(CNC) Centene - Ratings and Ratios
Health Insurance, Managed Care, Healthcare Services, Medicaid Plans
CNC EPS (Earnings per Share)
CNC Revenue
Description: CNC Centene
Centene Corporation is a healthcare enterprise providing programs and services to under-insured and uninsured individuals and families, as well as commercial organizations in the United States. The companys diversified business model is structured around four key segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and Other, allowing it to cater to a broad range of healthcare needs.
The Medicaid segment is a significant contributor, offering various programs such as temporary assistance for needy families, Medicaid expansion, and childrens health insurance programs. Additionally, Centene provides long-term services and supports, foster care, and Medicare-Medicaid plans, positioning itself as a comprehensive healthcare solutions provider. The Medicare segment complements this by offering special needs and Medicare supplement plans, as well as prescription drug plans.
From a financial perspective, Centenes revenue growth is driven by its ability to effectively manage and participate in government healthcare programs. Key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor include the Medical Care Ratio (MCR), which measures the percentage of premium revenue spent on medical claims, and the SG&A (Selling, General, and Administrative) expense ratio, which indicates the companys operational efficiency. A lower MCR and SG&A ratio generally suggest better profitability.
Centenes membership growth is another critical metric, as it directly impacts revenue. The companys ability to expand its membership through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace, Medicaid, and Medicare Advantage plans is vital. Furthermore, its diversified business model helps mitigate risks associated with regulatory changes in any one segment. Investors should also keep an eye on the companys cash flow generation and debt leverage, as these are essential for funding growth initiatives and navigating the complex healthcare landscape.
Given the current market conditions and Centenes financials, with a P/E ratio of 4.87 and a forward P/E of 4.72, the stock appears to be undervalued relative to its earnings. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 12.67% is a positive indicator of the companys profitability. However, the significant decline in the stock price over the past 52 weeks, with a high of $80.23 and a low of $27.95, suggests potential volatility and the need for cautious analysis.
CNC Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 14,233m |
Sub-Industry | Managed Health Care |
IPO / Inception | 2001-12-13 |
CNC Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -72.6% |
Fundamental | 61.9% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -65.0% |
Analyst Rating | 3.89 of 5 |
CNC Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCNC Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -39.6% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -79.1% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -24.6% |
CAGR 5y | -27.71% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.39 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -1.27 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.60 |
Alpha | 0.34 |
Beta | 0.262 |
Volatility | 40.84% |
Current Volume | 10583.2k |
Average Volume 20d | 13624k |
Stop Loss | 30.5 (-4.1%) |
Signal | -0.74 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
Net Income (2.05b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 10.69b TTM) |
FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 2.02% (prev 3.60%; Δ -1.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.73b <= Net Income 2.05b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (3.06b) to EBITDA (4.47b) ratio: 0.68 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.10 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (493.5m) change vs 12m ago -7.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 8.93% (prev 10.96%; Δ -2.03pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 210.2% (prev 189.7%; Δ 20.47pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 5.13 (EBITDA TTM 4.47b / Interest Expense TTM 688.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.46
(A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 40.39b - Total Current Liabilities 36.79b) / Total Assets 86.39b |
(B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 16.41b / Total Assets 86.39b |
(C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 3.53b / Avg Total Assets 84.77b |
(D) 0.27 = Book Value of Equity 16.18b / Total Liabilities 58.89b |
Total Rating: 1.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.85
1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
2. FCF Yield 6.24% = 3.12 |
3. FCF Margin 0.61% = 0.15 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.64 = 2.30 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.93 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.50)% = 3.13 |
7. RoE 7.53% = 0.63 |
8. Rev. Trend 91.53% = 6.87 |
9. EPS Trend -26.84% = -1.34 |
What is the price of CNC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.38%, over one month by +9.69%, over three months by -41.84% and over the past year by -58.47%.
Is Centene a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CNC is around 25.48 USD . This means that CNC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -19.87%.
Is CNC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CNC price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 33.6 | 5.5% |
Analysts Target Price | 33.6 | 5.5% |
ValueRay Target Price | 27.1 | -14.7% |
Last update: 2025-09-06 04:34
CNC Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 14.51b USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 7.034
P/E Forward = 7.8678
P/S = 0.0892
P/B = 0.5134
P/EG = 0.8156
Beta = 0.442
Revenue TTM = 178.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.53b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.47b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 25.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.58b USD (Calculated: Short Term 25.0m + Long Term 17.55b)
Net Debt = 3.06b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.30b USD (14.23b + Debt 17.58b - CCE 14.51b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.13 (Ebit TTM 3.53b / Interest Expense TTM 688.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.24% (FCF TTM 1.08b / Enterprise Value 17.30b)
FCF Margin = 0.61% (FCF TTM 1.08b / Revenue TTM 178.19b)
Net Margin = 1.15% (Net Income TTM 2.05b / Revenue TTM 178.19b)
Gross Margin = 8.93% ((Revenue TTM 178.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 162.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.07 (Enterprise Value 17.30b / Book Value Of Equity 16.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 170.0m / Debt 17.58b)
Taxrate = 22.62% (963.0m / 4.26b)
NOPAT = 2.73b (EBIT 3.53b * (1 - 22.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 40.39b / Total Current Liabilities 36.79b)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 17.58b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 27.41b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.93 (Net Debt 3.06b / EBITDA 4.47b)
Debt / FCF = 16.27 (Debt 17.58b / FCF TTM 1.08b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.26b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.38% (Net Income 2.05b, Total Assets 86.39b )
RoE = 7.53% (Net Income TTM 2.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.26b)
RoCE = 7.88% (Ebit 3.53b / (Equity 27.26b + L.T.Debt 17.55b))
RoIC = 6.04% (NOPAT 2.73b / Invested Capital 45.27b)
WACC = 3.54% (E(14.23b)/V(31.81b) * Re(6.98%)) + (D(17.58b)/V(31.81b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -96.97 | Cagr: -1.47%
Discount Rate = 6.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.95% ; FCFE base≈1.55b ; Y1≈1.09b ; Y5≈570.1m
Fair Price DCF = 22.34 (DCF Value 10.97b / Shares Outstanding 491.1m; 5y FCF grow -34.97% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -26.84 | EPS CAGR: -59.21% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.53 | Revenue CAGR: 11.80%
Additional Sources for CNC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle