BUR Stock Analysis: Burford Capital | NYSE
Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 780m USD | 12M Return: -68% | GG00BMGYLN96 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.47M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Burford Capital Limited is a global provider of legal finance products and services, operating through two main segments: Principal Finance and Asset Management and Other Services. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker BUR.
The Principal Finance segment supplies capital tied to high-value litigation and arbitration matters, funding cases at any stage from pre-filing through post-judgment. This funding is provided to law firms handling cases on contingent or alternative fee arrangements, as well as directly to clients. The segment also offers legal risk management and adverse legal cost insurance services.
The Asset Management and Other Services segment manages legal finance assets for third-party investors and provides ancillary services to the legal industry. Together, these operations make Burford the largest dedicated provider in the litigation finance sector, an alternative asset class that supplies non-recourse capital to commercial litigants and law firms in exchange for a share of settlement or judgment proceeds. Common applications include commercial disputes, antitrust cases, and bankruptcy recoveries.
- Principal Finance case realizations swing quarterly cash income
- Asset Management AUM expands with new third-party fund launches
- Legal finance commitment pace signals portfolio pipeline growth
| Net Income: -3.32b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.09 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 178.0% < 20% (prev 84.25%; Δ 93.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -378.0m > Net Income -3.32b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 5.25 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (225.1m) vs 12m ago 0.49% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 57.02% > 18% (prev 75.28%; Δ -18.26% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 6.41% > 50% (prev 8.36%; Δ -1.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -17.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM -3.15b / Interest Expense TTM 176.3m) |
| A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 747.3m - Total Current Liabilities 142.2m) / Total Assets 4.27b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 157.2m / Total Assets 4.27b) |
| C: -0.59 (EBIT TTM -3.15b / Avg Total Assets 5.30b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 819.1m / Total Liabilities 2.80b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.64 = D |
| DSRI: 1.49 (Receivables 113.1m/118.5m, Revenue 339.9m/528.7m) |
| GMI: 1.32 (GM 75.28% / 57.02%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.82 / AQ_t-1 0.92) |
| SGI: 0.64 (Revenue 339.9m / 528.7m) |
| TATA: -0.69 (NI -3.32b - CFO -378.0m) / TA 4.27b) |
| Beneish M = -2.73 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.62 with a total of 1,915,837 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.18%, over one month by -18.28%, over three months by -16.78% and over the past year by -68.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.30 (which is 8.8% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Burford Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BUR.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.7 | 140.9% |
P/E Forward = 9.6805
P/S = 5.9572
P/B = 1.0214
Revenue TTM = 339.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -3.15b USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.15b USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 222.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.42b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.67b USD (calculated: Debt 2.42b - CCE 747.3m)
Enterprise Value = 2.45b USD (779.6m + Debt 2.42b - CCE 747.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -17.88 (Ebit TTM -3.15b / Interest Expense TTM 176.3m)
EV/FCF = -6.47x (Enterprise Value 2.45b / FCF TTM -378.2m)
FCF Yield = -15.45% (FCF TTM -378.2m / Enterprise Value 2.45b)
FCF Margin = -111.3% (FCF TTM -378.2m / Revenue TTM 339.9m)
Net Margin = -976.5% (Net Income TTM -3.32b / Revenue TTM 339.9m)
Gross Margin = 57.02% ((Revenue TTM 339.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 146.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 2.45b / Total Assets 4.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.30% (Interest Expense 176.3m / Debt 2.42b)
Taxrate = 14.09% (11.8m / 84.0m)
NOPAT = -2.71b (EBIT -3.15b * (1 - 14.09%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.25 (Total Current Assets 747.3m / Total Current Liabilities 142.2m)
Debt / Equity = 2.95 (Debt 2.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 819.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.53 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.67b / EBITDA -3.15b)
Debt / FCF = -4.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.67b / FCF TTM -378.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -62.62% (Net Income -3.32b / Total Assets 4.27b)
RoE = -201.4% (Net Income TTM -3.32b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = -76.30% (EBIT -3.15b / Capital Employed (Total Assets 4.27b - Current Liab 142.2m))
RoIC = -62.45% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.71b / Invested Capital 4.33b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(779.6m)/V(3.19b) * Re(9.13%) + D(2.42b)/V(3.19b) * Rd(7.30%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 9.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -7.03 | Cagr: 1.24%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -378.2m)
EPS Correlation: -61.99 | EPS CAGR: -38.03% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -97.05 | Revenue CAGR: -43.88% | SUE: -2.63 | # QB: -3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.09 | Chg30d=-57.50% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-6.59 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-2453.4% | GrowthRev=-426.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-1.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+108.1% | GrowthRev=+137.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=2, down=1)