BOX Stock Analysis: Box | NYSE
Software - Infrastructure | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.409m USD | 12M Return: -22.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 56.4M
EPS Trend: 9.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
Box, Inc. is a cloud content management company that sells a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform for organizing, sharing, and collaborating on business content across web, mobile, and desktop environments. Its product suite supports external collaboration, digital workspaces, e-signature, and automated content workflows, and also allows customers to build custom applications on top of the platform. The company serves customers in the United States, Poland, the United Kingdom, and other international markets, and is headquartered in Redwood City, California, having been incorporated in 2005 under its former name Box.net before rebranding in November 2011. Listed on the NYSE under the ticker BOX since its January 2015 IPO, Box operates within the Information Technology sector (Application Software sub-industry) and is classified as a mid-cap company, competing in the broader enterprise content and collaboration software space where revenue is typically generated through recurring subscription contracts.
- Subscription revenue growth accelerates as net retention stays above 100%
- Operating margin expansion accelerates toward profitability target
- Microsoft bundle competition pressures enterprise deal pricing
| Net Income: 110.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.92 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.02% < 20% (prev 16.28%; Δ -12.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 369.6m > Net Income 110.8m |
| Net Debt (133.1m) to EBITDA (163.0m): 0.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (140.1m) vs 12m ago -6.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 79.56% > 18% (prev 79.08%; Δ 0.48% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 78.81% > 50% (prev 67.12%; Δ 11.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM 123.5m / Interest Expense TTM 10.4m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 765.6m - Total Current Liabilities 717.0m) / Total Assets 1.42b |
| B: -0.58 (Retained Earnings -829.0m / Total Assets 1.42b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 123.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.53b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 158.5m / Total Liabilities 1.26b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.00 = CCC |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 192.3m/178.1m, Revenue 1.21b/1.10b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 79.08% / 79.56%) |
| AQI: 1.26 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 1.21b / 1.10b) |
| TATA: -0.18 (NI 110.8m - CFO 369.6m) / TA 1.42b) |
| Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 26.57 with a total of 1,826,810 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.07%, over one month by -1.45%, over three months by +13.94% and over the past year by -22.24%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.40 (which is 4.4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Box has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BOX.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 32.5 | 22.3% |
P/E Trailing = 38.4531
P/E Forward = 13.0548
P/S = 5.0404
P/B = 31.786
P/EG = 0.4929
Revenue TTM = 1.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 123.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 163.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 451.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 610.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 79.2m
Net Debt = 133.1m USD (calculated: Debt 610.1m - CCE 477.0m)
Enterprise Value = 3.54b USD (3.41b + Debt 610.1m - CCE 477.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.87 (Ebit TTM 123.5m / Interest Expense TTM 10.4m)
EV/FCF = 10.04x (Enterprise Value 3.54b / FCF TTM 352.7m)
FCF Yield = 9.96% (FCF TTM 352.7m / Enterprise Value 3.54b)
FCF Margin = 29.23% (FCF TTM 352.7m / Revenue TTM 1.21b)
Net Margin = 9.18% (Net Income TTM 110.8m / Revenue TTM 1.21b)
Gross Margin = 79.56% ((Revenue TTM 1.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 246.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.49% (prev 80.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.49 (Enterprise Value 3.54b / Total Assets 1.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.71% (Interest Expense 10.4m / Debt 610.1m)
Taxrate = 35.56% (9.78m / 27.5m)
NOPAT = 79.6m (EBIT 123.5m * (1 - 35.56%))
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 765.6m / Total Current Liabilities 717.0m)
Debt / Equity = 3.85 (Debt 610.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 158.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.82 (Net Debt 133.1m / EBITDA 163.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.38 (Net Debt 133.1m / FCF TTM 352.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 73.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.24% (Net Income 110.8m / Total Assets 1.42b)
RoE = 150.6% (Net Income TTM 110.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 73.6m)
RoCE = 23.51% (EBIT 123.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 73.6m + L.T.Debt 451.6m))
RoIC = 12.35% (NOPAT 79.6m / Invested Capital 644.3m)
WACC = 6.52% (E(3.41b)/V(4.02b) * Re(7.49%) + D(610.1m)/V(4.02b) * Rd(1.71%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 7.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 11.11 | Cagr: -1.89%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.44% ; FCFF base≈342.2m ; Y1≈366.5m ; Y5≈441.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 47.99 (EV 6.78b - Net Debt 133.1m = Equity 6.65b / Shares 138.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 8.05% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 9.82 | EPS CAGR: 0.86% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.23 | Revenue CAGR: 6.12% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=+2.44% | Revisions=+27% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=-1.88% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.58 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+9.4% | GrowthRev=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.80 | Chg30d=-3.30% | Revisions=+45% | GrowthEPS=+14.3% | GrowthRev=+8.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%