BP Stock Analysis: BP | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 114.606m USD | 12M Return: 41.2% | US0556221044 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 402M
EPS Trend: -47.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -41.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BP p.l.c. is a London-headquartered integrated energy company founded in 1908, engaged in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company is organized into three reporting segments: Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products.
Its operations span the full energy value chain, including natural gas and crude oil production, refining and trading, marketing of retail fuels, EV charging, Castrol lubricants, and aviation fuel products. BP is also expanding into lower-carbon activities such as solar, wind, hydrogen, sustainable aviation fuel, and bioenergy.
As an integrated oil and gas major within the Energy sector, BP combines traditional hydrocarbon operations with investments in renewables and low-carbon energy. The company trades on the NYSE as an ADR under the ticker BP and is classified as a large-cap stock.
- Crude oil price swings drive upstream segment revenue volatility
- Refining margins normalize as crack spreads compress from peaks
- Share buybacks accelerate as capital returns to shareholders expand
| Net Income: 5.49b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.88% < 20% (prev 9.64%; Δ 2.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 29.1b > Net Income 5.49b |
| Net Debt (49.8b) to EBITDA (39.4b): 1.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.61b) vs 12m ago -1.18% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.26% > 18% (prev 16.24%; Δ 6.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 75.31% > 50% (prev 65.51%; Δ 9.80% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 21.8b / Interest Expense TTM 4.90b) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 121b - Total Current Liabilities 95.4b) / Total Assets 295b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 14.0b / Total Assets 295b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 21.8b / Avg Total Assets 290b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 58.4b / Total Liabilities 218b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.52 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 36.2b/27.8b, Revenue 218b/187b) |
| GMI: 0.73 (GM 16.24% / 22.26%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 218b / 187b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 5.49b - CFO 29.1b) / TA 295b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 46.36 with a total of 9,557,394 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.18%, over one month by +3.30%, over three months by +19.69% and over the past year by +41.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 44.60 (which is 3.8% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
BP has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BP.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 51.3 | 10.6% |
P/E Trailing = 20.9906
P/E Forward = 9.8425
P/S = 0.5319
P/B = 1.8998
P/EG = 0.0562
Revenue TTM = 218b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.8b USD
EBITDA TTM = 39.4b USD
Long Term Debt = 52.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 87.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.4b
Net Debt = 49.8b USD (calculated: Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Enterprise Value = 164b USD (115b + Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.45 (Ebit TTM 21.8b / Interest Expense TTM 4.90b)
EV/FCF = 10.19x (Enterprise Value 164b / FCF TTM 16.1b)
FCF Yield = 9.82% (FCF TTM 16.1b / Enterprise Value 164b)
FCF Margin = 7.40% (FCF TTM 16.1b / Revenue TTM 218b)
Net Margin = 2.51% (Net Income TTM 5.49b / Revenue TTM 218b)
Gross Margin = 22.26% ((Revenue TTM 218b - Cost of Revenue TTM 170b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.64% (prev 24.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 164b / Total Assets 295b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.63% (Interest Expense 4.90b / Debt 87.0b)
Taxrate = 44.64% (3.49b / 7.82b)
NOPAT = 12.1b (EBIT 21.8b * (1 - 44.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 121b / Total Current Liabilities 95.4b)
Debt / Equity = 1.49 (Debt 87.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.26 (Net Debt 49.8b / EBITDA 39.4b)
Debt / FCF = 3.09 (Net Debt 49.8b / FCF TTM 16.1b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 56.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.89% (Net Income 5.49b / Total Assets 295b)
RoE = 9.72% (Net Income TTM 5.49b / Total Stockholder Equity 56.4b)
RoCE = 20.05% (EBIT 21.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 56.4b + L.T.Debt 52.4b))
RoIC = 6.13% (NOPAT 12.1b / Invested Capital 197b)
WACC = 5.08% (E(115b)/V(202b) * Re(6.57%) + D(87.0b)/V(202b) * Rd(5.63%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 6.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.25 | Cagr: -3.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈13.1b ; Y1≈15.0b ; Y5≈22.1b
[DCF] Fair Price = 110.0 (EV 333b - Net Debt 49.8b = Equity 283b / Shares 2.58b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -47.71 | EPS CAGR: -12.08% | SUE: 1.95 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -41.14 | Revenue CAGR: -2.93% | SUE: 1.76 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.99 | Chg30d=+24.62% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.23 | Chg30d=+14.59% | Revisions=+59% | GrowthEPS=+151.1% | GrowthRev=+19.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.19 | Chg30d=+17.15% | Revisions=+53% | GrowthEPS=-28.2% | GrowthRev=-8.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +55% (up=28, down=7)