BURL Stock Analysis: Burlington Stores | NYSE
Apparel Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 14.895m USD | 12M Return: -0.7% | US1220171060 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 469M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is an American off-price retailer headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey. Founded in 1972 and publicly listed since 2013, the company sells a broad range of branded fashion-focused merchandise-including womens, mens, and youth apparel, footwear, accessories, home goods, toys, gifts, coats, and baby and beauty products-through its stores operating under the Burlington and Cohoes Fashions banners in the U.S. and Puerto Rico.
As an off-price retailer in the Consumer Discretionary sectors Apparel Retail sub-industry, Burlington competes primarily with TJX Companies and Ross Stores, sourcing merchandise through opportunistic buying from manufacturers and brand owners to offer branded goods at discounted prices compared to traditional department stores. The companys business model relies heavily on inventory turnover and treasure-hunt merchandising, where limited quantities of deeply discounted items encourage frequent customer visits.
- Comparable store sales growth accelerates through holiday season
- New store openings drive double-digit revenue expansion
- Lower-income consumer discretionary spending pressure intensifies
- Buying margin expansion offsets freight cost headwinds
- Competition from TJX and Ross intensifies in off-price retail
| Net Income: 714.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.11% < 20% (prev 4.36%; Δ -1.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.42b > Net Income 714.2m |
| Net Debt (9.19b) to EBITDA (1.46b): 6.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (63.9m) vs 12m ago 0.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.58% > 18% (prev 43.62%; Δ 0.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 126.2% > 50% (prev 118.3%; Δ 7.91% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.96 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.01b / Interest Expense TTM 78.3m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.59b - Total Current Liabilities 2.21b) / Total Assets 10.0b |
| B: 0.24 (Retained Earnings 2.40b / Total Assets 10.0b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 1.01b / Avg Total Assets 9.68b) |
| D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 8.04b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.99 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 128.1m/111.2m, Revenue 12.2b/11.0b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 43.62% / 44.58%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 12.2b / 11.0b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 714.2m - CFO 1.42b) / TA 10.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 256.85 with a total of 2,005,126 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.01%, over one month by -22.32%, over three months by -24.52% and over the past year by -0.66%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 243.30 (which is 5.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Burlington Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BURL.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 364.8 | 42% |
P/E Trailing = 21.4977
P/E Forward = 20.0401
P/S = 1.22
P/B = 7.5149
P/EG = 2.9852
Revenue TTM = 12.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.01b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.46b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.89b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 468.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.90b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.99b
Net Debt = 9.19b USD (calculated: Debt 9.90b - CCE 703.7m)
Enterprise Value = 24.1b USD (14.9b + Debt 9.90b - CCE 703.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.96 (Ebit TTM 1.01b / Interest Expense TTM 78.3m)
EV/FCF = 23.82x (Enterprise Value 24.1b / FCF TTM 1.01b)
FCF Yield = 4.20% (FCF TTM 1.01b / Enterprise Value 24.1b)
FCF Margin = 8.28% (FCF TTM 1.01b / Revenue TTM 12.2b)
Net Margin = 5.85% (Net Income TTM 714.2m / Revenue TTM 12.2b)
Gross Margin = 44.58% ((Revenue TTM 12.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.24% (prev 44.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.40 (Enterprise Value 24.1b / Total Assets 10.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.79% (Interest Expense 78.3m / Debt 9.90b)
Taxrate = 24.08% (226.5m / 940.7m)
NOPAT = 770.3m (EBIT 1.01b * (1 - 24.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 2.59b / Total Current Liabilities 2.21b)
Debt / Equity = 4.94 (Debt 9.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.28 (Net Debt 9.19b / EBITDA 1.46b)
Debt / FCF = 9.09 (Net Debt 9.19b / FCF TTM 1.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.38% (Net Income 714.2m / Total Assets 10.0b)
RoE = 39.82% (Net Income TTM 714.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.79b)
RoCE = 27.52% (EBIT 1.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.79b + L.T.Debt 1.89b))
RoIC = 10.01% (NOPAT 770.3m / Invested Capital 7.69b)
WACC = 5.12% (E(14.9b)/V(24.8b) * Re(8.12%) + D(9.90b)/V(24.8b) * Rd(0.79%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -57.02 | Cagr: -0.26%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈730.0m ; Y1≈836.8m ; Y5≈1.23b
[DCF] Fair Price = 148.6 (EV 18.5b - Net Debt 9.19b = Equity 9.34b / Shares 62.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.41 | EPS CAGR: 26.07% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.46 | Revenue CAGR: 9.42% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=-15.08% | Revisions=-84% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.79 | Chg30d=-0.21% | Revisions=+15% | GrowthEPS=+20.8% | GrowthRev=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=13.61 | Chg30d=-1.72% | Revisions=-11% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=17, down=32)