BLDR Stock Analysis: Builders FirstSource | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.785m USD | 12M Return: -41.9% | US12008R1077 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 136M
EPS Trend: -97.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -98.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) is a U.S. supplier of building materials and value-added components serving professional builders in the new residential construction, repair, and remodeling markets. The company operates a B2B distribution and manufacturing model, selling directly to homebuilders rather than retail DIY consumers, which ties its volumes primarily to U.S. housing starts and residential construction activity.
Its manufactured offerings include factory-built framing components such as wood floor and roof trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood; the Ready-Frame whole-house framing solution; modular and semi-custom homes produced under the Pine Grove Homes and Pleasant Valley Homes brands; windows; and assembled interior and exterior door units. The company also distributes millwork (including the Synboard brand), specialty products such as vinyl, composite and wood siding, roofing, insulation, cabinetry, and hardware, along with commodity dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board (OSB) used in on-site framing.
Beyond products, Builders FirstSource provides turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, professional installation, and pre-construction services including drafting, estimating, and virtual home design. The use of pre-fabricated and panelized building components is a structural feature of the modern U.S. residential building products industry, as it can shorten on-site build cycles and reduce skilled-labor requirements for builders. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas, was incorporated in 1998, and was formerly known as BSL Holdings, Inc. before adopting its current name in October 1999.
- Housing starts decline as mortgage rates remain elevated
- Lumber price volatility pressures gross margins
- Repair and remodeling demand drives segment revenue growth
| Net Income: 40.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.71 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.29% < 20% (prev 9.27%; Δ 1.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 496.8m > Net Income 40.6m |
| Net Debt (5.89b) to EBITDA (904.4m): 6.51 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (107.6m) vs 12m ago -2.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.48% > 18% (prev 30.97%; Δ -2.49% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 126.2% > 50% (prev 136.9%; Δ -10.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 305.9m / Interest Expense TTM 290.5m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 3.23b - Total Current Liabilities 1.75b) / Total Assets 11.3b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 56.5m / Total Assets 11.3b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 305.9m / Avg Total Assets 11.4b) |
| D: 0.56 (Book Value of Equity 4.08b / Total Liabilities 7.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.64 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 1.64b/1.70b, Revenue 14.4b/15.7b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 30.97% / 28.48%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.47) |
| SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 14.4b / 15.7b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 40.6m - CFO 496.8m) / TA 11.3b) |
| Beneish M = -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 64.91 with a total of 4,742,071 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.18%, over one month by +12.83%, over three months by -1.67% and over the past year by -41.88%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 61.50 (which is 5.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Builders FirstSource has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BLDR.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 67.6 | 4.2% |
P/E Trailing = 68.5435
P/E Forward = 20.4499
P/S = 0.4696
P/B = 1.5012
P/EG = 2.019
Revenue TTM = 14.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 305.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 904.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 119.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 661.3m
Net Debt = 5.89b USD (calculated: Debt 5.94b - CCE 55.0m)
Enterprise Value = 12.7b USD (6.79b + Debt 5.94b - CCE 55.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.05 (Ebit TTM 305.9m / Interest Expense TTM 290.5m)
EV/FCF = 50.42x (Enterprise Value 12.7b / FCF TTM 251.3m)
FCF Yield = 1.98% (FCF TTM 251.3m / Enterprise Value 12.7b)
FCF Margin = 1.75% (FCF TTM 251.3m / Revenue TTM 14.4b)
Net Margin = 0.28% (Net Income TTM 40.6m / Revenue TTM 14.4b)
Gross Margin = 28.48% ((Revenue TTM 14.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.82% (prev 28.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 12.7b / Total Assets 11.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.89% (Interest Expense 290.5m / Debt 5.94b)
Taxrate = 15.06% (77.2m / 512.4m)
NOPAT = 259.8m (EBIT 305.9m * (1 - 15.06%))
Current Ratio = 1.85 (Total Current Assets 3.23b / Total Current Liabilities 1.75b)
Debt / Equity = 1.46 (Debt 5.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.51 (Net Debt 5.89b / EBITDA 904.4m)
Debt / FCF = 23.42 (Net Debt 5.89b / FCF TTM 251.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.36% (Net Income 40.6m / Total Assets 11.3b)
RoE = 0.99% (Net Income TTM 40.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.11b)
RoCE = 3.51% (EBIT 305.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.11b + L.T.Debt 4.62b))
RoIC = 2.69% (NOPAT 259.8m / Invested Capital 9.65b)
WACC = 7.45% (E(6.79b)/V(12.7b) * Re(10.34%) + D(5.94b)/V(12.7b) * Rd(4.89%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 10.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.76 | Cagr: -4.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈558.9m ; Y1≈490.2m ; Y5≈396.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.37 (EV 6.36b - Net Debt 5.89b = Equity 469.9m / Shares 107.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -97.60 | EPS CAGR: -38.89% | SUE: 3.27 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -98.45 | Revenue CAGR: -6.82% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-17.33% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.94 | Chg30d=-7.09% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-57.3% | GrowthRev=-6.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.51 | Chg30d=-20.55% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+19.4% | GrowthRev=+1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -77% (up=0, down=10)