(BURL) Burlington Stores - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US1220171060
Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Home, Toys
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.48% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.13 |
| Alpha | -23.94 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.452 |
| Beta | 1.110 |
| Beta Downside | 0.690 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.33% |
| Mean DD | 15.22% |
| Median DD | 13.71% |
Description: BURL Burlington Stores October 30, 2025
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) is a U.S. off-price retailer that sells a broad assortment of branded apparel, accessories, home goods and seasonal items across more than 800 locations in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company operates under the Burlington Stores and Cohoes Fashions banners, targeting value-oriented consumers with a fashion-focused merchandise mix.
Key operating metrics that investors watch include same-store sales growth, which accelerated to 5.2% YoY in Q2 2024, and inventory turnover, currently around 3.8×-both indicating efficient stock management amid a competitive off-price landscape. The business is sensitive to discretionary spending trends; a 1 ppt rise in the U.S. consumer confidence index historically lifts BURL’s comparable sales by roughly 0.6 ppt, while higher inflation can compress margins as rent and labor costs rise faster than price elasticity allows.
For a deeper dive into BURL’s valuation assumptions, cash-flow projections, and scenario analysis, consider exploring the detailed analyst toolkit on ValueRay, where you can benchmark the stock against peer fundamentals and macro-driven stress tests.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (560.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 671.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.10% (prev 3.71%; Δ 0.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 837.0m > Net Income 560.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.36b) to EBITDA (1.15b) ratio: 4.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.21 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (64.1m) change vs 12m ago -0.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.78% (prev 43.24%; Δ -0.46pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 124.1% (prev 124.1%; Δ -0.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 10.63 (EBITDA TTM 1.15b / Interest Expense TTM 75.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.75
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 2.66b - Total Current Liabilities 2.20b) / Total Assets 9.60b |
| (B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.79b / Total Assets 9.60b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 800.3m / Avg Total Assets 9.02b |
| (D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 1.80b / Total Liabilities 8.07b |
| Total Rating: 1.75 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.05
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.15% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.89 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.65 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.93)% |
| 7. RoE 39.36% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 57.31% |
| 9. EPS Trend 40.40% |
What is the price of BURL shares?
As of December 13, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 266.09 with a total of 785,458 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.09%, over one month by -7.30%, over three months by -0.31% and over the past year by -8.21%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.09%, over one month by -7.30%, over three months by -0.31% and over the past year by -8.21%.
Is BURL a buy, sell or hold?
Burlington Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.62.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy BURL.
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BURL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 336.2 | 26.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 336.2 | 26.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 264.1 | -0.8% |
BURL Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
Market Cap USD = 17.00b (17.00b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 31.0609
P/E Forward = 22.6244
P/S = 1.5199
P/B = 10.9663
P/EG = 2.9852
Beta = 1.793
Revenue TTM = 11.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 800.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 425.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.36b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.37b USD (17.00b + Debt 5.94b - CCE 584.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.63 (Ebit TTM 800.3m / Interest Expense TTM 75.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.15% (FCF TTM 481.4m / Enterprise Value 22.37b)
FCF Margin = 4.30% (FCF TTM 481.4m / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Net Margin = 5.01% (Net Income TTM 560.5m / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Gross Margin = 42.78% ((Revenue TTM 11.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.63% (prev 43.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 22.37b / Total Assets 9.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.40% (Interest Expense 23.5m / Debt 5.94b)
Taxrate = 24.13% (33.3m / 138.1m)
NOPAT = 607.2m (EBIT 800.3m * (1 - 24.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 2.66b / Total Current Liabilities 2.20b)
Debt / Equity = 3.89 (Debt 5.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.65 (Net Debt 5.36b / EBITDA 1.15b)
Debt / FCF = 11.14 (Net Debt 5.36b / FCF TTM 481.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.84% (Net Income 560.5m / Total Assets 9.60b)
RoE = 39.36% (Net Income TTM 560.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.42b)
RoCE = 23.27% (EBIT 800.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.42b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 18.49% (NOPAT 607.2m / Invested Capital 3.28b)
WACC = 7.56% (E(17.00b)/V(22.95b) * Re(10.10%) + D(5.94b)/V(22.95b) * Rd(0.40%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.33% ; FCFE base≈608.5m ; Y1≈583.0m ; Y5≈567.6m
Fair Price DCF = 115.0 (DCF Value 7.24b / Shares Outstanding 62.9m; 5y FCF grow -5.58% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 40.40 | EPS CAGR: -10.34% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.31 | Revenue CAGR: 1.08% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=-0.066 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.09 | Chg30d=-0.139 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+14.1% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%
P/E Trailing = 31.0609
P/E Forward = 22.6244
P/S = 1.5199
P/B = 10.9663
P/EG = 2.9852
Beta = 1.793
Revenue TTM = 11.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 800.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 425.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.36b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.37b USD (17.00b + Debt 5.94b - CCE 584.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.63 (Ebit TTM 800.3m / Interest Expense TTM 75.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.15% (FCF TTM 481.4m / Enterprise Value 22.37b)
FCF Margin = 4.30% (FCF TTM 481.4m / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Net Margin = 5.01% (Net Income TTM 560.5m / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Gross Margin = 42.78% ((Revenue TTM 11.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.63% (prev 43.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 22.37b / Total Assets 9.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.40% (Interest Expense 23.5m / Debt 5.94b)
Taxrate = 24.13% (33.3m / 138.1m)
NOPAT = 607.2m (EBIT 800.3m * (1 - 24.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 2.66b / Total Current Liabilities 2.20b)
Debt / Equity = 3.89 (Debt 5.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.65 (Net Debt 5.36b / EBITDA 1.15b)
Debt / FCF = 11.14 (Net Debt 5.36b / FCF TTM 481.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.84% (Net Income 560.5m / Total Assets 9.60b)
RoE = 39.36% (Net Income TTM 560.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.42b)
RoCE = 23.27% (EBIT 800.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.42b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 18.49% (NOPAT 607.2m / Invested Capital 3.28b)
WACC = 7.56% (E(17.00b)/V(22.95b) * Re(10.10%) + D(5.94b)/V(22.95b) * Rd(0.40%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.33% ; FCFE base≈608.5m ; Y1≈583.0m ; Y5≈567.6m
Fair Price DCF = 115.0 (DCF Value 7.24b / Shares Outstanding 62.9m; 5y FCF grow -5.58% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 40.40 | EPS CAGR: -10.34% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.31 | Revenue CAGR: 1.08% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=-0.066 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.09 | Chg30d=-0.139 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+14.1% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%
Additional Sources for BURL Stock
News:
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Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle