(BTU) Peabody Energy - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Thermal Coal | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.209m USD | Total Return: 115.8% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 85.9M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -94.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -1.8 is critical
Beneish M-Score -1.21 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Choppy
Tailwinds
Idiosyncratic Leader
Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) is a global coal producer operating a diversified portfolio of mines across the United States and Australia. The company’s primary business model involves the extraction and sale of both metallurgical coal, used in steel production, and thermal coal, which serves as a fuel source for electric utilities and industrial plants.
The firm operates through four distinct segments, including the Powder River Basin in Wyoming and seaborne operations that target international markets. In the coal sector, metallurgical coal pricing is often tied to global steel demand, while thermal coal remains a critical component of the baseload power generation mix in several developing economies.
As market dynamics and energy transition policies shift, investors may find it useful to examine Peabody’s long-term capital allocation strategy on ValueRay. Founded in 1883, the company maintains its headquarters in St. Louis, Missouri, and utilizes both surface and underground mining techniques to supply global energy and infrastructure markets.
- Global steel production demand dictates seaborne metallurgical coal pricing and margins
- Fluctuating natural gas prices impact domestic thermal coal demand for power generation
- Rising operational costs and labor shortages threaten Powder River Basin profit margins
- Australian export terminal capacity and logistics constraints limit seaborne sales volume
- Global transition toward renewable energy creates long-term structural decline for thermal coal
| Net Income: -119.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.74 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.99% < 20% (prev 23.03%; Δ -5.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 554.9m > Net Income -119.7m |
| Net Debt (31.5m) to EBITDA (333.2m): 0.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (122.0m) vs 12m ago -12.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 6.68% > 18% (prev 19.41%; Δ -12.73% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 67.82% > 50% (prev 72.45%; Δ -4.62% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.81 > 6 (EBIT TTM -77.8m / Interest Expense TTM 43.1m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 1.51b - Total Current Liabilities 809.9m) / Total Assets 5.71b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 1.31b / Total Assets 5.71b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -77.8m / Avg Total Assets 5.75b) |
| D: 1.61 (Book Value of Equity 3.50b / Total Liabilities 2.17b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.16 = A |
| DSRI: 1.20 (Receivables 309.5m/277.7m, Revenue 3.90b/4.19b) |
| GMI: 2.91 (GM 19.41% / 6.68%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 3.90b / 4.19b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI -119.7m - CFO 554.9m) / TA 5.71b) |
| Beneish M = -1.21 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of June 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.10 with a total of 3,828,641 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.88%,
over one month by +12.75%,
over three months by -15.30% and
over the past year by +115.77%.
Peabody Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BTU.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 34.4 | 22.5% |
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 0.8233
P/B = 0.9028
Revenue TTM = 3.90b USD
EBIT TTM = -77.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 333.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 320.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 524.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 94.4m
Net Debt = 31.5m USD (calculated: Debt 524.0m - CCE 492.5m)
Enterprise Value = 3.24b USD (3.21b + Debt 524.0m - CCE 492.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.81 (Ebit TTM -77.8m / Interest Expense TTM 43.1m)
EV/FCF = 27.01x (Enterprise Value 3.24b / FCF TTM 120.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.70% (FCF TTM 120.0m / Enterprise Value 3.24b)
FCF Margin = 3.08% (FCF TTM 120.0m / Revenue TTM 3.90b)
Net Margin = -3.07% (Net Income TTM -119.7m / Revenue TTM 3.90b)
Gross Margin = 6.68% ((Revenue TTM 3.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.16% (prev 4.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 3.24b / Total Assets 5.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.23% (Interest Expense 43.1m / Debt 524.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -61.5m (EBIT -77.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 1.51b / Total Current Liabilities 809.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.15 (Debt 524.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.09 (Net Debt 31.5m / EBITDA 333.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.26 (Net Debt 31.5m / FCF TTM 120.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.08% (Net Income -119.7m / Total Assets 5.71b)
RoE = -3.37% (Net Income TTM -119.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.55b)
RoCE = -2.01% (EBIT -77.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.55b + L.T.Debt 320.9m))
RoIC = -1.30% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -61.5m / Invested Capital 4.72b)
WACC = 8.26% (E(3.21b)/V(3.73b) * Re(8.55%) + D(524.0m)/V(3.73b) * Rd(8.23%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -8.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈137.6m ; Y1≈120.7m ; Y5≈97.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 12.59 (EV 1.57b - Net Debt 31.5m = Equity 1.53b / Shares 121.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.78 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.76 | Revenue CAGR: -12.08% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.25 | Chg30d=-131.65% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=-19.43% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=-59.02% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+14.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.65 | Chg30d=-12.75% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+225.9% | GrowthRev=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%