(CAVA) CAVA - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 8.949m USD | Total Return: -22.4% in 12m

Mediterranean Bowls, Pitas, Dips, Spreads, Dressings
Total Rating 54
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.10
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +0.8
Market Cap: 8.95B
Avg Turnover: 237M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility55.8%
VaR 5th Pctl9.32%
VaR vs Median1.44%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.24
Rel. Str. IBD71.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group90.5
Character TTM
Beta1.511
Beta Downside1.460
Hurst Exponent0.570
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.11%
CAGR/Max DD0.30
CAGR/Mean DD0.72
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CAVA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": null, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": -0.02, "2023-06": 0.32, "2023-09": 0.08, "2023-12": 0.03, "2024-03": 0.12, "2024-06": 0.17, "2024-09": 0.15, "2024-12": 0.05, "2025-03": 0.22, "2025-06": 0.16, "2025-09": 0.12, "2025-12": 0.04,
EPS CAGR: 91.85%
EPS Trend: 2.4%
Last SUE: 0.30
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CAVA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-12: 117.166, 2022-03: 159.011, 2022-06: 135.915, 2022-09: 139.258, 2022-12: 129.935, 2023-03: 203.083, 2023-06: 175.553, 2023-09: 175.553, 2023-12: 177.17, 2024-03: 259.006, 2024-06: 233.495, 2024-09: 243.817, 2024-12: 227.395, 2025-03: 331.826, 2025-06: 280.615, 2025-09: 292.238, 2025-12: 274.985,
Rev. CAGR: 15.73%
Rev. Trend: 89.7%
Last SUE: 1.04
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

P/E ratio 142.4

Altman Z'' 0.64 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: CAVA CAVA

CAVA Group, Inc. operates a Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant chain across the United States, utilizing a service model that combines in-store assembly lines with digital ordering platforms. Beyond its physical restaurant footprint, the company maintains a retail presence by distributing branded dips, spreads, and dressings through third-party grocery channels.

The business follows a vertically integrated model, managing its own production facilities to maintain consistency across its Mediterranean-focused menu. As a competitor in the fast-casual sector, CAVA leverages a hub-and-spoke distribution strategy to scale its fresh food offerings efficiently. Investors can review detailed valuation metrics on ValueRay to further analyze the companys market position. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., the firm has expanded its reach since its founding in 2006 to become a prominent player in the health-conscious dining market.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Aggressive unit count growth targets drive long-term revenue and market share expansion
  • Same-store sales growth relies on high average check and traffic volume
  • Labor and food commodity inflation directly impact restaurant-level profit margins
  • Consumer shift toward health-conscious Mediterranean fast-casual dining supports brand loyalty
  • Successful integration of acquired Zoe’s Kitchen locations optimizes operational efficiency levels
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 63.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.60 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 22.75% < 20% (prev 27.14%; Δ -4.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 184.8m > Net Income 63.7m
Net Debt (183.3m) to EBITDA (150.7m): 1.22 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.65 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.0m) vs 12m ago -0.22% < -2%
Gross Margin: 18.38% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 1.81k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 93.27% > 50% (prev 82.39%; Δ 10.87% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.43 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 150.7m / Interest Expense TTM 6.19m)
Altman Z'' 0.64
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 431.1m - Total Current Liabilities 162.7m) / Total Assets 1.36b
B: -0.19 (Retained Earnings -253.6m / Total Assets 1.36b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 77.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.26b)
D: -0.44 (Book Value of Equity -253.5m / Total Liabilities 580.4m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.64 = B
Beneish M -2.54
DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 19.0m/13.0m, Revenue 1.18b/963.7m)
GMI: 1.37 (GM 18.38% / 25.09%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 1.22 (Revenue 1.18b / 963.7m)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 63.7m - CFO 184.8m) / TA 1.36b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.54 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of CAVA shares? As of May 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 76.87 with a total of 1,938,687 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.19%, over one month by -13.08%, over three months by +21.42% and over the past year by -22.40%.
Is CAVA a buy, sell or hold? CAVA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.06. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CAVA.
  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CAVA price?
Analysts Target Price 89.8 16.8%
CAVA (CAVA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 142.3519
P/E Forward = 149.2537
P/S = 7.5857
P/B = 11.8554
Revenue TTM = 1.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 77.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 150.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 466.2m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 48.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 466.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 183.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.02b USD (8.95b + Debt 466.2m - CCE 393.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.43 (Ebit TTM 77.0m / Interest Expense TTM 6.19m)
EV/FCF = 345.1x (Enterprise Value 9.02b / FCF TTM 26.1m)
FCF Yield = 0.29% (FCF TTM 26.1m / Enterprise Value 9.02b)
FCF Margin = 2.22% (FCF TTM 26.1m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Net Margin = 5.40% (Net Income TTM 63.7m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Gross Margin = 18.38% ((Revenue TTM 1.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 962.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.89% (prev 18.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.63 (Enterprise Value 9.02b / Total Assets 1.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 6.19m / Debt 466.2m)
Taxrate = 19.05% (1.16m / 6.08m)
NOPAT = 62.3m (EBIT 77.0m * (1 - 19.05%))
Current Ratio = 2.65 (Total Current Assets 431.1m / Total Current Liabilities 162.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 466.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 779.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.22 (Net Debt 183.3m / EBITDA 150.7m)
Debt / FCF = 7.01 (Net Debt 183.3m / FCF TTM 26.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 756.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.04% (Net Income 63.7m / Total Assets 1.36b)
RoE = 8.43% (Net Income TTM 63.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 756.4m)
RoCE = 6.30% (EBIT 77.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 756.4m + L.T.Debt 466.2m))
RoIC = 8.24% (NOPAT 62.3m / Invested Capital 756.4m)
WACC = 10.79% (E(8.95b)/V(9.41b) * Re(11.30%) + D(466.2m)/V(9.41b) * Rd(1.33%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 11.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 34.78 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 59.16% ; FCFF base≈36.8m ; Y1≈24.2m ; Y5≈11.1m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 148.0m - Net Debt 183.3m = -35.3m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 2.37 | EPS CAGR: 91.85% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.74 | Revenue CAGR: 15.73% | SUE: 1.04 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=+0.77% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+2.17% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=-1.3% | GrowthRev=+23.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+2.55% | Revisions=+71% | GrowthEPS=+36.3% | GrowthRev=+20.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +71%