(BXC) BlueLinx Holdings - Overview
Stock: Engineered Wood, Siding, Millwork, Lumber, Plywood
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.98% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.73 |
| Alpha | -55.68 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.134 |
| Beta Downside | 0.935 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.52% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
Description: BXC BlueLinx Holdings December 26, 2025
BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BXC) distributes a wide range of residential and commercial building products across the United States, including engineered wood, siding, millwork, outdoor-living items, specialty lumber, panels, and structural materials such as lumber, plywood, OSB, rebars, and remesh. The company also offers value-added services to a diversified customer base that includes national home centers, professional dealers, cooperatives, specialty distributors, regional and local dealers, and industrial manufacturers. Incorporated in 2004 and headquartered in Marietta, Georgia, BlueLinx operates within the GICS sub-industry “Trading Companies & Distributors.”
Recent performance highlights (as of Q3 2024) show net sales of approximately $1.12 billion, a 5 % year-over-year increase driven by stronger remodel activity and a modest rebound in new-home construction. Inventory turnover improved to 5.8×, outpacing the sector median of roughly 5.0× and indicating tighter working-capital management. A key macro driver is the residential construction cycle; the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose to 68 in November 2024, signaling continued builder confidence that could sustain demand for BlueLinx’s product mix.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of BXC’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the ValueRay platform useful as a next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 14.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.16% < 20% (prev 31.26%; Δ -2.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 16.7m > Net Income 14.0m |
| Net Debt (239.5m) to EBITDA (78.2m): 3.06 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (7.95m) vs 12m ago -6.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.01% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1484 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 184.7% > 50% (prev 183.4%; Δ 1.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.93 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 78.2m / Interest Expense TTM 42.6m) |
Altman Z'' 5.41
| A: 0.54 (Total Current Assets 1.10b - Total Current Liabilities 239.1m) / Total Assets 1.58b |
| B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 531.0m / Total Assets 1.58b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 39.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.60b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 531.1m / Total Liabilities 958.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.41 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.95
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 268.7m/278.0m, Revenue 2.95b/2.95b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 15.01% / 16.73%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 2.95b / 2.95b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 14.0m - CFO 16.7m) / TA 1.58b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of BXC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.77%, over one month by +15.01%, over three months by +7.74% and over the past year by -32.56%.
Is BXC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BXC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.5 | 9.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.5 | 9.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 65.6 | -6.1% |
BXC Fundamental Data Overview January 29, 2026
P/E Forward = 7.0323
P/S = 0.1856
P/B = 0.8754
Revenue TTM = 2.95b USD
EBIT TTM = 39.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 78.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 296.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 668.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 239.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 786.8m USD (547.3m + Debt 668.9m - CCE 429.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.93 (Ebit TTM 39.7m / Interest Expense TTM 42.6m)
EV/FCF = 73.11x (Enterprise Value 786.8m / FCF TTM 10.8m)
FCF Yield = 1.37% (FCF TTM 10.8m / Enterprise Value 786.8m)
FCF Margin = 0.36% (FCF TTM 10.8m / Revenue TTM 2.95b)
Net Margin = 0.48% (Net Income TTM 14.0m / Revenue TTM 2.95b)
Gross Margin = 15.01% ((Revenue TTM 2.95b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.15% (prev 15.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 786.8m / Total Assets 1.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.87% (Interest Expense 12.5m / Debt 668.9m)
Taxrate = 24.86% (17.6m / 70.7m)
NOPAT = 29.8m (EBIT 39.7m * (1 - 24.86%))
Current Ratio = 4.60 (Total Current Assets 1.10b / Total Current Liabilities 239.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.07 (Debt 668.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 623.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.06 (Net Debt 239.5m / EBITDA 78.2m)
Debt / FCF = 22.26 (Net Debt 239.5m / FCF TTM 10.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 631.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.88% (Net Income 14.0m / Total Assets 1.58b)
RoE = 2.22% (Net Income TTM 14.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 631.7m)
RoCE = 4.28% (EBIT 39.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 631.7m + L.T.Debt 296.4m))
RoIC = 3.22% (NOPAT 29.8m / Invested Capital 927.4m)
WACC = 5.32% (E(547.3m)/V(1.22b) * Re(10.09%) + D(668.9m)/V(1.22b) * Rd(1.87%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈51.9m ; Y1≈34.1m ; Y5≈15.5m
Fair Price DCF = 32.51 (EV 495.2m - Net Debt 239.5m = Equity 255.7m / Shares 7.87m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -95.79 | EPS CAGR: -66.05% | SUE: 0.95 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -78.96 | Revenue CAGR: -6.74% | SUE: -0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.38 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.88 | Chg30d=-0.055 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+83.4% | Growth Revenue=+3.1%