BLDR Stock Analysis: Builders FirstSource | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.436m USD | 12M Return: -55.4% | US12008R1077 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 149M
EPS Trend: -95.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -97.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) is a U.S. supplier of building materials and value-added components serving professional builders in the new residential construction, repair, and remodeling markets. The company operates a B2B distribution and manufacturing model, selling directly to homebuilders rather than retail DIY consumers, which ties its volumes primarily to U.S. housing starts and residential construction activity.
Its manufactured offerings include factory-built framing components such as wood floor and roof trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood; the Ready-Frame whole-house framing solution; modular and semi-custom homes produced under the Pine Grove Homes and Pleasant Valley Homes brands; windows; and assembled interior and exterior door units. The company also distributes millwork (including the Synboard brand), specialty products such as vinyl, composite and wood siding, roofing, insulation, cabinetry, and hardware, along with commodity dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board (OSB) used in on-site framing.
Beyond products, Builders FirstSource provides turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, professional installation, and pre-construction services including drafting, estimating, and virtual home design. The use of pre-fabricated and panelized building components is a structural feature of the modern U.S. residential building products industry, as it can shorten on-site build cycles and reduce skilled-labor requirements for builders. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas, was incorporated in 1998, and was formerly known as BSL Holdings, Inc. before adopting its current name in October 1999.
- Housing starts decline as mortgage rates remain elevated
- Lumber price volatility pressures gross margins
- Repair and remodeling demand drives segment revenue growth
| Net Income: 102.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.72 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.90% < 20% (prev 9.11%; Δ 0.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 898.0m > Net Income 102.6m |
| Net Debt (5.82b) to EBITDA (1.03b): 5.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (108.7m) vs 12m ago -2.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.19% > 18% (prev 31.58%; Δ -2.39% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 126.8% > 50% (prev 139.1%; Δ -12.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 435.6m / Interest Expense TTM 287.6m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 3.24b - Total Current Liabilities 1.81b) / Total Assets 11.3b |
| B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -3.90m / Total Assets 11.3b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 435.6m / Avg Total Assets 11.4b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 4.01b / Total Liabilities 7.32b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.66 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 1.63b/1.76b, Revenue 14.4b/15.9b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 31.58% / 29.19%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.47) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 14.4b / 15.9b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 102.6m - CFO 898.0m) / TA 11.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 54.65 with a total of 2,602,918 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.41%, over one month by -5.25%, over three months by -26.41% and over the past year by -55.40%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 51.60 (which is 5.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Builders FirstSource has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.58. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BLDR.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 73.4 | 34.2% |
P/E Trailing = 54.913
P/E Forward = 13.947
P/S = 0.3762
P/B = 1.5893
P/EG = 2.019
Revenue TTM = 14.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 435.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 124.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 646.9m
Net Debt = 5.82b USD (calculated: Debt 5.89b - CCE 65.7m)
Enterprise Value = 11.3b USD (5.44b + Debt 5.89b - CCE 65.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.51 (Ebit TTM 435.6m / Interest Expense TTM 287.6m)
EV/FCF = 17.61x (Enterprise Value 11.3b / FCF TTM 639.3m)
FCF Yield = 5.68% (FCF TTM 639.3m / Enterprise Value 11.3b)
FCF Margin = 4.42% (FCF TTM 639.3m / Revenue TTM 14.4b)
Net Margin = 0.71% (Net Income TTM 102.6m / Revenue TTM 14.4b)
Gross Margin = 29.19% ((Revenue TTM 14.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.14% (prev 28.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 11.3b / Total Assets 11.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.89% (Interest Expense 287.6m / Debt 5.89b)
Taxrate = 30.71% (45.5m / 148.0m)
NOPAT = 301.8m (EBIT 435.6m * (1 - 30.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 3.24b / Total Current Liabilities 1.81b)
Debt / Equity = 1.47 (Debt 5.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.63 (Net Debt 5.82b / EBITDA 1.03b)
Debt / FCF = 9.10 (Net Debt 5.82b / FCF TTM 639.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.90% (Net Income 102.6m / Total Assets 11.3b)
RoE = 2.46% (Net Income TTM 102.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.17b)
RoCE = 4.98% (EBIT 435.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.17b + L.T.Debt 4.58b))
RoIC = 3.15% (NOPAT 301.8m / Invested Capital 9.57b)
WACC = 6.92% (E(5.44b)/V(11.3b) * Re(10.74%) + D(5.89b)/V(11.3b) * Rd(4.89%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 10.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -93.93 | Cagr: -5.47%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈859.1m ; Y1≈753.4m ; Y5≈608.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.72 (EV 9.77b - Net Debt 5.82b = Equity 3.95b / Shares 107.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.48 | EPS CAGR: -34.59% | SUE: -0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.54 | Revenue CAGR: -6.34% | SUE: -0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-3.33% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.03 | Chg30d=-4.19% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-56.0% | GrowthRev=-5.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.98 | Chg30d=-10.00% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+31.2% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=0, down=5)