(CAT) Caterpillar - Ratings and Ratios
Excavators, Loaders, Engines, Generators, Locomotives
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.98% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.61% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.10% |
| Payout Consistency | 75.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.43 |
| Alpha | 40.67 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.505 |
| Beta | 1.111 |
| Beta Downside | 1.155 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.05% |
| Mean DD | 8.11% |
| Median DD | 6.17% |
Description: CAT Caterpillar December 02, 2025
Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) designs, manufactures, and sells a broad portfolio of heavy-equipment products-including construction machinery, mining gear, off-highway diesel and natural-gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives-through four operating segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Financial Products, plus ancillary services in its All Other segment.
In FY 2023 the company generated $53.8 billion in revenue, with the Construction and Resource Industries segments together accounting for roughly 70 % of sales. Backlog levels remain near $20 billion, reflecting strong demand for autonomous-ready mining trucks and the ongoing U.S. infrastructure spending surge, while the Financial Products segment contributes about 15 % of operating profit and cushions cyclical swings in equipment orders. Free cash flow for Q3 FY 2024 was $2.5 billion, supporting a dividend yield near 2.5 % and ongoing share-repurchase programs.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, see the CAT analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (9.26b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.88b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 21.38% (prev 19.38%; Δ 2.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 11.54b > Net Income 9.26b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (24.74b) to EBITDA (14.66b) ratio: 1.69 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (470.8m) change vs 12m ago -3.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.93% (prev 35.84%; Δ -1.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 71.86% (prev 76.11%; Δ -4.25pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 18.88 (EBITDA TTM 14.66b / Interest Expense TTM 659.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.13
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 49.82b - Total Current Liabilities 35.99b) / Total Assets 93.72b |
| (B) 0.69 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 64.46b / Total Assets 93.72b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 12.44b / Avg Total Assets 90.00b |
| (D) 0.94 = Book Value of Equity 68.96b / Total Liabilities 73.06b |
| Total Rating: 5.13 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.83
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.10% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.66% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.56 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.69 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.30)% |
| 7. RoE 48.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 56.72% |
| 9. EPS Trend 69.79% |
What is the price of CAT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.88%, over one month by +4.34%, over three months by +38.95% and over the past year by +59.41%.
Is CAT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CAT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 587.7 | -1.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 587.7 | -1.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 829.4 | 38.7% |
CAT Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.7888
P/E Forward = 26.8097
P/S = 4.3403
P/B = 13.3994
P/EG = 2.0341
Beta = 1.562
Revenue TTM = 64.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 12.44b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.66b USD
Long Term Debt = 27.74b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.54b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 24.74b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 305.43b USD (280.69b + Debt 32.28b - CCE 7.54b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.88 (Ebit TTM 12.44b / Interest Expense TTM 659.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.10% (FCF TTM 9.48b / Enterprise Value 305.43b)
FCF Margin = 14.66% (FCF TTM 9.48b / Revenue TTM 64.67b)
Net Margin = 14.32% (Net Income TTM 9.26b / Revenue TTM 64.67b)
Gross Margin = 33.93% ((Revenue TTM 64.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.82% (prev 32.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.26 (Enterprise Value 305.43b / Total Assets 93.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 346.0m / Debt 32.28b)
Taxrate = 26.67% (836.0m / 3.13b)
NOPAT = 9.12b (EBIT 12.44b * (1 - 26.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 49.82b / Total Current Liabilities 35.99b)
Debt / Equity = 1.56 (Debt 32.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.69 (Net Debt 24.74b / EBITDA 14.66b)
Debt / FCF = 2.61 (Net Debt 24.74b / FCF TTM 9.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.88% (Net Income 9.26b / Total Assets 93.72b)
RoE = 48.20% (Net Income TTM 9.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 19.22b)
RoCE = 26.50% (EBIT 12.44b / Capital Employed (Equity 19.22b + L.T.Debt 27.74b))
RoIC = 15.45% (NOPAT 9.12b / Invested Capital 59.06b)
WACC = 9.15% (E(280.69b)/V(312.97b) * Re(10.11%) + D(32.28b)/V(312.97b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.64%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.71% ; FCFE base≈9.54b ; Y1≈9.34b ; Y5≈9.51b
Fair Price DCF = 257.1 (DCF Value 120.31b / Shares Outstanding 468.0m; 5y FCF grow -3.03% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 69.79 | EPS CAGR: 17.66% | SUE: 1.22 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 56.72 | Revenue CAGR: 6.77% | SUE: 3.88 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.40 | Chg30d=+0.043 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.23 | Chg30d=+0.268 | Revisions Net=+19 | Growth EPS=+19.2% | Growth Revenue=+7.3%
Additional Sources for CAT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle