(CAVA) CAVA - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US1489291021

Restaurant, Dips, Spreads, Dressings, Digital

Stock: Restaurants
Age 2.6y

MCap 7,947m
Avg Vol 3.35M (223M USD)

Beta 1.755
Volatility 52.79%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 176.10%
EPS Trend: 18.2%

Last SUE: -0.28
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 27.60%
Rev. Trend: 91.8%

Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	52.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	80.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-7.45%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.63
Alpha	-66.23
CAGR/Max DD	0.30

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.668
Beta	1.755
Beta Downside	1.990

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	71.11%
Mean DD	27.38%
Median DD	24.83%

Description: CAVA CAVA January 02, 2026

CAVA Group, Inc. operates a fast-casual restaurant chain under the CAVA brand across the United States and distributes its signature dips, spreads, and dressings through grocery retail channels. The company also runs its own online and mobile ordering platforms, enabling direct-to-consumer sales. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Washington, D.C., CAVA trades on the NYSE under the ticker “CAVA.”

As of FY 2023, CAVA reported revenue of roughly $1.1 billion, driven by a 9% same-store sales increase and a 25% rise in digital orders year-over-year. The brand operates about 350 locations, with a strategic rollout plan to reach roughly 500 units by 2026, primarily in secondary and tertiary markets. Key sector drivers include the fast-casual industry’s 7% annual growth rate and a sustained consumer shift toward Mediterranean-style, plant-forward menus, which tend to be more resilient to inflationary pressure on meat-based dishes.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard to see how CAVA’s valuation metrics compare to peers.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (137.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 67.9m TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 23.57% (prev 28.33%; Δ -4.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 174.4m > Net Income 137.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (158.8m) to EBITDA (146.5m) ratio: 1.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.69 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (118.3m) change vs 12m ago -0.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 28.33% (prev 25.20%; Δ 3.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 94.28% (prev 84.62%; Δ 9.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4.63 (EBITDA TTM 146.5m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.62

(A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 425.1m - Total Current Liabilities 158.3m) / Total Assets 1.32b

(B) -0.20 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -258.5m / Total Assets 1.32b

(D) -0.47 = Book Value of Equity -258.4m / Total Liabilities 553.0m

Total Rating: 0.62 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.98

1. Piotroski 7.50pt

2. FCF Yield 0.32%

3. FCF Margin 2.24%

4. Debt/Equity 0.58

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.08

6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.47)%

7. RoE 18.69%

8. Rev. Trend 91.84%

9. EPS Trend 18.24%

What is the price of CAVA shares?

As of January 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 72.09 with a total of 2,129,142 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.74%, over one month by +36.74%, over three months by +13.78% and over the past year by -38.65%.

Is CAVA a buy, sell or hold?

CAVA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CAVA.

Strong Buy: 8
Buy: 2
Hold: 7
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CAVA price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	71	-1.5%
Analysts Target Price	71	-1.5%
ValueRay Target Price	68.5	-5%

CAVA Fundamental Data Overview January 15, 2026

P/E Trailing = 59.069
P/E Forward = 120.4819
P/S = 7.0202
P/B = 10.3345
Revenue TTM = 1.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 76.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 146.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 341.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 48.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 443.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 158.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.00b USD (7.95b + Debt 443.3m - CCE 387.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.63 (Ebit TTM 76.2m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
EV/FCF = 315.3x (Enterprise Value 8.00b / FCF TTM 25.4m)
FCF Yield = 0.32% (FCF TTM 25.4m / Enterprise Value 8.00b)
FCF Margin = 2.24% (FCF TTM 25.4m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Net Margin = 12.14% (Net Income TTM 137.4m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Gross Margin = 28.33% ((Revenue TTM 1.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 811.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.84% (prev 26.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.05 (Enterprise Value 8.00b / Total Assets 1.32b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.72% (Interest Expense 16.5m / Debt 443.3m)
Taxrate = 28.64% (5.92m / 20.7m)
NOPAT = 54.4m (EBIT 76.2m * (1 - 28.64%))
Current Ratio = 2.69 (Total Current Assets 425.1m / Total Current Liabilities 158.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 443.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 769.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.08 (Net Debt 158.8m / EBITDA 146.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.25 (Net Debt 158.8m / FCF TTM 25.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 735.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.45% (Net Income 137.4m / Total Assets 1.32b)
RoE = 18.69% (Net Income TTM 137.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 735.4m)
RoCE = 7.08% (EBIT 76.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 735.4m + L.T.Debt 341.5m))
RoIC = 7.40% (NOPAT 54.4m / Invested Capital 735.4m)
WACC = 11.87% (E(7.95b)/V(8.39b) * Re(12.38%) + D(443.3m)/V(8.39b) * Rd(3.72%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 12.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 55.05% ; FCFF base≈32.7m ; Y1≈21.4m ; Y5≈9.78m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 116.4m - Net Debt 158.8m = -42.4m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 18.24 | EPS CAGR: 176.1% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.84 | Revenue CAGR: 27.60% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.16 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.4% | Growth Revenue=+20.8%

Additional Sources for CAVA Stock

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