BP Stock Analysis: BP | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 96.307m USD | 12M Return: 29.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 403M
EPS Trend: -73.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -85.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BP p.l.c. is a London-headquartered integrated energy company founded in 1908 that operates across three segments: Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. Its activities span natural gas production, trading, and renewable energy ventures including solar, wind, and hydrogen, alongside downstream operations in refining, fuel retail, EV charging, Castrol lubricants, B2B fuel sales, midstream logistics, and bioenergy. The company also supplies aviation fuel products such as jet fuel, aviation gasoline, UL91 aviation fuel, and sustainable aviation fuel.
As an integrated oil and gas major, BP combines upstream exploration and production with downstream refining and marketing, allowing it to capture value across the energy supply chain. Listed on the NYSE as an ADR since 1977, the company is positioned within the broader energy sector alongside peers diversifying into lower-carbon energy sources to address the global transition away from fossil fuels.
- Brent crude prices fluctuate amid OPEC supply decisions
- Refining margins weaken as global product demand softens
- Capital returns accelerate through dividends and buybacks
| Net Income: 3.20b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.16 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.78% < 20% (prev 9.76%; Δ 2.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 24.5b > Net Income 3.20b |
| Net Debt (52.8b) to EBITDA (35.0b): 1.51 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.61b) vs 12m ago -2.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.37% > 18% (prev 15.43%; Δ 3.94% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.77% > 50% (prev 66.53%; Δ 0.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 16.9b / Interest Expense TTM 4.96b) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 128b - Total Current Liabilities 105b) / Total Assets 302b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 14.0b / Total Assets 302b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 16.9b / Avg Total Assets 292b) |
| D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 56.0b / Total Liabilities 225b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.30 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.20 (Receivables 36.0b/28.8b, Revenue 195b/187b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 15.43% / 19.37%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 195b / 187b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 3.20b - CFO 24.5b) / TA 302b) |
| Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.55 with a total of 5,558,482 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.64%, over one month by -9.66%, over three months by -15.05% and over the past year by +29.91%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 36.60 (which is 5.1% or 2 ATR below the current price).
BP has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BP.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 48.6 | 26.1% |
P/E Trailing = 30.4065
P/E Forward = 6.8493
P/S = 0.499
P/B = 1.7209
P/EG = 0.0391
Revenue TTM = 195b USD
EBIT TTM = 16.9b USD
EBITDA TTM = 35.0b USD
Long Term Debt = 52.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.5b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 88.5b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.4b
Net Debt = 52.8b USD (calculated: Debt 88.5b - CCE 35.8b)
Enterprise Value = 149b USD (96.3b + Debt 88.5b - CCE 35.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.42 (Ebit TTM 16.9b / Interest Expense TTM 4.96b)
EV/FCF = 13.06x (Enterprise Value 149b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
FCF Yield = 7.66% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Enterprise Value 149b)
FCF Margin = 5.86% (FCF TTM 11.4b / Revenue TTM 195b)
Net Margin = 1.65% (Net Income TTM 3.20b / Revenue TTM 195b)
Gross Margin = 19.37% ((Revenue TTM 195b - Cost of Revenue TTM 157b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.17% (prev 16.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 149b / Total Assets 302b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.60% (Interest Expense 4.96b / Debt 88.5b)
Taxrate = 42.74% (3.15b / 7.37b)
NOPAT = 9.70b (EBIT 16.9b * (1 - 42.74%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 128b / Total Current Liabilities 105b)
Debt / Equity = 1.58 (Debt 88.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 56.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.51 (Net Debt 52.8b / EBITDA 35.0b)
Debt / FCF = 4.62 (Net Debt 52.8b / FCF TTM 11.4b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 56.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.10% (Net Income 3.20b / Total Assets 302b)
RoE = 5.66% (Net Income TTM 3.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 56.6b)
RoCE = 15.57% (EBIT 16.9b / Capital Employed (Equity 56.6b + L.T.Debt 52.2b))
RoIC = 4.90% (NOPAT 9.70b / Invested Capital 198b)
WACC = 5.41% (E(96.3b)/V(185b) * Re(7.44%) + D(88.5b)/V(185b) * Rd(5.60%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 7.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -4.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.88% ; FCFF base≈10.9b ; Y1≈12.1b ; Y5≈15.4b
[DCF] Fair Price = 70.88 (EV 235b - Net Debt 52.8b = Equity 183b / Shares 2.58b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 11.97% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -73.53 | EPS CAGR: -29.72% | SUE: 1.04 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -85.04 | Revenue CAGR: -6.61% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.46 | Chg30d=-1.87% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.42 | Chg30d=-3.33% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.16 | Chg30d=-3.12% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+79.1% | GrowthRev=+17.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.09 | Chg30d=+0.71% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=-20.7% | GrowthRev=-11.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -56% (up=2, down=11)