BURL Stock Analysis: Burlington Stores | NYSE
Apparel Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 21.735m USD | 12M Return: 28.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 212M
EPS Trend: 96.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is an American off-price retailer headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey. Founded in 1972 and publicly listed since 2013, the company sells a broad range of branded fashion-focused merchandise-including womens, mens, and youth apparel, footwear, accessories, home goods, toys, gifts, coats, and baby and beauty products-through its stores operating under the Burlington and Cohoes Fashions banners in the U.S. and Puerto Rico.
As an off-price retailer in the Consumer Discretionary sectors Apparel Retail sub-industry, Burlington competes primarily with TJX Companies and Ross Stores, sourcing merchandise through opportunistic buying from manufacturers and brand owners to offer branded goods at discounted prices compared to traditional department stores. The companys business model relies heavily on inventory turnover and treasure-hunt merchandising, where limited quantities of deeply discounted items encourage frequent customer visits.
- Comparable store sales growth accelerates through holiday season
- New store openings drive double-digit revenue expansion
- Lower-income consumer discretionary spending pressure intensifies
- Buying margin expansion offsets freight cost headwinds
- Competition from TJX and Ross intensifies in off-price retail
| Net Income: 624.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.96% < 20% (prev 1.07%; Δ 1.89% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.32b > Net Income 624.1m |
| Net Debt (9.08b) to EBITDA (1.33b): 6.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.1m) vs 12m ago 0.22% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.98% > 18% (prev 43.40%; Δ 0.58% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 130.1% > 50% (prev 126.1%; Δ 4.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM 897.6m / Interest Expense TTM 76.1m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.51b - Total Current Liabilities 2.15b) / Total Assets 9.78b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 2.21b / Total Assets 9.78b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 897.6m / Avg Total Assets 9.16b) |
| D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 1.84b / Total Liabilities 7.94b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.88 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 114.0m/106.7m, Revenue 11.9b/10.8b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 43.40% / 43.98%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 11.9b / 10.8b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 624.1m - CFO 1.32b) / TA 9.78b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 23, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 353.98 with a total of 354,761 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.53%, over one month by +4.03%, over three months by +5.03% and over the past year by +28.51%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 338.90 (which is 4.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Burlington Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BURL.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 367.1 | 3.7% |
P/E Trailing = 35.599
P/E Forward = 28.3286
P/S = 1.8247
P/B = 11.8343
P/EG = 2.9852
Revenue TTM = 11.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 897.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.90b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 457.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.83b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.95b
Net Debt = 9.08b USD (calculated: Debt 9.83b - CCE 747.4m)
Enterprise Value = 30.8b USD (21.7b + Debt 9.83b - CCE 747.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.80 (Ebit TTM 897.6m / Interest Expense TTM 76.1m)
EV/FCF = 70.55x (Enterprise Value 30.8b / FCF TTM 436.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.42% (FCF TTM 436.7m / Enterprise Value 30.8b)
FCF Margin = 3.66% (FCF TTM 436.7m / Revenue TTM 11.9b)
Net Margin = 5.24% (Net Income TTM 624.1m / Revenue TTM 11.9b)
Gross Margin = 43.98% ((Revenue TTM 11.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.17% (prev 43.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.15 (Enterprise Value 30.8b / Total Assets 9.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 76.1m / Debt 9.83b)
Taxrate = 24.44% (201.9m / 825.9m)
NOPAT = 678.3m (EBIT 897.6m * (1 - 24.44%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 2.51b / Total Current Liabilities 2.15b)
Debt / Equity = 5.35 (Debt 9.83b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.83 (Net Debt 9.08b / EBITDA 1.33b)
Debt / FCF = 20.79 (Net Debt 9.08b / FCF TTM 436.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.81% (Net Income 624.1m / Total Assets 9.78b)
RoE = 37.72% (Net Income TTM 624.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 25.27% (EBIT 897.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 1.90b))
RoIC = 9.06% (NOPAT 678.3m / Invested Capital 7.49b)
WACC = 6.05% (E(21.7b)/V(31.6b) * Re(8.52%) + D(9.83b)/V(31.6b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -49.64 | Cagr: -0.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈375.5m ; Y1≈430.5m ; Y5≈633.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.25 (EV 9.53b - Net Debt 9.08b = Equity 456.1m / Shares 62.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.86 | EPS CAGR: 27.11% | SUE: 1.26 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.33 | Revenue CAGR: 9.60% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+12.34% | Revisions=+84% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=-2.78% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.80 | Chg30d=+3.00% | Revisions=+85% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=13.79 | Chg30d=+2.21% | Revisions=+82% | GrowthEPS=+16.9% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=50, down=12)