CAVA Stock Analysis: CAVA | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.376m USD | 12M Return: -21.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 245M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 3 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
CAVA Group, Inc. operates a U.S. chain of fast-casual restaurants under the CAVA brand, with a secondary revenue stream from dips, spreads, and dressings sold through grocery retailers. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Washington, D.C., positioning it within the Mediterranean-inspired segment of the fast-casual dining category, which blends limited-service speed with higher-quality, customizable ingredients.
The business runs on an omnichannel ordering model, supporting in-store walk-the-line service alongside online and mobile app purchases. CAVA trades on the NYSE under the ticker CAVA, having gone public in mid-2023, and is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Restaurants sub-industry.
- Same-restaurant sales growth slows amid softening consumer traffic
- Aggressive unit expansion drives double-digit revenue growth
- Restaurant-level margins pressured by food and labor inflation
| Net Income: 61.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.55% < 20% (prev 25.93%; Δ -4.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 210.3m > Net Income 61.6m |
| Net Debt (95.5m) to EBITDA (158.8m): 0.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.65 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.3m) vs 12m ago -0.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.60% > 18% (prev 23.12%; Δ -4.52% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.02% > 50% (prev 84.38%; Δ 12.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 444.7m - Total Current Liabilities 167.5m) / Total Assets 1.42b |
| B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -230.0m / Total Assets 1.42b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 80.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.33b) |
| D: 1.32 (Book Value of Equity 810.0m / Total Liabilities 613.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.55 = A |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 20.7m/15.9m, Revenue 1.29b/1.04b) |
| GMI: 1.24 (GM 23.12% / 18.60%) |
| AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.24 (Revenue 1.29b / 1.04b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 61.6m - CFO 210.3m) / TA 1.42b) |
| Beneish M = -2.71 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 72.18 with a total of 2,287,236 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.11%, over one month by -11.50%, over three months by -15.02% and over the past year by -21.07%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 66.80 (which is 7.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
CAVA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CAVA.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 92.9 | 28.7% |
P/E Trailing = 138.2885
P/E Forward = 138.8889
P/S = 6.5124
P/B = 11.0554
Revenue TTM = 1.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 80.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 158.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 445.4m USD (estimated: total debt 498.5m - short term 53.0m)
Short Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 498.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 498.5m already included)
Net Debt = 95.5m USD (calculated: Debt 498.5m - CCE 403.0m)
Enterprise Value = 8.47b USD (8.38b + Debt 498.5m - CCE 403.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 80.5m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 217.6x (Enterprise Value 8.47b / FCF TTM 38.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.46% (FCF TTM 38.9m / Enterprise Value 8.47b)
FCF Margin = 3.03% (FCF TTM 38.9m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Net Margin = 4.79% (Net Income TTM 61.6m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Gross Margin = 18.60% ((Revenue TTM 1.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.56% (prev 14.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.95 (Enterprise Value 8.47b / Total Assets 1.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 498.5m)
Taxrate = 23.46% (18.9m / 80.5m)
NOPAT = 61.6m (EBIT 80.5m * (1 - 23.46%))
Current Ratio = 2.65 (Total Current Assets 444.7m / Total Current Liabilities 167.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 498.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 810.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.60 (Net Debt 95.5m / EBITDA 158.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.45 (Net Debt 95.5m / FCF TTM 38.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 777.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.65% (Net Income 61.6m / Total Assets 1.42b)
RoE = 7.92% (Net Income TTM 61.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 777.3m)
RoCE = 6.58% (EBIT 80.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 777.3m + L.T.Debt 445.4m))
RoIC = 4.95% (NOPAT 61.6m / Invested Capital 1.24b)
WACC = 10.25% (E(8.38b)/V(8.87b) * Re(10.86%) + D(498.5m)/V(8.87b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 20.0 | Cagr: 1.83%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.34% ; FCFF base≈43.7m ; Y1≈38.3m ; Y5≈31.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.43 (EV 379.1m - Net Debt 95.5m = Equity 283.5m / Shares 116.5m; r=10.25% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.71 | Revenue CAGR: 28.21% | SUE: 3.05 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=+0.92% | Revisions=+69% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-0.65% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.55 | Chg30d=+0.20% | Revisions=+71% | GrowthEPS=+2.1% | GrowthRev=+27.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=+48% | GrowthEPS=+35.0% | GrowthRev=+20.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +45% (up=45, down=16)