BURL Stock Analysis: Burlington Stores | NYSE
Apparel Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 16.499m USD | 12M Return: -3.2% | US1220171060 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 360M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is a U.S.-based off-price retailer offering a broad assortment of branded and fashion-focused merchandise, including apparel for women, men, and youth, as well as footwear, accessories, home goods, toys, gifts, and beauty products. The company operates stores under the Burlington and Cohoes Fashions banners across the United States, Washington D.C., and Puerto Rico. Founded in 1972 and headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey, the company has been publicly traded since its 2013 IPO.
Burlington operates within the off-price retail segment of the Apparel Retail sub-industry, a business model centered on buying excess inventory and canceled orders from manufacturers at deep discounts and reselling it at lower prices than traditional department stores. Major competitors in this space include TJX Companies (parent of T.J. Maxx and Marshalls) and Ross Stores, both of which use similar treasure-hunt merchandising strategies that drive frequent customer visits and high inventory turnover.
- Comparable store sales growth drives quarterly revenue beats
- Gross margin pressure from tariffs and freight costs
- Aggressive store expansion fuels long-term revenue growth
| Net Income: 714.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.11% < 20% (prev 4.36%; Δ -1.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.42b > Net Income 714.2m |
| Net Debt (9.19b) to EBITDA (1.46b): 6.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (63.9m) vs 12m ago 0.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.58% > 18% (prev 43.62%; Δ 0.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 126.2% > 50% (prev 118.3%; Δ 7.91% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.96 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.01b / Interest Expense TTM 78.3m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.59b - Total Current Liabilities 2.21b) / Total Assets 10.0b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 2.40b / Total Assets 10.0b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.01b / Avg Total Assets 9.68b) |
| D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 8.04b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.99 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 128.1m/111.2m, Revenue 12.2b/11.0b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 43.62% / 44.58%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 12.2b / 11.0b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 714.2m - CFO 1.42b) / TA 10.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 258.86 with a total of 942,749 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.69%, over one month by +2.80%, over three months by -26.49% and over the past year by -3.15%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 246.80 (which is 4.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Burlington Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.21. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BURL.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 365.4 | 41.1% |
P/E Trailing = 23.5993
P/E Forward = 21.5054
P/S = 1.3514
P/B = 8.073
P/EG = 2.9852
Revenue TTM = 12.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.01b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.46b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.89b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 468.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.90b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.99b
Net Debt = 9.19b USD (calculated: Debt 9.90b - CCE 703.7m)
Enterprise Value = 25.7b USD (16.5b + Debt 9.90b - CCE 703.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.96 (Ebit TTM 1.01b / Interest Expense TTM 78.3m)
EV/FCF = 70.28x (Enterprise Value 25.7b / FCF TTM 365.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.42% (FCF TTM 365.6m / Enterprise Value 25.7b)
FCF Margin = 2.99% (FCF TTM 365.6m / Revenue TTM 12.2b)
Net Margin = 5.85% (Net Income TTM 714.2m / Revenue TTM 12.2b)
Gross Margin = 44.58% ((Revenue TTM 12.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.24% (prev 44.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.56 (Enterprise Value 25.7b / Total Assets 10.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.79% (Interest Expense 78.3m / Debt 9.90b)
Taxrate = 24.08% (226.5m / 940.7m)
NOPAT = 770.3m (EBIT 1.01b * (1 - 24.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 2.59b / Total Current Liabilities 2.21b)
Debt / Equity = 4.94 (Debt 9.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.28 (Net Debt 9.19b / EBITDA 1.46b)
Debt / FCF = 25.15 (Net Debt 9.19b / FCF TTM 365.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.38% (Net Income 714.2m / Total Assets 10.0b)
RoE = 39.82% (Net Income TTM 714.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.79b)
RoCE = 27.52% (EBIT 1.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.79b + L.T.Debt 1.89b))
RoIC = 10.01% (NOPAT 770.3m / Invested Capital 7.69b)
WACC = 5.00% (E(16.5b)/V(26.4b) * Re(7.64%) + D(9.90b)/V(26.4b) * Rd(0.79%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -57.02 | Cagr: -0.26%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈365.6m ; Y1≈367.1m ; Y5≈388.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 6.05b - Net Debt 9.19b = -3.15b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 97.41 | EPS CAGR: 26.07% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.46 | Revenue CAGR: 9.42% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=-14.65% | Revisions=-84% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.80 | Chg30d=+0.07% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=13.68 | Chg30d=+0.52% | Revisions=-5% | GrowthEPS=+15.9% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -31% (up=17, down=34)