BUR Stock Analysis: Burford Capital | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 898m USD | 12M Return: -68.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.84M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Burford Capital Limited is a Guernsey-based provider of legal finance products and services operating across two main segments. The Principal Finance segment supplies capital tied to the underlying value of high-value litigation and arbitration matters-either to law firms taking cases on contingent or alternative fee arrangements or directly to clients-and also offers legal risk management and adverse legal cost insurance. The Asset Management and Other Services segment manages legal finance assets on behalf of third-party investors and provides ancillary services to the legal industry. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey, trading on the NYSE under the ticker BUR.
Legal finance (also referred to as litigation funding or third-party litigation finance) is a specialized sub-sector of financial services in which investors fund legal claims in exchange for a share of any recovery; it is typically used in high-value commercial disputes, arbitration, and class actions, where the upfront cost and risk of litigation often exceed a law firms or clients appetite to bear alone.
- Principal Finance segment returns hinge on case settlements and judgments
- Asset Management fee income scales with third-party capital commitments
- Litigation finance regulation tightens across UK and US jurisdictions
| Net Income: -1.60b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.85 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 127.7% < 20% (prev 110.2%; Δ 17.44% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -377.5m > Net Income -1.60b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (219.1m) vs 12m ago -1.81% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 57.02% > 18% (prev 73.52%; Δ -16.51% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 6.50% > 50% (prev 8.02%; Δ -1.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -8.84 > 6 (EBIT TTM -1.43b / Interest Expense TTM 162.2m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 655.9m - Total Current Liabilities 222.0m) / Total Assets 4.27b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 168.8m / Total Assets 4.27b) |
| C: -0.27 (EBIT TTM -1.43b / Avg Total Assets 5.23b) |
| D: 0.30 (Book Value of Equity 827.9m / Total Liabilities 2.76b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.73 = B |
As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.30 with a total of 1,866,924 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.59%, over one month by -2.93%, over three months by -4.01% and over the past year by -68.89%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.90 (which is 9.3% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Burford Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BUR.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.7 | 101.6% |
P/E Forward = 9.6805
P/S = 2.939
P/B = 1.0849
Revenue TTM = 339.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.43b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.43b USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 222.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 1.45b USD (calculated: Debt 2.15b - CCE 702.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.35b USD (898.2m + Debt 2.15b - CCE 702.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8.84 (Ebit TTM -1.43b / Interest Expense TTM 162.2m)
EV/FCF = -6.22x (Enterprise Value 2.35b / FCF TTM -377.8m)
FCF Yield = -16.07% (FCF TTM -377.8m / Enterprise Value 2.35b)
FCF Margin = -111.2% (FCF TTM -377.8m / Revenue TTM 339.9m)
Net Margin = -470.9% (Net Income TTM -1.60b / Revenue TTM 339.9m)
Gross Margin = 57.02% ((Revenue TTM 339.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 146.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 2.35b / Total Assets 4.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.53% (Interest Expense 162.2m / Debt 2.15b)
Taxrate = 14.09% (11.8m / 84.0m)
NOPAT = -1.23b (EBIT -1.43b * (1 - 14.09%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.95 (Total Current Assets 655.9m / Total Current Liabilities 222.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.60 (Debt 2.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 827.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.01 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.45b / EBITDA -1.43b)
Debt / FCF = -3.84 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.45b / FCF TTM -377.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -30.63% (Net Income -1.60b / Total Assets 4.27b)
RoE = -77.35% (Net Income TTM -1.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.07b)
RoCE = -35.42% (EBIT -1.43b / Capital Employed (Total Assets 4.27b - Current Liab 222.0m))
RoIC = -28.96% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.23b / Invested Capital 4.25b)
WACC = 7.45% (E(898.2m)/V(3.05b) * Re(9.81%) + D(2.15b)/V(3.05b) * Rd(7.53%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 9.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -42.22 | Cagr: -1.00%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -377.8m)
EPS Correlation: -47.96 | EPS CAGR: -28.00% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -97.05 | Revenue CAGR: -43.88% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=+3.45% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+10.99% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-5.88 | Chg30d=-272.07% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-2200.7% | GrowthRev=-424.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.72 | Chg30d=-27.62% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+112.3% | GrowthRev=+138.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=0, down=6)