(BRSP) Brightspire Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Mezzanine, Senior-loans, Preferred-equity, Net-lease
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 10.94% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 14.00% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 24.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 94.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 44.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.83% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.13 |
| Alpha | -6.40 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.693 |
| Beta | 0.742 |
| Beta Downside | 0.984 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.31% |
| Mean DD | 14.77% |
| Median DD | 14.55% |
Description: BRSP Brightspire Capital December 01, 2025
BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (NYSE: BRSP) is a publicly traded real-estate investment trust that originates, acquires, and manages a diversified portfolio of commercial-real-estate (CRE) credit assets in the United States and Norway. Its investment platform spans senior and mezzanine loans, preferred equity, and net-leased properties, and it distributes at least 90 % of taxable income to maintain REIT tax status.
As of the most recent filing (Q2 2024), BrightSpire reported approximately $1.2 billion in assets under management, with senior loans representing roughly 70 % of the loan book and mezzanine/preferred equity the remaining 30 %. The weighted-average coupon on its debt portfolio sits near 5.8 %, while net-leased assets generate an average lease term of 12 years and an occupancy rate above 95 %. Key sector drivers include the U.S. office vacancy trend (currently ~17 % nationwide) and Norway’s relatively low commercial-property vacancy rates (~5 %), both influencing credit risk and pricing dynamics.
For a deeper, data-rich look at BrightSpire’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might find ValueRay’s analytics platform worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-36.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 19.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.50pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -79.08% (prev 765.7%; Δ -844.8pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 82.5m > Net Income -36.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (301.8m) to EBITDA (40.1m) ratio: 7.53 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (129.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.23% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.66% (prev 50.78%; Δ -0.12pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 9.15% (prev 9.63%; Δ -0.48pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.02 (EBITDA TTM 40.1m / Interest Expense TTM 77.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.23
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 156.8m - Total Current Liabilities 415.2m) / Total Assets 3.30b |
| (B) -0.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.89b / Total Assets 3.30b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 1.46m / Avg Total Assets 3.57b |
| (D) -0.81 = Book Value of Equity -1.89b / Total Liabilities 2.34b |
| Total Rating: -3.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.43
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.86% |
| 3. FCF Margin 25.25% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.43 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.53 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -8.04)% |
| 7. RoE -3.60% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -52.06% |
| 9. EPS Trend -73.28% |
What is the price of BRSP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.99%, over one month by +7.73%, over three months by +2.43% and over the past year by +3.23%.
Is BRSP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BRSP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.1 | 4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.1 | 4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.6 | 12.1% |
BRSP Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Forward = 8.2169
P/S = 2.2589
P/B = 0.764
Beta = 1.454
Revenue TTM = 326.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 1.46m USD
EBITDA TTM = 40.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 415.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 415.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 301.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.05b USD (747.5m + Debt 415.2m - CCE 113.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.02 (Ebit TTM 1.46m / Interest Expense TTM 77.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.86% (FCF TTM 82.5m / Enterprise Value 1.05b)
FCF Margin = 25.25% (FCF TTM 82.5m / Revenue TTM 326.8m)
Net Margin = -11.18% (Net Income TTM -36.5m / Revenue TTM 326.8m)
Gross Margin = 50.66% ((Revenue TTM 326.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 161.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.32% (prev 42.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.32 (Enterprise Value 1.05b / Total Assets 3.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.55% (Interest Expense 31.4m / Debt 415.2m)
Taxrate = 9.00% (-129.0k / -1.43m)
NOPAT = 1.33m (EBIT 1.46m * (1 - 9.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.38 (Total Current Assets 156.8m / Total Current Liabilities 415.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 415.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 976.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.53 (Net Debt 301.8m / EBITDA 40.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.66 (Net Debt 301.8m / FCF TTM 82.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.11% (Net Income -36.5m / Total Assets 3.30b)
RoE = -3.60% (Net Income TTM -36.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.01b)
RoCE = 0.05% (EBIT 1.46m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.01b + L.T.Debt 2.17b))
RoIC = 0.04% (NOPAT 1.33m / Invested Capital 3.33b)
WACC = 8.08% (E(747.5m)/V(1.16b) * Re(8.75%) + D(415.2m)/V(1.16b) * Rd(7.55%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 8.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.15% ; FCFE base≈95.5m ; Y1≈82.3m ; Y5≈64.7m
Fair Price DCF = 8.03 (DCF Value 1.04b / Shares Outstanding 129.7m; 5y FCF grow -16.93% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -73.28 | EPS CAGR: -13.02% | SUE: -0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -52.06 | Revenue CAGR: -10.13% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.71 | Chg30d=+0.013 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+11.5% | Growth Revenue=-3.2%
Additional Sources for BRSP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle