BMY Stock Analysis: Bristol-Myers Squibb | NYSE

Drug Manufacturers - General | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 129.917m USD | 12M Return: 44.9% | US1101221083 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Oncology, Hematology, Immunology, Cardiovascular
Total Rating 76
Safety 81
Buy Signal 0.53
Drug Manufacturers - General
Industry Rotation: +8.8
Market Cap: 130B
Avg Turnover: 494M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility26.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.42%
VaR vs Median1.29%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.33
Rel. Str. IBD78.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group63.7
Character TTM
Beta0.143
Beta Downside0.158
Hurst Exponent0.381
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.00%
CAGR/Max DD0.24
CAGR/Mean DD0.58
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BMY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2, "2021-12": 1.83, "2022-03": 1.96, "2022-06": 1.93, "2022-09": 1.99, "2022-12": 1.82, "2023-03": 2.05, "2023-06": 1.75, "2023-09": 2, "2023-12": 1.59, "2024-03": -4.4, "2024-06": 2.07, "2024-09": 1.8, "2024-12": 1.67, "2025-03": 1.8, "2025-06": 1.46, "2025-09": 1.63, "2025-12": 1.26, "2026-03": 1.58, "2026-06": 2.04,
EPS CAGR: 42.04%
EPS Trend: 35.1%
Last SUE: 3.45
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of BMY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 11624, 2021-12: 11985, 2022-03: 11648, 2022-06: 11887, 2022-09: 11218, 2022-12: 11406, 2023-03: 11337, 2023-06: 11226, 2023-09: 10966, 2023-12: 11477, 2024-03: 11865, 2024-06: 12201, 2024-09: 11892, 2024-12: 12342, 2025-03: 11201, 2025-06: 12269, 2025-09: 12222, 2025-12: 12503, 2026-03: 11489, 2026-06: 12973,
Rev. CAGR: 3.16%
Rev. Trend: 92.6%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 11

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.5% 15
Feb +2.8% 20
Mar -0.6% 17
Apr -1.1% 20
May -2.3% 58
Jun +1.1% 29
Jul +0.6% 24
Aug +1.8% 12
Sep -1.0% 2
Oct -1.1% 11
Nov +1.2% 12
Dec +2.2% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE: BMY) is a U.S.-based global biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey. Founded in 1887, the company discovers, develops, licenses, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells pharmaceutical products worldwide, operating within the Health Care sector and the Pharmaceuticals sub-industry.

The company maintains a diversified portfolio spanning oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, and neuroscience therapeutic areas. Its oncology franchise includes key drugs such as Opdivo (an anti-PD-1 immunotherapy), Yervoy, Opdualag, Breyanzi, Abecma, Krazati, Augtyro, and Abraxane. Immunology offerings include Orencia, Zeposia, Sotyktu, and Cobenfy, while its cardiovascular and hematology products include Eliquis, Camzyos, Reblozyl, Revlimid, Pomalyst/Imnovid, and Sprycel.

Like most large-cap pharmaceutical companies, BMY relies on a wholesale and specialty distribution model, selling its products through wholesalers, distributors, specialty pharmacies, retailers, hospitals, clinics, and government agencies. This distribution structure reflects the sectors typical reliance on third-party intermediaries to reach both patients and providers across multiple regions.

The company maintains strategic collaborations with smaller biotechnology firms to expand its pipeline, including a partnership with Arcus Biosciences focused on developing novel treatments for kidney cancer. Such licensing and collaboration agreements are common within the biopharmaceutical industry, allowing large-cap companies to access innovation from smaller research-focused partners without bearing the full cost of early-stage drug discovery.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Eliquis Medicare price negotiations and patent cliff pressure 2026 revenue
  • Cobenfy schizophrenia launch drives neuroscience segment revenue growth
  • High acquisition debt weighs on margins and capital returns
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 9.28b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.34 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 20.17% < 20% (prev 11.94%; Δ 8.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 12.8b > Net Income 9.28b
Net Debt (34.0b) to EBITDA (16.7b): 2.04 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.53 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.05b) vs 12m ago 0.49% < -2%
Gross Margin: 70.16% > 18% (prev 65.21%; Δ 4.95% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 53.96% > 50% (prev 50.39%; Δ 3.57% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 13.6b / Interest Expense TTM 1.73b)
Altman Z'' 2.86
A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 28.6b - Total Current Liabilities 18.7b) / Total Assets 87.6b
B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 20.3b / Total Assets 87.6b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 13.6b / Avg Total Assets 91.2b)
D: 0.34 (Book Value of Equity 22.3b / Total Liabilities 65.3b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.86 = A
Beneish M -3.31
DSRI: 0.68 (Receivables 10.6b/15.1b, Revenue 49.2b/47.7b)
GMI: 0.93 (GM 65.21% / 70.16%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.58 / AQ_t-1 0.56)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 49.2b / 47.7b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 9.28b - CFO 12.8b) / TA 87.6b)
Beneish M = -3.31 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BMY shares?

As of September 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 63.06 with a total of 36,831,221 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.91%, over one month by -4.53%, over three months by +18.10% and over the past year by +44.93%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 61.20 (which is 2.9% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is BMY a buy, sell or hold?

Bristol-Myers Squibb has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BMY.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 18
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the BMY price?
Analysts Target Price 66.4 5.3%
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 130b (130b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.0088
P/E Forward = 9.7561
P/S = 2.6413
P/B = 5.8328
P/EG = 17.7447
Revenue TTM = 49.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 13.6b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.7b USD
Long Term Debt = 42.1b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.03b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 45.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.93b
Net Debt = 34.0b USD (calculated: Debt 45.1b - CCE 11.1b)
Enterprise Value = 164b USD (130b + Debt 45.1b - CCE 11.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.88 (Ebit TTM 13.6b / Interest Expense TTM 1.73b)
EV/FCF = 14.33x (Enterprise Value 164b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
FCF Yield = 6.98% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Enterprise Value 164b)
FCF Margin = 23.26% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Revenue TTM 49.2b)
Net Margin = 18.87% (Net Income TTM 9.28b / Revenue TTM 49.2b)
Gross Margin = 70.16% ((Revenue TTM 49.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.28% (prev 70.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.87 (Enterprise Value 164b / Total Assets 87.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.84% (Interest Expense 1.73b / Debt 45.1b)
Taxrate = 22.12% (2.63b / 11.9b)
NOPAT = 10.6b (EBIT 13.6b * (1 - 22.12%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 28.6b / Total Current Liabilities 18.7b)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 45.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.3b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.04 (Net Debt 34.0b / EBITDA 16.7b)
Debt / FCF = 2.97 (Net Debt 34.0b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.18% (Net Income 9.28b / Total Assets 87.6b)
RoE = 46.75% (Net Income TTM 9.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 19.9b)
RoCE = 22.01% (EBIT 13.6b / Capital Employed (Equity 19.9b + L.T.Debt 42.1b))
RoIC = 15.72% (NOPAT 10.6b / Invested Capital 67.5b)
WACC = 5.59% (E(130b)/V(175b) * Re(6.49%) + D(45.1b)/V(175b) * Rd(3.84%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 96.07 | Cagr: 0.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈12.7b ; Y1≈11.1b ; Y5≈8.99b
[DCF] Fair Price = 54.04 (EV 144b - Net Debt 34.0b = Equity 110b / Shares 2.04b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 35.09 | EPS CAGR: 42.04% | SUE: 3.45 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.61 | Revenue CAGR: 3.16% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 11
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=-0.06% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.95 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+89% | GrowthEPS=+13.0% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.56 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+76% | GrowthEPS=-5.6% | GrowthRev=-3.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +87% (up=65, down=3)