(CIVI) Civitas Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Liquids-Rich Natural Gas, DJ Basin, Permian Basin
CIVI EPS (Earnings per Share)
CIVI Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 54.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 90.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.03% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.57 |
| Alpha | -63.12 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.442 |
| Beta | 1.848 |
| Beta Downside | 2.451 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.18% |
| Mean DD | 25.25% |
| Median DD | 17.66% |
Description: CIVI Civitas Resources November 09, 2025
Civitas Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CIVI) is an upstream oil and gas firm that acquires, develops, and produces crude oil and liquids-rich natural gas. Its portfolio consists of roughly 356,800 net acres in Colorado’s Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin and about 120,400 net acres across the Permian Basin in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico. The company, formerly Bonanza Creek Energy, was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Denver.
Key operational metrics (as of the latest quarterly filing) show an average daily production of ~5,200 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE), with a cash-flow breakeven near $55 per barrel of oil equivalent-a level that remains sensitive to the current $80-$85 WTI price range. The DJ Basin assets are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for natural-gas-rich liquids in the Rocky Mountain market, while the Permian acreage offers upside potential from incremental drilling in high-margin “sweet spots” as rig activity rebounds after the 2023 slowdown.
For a deeper quantitative view of CIVI’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
CIVI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,426m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-12-15 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -50.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
CIVI Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.03% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.88% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 62.28% |
| Payout Consistency | 82.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.3% |
CIVI Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -17.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.27 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.71 |
| Current Volume | 1983.6k |
| Average Volume | 1983.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (638.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 282.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -16.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -15.94% (prev -22.92%; Δ 6.98pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.74b > Net Income 638.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.08b) to EBITDA (3.26b) ratio: 1.56 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.56 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (89.0m) change vs 12m ago -9.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 43.88% (prev 43.41%; Δ 0.47pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 31.25% (prev 33.56%; Δ -2.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.80 (EBITDA TTM 3.26b / Interest Expense TTM 454.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.94
| (A) -0.05 = (Total Current Assets 945.0m - Total Current Liabilities 1.70b) / Total Assets 15.11b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.04b / Total Assets 15.11b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.27b / Avg Total Assets 15.06b |
| (D) 0.24 = Book Value of Equity 2.05b / Total Liabilities 8.43b |
| Total Rating: 0.94 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.05
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.43% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.84% = 4.96 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.77 = 2.21 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.56 = 0.85 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.89)% = 3.61 |
| 7. RoE 9.52% = 0.79 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 68.24% = 5.12 |
| 9. EPS Trend -59.95% = -3.00 |
What is the price of CIVI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.53%, over one month by +1.61%, over three months by -13.86% and over the past year by -42.13%.
Is Civitas Resources a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CIVI is around 24.77 USD . This means that CIVI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -12.87%.
Is CIVI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CIVI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.9 | 36.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.9 | 36.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.8 | -5.6% |
CIVI Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 4.1277
P/E Forward = 8.1301
P/S = 0.5149
P/B = 0.3558
P/EG = 0.6253
Beta = 0.876
Revenue TTM = 4.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.14b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 50.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.51b USD (2.43b + Debt 5.14b - CCE 56.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.80 (Ebit TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM 454.9m)
FCF Yield = 12.43% (FCF TTM 933.7m / Enterprise Value 7.51b)
FCF Margin = 19.84% (FCF TTM 933.7m / Revenue TTM 4.71b)
Net Margin = 13.56% (Net Income TTM 638.1m / Revenue TTM 4.71b)
Gross Margin = 43.88% ((Revenue TTM 4.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.89% (prev 28.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 7.51b / Total Assets 15.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.34% (Interest Expense 120.0m / Debt 5.14b)
Taxrate = 24.36% (57.0m / 234.0m)
NOPAT = 962.0m (EBIT 1.27b * (1 - 24.36%))
Current Ratio = 0.56 (Total Current Assets 945.0m / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 5.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.56 (Net Debt 5.08b / EBITDA 3.26b)
Debt / FCF = 5.44 (Net Debt 5.08b / FCF TTM 933.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.22% (Net Income 638.1m / Total Assets 15.11b)
RoE = 9.52% (Net Income TTM 638.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.70b)
RoCE = 10.74% (EBIT 1.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.70b + L.T.Debt 5.14b))
RoIC = 8.20% (NOPAT 962.0m / Invested Capital 11.73b)
WACC = 5.31% (E(2.43b)/V(7.57b) * Re(12.82%) + D(5.14b)/V(7.57b) * Rd(2.34%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.98%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 58.93% ; FCFE base≈1.92b ; Y1≈1.62b ; Y5≈1.22b
Fair Price DCF = 139.5 (DCF Value 11.90b / Shares Outstanding 85.3m; 5y FCF grow -18.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -59.95 | EPS CAGR: -8.85% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 68.24 | Revenue CAGR: 14.02% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for CIVI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle