(BOOT) Boot Barn Holdings - Overview
Stock: Boots, Apparel, Accessories, Footwear, Workwear
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.88 |
| Alpha | 19.99 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.480 |
| Beta Downside | 1.258 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.93% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.74 |
Description: BOOT Boot Barn Holdings January 09, 2026
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BOOT) operates a specialty retail network focused on western-style and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories for the entire family. The company sells a broad assortment of branded products-including Ariat, Wrangler, Carhartt, and Levi’s-through its brick-and-mortar stores, owned e-commerce sites (e.g., bootbarn.com, sheplers.com) and third-party marketplaces, positioning itself as the go-to destination for rugged and western lifestyle consumers.
Key recent metrics suggest modest growth: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly $1.1 billion, with e-commerce accounting for about 15 % of total sales and delivering a 12 % year-over-year increase, while comparable-store sales grew ~5 % in the same period. The segment is sensitive to macro-drivers such as U.S. discretionary spending in rural and suburban markets, oil-price-linked fuel costs (which affect travel to stores), and broader employment trends in construction and agriculture that boost demand for work-wear and safety-toe footwear.
For a deeper dive into BOOT’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s research platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 219.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.09 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.41% < 20% (prev 26.56%; Δ 1.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 213.6m > Net Income 219.0m |
| Net Debt (504.0m) to EBITDA (368.2m): 1.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.40 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.7m) vs 12m ago -0.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.32% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 3795 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 98.33% > 50% (prev 91.69%; Δ 6.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 192.8 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 368.2m / Interest Expense TTM 1.53m) |
Altman Z'' 5.08
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 1.06b - Total Current Liabilities 441.4m) / Total Assets 2.40b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 1.09b / Total Assets 2.40b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 294.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.21b) |
| D: 0.97 (Book Value of Equity 1.09b / Total Liabilities 1.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.08 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.87
| DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 14.2m/10.2m, Revenue 2.17b/1.85b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 38.32% / 37.27%) |
| AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 2.17b / 1.85b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 219.0m - CFO 213.6m) / TA 2.40b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of BOOT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.95%, over one month by +3.78%, over three months by +11.26% and over the past year by +43.96%.
Is BOOT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BOOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 235.4 | 15.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 235.4 | 15.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 260.9 | 28.3% |
BOOT Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 22.8311
P/S = 2.6491
P/B = 4.6336
P/EG = 1.72
Revenue TTM = 2.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 294.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 368.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 563.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 79.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 704.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 504.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.25b USD (5.75b + Debt 704.1m - CCE 200.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 192.8 (Ebit TTM 294.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.53m)
EV/FCF = 112.2x (Enterprise Value 6.25b / FCF TTM 55.7m)
FCF Yield = 0.89% (FCF TTM 55.7m / Enterprise Value 6.25b)
FCF Margin = 2.57% (FCF TTM 55.7m / Revenue TTM 2.17b)
Net Margin = 10.10% (Net Income TTM 219.0m / Revenue TTM 2.17b)
Gross Margin = 38.32% ((Revenue TTM 2.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.86% (prev 36.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.61 (Enterprise Value 6.25b / Total Assets 2.40b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.06% (Interest Expense 435.0k / Debt 704.1m)
Taxrate = 25.22% (28.9m / 114.8m)
NOPAT = 220.2m (EBIT 294.4m * (1 - 25.22%))
Current Ratio = 2.40 (Total Current Assets 1.06b / Total Current Liabilities 441.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 704.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.37 (Net Debt 504.0m / EBITDA 368.2m)
Debt / FCF = 9.05 (Net Debt 504.0m / FCF TTM 55.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.93% (Net Income 219.0m / Total Assets 2.40b)
RoE = 18.28% (Net Income TTM 219.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.20b)
RoCE = 16.72% (EBIT 294.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.20b + L.T.Debt 563.0m))
RoIC = 18.83% (NOPAT 220.2m / Invested Capital 1.17b)
WACC = 10.13% (E(5.75b)/V(6.45b) * Re(11.37%) + D(704.1m)/V(6.45b) * Rd(0.06%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.25% ; FCFF base≈35.3m ; Y1≈23.2m ; Y5≈10.6m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 151.5m - Net Debt 504.0m = -352.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 30.99 | EPS CAGR: 16.06% | SUE: -1.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 68.96 | Revenue CAGR: 17.67% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=+0.112 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=8.45 | Chg30d=+0.415 | Revisions Net=+14 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+13.8%