Overview Dividends

(CGAU) Centerra Gold - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA1520061021

Gold,Copper,Molybdenum

CGAU EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 71.05%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 60.7%

CGAU Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 18.93%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 67.5%

Description: CGAU Centerra Gold

Centerra Gold Inc (NYSE:CGAU) is a Canadian mining company operating in the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry. The companys stock performance is influenced by various factors, including gold prices, production costs, and geopolitical risks. To evaluate the stocks potential, its essential to analyze key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, production volume, and cost per ounce.

The companys income tax expense is a crucial aspect of its financials, as it directly impacts net income. A thorough analysis of the yearly income tax expense would reveal trends and anomalies, helping investors understand the companys tax strategy and potential risks. Factors such as changes in tax laws, jurisdictional tax rates, and the companys operational structure can significantly impact the income tax expense.

Centerra Golds market capitalization stands at $1.44 billion, with a forward P/E ratio of 7.30, indicating the markets expectations for future earnings growth. The return on equity (RoE) is 2.62%, suggesting that the company may be facing challenges in generating returns for shareholders. To improve RoE, the company could focus on optimizing production costs, increasing gold production, or exploring new projects with higher returns.

Economic drivers for Centerra Gold include gold prices, which are influenced by factors such as inflation, interest rates, and global demand for safe-haven assets. The companys production costs, including labor, energy, and materials, also play a crucial role in determining profitability. Additionally, geopolitical risks, such as changes in government policies or regulations, can impact the companys operations and profitability.

CGAU Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,598m
Sub-Industry	Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception	2021-04-15

CGAU Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	2.25%
Fundamental	61.2%
Dividend Rating	40.6%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	0.79%
Analyst Rating	3.75 of 5

CGAU Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.72%
Yield on Cost 5y	1.79%
Annual Growth 5y	8.93%
Payout Consistency	66.8%
Payout Ratio	26.9%

CGAU Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	16.9%
Growth Correlation 12m	43.9%
Growth Correlation 5y	-38.1%
CAGR 5y	-6.15%
CAGR/Max DD 5y	-0.09
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.70
Alpha	-5.14
Beta	1.513
Volatility	43.95%
Current Volume	1589.2k
Average Volume 20d	1457.9k
Stop Loss	7.9 (-3.3%)
Signal	3.08

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (75.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 72.8m TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -10.63pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 56.63% (prev 54.58%; Δ 2.05pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 280.3m > Net Income 75.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-502.8m) to EBITDA (264.6m) ratio: -1.90 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 3.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (210.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 31.14% (prev 32.22%; Δ -1.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 52.79% (prev 55.54%; Δ -2.75pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 12.04 (EBITDA TTM 264.6m / Interest Expense TTM 12.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 6.48

(A) 0.30 = (Total Current Assets 967.2m - Total Current Liabilities 279.7m) / Total Assets 2.32b

(B) 0.38 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 886.5m / Total Assets 2.32b

(D) 2.72 = Book Value of Equity 1.67b / Total Liabilities 613.6m

Total Rating: 6.48 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.19

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50

2. FCF Yield 4.85% = 2.42

3. FCF Margin 5.68% = 1.42

4. Debt/Equity 0.20 = 2.48

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.31 = 1.29

6. ROIC - WACC -5.63% = -7.04

7. RoE 4.45% = 0.37

8. Rev. Trend 67.49% = 3.37

9. Rev. CAGR 18.93% = 2.37

10. EPS Trend 60.65% = 1.52

11. EPS CAGR 71.05% = 2.50

What is the price of CGAU shares?

As of August 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 8.17 with a total of 1,589,206 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.42%, over one month by +15.71%, over three months by +15.23% and over the past year by +17.89%.

Is Centerra Gold a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Centerra Gold is currently (August 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 61.19 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CGAU is around 7.43 USD . This means that CGAU is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.06%.

Is CGAU a buy, sell or hold?

Centerra Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefor, it is recommend to hold CGAU.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CGAU price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	9.3	13.2%
Analysts Target Price	9.3	13.2%
ValueRay Target Price	8.4	2.3%

Last update: 2025-08-28 04:34

CGAU Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 1.60b (1.60b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 522.3m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 23.1176
P/E Forward = 7.8003
P/S = 1.3161
P/B = 0.9379
Beta = 1.112
Revenue TTM = 1.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 145.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 264.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 333.9m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 346.8m USD (Calculated: Short Term 12.9m + Long Term 333.9m)
Net Debt = -502.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.42b USD (1.60b + Debt 346.8m - CCE 522.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.04 (Ebit TTM 145.9m / Interest Expense TTM 12.1m)
FCF Yield = 4.85% (FCF TTM 68.9m / Enterprise Value 1.42b)
FCF Margin = 5.68% (FCF TTM 68.9m / Revenue TTM 1.21b)
Net Margin = 6.20% (Net Income TTM 75.3m / Revenue TTM 1.21b)
Gross Margin = 31.14% ((Revenue TTM 1.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 836.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 1.42b / Book Value Of Equity 1.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 4.08m / Debt 346.8m)
Taxrate = 53.81% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 93.7m / 174.1m)
NOPAT = 67.4m (EBIT 145.9m * (1 - 53.81%))
Current Ratio = 3.46 (Total Current Assets 967.2m / Total Current Liabilities 279.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 346.8m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.31 (Net Debt -502.8m / EBITDA 264.6m)
Debt / FCF = 5.03 (Debt 346.8m / FCF TTM 68.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.69b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.25% (Net Income 75.3m, Total Assets 2.32b )
RoE = 4.45% (Net Income TTM 75.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.69b)
RoCE = 7.21% (Ebit 145.9m / (Equity 1.69b + L.T.Debt 333.9m))
RoIC = 3.99% (NOPAT 67.4m / Invested Capital 1.69b)
WACC = 9.62% (E(1.60b)/V(1.94b) * Re(11.59%)) + (D(346.8m)/V(1.94b) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.54)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -90.0 | Cagr: -8.39%
Discount Rate = 11.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.33% ; FCFE base≈165.6m ; Y1≈108.7m ; Y5≈49.7m
Fair Price DCF = 3.01 (DCF Value 611.6m / Shares Outstanding 203.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 67.49 | Revenue CAGR: 18.93%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -39.76
EPS Correlation: 60.65 | EPS CAGR: 71.05%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -143.3

Additional Sources for CGAU Stock

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