Overview Dividends

(CGAU) Centerra Gold - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA1520061021

Gold, Copper, Molybdenum

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3y CAGR): 48.20%
EPS Trend (3y Corr): 73.0%

Last SUE: 3.14σ
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Revenue Growth (3y CAGR): 26.22%
Revenue Trend (3y Corr): 66.0%

Last SUE: 0.32σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	42.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	66.7%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.40%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.75
Alpha	105.28

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.321
Beta	0.408
Beta Downside	0.541

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	39.82%
Mean DD	14.48%
Median DD	13.08%

Description: CGAU Centerra Gold November 13, 2025

Centerra Gold Inc. (NYSE:CGAU) is a Toronto-based mining company that acquires, explores, develops, and operates gold-copper assets in North America, Turkey, and other regions, with a secondary focus on molybdenum. Its flagship operations are the Mount Milligan gold-copper mine in British Columbia and the Öksüt gold mine in Türkiye, complemented by development projects such as Kemess (BC), Goldfield District (Nevada), the Langeloth molybdenum processing hub in Pennsylvania, Thompson Creek (Idaho), and a 75 % stake in the Endako mine (BC).

Recent performance metrics (2023) show Mount Milligan delivering ~250,000 oz of gold and ~45,000 t of copper, while operating cash costs averaged US$950 per ounce of gold equivalent-well below the industry median of roughly US$1,200. The company’s net debt stood at US$350 million, giving it a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.2×, indicating modest leverage relative to peers.

Key economic drivers include the persistent upside in gold prices driven by central-bank balance-sheet expansions and inflation concerns, and a strong copper demand outlook tied to electric-vehicle production and renewable-energy infrastructure. Sector-wide, diversified miners benefit from higher commodity prices but must manage geopolitical risk, especially in Turkey, and the capital intensity of expanding underground operations.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Centerra’s valuation dynamics, a quick look at the ValueRay platform can surface comparable peer multiples and scenario-based forecasts.

CGAU Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	2,505m
Sub-Industry	Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception	2021-04-15
Return 12m vs S&P 500	80.6%
Analyst Rating	3.75 of 5

CGAU Dividends

Metric	Value
Dividend Yield	1.67%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.51%
Yield CAGR 5y	11.29%
Payout Consistency	66.8%
Payout Ratio	22.4%

CGAU Growth Ratios

Metric	Value
CAGR 3y	35.18%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.88
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	2.43
Current Volume	811.8k
Average Volume	1286k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (338.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 77.1m TTM)

FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 54.47% (prev 54.86%; Δ -0.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 338.3m <= Net Income 338.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-561.8m) to EBITDA (559.2m) ratio: -1.00 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (210.4m) change vs 12m ago -1.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.43% (prev 32.16%; Δ 2.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 51.17% (prev 53.46%; Δ -2.29pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 38.91 (EBITDA TTM 559.2m / Interest Expense TTM 11.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.97

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 1.07b - Total Current Liabilities 370.8m) / Total Assets 2.69b

(B) 0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.17b / Total Assets 2.69b

(D) 2.54 = Book Value of Equity 1.91b / Total Liabilities 750.5m

Total Rating: 6.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.07

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50

2. FCF Yield 6.63% = 3.31

3. FCF Margin 10.12% = 2.53

4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -1.00 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.46)% = 12.50

7. RoE 19.47% = 1.62

8. Rev. Trend 66.01% = 4.95

9. EPS Trend 73.02% = 3.65

What is the price of CGAU shares?

As of November 20, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 12.02 with a total of 811,810 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.91%, over one month by -0.50%, over three months by +71.41% and over the past year by +105.16%.

Is CGAU a buy, sell or hold?

Centerra Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold CGAU.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CGAU price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	10.7	-11%
Analysts Target Price	10.7	-11%
ValueRay Target Price	12.9	7.5%

CGAU Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025

Market Cap USD = 2.50b (2.50b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.472
P/E Forward = 9.3197
P/S = 1.9485
P/B = 1.264
Beta = 1.226
Revenue TTM = 1.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 440.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 559.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 17.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 20.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -561.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.96b USD (2.50b + Debt 20.1m - CCE 561.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 38.91 (Ebit TTM 440.2m / Interest Expense TTM 11.3m)
FCF Yield = 6.63% (FCF TTM 130.1m / Enterprise Value 1.96b)
FCF Margin = 10.12% (FCF TTM 130.1m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Net Margin = 26.35% (Net Income TTM 338.7m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Gross Margin = 34.43% ((Revenue TTM 1.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 842.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.48% (prev 30.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 1.96b / Total Assets 2.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.86% (Interest Expense 2.99m / Debt 20.1m)
Taxrate = 16.94% (59.6m / 351.8m)
NOPAT = 365.7m (EBIT 440.2m * (1 - 16.94%))
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 1.07b / Total Current Liabilities 370.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 20.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.00 (Net Debt -561.8m / EBITDA 559.2m)
Debt / FCF = -4.32 (Net Debt -561.8m / FCF TTM 130.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.59% (Net Income 338.7m / Total Assets 2.69b)
RoE = 19.47% (Net Income TTM 338.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = 25.05% (EBIT 440.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 17.6m))
RoIC = 21.02% (NOPAT 365.7m / Invested Capital 1.74b)
WACC = 7.56% (E(2.50b)/V(2.52b) * Re(7.52%) + D(20.1m)/V(2.52b) * Rd(14.86%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 7.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈159.5m ; Y1≈104.7m ; Y5≈47.9m
Fair Price DCF = 4.67 (DCF Value 941.4m / Shares Outstanding 201.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 73.02 | EPS CAGR: 48.20% | SUE: 3.14 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 66.01 | Revenue CAGR: 26.22% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0

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