CAVA Stock Analysis: CAVA | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 6.265m USD | 12M Return: -8.9% | US1489291021 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 170M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 3.3 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE: CAVA) owns and operates a fast-casual restaurant chain in the United States under the CAVA brand, specializing in Mediterranean-inspired cuisine. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Washington, D.C., the company went public in June 2023.
In addition to its restaurant operations, CAVA generates a secondary revenue stream through retail products-dips, spreads, and dressings sold in grocery stores. The company also supports multiple ordering channels, including in-store walk-the-line service, online, and mobile platforms. CAVA operates within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Sub Industry: Restaurants), and its dual restaurant-and-CPG model is relatively uncommon among fast-casual peers, which typically rely solely on dine-in and off-premise sales.
- Same-restaurant sales growth moderates as consumer spending softens
- Aggressive new unit expansion drives double-digit revenue growth
- Restaurant-level margin expands on pricing and operational leverage
| Net Income: 66.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.86% < 20% (prev 24.44%; Δ -3.58% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 220.5m > Net Income 66.3m |
| Net Debt (85.1m) to EBITDA (169.8m): 0.50 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.4m) vs 12m ago 0.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.16% > 18% (prev 21.70%; Δ -1.54% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 98.44% > 50% (prev 83.90%; Δ 14.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 479.9m - Total Current Liabilities 193.2m) / Total Assets 1.50b |
| B: -0.14 (Retained Earnings -207.0m / Total Assets 1.50b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 87.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.40b) |
| D: 1.28 (Book Value of Equity 841.3m / Total Liabilities 658.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.57 = A |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 20.6m/16.5m, Revenue 1.37b/1.08b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 21.70% / 20.16%) |
| AQI: 0.74 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.27 (Revenue 1.37b / 1.08b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 66.3m - CFO 220.5m) / TA 1.50b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 57.25 with a total of 4,244,442 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.73%, over one month by +11.79%, over three months by -16.85% and over the past year by -8.92%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 53.20 (which is 7.1% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
CAVA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CAVA.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 82 | 43.2% |
P/E Trailing = 97.5273
P/E Forward = 70.4225
P/S = 4.5603
P/B = 7.3726
P/EG = 4.5848
Revenue TTM = 1.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 87.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 169.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 465.3m USD (estimated: total debt 520.7m - short term 55.5m)
Short Term Debt = 55.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 520.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 520.7m already included)
Net Debt = 85.1m USD (calculated: Debt 520.7m - CCE 435.6m)
Enterprise Value = 6.35b USD (6.27b + Debt 520.7m - CCE 435.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 87.4m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 129.5x (Enterprise Value 6.35b / FCF TTM 49.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.77% (FCF TTM 49.0m / Enterprise Value 6.35b)
FCF Margin = 3.57% (FCF TTM 49.0m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Net Margin = 4.82% (Net Income TTM 66.3m / Revenue TTM 1.37b)
Gross Margin = 20.16% ((Revenue TTM 1.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.94% (prev 19.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.23 (Enterprise Value 6.35b / Total Assets 1.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 520.7m)
Taxrate = 24.16% (21.1m / 87.4m)
NOPAT = 66.3m (EBIT 87.4m * (1 - 24.16%))
Current Ratio = 2.48 (Total Current Assets 479.9m / Total Current Liabilities 193.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 520.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 841.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 85.1m / EBITDA 169.8m)
Debt / FCF = 1.74 (Net Debt 85.1m / FCF TTM 49.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 800.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 66.3m / Total Assets 1.50b)
RoE = 8.28% (Net Income TTM 66.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 800.0m)
RoCE = 6.90% (EBIT 87.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 800.0m + L.T.Debt 465.3m))
RoIC = 5.12% (NOPAT 66.3m / Invested Capital 1.29b)
WACC = 8.91% (E(6.27b)/V(6.79b) * Re(9.65%) + D(520.7m)/V(6.79b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 22.07 | Cagr: 0.17%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.97% ; FCFF base≈48.4m ; Y1≈50.0m ; Y5≈56.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.04 (EV 790.3m - Net Debt 85.1m = Equity 705.1m / Shares 116.8m; r=8.91% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 3.46% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.71 | Revenue CAGR: 27.96% | SUE: 1.07 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+0.90% | Revisions=-86% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.55 | Chg30d=+0.24% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+1.4% | GrowthRev=+27.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=+0.54% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+35.9% | GrowthRev=+20.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -72% (up=2, down=20)