BP Stock Analysis: BP | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 116.251m USD | 12M Return: 31.5% | US0556221044 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 347M
EPS Trend: -47.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -41.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BP p.l.c. is a London-headquartered integrated energy company founded in 1908 that operates across three segments: Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. Its activities span natural gas production, trading, and renewable energy ventures including solar, wind, and hydrogen, alongside downstream operations in refining, fuel retail, EV charging, Castrol lubricants, B2B fuel sales, midstream logistics, and bioenergy. The company also supplies aviation fuel products such as jet fuel, aviation gasoline, UL91 aviation fuel, and sustainable aviation fuel.
As an integrated oil and gas major, BP combines upstream exploration and production with downstream refining and marketing, allowing it to capture value across the energy supply chain. Listed on the NYSE as an ADR since 1977, the company is positioned within the broader energy sector alongside peers diversifying into lower-carbon energy sources to address the global transition away from fossil fuels.
- Brent crude prices fluctuate amid OPEC supply decisions
- Refining margins weaken as global product demand softens
- Capital returns accelerate through dividends and buybacks
| Net Income: 5.49b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.88% < 20% (prev 9.64%; Δ 2.24% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 29.1b > Net Income 5.49b |
| Net Debt (49.8b) to EBITDA (39.4b): 1.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.61b) vs 12m ago -1.18% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.26% > 18% (prev 16.24%; Δ 6.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 75.31% > 50% (prev 65.51%; Δ 9.80% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 21.8b / Interest Expense TTM 4.90b) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 121b - Total Current Liabilities 95.4b) / Total Assets 295b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 14.0b / Total Assets 295b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 21.8b / Avg Total Assets 290b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 58.4b / Total Liabilities 218b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.52 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 36.2b/27.8b, Revenue 218b/187b) |
| GMI: 0.73 (GM 16.24% / 22.26%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 218b / 187b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 5.49b - CFO 29.1b) / TA 295b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.74 with a total of 7,543,396 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.08%, over one month by +1.04%, over three months by +3.82% and over the past year by +31.52%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 42.20 (which is 3.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
BP has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BP.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47.6 | 8.9% |
P/E Trailing = 20.8981
P/E Forward = 7.6746
P/S = 0.5395
P/B = 1.9275
P/EG = 0.0438
Revenue TTM = 218b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.8b USD
EBITDA TTM = 39.4b USD
Long Term Debt = 52.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 87.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.4b
Net Debt = 49.8b USD (calculated: Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Enterprise Value = 166b USD (116b + Debt 87.0b - CCE 37.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.45 (Ebit TTM 21.8b / Interest Expense TTM 4.90b)
EV/FCF = 10.29x (Enterprise Value 166b / FCF TTM 16.1b)
FCF Yield = 9.72% (FCF TTM 16.1b / Enterprise Value 166b)
FCF Margin = 7.40% (FCF TTM 16.1b / Revenue TTM 218b)
Net Margin = 2.51% (Net Income TTM 5.49b / Revenue TTM 218b)
Gross Margin = 22.26% ((Revenue TTM 218b - Cost of Revenue TTM 170b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.64% (prev 24.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.56 (Enterprise Value 166b / Total Assets 295b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.63% (Interest Expense 4.90b / Debt 87.0b)
Taxrate = 44.64% (3.49b / 7.82b)
NOPAT = 12.1b (EBIT 21.8b * (1 - 44.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 121b / Total Current Liabilities 95.4b)
Debt / Equity = 1.49 (Debt 87.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.26 (Net Debt 49.8b / EBITDA 39.4b)
Debt / FCF = 3.09 (Net Debt 49.8b / FCF TTM 16.1b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 56.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.89% (Net Income 5.49b / Total Assets 295b)
RoE = 9.72% (Net Income TTM 5.49b / Total Stockholder Equity 56.4b)
RoCE = 20.05% (EBIT 21.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 56.4b + L.T.Debt 52.4b))
RoIC = 6.13% (NOPAT 12.1b / Invested Capital 197b)
WACC = 5.13% (E(116b)/V(203b) * Re(6.64%) + D(87.0b)/V(203b) * Rd(5.63%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 6.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.25 | Cagr: -3.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈13.1b ; Y1≈15.0b ; Y5≈22.1b
[DCF] Fair Price = 110.0 (EV 333b - Net Debt 49.8b = Equity 283b / Shares 2.58b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -47.71 | EPS CAGR: -12.08% | SUE: 1.95 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -41.14 | Revenue CAGR: -2.93% | SUE: 1.76 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.58 | Chg30d=+14.30% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.30 | Chg30d=+26.23% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+118.7% | GrowthRev=+15.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.42 | Chg30d=+12.96% | Revisions=+15% | GrowthEPS=-29.8% | GrowthRev=-9.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=21, down=6)