(CAVA) CAVA - Ratings and Ratios
Restaurant, Dips, Spreads, Dressings, Online
CAVA EPS (Earnings per Share)
CAVA Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 57.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 87.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.77 |
| Alpha | -88.61 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.588 |
| Beta | 1.753 |
| Beta Downside | 1.917 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 70.02% |
| Mean DD | 25.05% |
| Median DD | 21.90% |
Description: CAVA CAVA October 30, 2025
CAVA Group, Inc. operates a fast-casual Mediterranean restaurant chain across the United States, supplements its brand with packaged dips, spreads, and dressings sold in grocery outlets, and runs its own online and mobile ordering platforms. Founded in 2006, the company is headquartered in Washington, D.C., and trades on the NYSE under the ticker “CAVA.”
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 reported revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase driven largely by a 15% rise in same-store sales and a 20% jump in digital order volume. The fast-casual sector continues to benefit from consumer preference for higher-quality, customizable meals, while inflationary pressure on food costs and labor remains a material risk to margin expansion.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of CAVA’s valuation and competitive positioning, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard worth exploring.
CAVA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,642m |
| Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 2023-06-15 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -71.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.06 of 5 |
CAVA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCAVA Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 1.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.05 |
| Current Volume | 4509.8k |
| Average Volume | 4023.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (137.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 67.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.57% (prev 28.33%; Δ -4.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 172.6m > Net Income 137.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (158.8m) to EBITDA (144.1m) ratio: 1.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.69 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (118.3m) change vs 12m ago -0.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.33% (prev 25.20%; Δ 3.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 94.28% (prev 84.62%; Δ 9.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.48 (EBITDA TTM 144.1m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.61
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 425.1m - Total Current Liabilities 158.3m) / Total Assets 1.32b |
| (B) -0.20 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -258.5m / Total Assets 1.32b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 73.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.20b |
| (D) -0.47 = Book Value of Equity -258.4m / Total Liabilities 553.0m |
| Total Rating: 0.61 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.32
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.83% = 0.42 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.19% = 1.05 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.58 = 2.34 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.10 = 1.62 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.48)% = -5.60 |
| 7. RoE 18.69% = 1.56 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 87.09% = 6.53 |
| 9. EPS Trend 18.24% = 0.91 |
What is the price of CAVA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.92%, over one month by -28.05%, over three months by -35.19% and over the past year by -67.04%.
Is CAVA a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CAVA is around 30.76 USD . This means that CAVA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -31.99%.
Is CAVA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CAVA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 68.7 | 51.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 68.7 | 51.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 35.3 | -22% |
CAVA Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 41.931
P/E Forward = 90.0901
P/S = 4.9834
P/B = 9.768
Beta = 2.492
Revenue TTM = 1.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 73.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 144.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 341.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 48.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 443.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 158.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.70b USD (5.64b + Debt 443.3m - CCE 387.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.48 (Ebit TTM 73.9m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
FCF Yield = 0.83% (FCF TTM 47.4m / Enterprise Value 5.70b)
FCF Margin = 4.19% (FCF TTM 47.4m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Net Margin = 12.14% (Net Income TTM 137.4m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Gross Margin = 28.33% ((Revenue TTM 1.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 811.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.84% (prev 26.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.31 (Enterprise Value 5.70b / Total Assets 1.32b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.72% (Interest Expense 16.5m / Debt 443.3m)
Taxrate = 28.64% (5.92m / 20.7m)
NOPAT = 52.7m (EBIT 73.9m * (1 - 28.64%))
Current Ratio = 2.69 (Total Current Assets 425.1m / Total Current Liabilities 158.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 443.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 769.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.10 (Net Debt 158.8m / EBITDA 144.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.35 (Net Debt 158.8m / FCF TTM 47.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 735.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.40% (Net Income 137.4m / Total Assets 1.32b)
RoE = 18.69% (Net Income TTM 137.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 735.4m)
RoCE = 6.86% (EBIT 73.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 735.4m + L.T.Debt 341.5m))
RoIC = 7.28% (NOPAT 52.7m / Invested Capital 724.1m)
WACC = 11.76% (E(5.64b)/V(6.08b) * Re(12.48%) + D(443.3m)/V(6.08b) * Rd(3.72%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 12.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 53.37% ; FCFE base≈32.9m ; Y1≈21.6m ; Y5≈9.87m
Fair Price DCF = 0.96 (DCF Value 111.6m / Shares Outstanding 116.0m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 18.24 | EPS CAGR: 176.1% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.09 | Revenue CAGR: 34.28% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for CAVA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle