(CMG) Chipotle Mexican Grill - Ratings and Ratios
Burritos, Burrito Bowls, Quesadillas, Tacos, Salads
CMG EPS (Earnings per Share)
CMG Revenue
Description: CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE:CMG) is a leading fast-casual restaurant chain operating globally, with a presence in the US, Canada, Europe, and the Middle East. The company offers a diverse menu featuring Mexican-inspired food items, including burritos, bowls, tacos, and salads, as well as digital ordering and delivery services through its app and website.
From a performance perspective, Chipotle has demonstrated strong growth and profitability. Key performance indicators (KPIs) such as same-store sales growth, average unit volume (AUV), and restaurant margin expansion are crucial in evaluating the companys success. Notably, Chipotle has consistently delivered positive same-store sales growth, driven by a combination of menu innovation, digital sales growth, and customer loyalty. The companys AUV, a key metric for restaurant profitability, has also shown a steady upward trend, indicating the effectiveness of its operational strategies.
Chipotles brand strength and customer loyalty are reflected in its high return on equity (RoE) of 43.16%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The companys market capitalization stands at approximately $76.9 billion, underscoring its significant market presence. Additionally, Chipotles focus on digital transformation and customer experience has enabled it to stay competitive in the rapidly evolving fast-casual landscape.
To further evaluate Chipotles prospects, it is essential to monitor key metrics such as customer traffic, menu pricing, and labor costs, as well as the companys ability to maintain its brand reputation and adapt to changing consumer preferences. By analyzing these factors, investors can gain a deeper understanding of the companys potential for long-term growth and profitability.
CMG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 56,036m |
| Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-01-26 |
CMG Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -7.97% |
| Fundamental | 88.6% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -43.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.29 of 5 |
CMG Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCMG Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -86.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -78.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 83.7% |
| CAGR 5y | 4.52% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.10 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.39 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.13 |
| Alpha | -49.46 |
| Beta | 0.967 |
| Volatility | 38.35% |
| Current Volume | 20341.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 18598.4k |
| Stop Loss | 37.4 (-3.2%) |
| Signal | -0.56 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (1.54b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 694.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.36% (prev 6.97%; Δ -0.60pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.09b > Net Income 1.54b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.94b) to EBITDA (2.35b) ratio: 1.68 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.65 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.35b) change vs 12m ago -2.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.34% (prev 27.10%; Δ 10.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 127.3% (prev 119.5%; Δ 7.76pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| error: Interest Coverage Ratio cannot be calculated (needs EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
Altman Z'' 2.73
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 1.87b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 9.27b |
| (B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.37b / Total Assets 9.27b |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 2.00b / Avg Total Assets 9.09b |
| (D) 0.24 = Book Value of Equity 1.37b / Total Liabilities 5.74b |
| Total Rating: 2.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.61
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.64% = 1.32 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.66% = 3.17 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.12 = 2.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 33.22% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 43.16% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.99% = 4.75 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 12.42% = 1.55 |
| 10. EPS Trend 82.54% = 2.06 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 22.72% = 2.27 |
What is the price of CMG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.57%, over one month by -10.52%, over three months by -26.48% and over the past year by -33.00%.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CMG is around 30.33 USD . This means that CMG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -21.49%.
Is CMG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 20
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CMG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 57.9 | 49.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 57.9 | 49.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 34.1 | -11.6% |
Last update: 2025-09-05 04:37
CMG Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 844.5m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 36.9732
P/E Forward = 29.5858
P/S = 4.84
P/B = 15.8822
P/EG = 1.7973
Beta = 1.018
Revenue TTM = 11.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.35b USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = 287.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 287.3m USD (Calculated: Short Term 287.3m + Long Term 0.0)
Net Debt = 3.94b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.48b USD (56.04b + Debt 287.3m - CCE 844.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 2.00b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
FCF Yield = 2.64% (FCF TTM 1.47b / Enterprise Value 55.48b)
FCF Margin = 12.66% (FCF TTM 1.47b / Revenue TTM 11.58b)
Net Margin = 13.32% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 11.58b)
Gross Margin = 37.34% ((Revenue TTM 11.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 40.46 (Enterprise Value 55.48b / Book Value Of Equity 1.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.12% (Interest Expense 8.95m / Debt 287.3m)
Taxrate = 23.68% (476.1m / 2.01b)
NOPAT = 1.53b (EBIT 2.00b * (1 - 23.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.65 (Total Current Assets 1.87b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 287.3m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 3.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.12 (Net Debt 3.94b / EBITDA 2.35b)
Debt / FCF = 0.20 (Debt 287.3m / FCF TTM 1.47b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.57b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 16.64% (Net Income 1.54b, Total Assets 9.27b )
RoE = 43.16% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.57b)
RoCE = 56.03% (Ebit 2.00b / (Equity 3.57b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 42.76% (NOPAT 1.53b / Invested Capital 3.57b)
WACC = 9.54% (E(56.04b)/V(56.32b) * Re(9.58%)) + (D(287.3m)/V(56.32b) * Rd(3.12%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -90.91 | Cagr: -0.31%
Discount Rate = 9.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.40% ; FCFE base≈1.40b ; Y1≈1.70b ; Y5≈2.82b
Fair Price DCF = 27.30 (DCF Value 36.60b / Shares Outstanding 1.34b; 5y FCF grow 23.27% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 94.99 | Revenue CAGR: 12.42%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -4.84
EPS Correlation: 82.54 | EPS CAGR: 22.72%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -12.16
Additional Sources for CMG Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle