Overview Dividends

(BURL) Burlington Stores - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US1220171060

Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Home, Toys

BURL EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of BURL over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-10": 0.29, "2021-01": 2.44, "2021-04": 2.59, "2021-07": 1.94, "2021-10": 1.36, "2022-01": 2.53, "2022-04": 0.54, "2022-07": 0.35, "2022-10": 0.43, "2023-01": 2.96, "2023-04": 0.84, "2023-07": 0.6, "2023-10": 0.98, "2024-01": 3.66, "2024-04": 1.35, "2024-07": 1.2, "2024-10": 1.55, "2025-01": 4.07, "2025-04": 1.2, "2025-07": 1.59,
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 60.89%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 39.7%

BURL Revenue

Revenue of BURL over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-10: 1665.955, 2021-01: 2277.434, 2021-04: 2192.021, 2021-07: 2214.557, 2021-10: 2302.655, 2022-01: 2603.494, 2022-04: 1928.144, 2022-07: 1986.801, 2022-10: 2039.18, 2023-01: 2739.034, 2023-04: 2135.558, 2023-07: 2173.365, 2023-10: 2287.963, 2024-01: 3121.265, 2024-04: 2360.174, 2024-07: 2464.183, 2024-10: 2529.435, 2025-01: 3271.99, 2025-04: 2502.716, 2025-07: 2703.974,
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 10.81%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 51.7%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 37.6%
Value at Risk 5%th 57.0%
Reward
Sharpe Ratio 0.36
Alpha Jensen -15.61
Character
Hurst Exponent 0.461
Beta 1.787
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 50.33%
Mean DD 14.97%

Description: BURL Burlington Stores October 30, 2025

Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) is a U.S. off-price retailer that sells a broad assortment of branded apparel, accessories, home goods and seasonal items across more than 800 locations in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company operates under the Burlington Stores and Cohoes Fashions banners, targeting value-oriented consumers with a fashion-focused merchandise mix.

Key operating metrics that investors watch include same-store sales growth, which accelerated to 5.2% YoY in Q2 2024, and inventory turnover, currently around 3.8×-both indicating efficient stock management amid a competitive off-price landscape. The business is sensitive to discretionary spending trends; a 1 ppt rise in the U.S. consumer confidence index historically lifts BURL’s comparable sales by roughly 0.6 ppt, while higher inflation can compress margins as rent and labor costs rise faster than price elasticity allows.

For a deeper dive into BURL’s valuation assumptions, cash-flow projections, and scenario analysis, consider exploring the detailed analyst toolkit on ValueRay, where you can benchmark the stock against peer fundamentals and macro-driven stress tests.

BURL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 17,702m
Sub-Industry Apparel Retail
IPO / Inception 2013-10-02
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -5.99%
Analyst Rating 4.62 of 5

BURL Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

BURL Growth Ratios

CAGR 24.53%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.49
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 1.64
Current Volume 826.9k
Average Volume 826.9k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (546.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 660.5m TTM)
FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.05pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 4.36% (prev 0.77%; Δ 3.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 804.1m > Net Income 546.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (5.09b) to EBITDA (1.11b) ratio: 4.57 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (63.9m) change vs 12m ago -0.68% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 43.58% (prev 43.08%; Δ 0.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 128.5% (prev 130.8%; Δ -2.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 11.13 (EBITDA TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.76

(A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 2.57b - Total Current Liabilities 2.09b) / Total Assets 9.31b
(B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.68b / Total Assets 9.31b
(C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 773.6m / Avg Total Assets 8.57b
(D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 1.70b / Total Liabilities 7.86b
Total Rating: 1.76 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.79

1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50
2. FCF Yield 1.35% = 0.68
3. FCF Margin 2.80% = 0.70
4. Debt/Equity 4.04 = -2.05
5. Debt/Ebitda 4.57 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.88)% = 11.10
7. RoE 41.11% = 2.50
8. Rev. Trend 51.73% = 3.88
9. EPS Trend 39.74% = 1.99

What is the price of BURL shares?

As of November 13, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 287.04 with a total of 826,853 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.49%, over one month by +3.91%, over three months by +3.08% and over the past year by +8.94%.

Is Burlington Stores a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Burlington Stores is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 64.79 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of BURL is around 251.09 USD . This means that BURL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.52%.

Is BURL a buy, sell or hold?

Burlington Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.62. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BURL.
  • Strong Buy: 14
  • Buy: 6
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BURL price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 348.5 21.4%
Analysts Target Price 348.5 21.4%
ValueRay Target Price 282.6 -1.6%

BURL Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 17.70b (17.70b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 33.1167
P/E Forward = 21.7391
P/S = 1.6081
P/B = 11.1425
P/EG = 2.9852
Beta = 1.787
Revenue TTM = 11.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 773.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.11b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 412.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.79b USD (17.70b + Debt 5.84b - CCE 747.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.13 (Ebit TTM 773.6m / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m)
FCF Yield = 1.35% (FCF TTM 308.1m / Enterprise Value 22.79b)
FCF Margin = 2.80% (FCF TTM 308.1m / Revenue TTM 11.01b)
Net Margin = 4.96% (Net Income TTM 546.4m / Revenue TTM 11.01b)
Gross Margin = 43.58% ((Revenue TTM 11.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.80% (prev 43.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.45 (Enterprise Value 22.79b / Total Assets 9.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.30% (Interest Expense 17.4m / Debt 5.84b)
Taxrate = 26.03% (33.1m / 127.3m)
NOPAT = 572.2m (EBIT 773.6m * (1 - 26.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 2.57b / Total Current Liabilities 2.09b)
Debt / Equity = 4.04 (Debt 5.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.57 (Net Debt 5.09b / EBITDA 1.11b)
Debt / FCF = 16.52 (Net Debt 5.09b / FCF TTM 308.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.33b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.87% (Net Income 546.4m / Total Assets 9.31b)
RoE = 41.11% (Net Income TTM 546.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.33b)
RoCE = 23.10% (EBIT 773.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.33b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 18.41% (NOPAT 572.2m / Invested Capital 3.11b)
WACC = 9.53% (E(17.70b)/V(23.54b) * Re(12.60%) + D(5.84b)/V(23.54b) * Rd(0.30%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 12.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.51% ; FCFE base≈321.2m ; Y1≈307.7m ; Y5≈299.6m
Fair Price DCF = 45.06 (DCF Value 2.84b / Shares Outstanding 63.0m; 5y FCF grow -5.58% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.74 | EPS CAGR: 60.89% | SUE: 1.48 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 51.73 | Revenue CAGR: 10.81% | SUE: 2.56 | # QB: 1

Additional Sources for BURL Stock

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