(CMG) Chipotle Mexican Grill - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 45.076m USD | Total Return: -31.1% in 12m

Burritos, Bowls, Tacos, Salads, Sides
Total Rating 54
Safety 75
Buy Signal -0.11
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: -4.6
Market Cap: 45.1B
Avg Turnover: 469M USD
ATR: 3.62%
Peers RS (IBD): 32.9
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility39.4%
Rel. Tail Risk-11.7%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.97
Alpha-53.30
Character TTM
Beta0.679
Beta Downside0.874
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD56.51%
CAGR/Max DD-0.01
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CMG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.1072, "2021-06": 0.1492, "2021-09": 0.1404, "2021-12": 0.1116, "2022-03": 0.114, "2022-06": 0.186, "2022-09": 0.1902, "2022-12": 0.1658, "2023-03": 0.21, "2023-06": 0.253, "2023-09": 0.2272, "2023-12": 0.2072, "2024-03": 0.2674, "2024-06": 0.34, "2024-09": 0.27, "2024-12": 0.25, "2025-03": 0.29, "2025-06": 0.33, "2025-09": 0.29, "2025-12": 0.25,
EPS CAGR: 23.29%
EPS Trend: 79.7%
Last SUE: 0.81
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CMG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1741.575, 2021-06: 1892.538, 2021-09: 1952.315, 2021-12: 1960.633, 2022-03: 2020.539, 2022-06: 2213.339, 2022-09: 2220.175, 2022-12: 2180.599, 2023-03: 2368.58, 2023-06: 2514.801, 2023-09: 2471.948, 2023-12: 2516.32, 2024-03: 2701.848, 2024-06: 2973.117, 2024-09: 2793.576, 2024-12: 2845.31, 2025-03: 2875.253, 2025-06: 3063.393, 2025-09: 3003.444, 2025-12: 2983.511,
Rev. CAGR: 10.95%
Rev. Trend: 95.7%
Last SUE: 0.47
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. operates fast-casual restaurants specializing in Mexican-inspired food. The company emphasizes responsibly sourced ingredients, a key differentiator in the competitive restaurant sector.

CMG offers a menu including burritos, tacos, and salads. Digital ordering via its website, app, and third-party platforms is a significant component of its business model, reflecting a broader industry trend towards digital integration.

Operations extend beyond the United States to Canada, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Founded in 1993, CMG is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. Further research on platforms like ValueRay can provide deeper insights into CMGs financial performance and market position.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Digital sales growth boosts revenue
  • Food safety incidents impact brand trust
  • Labor costs pressure restaurant margins
  • Commodity price volatility affects profitability
  • International expansion drives new market growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 1.54b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.33 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 2.34% < 20% (prev 5.41%; Δ -3.07% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 2.11b > Net Income 1.54b
Net Debt (9.50b) to EBITDA (2.37b): 4.00 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.23 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.32b) vs 12m ago -3.57% < -2%
Gross Margin: 25.38% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2.51k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 131.1% > 50% (prev 122.9%; Δ 8.14% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 612.0 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.37b / Interest Expense TTM 3.29m)
Altman Z'' 2.02
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 1.47b - Total Current Liabilities 1.19b) / Total Assets 8.99b
B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 619.9m / Total Assets 8.99b)
C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 2.01b / Avg Total Assets 9.10b)
D: 0.10 (Book Value of Equity 625.7m / Total Liabilities 6.16b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.02 = BBB
Beneish M -3.28
DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 247.9m/211.2m, Revenue 11.93b/11.31b)
GMI: 1.05 (GM 25.38% / 26.67%)
AQI: 0.38 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.11)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 11.93b / 11.31b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 1.54b - CFO 2.11b) / TA 8.99b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.28 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of CMG shares? As of April 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 34.09 with a total of 9,832,485 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.76%, over one month by +4.70%, over three months by -15.49% and over the past year by -31.08%.
Is CMG a buy, sell or hold? Chipotle Mexican Grill has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CMG.
  • StrongBuy: 20
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CMG price?
Analysts Target Price 44 29.1%
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 29.9035
P/E Forward = 30.9598
P/S = 3.7798
P/B = 15.6855
P/EG = 1.916
Revenue TTM = 11.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.01b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.37b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 302.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 54.58b USD (45.08b + Debt 9.85b - CCE 350.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 612.0 (Ebit TTM 2.01b / Interest Expense TTM 3.29m)
EV/FCF = 37.70x (Enterprise Value 54.58b / FCF TTM 1.45b)
FCF Yield = 2.65% (FCF TTM 1.45b / Enterprise Value 54.58b)
FCF Margin = 12.14% (FCF TTM 1.45b / Revenue TTM 11.93b)
Net Margin = 12.88% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 11.93b)
Gross Margin = 25.38% ((Revenue TTM 11.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.42% (prev 24.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.07 (Enterprise Value 54.58b / Total Assets 8.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.03% (Interest Expense 3.29m / Debt 9.85b)
Taxrate = 23.69% (102.7m / 433.6m)
NOPAT = 1.54b (EBIT 2.01b * (1 - 23.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 1.47b / Total Current Liabilities 1.19b)
Debt / Equity = 3.48 (Debt 9.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.00 (Net Debt 9.50b / EBITDA 2.37b)
Debt / FCF = 6.56 (Net Debt 9.50b / FCF TTM 1.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.88% (Net Income 1.54b / Total Assets 8.99b)
RoE = 47.00% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.27b)
RoCE = 24.12% (EBIT 2.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.27b + L.T.Debt 5.08b))
RoIC = 47.00% (NOPAT 1.54b / Invested Capital 3.27b)
WACC = 6.87% (E(45.08b)/V(54.93b) * Re(8.37%) + D(9.85b)/V(54.93b) * Rd(0.03%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.24%
[DCF] Terminal Value 85.22% ; FCFF base≈1.47b ; Y1≈1.79b ; Y5≈2.97b
[DCF] Fair Price = 43.73 (EV 66.46b - Net Debt 9.50b = Equity 56.96b / Shares 1.30b; r=6.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 23.27% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 79.67 | EPS CAGR: 23.29% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.69 | Revenue CAGR: 10.95% | SUE: 0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-23 | Analysts=35
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg7d=+0.001 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-2.5% | Growth Revenue=+8.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.36 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+19.2% | Growth Revenue=+11.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 23 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 5.0% (Discount Rate 8.4% - Earnings Yield 3.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +3.3% (Analyst 8.3% - Implied 5.0%)
External Resources
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