CFG Stock Analysis: Citizens Financial | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 29.217m USD | 12M Return: 40.3% | US1746101054 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Consumer Banking, Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Capital Markets
Total Rating 59
Safety 56
Buy Signal 0.16
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 29.2B
Avg Turnover: 203M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.8%
VaR 5th Pctl4.83%
VaR vs Median1.75%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.25
Rel. Str. IBD74.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group66.2
Character TTM
Beta1.094
Beta Downside0.950
Hurst Exponent0.486
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.08%
CAGR/Max DD1.45
CAGR/Mean DD7.45
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CFG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 1.22, "2021-12": 1.26, "2022-03": 1.07, "2022-06": 1.14, "2022-09": 1.3, "2022-12": 1.32, "2023-03": 1.1, "2023-06": 1.04, "2023-09": 0.89, "2023-12": 0.85, "2024-03": 0.79, "2024-06": 0.82, "2024-09": 0.79, "2024-12": 0.85, "2025-03": 0.77, "2025-06": 0.92, "2025-09": 1.05, "2025-12": 1.13, "2026-03": 1.13, "2026-06": 1.3,
EPS CAGR: 3.40%
EPS Trend: 24.1%
Last SUE: 3.84
Qual. Beats: 5
Revenue Revenue of CFG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 1736, 2021-12: 1797, 2022-03: 1711, 2022-06: 2089, 2022-09: 2481, 2022-12: 2788, 2023-03: 2887, 2023-06: 3037, 2023-09: 3087, 2023-12: 3176, 2024-03: 3127, 2024-06: 3124, 2024-09: 3073, 2024-12: 3026, 2025-03: 2896, 2025-06: 3007, 2025-09: 3088, 2025-12: 2157, 2026-03: 3026, 2026-06: 3195,
Rev. CAGR: -2.92%
Rev. Trend: -67.1%
Last SUE: 0.71
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +1.8% 23
Feb -3.2% 33
Mar -10.4% 51
Apr +1.3% 15
May +2.3% 9
Jun -0.1% 2
Jul +4.5% 22
Aug -0.7% 26
Sep -3.6% 33
Oct -1.5% 15
Nov +4.1% 39
Dec -0.4% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CFG Citizens Financial

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: CFG) is a U.S. bank holding company headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island, founded in 1828. It provides retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, small businesses, middle-market companies, large corporations, and institutions across the United States.

The company operates through two segments: Consumer Banking, which offers deposit products, mortgage and home equity lending, credit cards, business loans, wealth management, and digital banking services; and Commercial Banking, which provides lending, leasing, deposit and treasury management, foreign exchange, risk management, syndicated loans, corporate finance, M&A advisory, and capital markets services. The company serves a broad customer base spanning consumers, high-net-worth individuals, investors, and institutional clients across multifamily, office, industrial, retail, healthcare, and hospitality sectors.

As a regional bank under the GICS classification, Citizens focuses its operations within defined U.S. geographic footprints rather than operating a global retail network, which is a common structural distinction between regional and money-center banks. Citizens went public on the NYSE in September 2014, having previously operated as RBS Citizens Financial Group prior to its April 2014 rebranding.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses amid Fed rate cuts
  • Commercial real estate loan losses pressure credit costs
  • Middle market lending growth drives commercial banking revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 2.13b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 101.2% < 20% (prev -1.11k%; Δ 1.21k% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 2.50b > Net Income 2.13b
Net Debt (3.59b) to EBITDA (3.15b): 1.14 < 3
Current Ratio: 11.01 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (426.7m) vs 12m ago -2.26% < -2%
Gross Margin: 70.59% > 18% (prev 59.99%; Δ 10.60% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.07% > 50% (prev 5.50%; Δ -0.43% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.71b / Interest Expense TTM 3.65b)
Altman Z'' 0.71
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 12.8b - Total Current Liabilities 1.16b) / Total Assets 234b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 12.0b / Total Assets 234b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 2.71b / Avg Total Assets 226b)
D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 26.2b / Total Liabilities 208b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.71 = B
What is the price of CFG shares?

As of September 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 70.48 with a total of 2,178,719 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.49%, over one month by -3.44%, over three months by +6.66% and over the past year by +40.26%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 66.90 (which is 5.1% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).

Is CFG a buy, sell or hold?

Citizens Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.59. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CFG.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CFG price?
Analysts Target Price 81.5 15.6%
Citizens Financial (CFG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 29.2b (29.2b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.2462
P/E Forward = 10.7643
P/S = 3.5801
P/B = 1.2246
P/EG = 1.6472
Revenue TTM = 11.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.7b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.16b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.59b USD (calculated: Debt 16.3b - CCE 12.8b)
Enterprise Value = 32.8b USD (29.2b + Debt 16.3b - CCE 12.8b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.74 (Ebit TTM 2.71b / Interest Expense TTM 3.65b)
EV/FCF = 13.94x (Enterprise Value 32.8b / FCF TTM 2.35b)
FCF Yield = 7.17% (FCF TTM 2.35b / Enterprise Value 32.8b)
FCF Margin = 20.52% (FCF TTM 2.35b / Revenue TTM 11.5b)
Net Margin = 18.54% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Revenue TTM 11.5b)
Gross Margin = 70.59% ((Revenue TTM 11.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.26% (prev 67.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.14 (Enterprise Value 32.8b / Total Assets 234b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.32% (Interest Expense 3.65b / Debt 16.3b)
Taxrate = 21.58% (585.0m / 2.71b)
NOPAT = 2.13b (EBIT 2.71b * (1 - 21.58%))
Current Ratio = 11.01 (Total Current Assets 12.8b / Total Current Liabilities 1.16b)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 16.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 26.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.14 (Net Debt 3.59b / EBITDA 3.15b)
Debt / FCF = 1.53 (Net Debt 3.59b / FCF TTM 2.35b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 26.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.94% (Net Income 2.13b / Total Assets 234b)
RoE = 8.14% (Net Income TTM 2.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 26.1b)
RoCE = 6.64% (EBIT 2.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 26.1b + L.T.Debt 14.7b))
RoIC = 0.91% (NOPAT 2.13b / Invested Capital 233b)
WACC = 12.58% (E(29.2b)/V(45.6b) * Re(9.83%) + D(16.3b)/V(45.6b) * Rd(22.32%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.42 | Cagr: -3.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.54% ; FCFF base≈1.87b ; Y1≈2.15b ; Y5≈3.16b
[DCF] Fair Price = 55.87 (EV 27.1b - Net Debt 3.59b = Equity 23.5b / Shares 421.2m; r=12.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 24.15 | EPS CAGR: 3.40% | SUE: 3.84 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -67.09 | Revenue CAGR: -2.92% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.30 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+37.4% | GrowthRev=+11.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.53 | Chg30d=+0.30% | Revisions=+53% | GrowthEPS=+23.2% | GrowthRev=+8.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +57% (up=15, down=3)