(CMC) Commercial Metals - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US2017231034
Steel, Rebar, Scrap, Wire Rod, Fabricated Products
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.84% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.89% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.31 |
| Alpha | -10.38 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.411 |
| Beta | 1.261 |
| Beta Downside | 1.192 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.63% |
| Mean DD | 12.46% |
| Median DD | 10.92% |
Description: CMC Commercial Metals November 07, 2025
Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:CMC) manufactures, recycles, and fabricates a broad portfolio of steel and metal products across the United States, Poland, China, and other international markets. The firm operates through three segments-North America Steel Group, Europe Steel Group, and Emerging Businesses Group-serving steel mills, foundries, construction firms, and specialty end-users with both raw scrap metal and finished long-steel items such as reinforcing bar, merchant bar, and fabricated rebar.
Key metrics from the latest fiscal year show revenue of roughly $5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13%, reflecting the company’s integrated recycling model that captures low-cost scrap while mitigating exposure to volatile iron-ore prices. Demand for CMC’s products is closely linked to U.S. construction activity; the sector’s year-over-year growth of 4.5% in 2024 and the $1.2 trillion infrastructure investment package are primary tailwinds. Conversely, global steel overcapacity-particularly in China-pressures pricing, making CMC’s focus on high-margin specialty steels (e.g., armor plates, energy-sector bar steels) a strategic hedge.
For a deeper, data-driven view of CMC’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards useful as a next step in your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (84.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 467.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.09pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 28.67% (prev 31.01%; Δ -2.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 715.1m > Net Income 84.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (311.0m) to EBITDA (438.9m) ratio: 0.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.78 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (112.7m) change vs 12m ago -2.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 15.65% (prev 17.09%; Δ -1.44pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.5% (prev 116.3%; Δ -4.76pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.36 (EBITDA TTM 438.9m / Interest Expense TTM 45.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.82
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 3.49b - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 7.17b |
| (B) 0.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.51b / Total Assets 7.17b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 153.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.99b |
| (D) 1.51 = Book Value of Equity 4.48b / Total Liabilities 2.98b |
| Total Rating: 5.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.50
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.49% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.00% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.71 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.73)% |
| 7. RoE 2.08% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -46.76% |
| 9. EPS Trend -81.44% |
What is the price of CMC shares?
As of December 06, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 66.86 with a total of 1,643,021 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.83%, over one month by +16.52%, over three months by +13.25% and over the past year by +9.87%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.83%, over one month by +16.52%, over three months by +13.25% and over the past year by +9.87%.
Is CMC a buy, sell or hold?
Commercial Metals has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold CMC.
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 66.9 | -0% |
| Analysts Target Price | 66.9 | -0% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 74.5 | 11.5% |
CMC Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
Market Cap USD = 6.64b (6.64b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 80.1622
P/E Forward = 10.3093
P/S = 0.8514
P/B = 1.5699
P/EG = 12.2526
Beta = 1.5
Revenue TTM = 7.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 153.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 438.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 44.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 311.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.95b USD (6.64b + Debt 1.35b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 153.0m / Interest Expense TTM 45.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.49% (FCF TTM 312.2m / Enterprise Value 6.95b)
FCF Margin = 4.00% (FCF TTM 312.2m / Revenue TTM 7.80b)
Net Margin = 1.09% (Net Income TTM 84.7m / Revenue TTM 7.80b)
Gross Margin = 15.65% ((Revenue TTM 7.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.58% (prev 14.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 6.95b / Total Assets 7.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.90% (Interest Expense 12.1m / Debt 1.35b)
Taxrate = 21.45% (41.5m / 193.2m)
NOPAT = 120.2m (EBIT 153.0m * (1 - 21.45%))
Current Ratio = 2.78 (Total Current Assets 3.49b / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 1.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.71 (Net Debt 311.0m / EBITDA 438.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 311.0m / FCF TTM 312.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.18% (Net Income 84.7m / Total Assets 7.17b)
RoE = 2.08% (Net Income TTM 84.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.08b)
RoCE = 2.84% (EBIT 153.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.08b + L.T.Debt 1.31b))
RoIC = 2.25% (NOPAT 120.2m / Invested Capital 5.35b)
WACC = 8.97% (E(6.64b)/V(7.99b) * Re(10.66%) + D(1.35b)/V(7.99b) * Rd(0.90%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.93% ; FCFE base≈417.5m ; Y1≈324.3m ; Y5≈207.6m
Fair Price DCF = 23.71 (DCF Value 2.63b / Shares Outstanding 111.0m; 5y FCF grow -26.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -81.44 | EPS CAGR: -48.32% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -46.76 | Revenue CAGR: 1.74% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+0.135 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=5.94 | Chg30d=+0.683 | Revisions Net=+8 | Growth EPS=+89.9% | Growth Revenue=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=5.47 | Chg30d=+0.558 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-7.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
P/E Trailing = 80.1622
P/E Forward = 10.3093
P/S = 0.8514
P/B = 1.5699
P/EG = 12.2526
Beta = 1.5
Revenue TTM = 7.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 153.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 438.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 44.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 311.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.95b USD (6.64b + Debt 1.35b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 153.0m / Interest Expense TTM 45.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.49% (FCF TTM 312.2m / Enterprise Value 6.95b)
FCF Margin = 4.00% (FCF TTM 312.2m / Revenue TTM 7.80b)
Net Margin = 1.09% (Net Income TTM 84.7m / Revenue TTM 7.80b)
Gross Margin = 15.65% ((Revenue TTM 7.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.58% (prev 14.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 6.95b / Total Assets 7.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.90% (Interest Expense 12.1m / Debt 1.35b)
Taxrate = 21.45% (41.5m / 193.2m)
NOPAT = 120.2m (EBIT 153.0m * (1 - 21.45%))
Current Ratio = 2.78 (Total Current Assets 3.49b / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 1.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.71 (Net Debt 311.0m / EBITDA 438.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.00 (Net Debt 311.0m / FCF TTM 312.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.18% (Net Income 84.7m / Total Assets 7.17b)
RoE = 2.08% (Net Income TTM 84.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.08b)
RoCE = 2.84% (EBIT 153.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.08b + L.T.Debt 1.31b))
RoIC = 2.25% (NOPAT 120.2m / Invested Capital 5.35b)
WACC = 8.97% (E(6.64b)/V(7.99b) * Re(10.66%) + D(1.35b)/V(7.99b) * Rd(0.90%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.93% ; FCFE base≈417.5m ; Y1≈324.3m ; Y5≈207.6m
Fair Price DCF = 23.71 (DCF Value 2.63b / Shares Outstanding 111.0m; 5y FCF grow -26.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -81.44 | EPS CAGR: -48.32% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -46.76 | Revenue CAGR: 1.74% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+0.135 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=5.94 | Chg30d=+0.683 | Revisions Net=+8 | Growth EPS=+89.9% | Growth Revenue=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=5.47 | Chg30d=+0.558 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-7.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
Additional Sources for CMC Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle