(CGAU) Centerra Gold - Overview
Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Gold | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 3.271m USD | Total Return: 141.8% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 24.4M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 85.4%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Centerra Gold Inc. is a Toronto-based mining company focused on the operation and development of gold, copper, and molybdenum assets across North America and Turkey. Its core portfolio includes the Mount Milligan mine in British Columbia and the Öksüt mine in Turkey, alongside several development-stage projects in Nevada and Idaho.
The company operates within the diversified metals and mining sector, where business models often rely on polymetallic deposits to hedge against price volatility in a single commodity. By maintaining a dedicated molybdenum business unit, Centerra integrates metallurgical processing with primary extraction to capture value across the industrial supply chain. Investors can use ValueRay to further analyze the companys asset valuation and debt levels.
- Mount Milligan mine production levels drive gold and copper revenue volatility
- Turkish regulatory environment impacts steady state operations at Oksut gold mine
- Global molybdenum price fluctuations influence margins for North American processing assets
- Capital expenditure requirements for Kemess and Goldfield projects affect free cash flow
- Gold and copper spot price movements dictate overall enterprise valuation levels
| Net Income: 635.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.98% < 20% (prev 57.34%; Δ -14.36% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 408.6m > Net Income 635.9m |
| Net Debt (-510.0m) to EBITDA (949.0m): -0.54 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (201.5m) vs 12m ago -5.72% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.93% > 18% (prev 0.32%; Δ 3.46k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 57.26% > 50% (prev 52.31%; Δ 4.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 51.90 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 949.0m / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m) |
| A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 1.14b - Total Current Liabilities 472.3m) / Total Assets 3.09b |
| B: 0.46 (Retained Earnings 1.43b / Total Assets 3.09b) |
| C: 0.31 (EBIT TTM 828.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.70b) |
| D: 2.11 (Book Value of Equity 2.07b / Total Liabilities 981.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.20 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.67 (Receivables 134.7m/157.7m, Revenue 1.54b/1.21b) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 34.93% / 31.70%) |
| AQI: 1.31 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 1.54b / 1.21b) |
| TATA: 0.07 (NI 635.9m - CFO 408.6m) / TA 3.09b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of May 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.05 with a total of 714,539 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.35%,
over one month by -5.20%,
over three months by -18.45% and
over the past year by +141.83%.
Centerra Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CGAU.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 17.8 | 4.1% |
P/E Trailing = 5.3129
P/E Forward = 8.0321
P/S = 2.0837
P/B = 1.5597
Revenue TTM = 1.54b USD
EBIT TTM = 828.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 949.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 35.6m USD (estimated: total debt 43.9m - short term 8.23m)
Short Term Debt = 8.23m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 43.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 43.7m already included)
Net Debt = -510.0m USD (calculated: Debt 43.9m - CCE 553.9m)
Enterprise Value = 2.76b USD (3.27b + Debt 43.9m - CCE 553.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 51.90 (Ebit TTM 828.3m / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.93x (Enterprise Value 2.76b / FCF TTM 131.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.78% (FCF TTM 131.9m / Enterprise Value 2.76b)
FCF Margin = 8.54% (FCF TTM 131.9m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Net Margin = 41.17% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Revenue TTM 1.54b)
Gross Margin = 34.93% ((Revenue TTM 1.54b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.77% (prev 31.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 2.76b / Total Assets 3.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 36.37% (Interest Expense 16.0m / Debt 43.9m)
Taxrate = 40.11% (53.2m / 132.6m)
NOPAT = 496.1m (EBIT 828.3m * (1 - 40.11%))
Current Ratio = 2.41 (Total Current Assets 1.14b / Total Current Liabilities 472.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 43.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.54 (Net Debt -510.0m / EBITDA 949.0m)
Debt / FCF = -3.87 (Net Debt -510.0m / FCF TTM 131.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.58% (Net Income 635.9m / Total Assets 3.09b)
RoE = 32.60% (Net Income TTM 635.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.95b)
RoCE = 41.70% (EBIT 828.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.95b + L.T.Debt 35.6m))
RoIC = 20.48% (NOPAT 496.1m / Invested Capital 2.42b)
WACC = 8.81% (E(3.27b)/V(3.31b) * Re(8.64%) + D(43.9m)/V(3.31b) * Rd(36.37%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 8.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -2.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.48% ; FCFF base≈106.1m ; Y1≈121.7m ; Y5≈179.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 15.11 (EV 2.49b - Net Debt -510.0m = Equity 3.00b / Shares 198.6m; r=8.81% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.42 | Revenue CAGR: 17.27% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=-8.10% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=-9.22% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.88 | Chg30d=-12.93% | Revisions=-7% | GrowthEPS=+69.3% | GrowthRev=+23.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.12 | Chg30d=+2.70% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+12.9% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -14%