CEPU Stock Analysis: Central Puerto S.A. | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.226m USD | 12M Return: 24.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.20M
EPS Trend: 62.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 87.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 8.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) is an Argentine independent power producer that generates electricity through a diversified mix of conventional and renewable assets, including combined-cycle plants, gas and steam turbines, co-generation facilities, hydroelectric plants, wind turbines, and solar panels. The company reports across three segments covering conventional generation, renewable generation and forestry, and thermal-plant management and operations, and it also has activities in natural gas transport and distribution, forestry, and mining. Headquartered in Buenos Aires and founded in 1992, Central Puerto has been listed on the NYSE since February 2018.
As a member of the GICS Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders sub-industry, the company sells wholesale electricity to the grid and large industrial customers rather than directly retailing to end users, and its generation fleet is exposed to Argentinas predominantly thermal-based power mix, with natural gas acting as the primary fuel source for its conventional plants.
- Argentine peso devaluation pressures dollar-denominated debt and margins
- Renewables capacity expansion accelerates segment revenue growth
- Government tariff negotiations constrain conventional generation margins
| Net Income: 436b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.86 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.30% < 20% (prev 14.30%; Δ -14.00% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 243b > Net Income 436b |
| Net Debt (540b) to EBITDA (720b): 0.75 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.01 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (150.4m) vs 12m ago 0.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 35.81% > 18% (prev 39.58%; Δ -3.77% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.40% > 50% (prev 27.63%; Δ 6.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM 533b / Interest Expense TTM 112b) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 686b - Total Current Liabilities 682b) / Total Assets 3979b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 506b / Total Assets 3979b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 533b / Avg Total Assets 3473b) |
| D: 2.12 (Book Value of Equity 2657b / Total Liabilities 1252b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.68 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 400b/246b, Revenue 1195b/820b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 39.58% / 35.81%) |
| AQI: 1.29 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 1.46 (Revenue 1195b / 820b) |
| TATA: 0.05 (NI 436b - CFO 243b) / TA 3979b) |
| Beneish M = -2.33 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.66 with a total of 186,563 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.35%, over one month by +0.55%, over three months by -12.79% and over the past year by +24.13%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.30 (which is 9.3% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Central Puerto S.A. has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CEPU.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 22.8 | 55.3% |
Market Cap ARS = 3321b (2.23b USD * 1492.0 USD.ARS)
P/E Trailing = 7.3103
P/S = 0.0018
P/B = 1.2234
Revenue TTM = 1195b ARS
EBIT TTM = 533b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 720b ARS
Long Term Debt = 327b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 418b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 745b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 540b ARS (calculated: Debt 745b - CCE 205b)
Enterprise Value = 3861b ARS (3321b + Debt 745b - CCE 205b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.77 (Ebit TTM 533b / Interest Expense TTM 112b)
EV/FCF = 73.14x (Enterprise Value 3861b / FCF TTM 52.8b)
FCF Yield = 1.37% (FCF TTM 52.8b / Enterprise Value 3861b)
FCF Margin = 4.42% (FCF TTM 52.8b / Revenue TTM 1195b)
Net Margin = 36.50% (Net Income TTM 436b / Revenue TTM 1195b)
Gross Margin = 35.81% ((Revenue TTM 1195b - Cost of Revenue TTM 767b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.19% (prev 29.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 3861b / Total Assets 3979b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.99% (Interest Expense 112b / Debt 745b)
Taxrate = 6.84% (32.8b / 480b)
NOPAT = 497b (EBIT 533b * (1 - 6.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 686b / Total Current Liabilities 682b)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 745b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2657b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.75 (Net Debt 540b / EBITDA 720b)
Debt / FCF = 10.23 (Net Debt 540b / FCF TTM 52.8b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2453b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.56% (Net Income 436b / Total Assets 3979b)
RoE = 17.78% (Net Income TTM 436b / Total Stockholder Equity 2453b)
RoCE = 19.18% (EBIT 533b / Capital Employed (Equity 2453b + L.T.Debt 327b))
RoIC = 13.59% (NOPAT 497b / Invested Capital 3655b)
WACC = 10.33% (E(3321b)/V(4066b) * Re(9.51%) + D(745b)/V(4066b) * Rd(14.99%) * (1-Tc(0.07)))
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -20.0 | Cagr: 0.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.85% ; FCFF base≈37.2b ; Y1≈42.7b ; Y5≈62.8b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.07k (EV 700b - Net Debt 540b = Equity 160b / Shares 150.0m; r=10.33% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 62.23 | EPS CAGR: 190.7% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.98 | Revenue CAGR: 42.13% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.43 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.07 | Chg30d=+10.58% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+119.8% | GrowthRev=+41.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.67 | Chg30d=+2.81% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-19.4% | GrowthRev=+11.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=1, down=1)