(BURL) Burlington Stores - NYSE

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Apparel Retail | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 21.208m USD | Total Return: 52.7% in 12m

Apparel, Footwear, Home Furnishings, Accessories, Toys
Total Rating 67
Safety 80
Buy Signal 0.55
Apparel Retail
Industry Rotation: +12.1
Market Cap: 21.2B
Avg Turnover: 293M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.97%
VaR vs Median0.50%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.17
Rel. Str. IBD70.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group65.9
Character TTM
Beta0.735
Beta Downside0.605
Hurst Exponent0.418
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD35.38%
CAGR/Max DD0.84
CAGR/Mean DD3.28
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BURL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-04": 2.59, "2021-07": 1.94, "2021-10": 1.36, "2022-01": 2.53, "2022-04": 0.54, "2022-07": 0.35, "2022-10": 0.43, "2023-01": 2.96, "2023-04": 0.84, "2023-07": 0.6, "2023-10": 0.98, "2024-01": 3.66, "2024-04": 1.35, "2024-07": 1.2, "2024-10": 1.55, "2025-01": 4.07, "2025-04": 1.2, "2025-07": 1.59, "2025-10": 1.68, "2026-01": 4.89, "2026-04": 2.01,
EPS CAGR: 27.11%
EPS Trend: 96.9%
Last SUE: 1.26
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of BURL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-04: 2193.296, 2021-07: 2215.911, 2021-10: 2304.041, 2022-01: 2609.008, 2022-04: 1929.692, 2022-07: 1987.941, 2022-10: 2040.687, 2023-01: 2744.283, 2023-04: 2136.956, 2023-07: 2174.807, 2023-10: 2289.346, 2024-01: 3126.358, 2024-04: 2361.553, 2024-07: 2465.517, 2024-10: 2530.696, 2025-01: 3277.057, 2025-04: 2504.02, 2025-07: 2705.071, 2025-10: 2710.44, 2026-01: 3647.379, 2026-04: 2856.461,
Rev. CAGR: 9.60%
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Last SUE: 1.33
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: BURL Burlington Stores

Burlington Stores, Inc. is a nationally recognized off-price retailer headquartered in New Jersey, operating a network of stores across the United States and Puerto Rico. The company utilizes a flexible, opportunistic buying model to source branded apparel, footwear, home goods, and beauty products, typically offering them at significant discounts compared to traditional department stores. Unlike specialty retailers, off-price models thrive on high inventory turnover and a treasure hunt shopping experience that encourages frequent consumer visits.

The company maintains a diverse product mix ranging from menswear and youth apparel to home furnishings and baby products under the Burlington Stores and Cohoes Fashions brands. This sector generally benefits from fragmented supply chains, allowing retailers to acquire excess inventory from vendors at lower costs. Investors looking to analyze these inventory cycles and margin trends can find deeper fundamental data on ValueRay. Founded in 1972, the firm remains a major competitor in the apparel retail sub-industry by focusing on value-conscious consumer segments.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • New store openings and relocation strategy drive long-term revenue growth targets
  • Comparable store sales performance reflects shifts in middle-class discretionary spending power
  • Improved inventory turnover and merchandise buying efficiency expand operating margins
  • Freight costs and supply chain logistics expenses impact overall bottom-line profitability
  • Off-price sector competition intensifies as department stores increase promotional discounting activities
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 624.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.15 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 2.96% < 20% (prev 1.07%; Δ 1.89% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.32b > Net Income 624.1m
Net Debt (9.08b) to EBITDA (1.33b): 6.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.1m) vs 12m ago 0.22% < -2%
Gross Margin: 43.98% > 18% (prev 43.40%; Δ 0.58% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 130.1% > 50% (prev 126.1%; Δ 4.02% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM 897.6m / Interest Expense TTM 76.1m)
Altman Z'' 1.88
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.51b - Total Current Liabilities 2.15b) / Total Assets 9.78b
B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 2.21b / Total Assets 9.78b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 897.6m / Avg Total Assets 9.16b)
D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 1.84b / Total Liabilities 7.94b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.88 = BBB
Beneish M -3.06
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 114.0m/106.7m, Revenue 11.9b/10.8b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 43.40% / 43.98%)
AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 11.9b / 10.8b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 624.1m - CFO 1.32b) / TA 9.78b)
Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BURL shares?

As of June 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 340.27 with a total of 395,661 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.54%, over one month by +4.86%, over three months by +6.80% and over the past year by +52.69%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 316.40 (which is 7% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is BURL a buy, sell or hold?

Burlington Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BURL.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BURL price?
Analysts Target Price 367.1 7.9%
Burlington Stores (BURL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 21.2b (21.2b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 34.7371
P/E Forward = 27.6243
P/S = 1.7805
P/B = 11.5478
P/EG = 2.9852
Revenue TTM = 11.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 897.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.90b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 457.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.95b
Net Debt = 9.08b USD (calculated: Debt 9.83b - CCE 747.4m)
Enterprise Value = 30.3b USD (21.2b + Debt 9.83b - CCE 747.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.80 (Ebit TTM 897.6m / Interest Expense TTM 76.1m)
EV/FCF = 69.35x (Enterprise Value 30.3b / FCF TTM 436.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.44% (FCF TTM 436.7m / Enterprise Value 30.3b)
FCF Margin = 3.66% (FCF TTM 436.7m / Revenue TTM 11.9b)
Net Margin = 5.24% (Net Income TTM 624.1m / Revenue TTM 11.9b)
Gross Margin = 43.98% ((Revenue TTM 11.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.17% (prev 43.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.10 (Enterprise Value 30.3b / Total Assets 9.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 76.1m / Debt 9.83b)
Taxrate = 24.44% (201.9m / 825.9m)
NOPAT = 678.3m (EBIT 897.6m * (1 - 24.44%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 2.51b / Total Current Liabilities 2.15b)
Debt / Equity = 5.35 (Debt 9.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.83 (Net Debt 9.08b / EBITDA 1.33b)
Debt / FCF = 20.79 (Net Debt 9.08b / FCF TTM 436.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.81% (Net Income 624.1m / Total Assets 9.78b)
RoE = 37.72% (Net Income TTM 624.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 25.27% (EBIT 897.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 1.90b))
RoIC = 9.06% (NOPAT 678.3m / Invested Capital 7.49b)
WACC = 6.04% (E(21.2b)/V(31.0b) * Re(8.57%) + D(9.83b)/V(31.0b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -24.44 | Cagr: -0.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈375.5m ; Y1≈430.5m ; Y5≈633.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.25 (EV 9.53b - Net Debt 9.08b = Equity 456.1m / Shares 62.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.86 | EPS CAGR: 27.11% | SUE: 1.26 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.33 | Revenue CAGR: 9.60% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+12.34% | Revisions=+79% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=-2.78% | Revisions=-44% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.80 | Chg30d=+3.00% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=13.79 | Chg30d=+2.21% | Revisions=+76% | GrowthEPS=+16.9% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +80%