Overview Dividends

(BURL) Burlington Stores - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US1220171060

Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Home, Toys

BURL EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 60.89%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 39.7%

BURL Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 10.81%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 51.7%

Description: BURL Burlington Stores October 30, 2025

Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) is a U.S. off-price retailer that sells a broad assortment of branded apparel, accessories, home goods and seasonal items across more than 800 locations in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company operates under the Burlington Stores and Cohoes Fashions banners, targeting value-oriented consumers with a fashion-focused merchandise mix.

Key operating metrics that investors watch include same-store sales growth, which accelerated to 5.2% YoY in Q2 2024, and inventory turnover, currently around 3.8×-both indicating efficient stock management amid a competitive off-price landscape. The business is sensitive to discretionary spending trends; a 1 ppt rise in the U.S. consumer confidence index historically lifts BURL’s comparable sales by roughly 0.6 ppt, while higher inflation can compress margins as rent and labor costs rise faster than price elasticity allows.

For a deeper dive into BURL’s valuation assumptions, cash-flow projections, and scenario analysis, consider exploring the detailed analyst toolkit on ValueRay, where you can benchmark the stock against peer fundamentals and macro-driven stress tests.

BURL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	16,948m
Sub-Industry	Apparel Retail
IPO / Inception	2013-10-02

BURL Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	36.5%
Fundamental	65.1%
Dividend Rating	-
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-9.19%
Analyst Rating	4.62 of 5

BURL Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

BURL Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-42.9%
Growth Correlation 12m	-8.5%
Growth Correlation 5y	-7.8%
CAGR 5y	26.99%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.54
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	1.81
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.22
Alpha	-19.78
Beta	1.741
Volatility	35.20%
Current Volume	1118.5k
Average Volume 20d	859.6k
Stop Loss	262.1 (-3.7%)
Signal	0.75

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (546.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 660.5m TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.05pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 4.36% (prev 0.77%; Δ 3.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 804.1m > Net Income 546.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (5.09b) to EBITDA (1.11b) ratio: 4.57 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (63.9m) change vs 12m ago -0.68% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 43.58% (prev 43.08%; Δ 0.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 128.5% (prev 130.8%; Δ -2.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 11.13 (EBITDA TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.76

(A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 2.57b - Total Current Liabilities 2.09b) / Total Assets 9.31b

(B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.68b / Total Assets 9.31b

(D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 1.70b / Total Liabilities 7.86b

Total Rating: 1.76 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.10

1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50

2. FCF Yield 1.40% = 0.70

3. FCF Margin 2.80% = 0.70

4. Debt/Equity 4.04 = -2.05

5. Debt/Ebitda 4.57 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.11)% = 11.39

7. RoE 41.11% = 2.50

8. Rev. Trend 51.73% = 3.88

9. EPS Trend 39.74% = 1.99

What is the price of BURL shares?

As of November 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 272.09 with a total of 1,118,526 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.42%, over one month by +3.70%, over three months by -2.71% and over the past year by +7.99%.

Is Burlington Stores a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Burlington Stores (NYSE:BURL) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 65.10 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of BURL is around 237.90 USD . This means that BURL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.57%.

Is BURL a buy, sell or hold?

Burlington Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.62. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BURL.

Strong Buy: 14
Buy: 6
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BURL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	349.9	28.6%
Analysts Target Price	349.9	28.6%
ValueRay Target Price	267.2	-1.8%

BURL Fundamental Data Overview October 27, 2025

Market Cap USD = 16.95b (16.95b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 31.7426
P/E Forward = 21.7391
P/S = 1.5396
P/B = 11.1425
P/EG = 2.9852
Beta = 1.741
Revenue TTM = 11.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 773.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.11b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 412.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.04b USD (16.95b + Debt 5.84b - CCE 747.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.13 (Ebit TTM 773.6m / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m)
FCF Yield = 1.40% (FCF TTM 308.1m / Enterprise Value 22.04b)
FCF Margin = 2.80% (FCF TTM 308.1m / Revenue TTM 11.01b)
Net Margin = 4.96% (Net Income TTM 546.4m / Revenue TTM 11.01b)
Gross Margin = 43.58% ((Revenue TTM 11.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.80% (prev 43.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.37 (Enterprise Value 22.04b / Total Assets 9.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.30% (Interest Expense 17.4m / Debt 5.84b)
Taxrate = 26.03% (33.1m / 127.3m)
NOPAT = 572.2m (EBIT 773.6m * (1 - 26.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 2.57b / Total Current Liabilities 2.09b)
Debt / Equity = 4.04 (Debt 5.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.57 (Net Debt 5.09b / EBITDA 1.11b)
Debt / FCF = 16.52 (Net Debt 5.09b / FCF TTM 308.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.33b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.87% (Net Income 546.4m / Total Assets 9.31b)
RoE = 41.11% (Net Income TTM 546.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.33b)
RoCE = 23.10% (EBIT 773.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.33b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 18.41% (NOPAT 572.2m / Invested Capital 3.11b)
WACC = 9.30% (E(16.95b)/V(22.79b) * Re(12.43%) + D(5.84b)/V(22.79b) * Rd(0.30%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 12.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.01% ; FCFE base≈321.2m ; Y1≈307.7m ; Y5≈299.6m
Fair Price DCF = 45.86 (DCF Value 2.89b / Shares Outstanding 63.0m; 5y FCF grow -5.58% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 39.74 | EPS CAGR: 60.89% | SUE: 1.48 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 51.73 | Revenue CAGR: 10.81% | SUE: 2.56 | # QB: 1

Additional Sources for BURL Stock

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