BMO Stock Analysis: Bank of Montreal | NYSE

Banks - Diversified | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 122.433m USD | 12M Return: 65.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Personal Banking, Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Capital Markets
Total Rating 52
Safety 27
Buy Signal 1.24
Banks - Diversified
Industry Rotation: -3.3
Market Cap: 122B
Avg Turnover: 118M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility17.5%
VaR 5th Pctl3.05%
VaR vs Median5.74%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.61
Rel. Str. IBD85.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group89.3
Character TTM
Beta0.721
Beta Downside0.494
Hurst Exponent0.484
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD19.00%
CAGR/Max DD1.61
CAGR/Mean DD6.28
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BMO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-04": 3.13, "2021-07": 3.44, "2021-10": 3.33, "2022-01": 3.89, "2022-04": 3.23, "2022-07": 3.09, "2022-10": 3.04, "2023-01": 3.22, "2023-04": 2.93, "2023-07": 2.78, "2023-10": 2.81, "2024-01": 2.56, "2024-04": 1.9, "2024-07": 2.64, "2024-10": 1.9, "2025-01": 3.04, "2025-04": 2.62, "2025-07": 3.23, "2025-10": 2.97, "2026-01": 3.48, "2026-04": 3.67,
EPS CAGR: 3.69%
EPS Trend: 27.6%
Last SUE: 0.65
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BMO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-04: 7433, 2021-07: 8869, 2021-10: 7780, 2022-01: 8311, 2022-04: 7326, 2022-07: 9792, 2022-10: 11842, 2023-01: 14397, 2023-04: 16698, 2023-07: 17973, 2023-10: 18981, 2024-01: 18781, 2024-04: 19570, 2024-07: 20463, 2024-10: 19744, 2025-01: 20442, 2025-04: 19238, 2025-07: 19189, 2025-10: 19280, 2026-01: 19319, 2026-04: 19283,
Rev. CAGR: 6.57%
Rev. Trend: 71.3%
Last SUE: 0.65
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.9% 15
Feb -1.0% 9
Mar -2.4% 10
Apr +1.2% 11
May -1.1% 7
Jun +0.1% 1
Jul +1.4% 21
Aug -1.5% 8
Sep -0.7% 5
Oct -0.5% 4
Nov +1.0% 13
Dec +1.2% 17

Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.

Description: BMO Bank of Montreal

Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO) is a diversified financial services company headquartered in Montreal, Canada, founded in 1817. It is one of Canadas largest banks and operates primarily across North America through four main segments: Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, U.S. Banking, Wealth Management, and Capital Markets.

The company delivers a broad range of banking, lending, investment, insurance, and capital markets services to retail, commercial, institutional, and high-net-worth clients. Its business model spans retail deposits and mortgages, commercial financing, wealth and asset management, life insurance and annuities, as well as investment banking, trading, and risk management solutions, placing it within the GICS Diversified Banks sub-industry alongside other globally active financial institutions.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses as Bank of Canada cuts rates
  • U.S. Banking segment loan growth drives revenue higher
  • Wealth Management fees expand on rising AUM
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 9.73b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.71 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.31k% < 20% (prev -1.06k%; Δ -245.8% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 19.5b > Net Income 9.73b
Net Debt (-224b) to EBITDA (15.1b): -14.78 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.06 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (710.2m) vs 12m ago -2.24% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.76% > 18% (prev 37.40%; Δ 7.37% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.24% > 50% (prev 5.55%; Δ -0.30% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 12.9b / Interest Expense TTM 39.5b)
Altman Z'' -4.19
A: -0.67 (Total Current Assets 63.8b - Total Current Liabilities 1074b) / Total Assets 1499b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 48.1b / Total Assets 1499b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 12.9b / Avg Total Assets 1470b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 85.5b / Total Liabilities 1413b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.19 = D
Beneish M -3.09
DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 50.3b/50.0b, Revenue 77.1b/79.9b)
GMI: 0.84 (GM 37.40% / 44.76%)
AQI: 1.14 (AQ_t 0.95 / AQ_t-1 0.84)
SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 77.1b / 79.9b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 9.73b - CFO 19.5b) / TA 1499b)
Beneish M = -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BMO shares?

As of June 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 176.08 with a total of 394,736 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.67%, over one month by +8.68%, over three months by +34.93% and over the past year by +65.06%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 172.10 (which is 2.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is BMO a buy, sell or hold?

Bank of Montreal has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.29. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BMO.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 3
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BMO price?
Analysts Target Price 155.6 -11.6%
Bank of Montreal (BMO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 122b (122b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CAD = 174b (122b USD * 1.4191 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 19.083
P/E Forward = 17.2117
P/S = 3.5301
P/B = 2.0708
P/EG = 1.8595
Revenue TTM = 77.1b CAD
EBIT TTM = 12.9b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 15.1b CAD
Long Term Debt = 128b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 132b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 170b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.31b
Net Debt = -224b CAD (calculated: Debt 170b - CCE 393b)
Enterprise Value = 174b CAD (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.33 (Ebit TTM 12.9b / Interest Expense TTM 39.5b)
EV/FCF = 9.80x (Enterprise Value 174b / FCF TTM 17.7b)
FCF Yield = 10.20% (FCF TTM 17.7b / Enterprise Value 174b)
FCF Margin = 22.99% (FCF TTM 17.7b / Revenue TTM 77.1b)
Net Margin = 12.63% (Net Income TTM 9.73b / Revenue TTM 77.1b)
Gross Margin = 44.76% ((Revenue TTM 77.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.63% (prev 46.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.12 (Enterprise Value 174b / Total Assets 1499b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 23.28% (Interest Expense 39.5b / Debt 170b)
Taxrate = 24.69% (3.19b / 12.9b)
NOPAT = 9.74b (EBIT 12.9b * (1 - 24.69%))
Current Ratio = 0.06 (Total Current Assets 63.8b / Total Current Liabilities 1074b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 170b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 85.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = -14.78 (Net Debt -224b / EBITDA 15.1b)
Debt / FCF = -12.62 (Net Debt -224b / FCF TTM 17.7b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 86.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.66% (Net Income 9.73b / Total Assets 1499b)
RoE = 11.25% (Net Income TTM 9.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 86.5b)
RoCE = 6.02% (EBIT 12.9b / Capital Employed (Equity 86.5b + L.T.Debt 128b))
RoIC = 0.65% (NOPAT 9.74b / Invested Capital 1495b)
WACC = 12.96% (E(174b)/V(344b) * Re(8.50%) + D(170b)/V(344b) * Rd(23.28%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -65.93 | Cagr: -0.89%
[DCF] Terminal Value 64.54% ; FCFF base≈13.3b ; Y1≈15.3b ; Y5≈22.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 584.1 (EV 186b - Net Debt -224b = Equity 409b / Shares 700.4m; r=12.96% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 27.62 | EPS CAGR: 3.69% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 71.26 | Revenue CAGR: 6.57% | SUE: 0.65 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=3.69 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+23% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-10-31): EPS=14.50 | Chg30d=+1.77% | Revisions=+65% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
EPS next Year (2027-10-31): EPS=16.29 | Chg30d=+1.38% | Revisions=+41% | GrowthEPS=+12.3% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +65%