(CMC) Commercial Metals - Ratings and Ratios
Rebar, Merchant Bars, Wire Rods, Scrap, Armor
CMC EPS (Earnings per Share)
CMC Revenue
Description: CMC Commercial Metals
Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is a diversified steel and metal products manufacturer, recycler, and fabricator operating globally, with a presence in the United States, Poland, China, and other international markets. The companys operations are segmented into North America Steel Group, Europe Steel Group, and Emerging Businesses Group, allowing for a broad range of products and services to be offered across different geographical regions.
The companys product portfolio includes finished long steel products such as reinforcing bar, merchant bar, and special sections, as well as semi-finished billets. Additionally, CMC provides fabricated rebar for construction projects, including commercial and non-commercial buildings, infrastructure, and industrial applications. The company also caters to the energy, transportation, and defense sectors with specialized products like strength bars, special bar steels, and armor plates.
From a financial perspective, CMC has demonstrated a stable presence in the steel industry, with a market capitalization of approximately $5.7 billion. Key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margins, and return on equity (ROE) are crucial in evaluating the companys financial health. Notably, the companys ROE stands at 0.9%, indicating room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.72 suggests that the market expects earnings growth in the future.
To further analyze CMCs performance, other relevant KPIs could include the debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and asset turnover ratio. These metrics can provide insights into the companys capital structure, ability to meet interest payments, and efficiency in utilizing assets to generate revenue. Furthermore, industry-specific KPIs such as steel production volumes, capacity utilization rates, and scrap metal prices can also impact CMCs financial performance and should be closely monitored.
CMC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,367m |
| Sub-Industry | Steel |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-01-01 |
CMC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 39.3% |
| Fundamental | 42.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 64.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -7.30% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.45 of 5 |
CMC Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.54% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.57% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 9.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.9% |
CMC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 70% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 11.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 85.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 11.78% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.31 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.96 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.96 |
| Alpha | -9.89 |
| Beta | 1.320 |
| Volatility | 33.14% |
| Current Volume | 2200k |
| Average Volume 20d | 974.1k |
| Stop Loss | 55.7 (-5%) |
| Signal | -0.08 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (84.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 467.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.09pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.67% (prev 31.01%; Δ -2.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 715.1m > Net Income 84.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (311.0m) to EBITDA (438.9m) ratio: 0.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.78 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (112.7m) change vs 12m ago -2.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.65% (prev 17.09%; Δ -1.44pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.5% (prev 116.3%; Δ -4.76pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.36 (EBITDA TTM 438.9m / Interest Expense TTM 45.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.82
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 3.49b - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 7.17b |
| (B) 0.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.51b / Total Assets 7.17b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 153.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.99b |
| (D) 1.51 = Book Value of Equity 4.48b / Total Liabilities 2.98b |
| Total Rating: 5.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.97
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.68% = 2.34 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.00% = 1.00 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.32 = 2.45 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.71 = 2.12 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.82)% = -8.53 |
| 7. RoE 2.08% = 0.17 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -49.77% = -3.73 |
| 9. EPS Trend -67.15% = -3.36 |
What is the price of CMC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.81%, over one month by +1.91%, over three months by +10.48% and over the past year by +7.92%.
Is Commercial Metals a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CMC is around 57.45 USD . This means that CMC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2%.
Is CMC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 64.2 | 9.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 64.2 | 9.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 64.4 | 9.9% |
Last update: 2025-10-19 02:01
CMC Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 77.5405
P/E Forward = 10.4058
P/S = 0.8165
P/B = 1.6021
P/EG = 12.2526
Beta = 1.32
Revenue TTM = 7.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 153.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 438.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.30b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 44.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 311.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.68b USD (6.37b + Debt 1.35b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 153.0m / Interest Expense TTM 45.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.68% (FCF TTM 312.2m / Enterprise Value 6.68b)
FCF Margin = 4.00% (FCF TTM 312.2m / Revenue TTM 7.80b)
Net Margin = 1.09% (Net Income TTM 84.7m / Revenue TTM 7.80b)
Gross Margin = 15.65% ((Revenue TTM 7.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.58% (prev 14.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 6.68b / Total Assets 7.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.90% (Interest Expense 12.1m / Debt 1.35b)
Taxrate = 21.45% (41.5m / 193.2m)
NOPAT = 120.2m (EBIT 153.0m * (1 - 21.45%))
Current Ratio = 2.78 (Total Current Assets 3.49b / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 1.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.71 (Net Debt 311.0m / EBITDA 438.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 311.0m / FCF TTM 312.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.18% (Net Income 84.7m / Total Assets 7.17b)
RoE = 2.08% (Net Income TTM 84.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.08b)
RoCE = 2.84% (EBIT 153.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.08b + L.T.Debt 1.30b))
RoIC = 2.28% (NOPAT 120.2m / Invested Capital 5.28b)
WACC = 9.10% (E(6.37b)/V(7.72b) * Re(10.88%) + D(1.35b)/V(7.72b) * Rd(0.90%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.16% ; FCFE base≈417.5m ; Y1≈324.3m ; Y5≈207.6m
Fair Price DCF = 23.10 (DCF Value 2.56b / Shares Outstanding 111.0m; 5y FCF grow -26.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -67.15 | EPS CAGR: -16.37% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -49.77 | Revenue CAGR: -1.87% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for CMC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle