TA 11.3b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 75.69 with a total of 1,267,515 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.63%, over one month by +1.43%, over three months by -11.27% and over the past year by -43.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 70.30 (which is 7.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Builders FirstSource has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BLDR.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 97.4 | 28.7% |
P/E Trailing = 31.4237
P/E Forward = 17.8571
P/S = 0.5975
P/B = 2.2749
P/EG = 2.019
Revenue TTM = 14.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 618.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.61b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 135.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 654.4m
Net Debt = 5.85b USD (calculated: Debt 5.95b - CCE 98.3m)
Enterprise Value = 14.7b USD (8.86b + Debt 5.95b - CCE 98.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.18 (Ebit TTM 618.4m / Interest Expense TTM 283.4m)
EV/FCF = 17.06x (Enterprise Value 14.7b / FCF TTM 861.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.86% (FCF TTM 861.6m / Enterprise Value 14.7b)
FCF Margin = 5.81% (FCF TTM 861.6m / Revenue TTM 14.8b)
Net Margin = 1.97% (Net Income TTM 291.5m / Revenue TTM 14.8b)
Gross Margin = 29.89% ((Revenue TTM 14.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.26% (prev 29.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 14.7b / Total Assets 11.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.77% (Interest Expense 283.4m / Debt 5.95b)
Taxrate = 12.97% (43.4m / 334.9m)
NOPAT = 538.2m (EBIT 618.4m * (1 - 12.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.76 (Total Current Assets 3.12b / Total Current Liabilities 1.77b)
Debt / Equity = 1.49 (Debt 5.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.82 (Net Debt 5.85b / EBITDA 1.21b)
Debt / FCF = 6.79 (Net Debt 5.85b / FCF TTM 861.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.56% (Net Income 291.5m / Total Assets 11.3b)
RoE = 6.92% (Net Income TTM 291.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.21b)
RoCE = 7.01% (EBIT 618.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.21b + L.T.Debt 4.61b))
RoIC = 5.62% (NOPAT 538.2m / Invested Capital 9.57b)
WACC = 8.40% (E(8.86b)/V(14.8b) * Re(11.25%) + D(5.95b)/V(14.8b) * Rd(4.77%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 11.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -5.17%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.92% ; FCFF base≈1.04b ; Y1≈909.5m ; Y5≈734.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 54.45 (EV 11.7b - Net Debt 5.85b = Equity 5.86b / Shares 107.6m; r=8.40% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -93.37 | EPS CAGR: -32.64% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.18 | Revenue CAGR: -6.46% | SUE: 1.16 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-86% | Analysts=19
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.77 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-75% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.29 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-86% | GrowthEPS=-37.8% | GrowthRev=-2.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.88 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-84% | GrowthEPS=+37.2% | GrowthRev=+5.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -93% (up=1, down=68)