Overview Dividends

(CGAU) Centerra Gold - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA1520061021

Gold,Copper,Molybdenum

CGAU EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 48.20%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 73.0%

CGAU Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 26.22%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 66.0%

Description: CGAU Centerra Gold August 13, 2025

Centerra Gold Inc (NYSE:CGAU) is a Canadian mining company operating in the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry. The companys stock performance is influenced by various factors, including gold prices, production costs, and geopolitical risks. To evaluate the stocks potential, its essential to analyze key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, production volume, and cost per ounce.

The companys income tax expense is a crucial aspect of its financials, as it directly impacts net income. A thorough analysis of the yearly income tax expense would reveal trends and anomalies, helping investors understand the companys tax strategy and potential risks. Factors such as changes in tax laws, jurisdictional tax rates, and the companys operational structure can significantly impact the income tax expense.

Centerra Golds market capitalization stands at $1.44 billion, with a forward P/E ratio of 7.30, indicating the markets expectations for future earnings growth. The return on equity (RoE) is 2.62%, suggesting that the company may be facing challenges in generating returns for shareholders. To improve RoE, the company could focus on optimizing production costs, increasing gold production, or exploring new projects with higher returns.

Economic drivers for Centerra Gold include gold prices, which are influenced by factors such as inflation, interest rates, and global demand for safe-haven assets. The companys production costs, including labor, energy, and materials, also play a crucial role in determining profitability. Additionally, geopolitical risks, such as changes in government policies or regulations, can impact the companys operations and profitability.

CGAU Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	2,370m
Sub-Industry	Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception	2021-04-15

CGAU Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	72.7%
Fundamental	79.3%
Dividend Rating	40.2%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	55.1%
Analyst Rating	3.75 of 5

CGAU Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	1.76%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.32%
Annual Growth 5y	11.29%
Payout Consistency	66.8%
Payout Ratio	22.4%

CGAU Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	91.5%
Growth Correlation 12m	90.4%
Growth Correlation 5y	-17.2%
CAGR 5y	36.72%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.92
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	2.55
Sharpe Ratio 12m	1.63
Alpha	55.02
Beta	1.302
Volatility	43.93%
Current Volume	1295.8k
Average Volume 20d	1645.6k
Stop Loss	10.6 (-6.8%)
Signal	-0.30

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (338.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 77.1m TTM)

FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.55pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 54.47% (prev 54.86%; Δ -0.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 176.7m <= Net Income 338.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-561.8m) to EBITDA (532.5m) ratio: -1.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (210.4m) change vs 12m ago -1.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.43% (prev 32.16%; Δ 2.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 51.17% (prev 53.46%; Δ -2.29pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 39.13 (EBITDA TTM 532.5m / Interest Expense TTM 10.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.90

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 1.07b - Total Current Liabilities 370.8m) / Total Assets 2.69b

(B) 0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.17b / Total Assets 2.69b

(D) 2.54 = Book Value of Equity 1.91b / Total Liabilities 750.5m

Total Rating: 6.90 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.33

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50

2. FCF Yield 1.72% = 0.86

3. FCF Margin 2.45% = 0.61

4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -1.05 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.71)% = 12.13

7. RoE 19.47% = 1.62

8. Rev. Trend 66.01% = 4.95

9. EPS Trend 73.02% = 3.65

What is the price of CGAU shares?

As of November 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 11.37 with a total of 1,295,777 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.16%, over one month by -2.07%, over three months by +56.63% and over the past year by +84.45%.

Is Centerra Gold a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Centerra Gold (NYSE:CGAU) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 79.33 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CGAU is around 11.21 USD . This means that CGAU is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.41%.

Is CGAU a buy, sell or hold?

Centerra Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold CGAU.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CGAU price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	10.7	-5.9%
Analysts Target Price	10.7	-5.9%
ValueRay Target Price	12.8	12.2%

CGAU Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025

Market Cap USD = 2.37b (2.37b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.2857
P/E Forward = 10.7643
P/S = 1.8441
P/B = 1.352
Beta = 1.302
Revenue TTM = 1.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 413.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 532.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 20.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 12.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 20.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -561.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.83b USD (2.37b + Debt 20.1m - CCE 561.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 39.13 (Ebit TTM 413.6m / Interest Expense TTM 10.6m)
FCF Yield = 1.72% (FCF TTM 31.5m / Enterprise Value 1.83b)
FCF Margin = 2.45% (FCF TTM 31.5m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Net Margin = 26.35% (Net Income TTM 338.7m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Gross Margin = 34.43% ((Revenue TTM 1.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 842.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.48% (prev 30.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 1.83b / Total Assets 2.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.86% (Interest Expense 2.99m / Debt 20.1m)
Taxrate = 16.94% (59.6m / 351.8m)
NOPAT = 343.5m (EBIT 413.6m * (1 - 16.94%))
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 1.07b / Total Current Liabilities 370.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 20.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.05 (Net Debt -561.8m / EBITDA 532.5m)
Debt / FCF = -17.85 (Net Debt -561.8m / FCF TTM 31.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.59% (Net Income 338.7m / Total Assets 2.69b)
RoE = 19.47% (Net Income TTM 338.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = 23.50% (EBIT 413.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 20.1m))
RoIC = 20.53% (NOPAT 343.5m / Invested Capital 1.67b)
WACC = 10.82% (E(2.37b)/V(2.39b) * Re(10.81%) + D(20.1m)/V(2.39b) * Rd(14.86%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -9.89%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.10% ; FCFE base≈100.3m ; Y1≈65.9m ; Y5≈30.1m
Fair Price DCF = 1.99 (DCF Value 402.3m / Shares Outstanding 201.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 73.02 | EPS CAGR: 48.20% | SUE: 3.14 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 66.01 | Revenue CAGR: 26.22% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for CGAU Stock

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