(BROS) Dutch Bros - Ratings and Ratios
Coffee, Rebel, Drive-Thru
BROS EPS (Earnings per Share)
BROS Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 54.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 74.4% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.50 |
| Alpha | -9.54 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.543 |
| Beta | 2.565 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.17% |
| Mean DD | 21.73% |
Description: BROS Dutch Bros October 31, 2025
Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) operates a network of drive-thru coffee shops across the United States, split between Company-Operated Shops and a franchising model. The brand portfolio includes Dutch Bros, Dutch Bros Coffee, Dutch Bros Rebel, and Blue Rebel, all sold primarily through physical locations and online ordering channels. Founded in 1992 and headquartered in Grants Pass, Oregon, the firm is classified under the Restaurants sub-industry.
As of the most recent filing, Dutch Bros runs roughly 650 locations, with franchisees accounting for about 30% of total stores-a share that has been steadily rising as the company leverages lower-capital expansion. FY 2023 same-store sales grew approximately 13% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for specialty coffee and the higher-margin Rebel energy-drink line, which contributed roughly 15% of total revenue. Key economic levers include consumer discretionary spending trends, coffee bean price volatility, and labor-cost pressures that affect both company-owned and franchised outlets.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial model for BROS to see how these drivers translate into valuation scenarios.
BROS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,790m |
| Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-09-15 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 0.15% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.56 of 5 |
BROS Dividends
Currently no dividends paidBROS Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 18.44% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.42 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.85 |
| Current Volume | 3003.5k |
| Average Volume | 4057.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (62.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 92.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.59% (prev 13.55%; Δ -5.96pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 278.1m > Net Income 62.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (573.4m) to EBITDA (239.2m) ratio: 2.40 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (127.4m) change vs 12m ago 11.49% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.33% (prev 26.10%; Δ 0.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 57.43% (prev 49.04%; Δ 8.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.09 (EBITDA TTM 239.2m / Interest Expense TTM 27.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.74
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 341.1m - Total Current Liabilities 224.5m) / Total Assets 2.92b |
| (B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 78.1m / Total Assets 2.92b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 139.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.68b |
| (D) 0.04 = Book Value of Equity 78.3m / Total Liabilities 2.06b |
| Total Rating: 0.74 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.63
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.70% = 0.35 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.25% = 1.06 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.28 = 1.73 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.40 = -0.77 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.09)% = -1.36 |
| 7. RoE 10.22% = 0.85 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.75% = 7.33 |
| 9. EPS Trend 68.45% = 3.42 |
What is the price of BROS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.52%, over one month by +7.07%, over three months by -17.00% and over the past year by +15.63%.
Is Dutch Bros a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of BROS is around 45.48 USD . This means that BROS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.8%.
Is BROS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BROS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.2 | 36% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.2 | 36% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 53.3 | -4.9% |
BROS Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 109.0408
P/E Forward = 58.4795
P/S = 5.718
P/B = 10.4435
Beta = 2.565
Revenue TTM = 1.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 139.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 239.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 219.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 36.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 840.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 573.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.36b USD (8.79b + Debt 840.6m - CCE 267.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.09 (Ebit TTM 139.3m / Interest Expense TTM 27.4m)
FCF Yield = 0.70% (FCF TTM 65.4m / Enterprise Value 9.36b)
FCF Margin = 4.25% (FCF TTM 65.4m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Net Margin = 4.04% (Net Income TTM 62.1m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Gross Margin = 26.33% ((Revenue TTM 1.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.21% (prev 28.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.20 (Enterprise Value 9.36b / Total Assets 2.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.80% (Interest Expense 6.70m / Debt 840.6m)
Taxrate = 21.92% (7.66m / 34.9m)
NOPAT = 108.8m (EBIT 139.3m * (1 - 21.92%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 341.1m / Total Current Liabilities 224.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.28 (Debt 840.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 656.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.40 (Net Debt 573.4m / EBITDA 239.2m)
Debt / FCF = 8.77 (Net Debt 573.4m / FCF TTM 65.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 607.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.12% (Net Income 62.1m / Total Assets 2.92b)
RoE = 10.22% (Net Income TTM 62.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 607.3m)
RoCE = 16.85% (EBIT 139.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 607.3m + L.T.Debt 219.8m))
RoIC = 13.09% (NOPAT 108.8m / Invested Capital 831.3m)
WACC = 14.17% (E(8.79b)/V(9.63b) * Re(15.47%) + D(840.6m)/V(9.63b) * Rd(0.80%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 15.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 30.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 44.79% ; FCFE base≈65.4m ; Y1≈42.9m ; Y5≈19.6m
Fair Price DCF = 1.39 (DCF Value 176.4m / Shares Outstanding 127.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 68.45 | EPS CAGR: 95.66% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 97.75 | Revenue CAGR: 30.94% | SUE: 1.31 | # QB: 6
Additional Sources for BROS Stock
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