CHWY Stock Analysis: Chewy | NYSE
Internet Retail | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.595m USD | 12M Return: -53.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 212M
EPS Trend: 92.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
Chewy, Inc. (NYSE: CHWY) is a U.S.-based pure-play online retailer of pet products and services, operating through retail websites and mobile applications. Its catalog spans pet food and treats, supplies, medications, and other health-related products, supplemented by pet services offerings. A key feature of its business model is the Autoship subscription program, which enables scheduled, recurring delivery of products to customers and supports customer retention. Founded in 2010 and headquartered in Plantation, Florida, Chewy went public in June 2019 and is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under specialty retail. As a digital-first player in the pet category, it competes in a market that combines e-commerce distribution with the broader, relatively resilient pet care industry, where food and consumables typically represent the largest share of household pet spending.
- Autoship subscription penetration lifts recurring revenue and customer retention
- Pet pharmacy and insurance vertical expands gross margins
- Amazon and Walmart competition pressures online pet food market share
| Net Income: 199.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.97% < 20% (prev -3.54%; Δ -0.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 713.7m > Net Income 199.6m |
| Net Debt (-36.0m) to EBITDA (368.4m): -0.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (424.1m) vs 12m ago -0.28% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.72% > 18% (prev 29.24%; Δ 0.49% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 400.7% > 50% (prev 395.4%; Δ 5.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 50.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM 232.1m / Interest Expense TTM 4.60m) |
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 1.84b - Total Current Liabilities 2.34b) / Total Assets 3.30b |
| B: -0.38 (Retained Earnings -1.27b / Total Assets 3.30b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 232.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.18b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 424.2m / Total Liabilities 2.88b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.61 = D |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 231.4m/200.0m, Revenue 12.8b/12.1b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 29.24% / 29.72%) |
| AQI: 1.29 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 12.8b / 12.1b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI 199.6m - CFO 713.7m) / TA 3.30b) |
| Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 19.42 with a total of 8,548,313 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.08%, over one month by -11.80%, over three months by -27.22% and over the past year by -53.89%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 18.00 (which is 7.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Chewy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CHWY.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 31.1 | 59.9% |
P/E Trailing = 30.9167
P/E Forward = 12.7065
P/S = 0.5914
P/B = 17.9039
P/EG = 0.3748
Revenue TTM = 12.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 232.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 368.4m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 38.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 484.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 484.1m already included)
Net Debt = -36.0m USD (calculated: Debt 484.1m - CCE 520.1m)
Enterprise Value = 7.56b USD (7.59b + Debt 484.1m - CCE 520.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 50.46 (Ebit TTM 232.1m / Interest Expense TTM 4.60m)
EV/FCF = 12.93x (Enterprise Value 7.56b / FCF TTM 584.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.73% (FCF TTM 584.5m / Enterprise Value 7.56b)
FCF Margin = 4.58% (FCF TTM 584.5m / Revenue TTM 12.8b)
Net Margin = 1.57% (Net Income TTM 199.6m / Revenue TTM 12.8b)
Gross Margin = 29.72% ((Revenue TTM 12.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.40% (prev 29.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.29 (Enterprise Value 7.56b / Total Assets 3.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.95% (Interest Expense 4.60m / Debt 484.1m)
Taxrate = 12.26% (27.9m / 227.5m)
NOPAT = 203.6m (EBIT 232.1m * (1 - 12.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.78 (Total Current Assets 1.84b / Total Current Liabilities 2.34b)
Debt / Equity = 1.14 (Debt 484.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 424.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.10 (Net Debt -36.0m / EBITDA 368.4m)
Debt / FCF = -0.06 (Net Debt -36.0m / FCF TTM 584.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 445.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.27% (Net Income 199.6m / Total Assets 3.30b)
RoE = 44.82% (Net Income TTM 199.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 445.4m)
RoCE = 24.20% (EBIT 232.1m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 3.30b - Current Liab 2.34b))
RoIC = 42.67% (NOPAT 203.6m / Invested Capital 477.2m)
WACC = 8.53% (E(7.59b)/V(8.08b) * Re(9.02%) + D(484.1m)/V(8.08b) * Rd(0.95%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 9.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -67.42 | Cagr: -1.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.39% ; FCFF base≈530.1m ; Y1≈607.7m ; Y5≈894.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 56.17 (EV 13.0b - Net Debt -36.0m = Equity 13.1b / Shares 232.9m; r=8.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.93 | EPS CAGR: 48.59% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.78 | Revenue CAGR: 6.55% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.43 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=-6.93% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=-5.64% | Revisions=-60% | GrowthEPS=+20.2% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=-6.34% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+20.6% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -60%