Overview Dividends

(CGAU) Centerra Gold - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA1520061021

Gold, Copper, Molybdenum

Diversified Metals & Mining
Market Cap in USD: 2,344m

IPO / Inception: 2021-04-15
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 96.3%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 30.97%
EPS Trend: 55.8%

Last SUE: 3.14
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 12.86%
Rev. Trend: 63.4%

Last SUE: 0.32
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.55%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.38%
Yield CAGR 5y	11.29%
Payout Consistency	66.8%
Payout Ratio	22.4%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	43.3%
Value at Risk 5%th	67.7%
Relative Tail Risk	-4.96%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.90
Alpha	103.67
CAGR/Max DD	0.94

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.295
Beta	0.445
Beta Downside	0.571

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	39.82%
Mean DD	14.49%
Median DD	13.08%

Description: CGAU Centerra Gold November 13, 2025

Centerra Gold Inc. (NYSE:CGAU) is a Toronto-based mining company that acquires, explores, develops, and operates gold-copper assets in North America, Turkey, and other regions, with a secondary focus on molybdenum. Its flagship operations are the Mount Milligan gold-copper mine in British Columbia and the Öksüt gold mine in Türkiye, complemented by development projects such as Kemess (BC), Goldfield District (Nevada), the Langeloth molybdenum processing hub in Pennsylvania, Thompson Creek (Idaho), and a 75 % stake in the Endako mine (BC).

Recent performance metrics (2023) show Mount Milligan delivering ~250,000 oz of gold and ~45,000 t of copper, while operating cash costs averaged US$950 per ounce of gold equivalent-well below the industry median of roughly US$1,200. The company’s net debt stood at US$350 million, giving it a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.2×, indicating modest leverage relative to peers.

Key economic drivers include the persistent upside in gold prices driven by central-bank balance-sheet expansions and inflation concerns, and a strong copper demand outlook tied to electric-vehicle production and renewable-energy infrastructure. Sector-wide, diversified miners benefit from higher commodity prices but must manage geopolitical risk, especially in Turkey, and the capital intensity of expanding underground operations.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Centerra’s valuation dynamics, a quick look at the ValueRay platform can surface comparable peer multiples and scenario-based forecasts.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (338.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 77.1m TTM)

FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 54.47% (prev 54.44%; Δ 0.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 338.3m <= Net Income 338.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-544.2m) to EBITDA (680.3m) ratio: -0.80 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (210.4m) change vs 12m ago -1.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 31.68% (prev 33.27%; Δ -1.59pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 51.17% (prev 53.87%; Δ -2.70pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 32.71 (EBITDA TTM 680.3m / Interest Expense TTM 11.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.78

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 1.07b - Total Current Liabilities 370.8m) / Total Assets 2.69b

(B) 0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.17b / Total Assets 2.69b

(D) 2.54 = Book Value of Equity 1.91b / Total Liabilities 750.5m

Total Rating: 6.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.28

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield 7.25%

3. FCF Margin 10.12%

4. Debt/Equity 0.01

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.80

6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.96)%

7. RoE 19.47%

8. Rev. Trend 63.43%

9. EPS Trend 55.84%

What is the price of CGAU shares?

As of November 27, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 12.93 with a total of 1,385,133 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.57%, over one month by +19.87%, over three months by +65.17% and over the past year by +124.80%.

Is CGAU a buy, sell or hold?

Centerra Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold CGAU.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CGAU price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	10.7	-17.2%
Analysts Target Price	10.7	-17.2%
ValueRay Target Price	13.9	7.8%

CGAU Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025

Market Cap USD = 2.34b (2.34b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.205
P/E Forward = 8.9526
P/S = 1.8237
P/B = 1.2068
Beta = 1.226
Revenue TTM = 1.29b USD
EBIT TTM = 370.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 680.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 17.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.16m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -544.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.79b USD (2.34b + Debt 17.6m - CCE 568.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 32.71 (Ebit TTM 370.1m / Interest Expense TTM 11.3m)
FCF Yield = 7.25% (FCF TTM 130.1m / Enterprise Value 1.79b)
FCF Margin = 10.12% (FCF TTM 130.1m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Net Margin = 26.35% (Net Income TTM 338.7m / Revenue TTM 1.29b)
Gross Margin = 31.68% ((Revenue TTM 1.29b - Cost of Revenue TTM 878.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.53% (prev 30.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 1.79b / Total Assets 2.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.96% (Interest Expense 2.99m / Debt 17.6m)
Taxrate = 16.94% (59.6m / 351.8m)
NOPAT = 307.4m (EBIT 370.1m * (1 - 16.94%))
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 1.07b / Total Current Liabilities 370.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 17.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.80 (Net Debt -544.2m / EBITDA 680.3m)
Debt / FCF = -4.18 (Net Debt -544.2m / FCF TTM 130.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.59% (Net Income 338.7m / Total Assets 2.69b)
RoE = 19.47% (Net Income TTM 338.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = 21.06% (EBIT 370.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 17.6m))
RoIC = 17.67% (NOPAT 307.4m / Invested Capital 1.74b)
WACC = 7.71% (E(2.34b)/V(2.36b) * Re(7.66%) + D(17.6m)/V(2.36b) * Rd(16.96%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈159.2m ; Y1≈104.5m ; Y5≈47.8m
Fair Price DCF = 4.66 (DCF Value 939.4m / Shares Outstanding 201.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 55.84 | EPS CAGR: 30.97% | SUE: 3.14 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 63.43 | Revenue CAGR: 12.86% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for CGAU Stock

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