(CE) Celanese - Ratings and Ratios
Acetyls, Engineered Polymers, Thermoplastics, Resins, Elastomers
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.25% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.10% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -54.17% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.5% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 78.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.40 |
| Alpha | -59.78 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.32 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 1.852 |
| Beta Downside | 2.298 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 78.96% |
| Mean DD | 33.86% |
| Median DD | 20.27% |
Description: CE Celanese January 09, 2026
Celanese Corporation (NYSE:CE) is a global chemical and specialty-materials producer that operates two primary segments. The Engineered Materials segment supplies a broad portfolio of high-performance polymers-including nylon, polypropylene, polyoxymethylene, liquid-crystal polymers, and thermoplastic elastomers-for end-markets such as automotive, medical devices, consumer electronics, and energy-storage systems. The Acetyl Chain segment manufactures acetyl-based intermediates (e.g., acetic acid, vinyl acetate monomer, ethylene-vinyl acetate resins) used in paints, coatings, adhesives, flexible packaging, and pharmaceutical applications. Products are sold under well-known brands like Zytel, Hytrel, and Santoprene, primarily through direct OEM relationships and a network of distributors.
Key operating metrics that analysts watch include • 2023 revenue of roughly $9.1 billion, with the Engineered Materials segment contributing about 55 % of total sales; • adjusted EBITDA margin hovering near 13 %-a level that reflects both pricing power in specialty polymers and exposure to volatile natural-gas feedstock costs; • capacity utilization rates of ~ 85 % across its U.S. and European plants, which can be a leading indicator of demand trends in automotive lightweighting and battery-case production. Macro-level drivers for Celanese are the global shift toward electrification (boosting demand for high-temperature polymers), cyclical construction activity (affecting polyphenylene sulfide and PVC-based products), and the price trajectory of natural gas, which accounts for roughly 30 % of its variable production costs.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Celanese’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-3.09b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 582.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.34% (prev 14.76%; Δ 9.57pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.39b > Net Income -3.09b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (109.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.33% (prev 23.19%; Δ -1.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 40.41% (prev 40.47%; Δ -0.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.86 (EBITDA TTM -1.28b / Interest Expense TTM 719.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.11
| (A) 0.11 = (Total Current Assets 6.09b - Total Current Liabilities 3.73b) / Total Assets 22.17b |
| (B) 0.44 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.86b / Total Assets 22.17b |
| (C) -0.09 = EBIT TTM -2.06b / Avg Total Assets 24.03b |
| (D) 0.51 = Book Value of Equity 9.01b / Total Liabilities 17.79b |
| Total Rating: 2.11 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 31.65
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.08% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.55% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -9.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.55)% |
| 7. RoE -63.15% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 9.64% |
| 9. EPS Trend -80.35% |
What is the price of CE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.47%, over one month by +12.64%, over three months by +15.72% and over the past year by -34.83%.
Is CE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the CE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 52.3 | 8.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 52.3 | 8.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.8 | -9.1% |
CE Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/S = 0.5294
P/B = 1.3
P/EG = 4.4198
Revenue TTM = 9.71b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.28b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.20b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.13b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.69b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.83b USD (5.14b + Debt 13.13b - CCE 1.44b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.86 (Ebit TTM -2.06b / Interest Expense TTM 719.0m)
EV/FCF = 16.44x (Enterprise Value 16.83b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
FCF Yield = 6.08% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Enterprise Value 16.83b)
FCF Margin = 10.55% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 9.71b)
Net Margin = -31.85% (Net Income TTM -3.09b / Revenue TTM 9.71b)
Gross Margin = 21.33% ((Revenue TTM 9.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.54% (prev 21.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 16.83b / Total Assets 22.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.35% (Interest Expense 177.0m / Debt 13.13b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -1.63b (EBIT -2.06b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 6.09b / Total Current Liabilities 3.73b)
Debt / Equity = 3.32 (Debt 13.13b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = -9.10 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 11.69b / EBITDA -1.28b)
Debt / FCF = 11.42 (Net Debt 11.69b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.87% (Net Income -3.09b / Total Assets 22.17b)
RoE = -63.15% (Net Income TTM -3.09b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.90b)
RoCE = -12.44% (EBIT -2.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.90b + L.T.Debt 11.65b))
RoIC = -9.20% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.63b / Invested Capital 17.69b)
WACC = 4.35% (E(5.14b)/V(18.27b) * Re(12.74%) + D(13.13b)/V(18.27b) * Rd(1.35%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.22% ; FCFF base≈952.0m ; Y1≈788.6m ; Y5≈572.9m
Fair Price DCF = 53.20 (EV 17.52b - Net Debt 11.69b = Equity 5.83b / Shares 109.5m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -20.68% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -80.35 | EPS CAGR: -58.50% | SUE: -3.88 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 9.64 | Revenue CAGR: 1.65% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=-0.029 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.52 | Chg30d=-0.082 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+30.0% | Growth Revenue=+0.1%
Additional Sources for CE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle