(CNC) Centene - Ratings and Ratios
Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, Pharmacy, Clinical
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 78.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.27% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.39 |
| Alpha | -38.33 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.356 |
| Beta | 0.157 |
| Beta Downside | 0.145 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.65% |
| Mean DD | 22.14% |
| Median DD | 17.01% |
Description: CNC Centene December 19, 2025
Centene Corp (NYSE:CNC) is a U.S.-based managed-care company that serves under-insured and uninsured populations through four business lines: Medicaid (including TANF, Medicaid expansion, and dual-eligible plans), Medicare (special-needs, supplement, and prescription-drug plans), Commercial (individual and group marketplace products), and “Other” (clinical services, pharmacy, vision/dental, behavioral health, and federal contracts). Founded in 1984 and headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, the firm leverages a network of primary-care, specialty-care, hospital, and ancillary providers to deliver health-benefit solutions.
Key recent metrics: 2023 revenue reached approximately $140 billion, with Medicaid enrollment up ~4% YoY driven by continued state expansions, while Medicare Advantage enrollment grew ~7% as seniors shift to managed-care plans. The sector is sensitive to federal policy-particularly ACA marketplace subsidies and Medicaid funding reforms-which together account for roughly 70% of Centene’s revenue mix. Operating margin has hovered near 3% after integrating several recent acquisitions, reflecting both scale benefits and integration costs.
If you want a data-rich, independent assessment of CNC’s valuation, ValueRay’s analyst notes provide a concise starting point for further research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-5.29b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.15b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.85% (prev 2.07%; Δ -0.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.06b > Net Income -5.29b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.08 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (491.1m) change vs 12m ago -6.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 10.76% (prev 10.37%; Δ 0.40pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 226.1% (prev 196.4%; Δ 29.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -6.09 (EBITDA TTM -2.90b / Interest Expense TTM 682.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.49
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 44.06b - Total Current Liabilities 40.63b) / Total Assets 82.09b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.78b / Total Assets 82.09b |
| (C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -4.16b / Avg Total Assets 82.22b |
| (D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 9.68b / Total Liabilities 61.03b |
| Total Rating: 0.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.14
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 16.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.81% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.84 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.41)% |
| 7. RoE -20.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.73% |
| 9. EPS Trend -48.47% |
What is the price of CNC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.07%, over one month by +8.76%, over three months by +17.04% and over the past year by -31.73%.
Is CNC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CNC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 40.4 | -1.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 40.4 | -1.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 39.7 | -3.7% |
CNC Fundamental Data Overview December 28, 2025
P/E Forward = 13.2979
P/S = 0.1187
P/B = 0.936
P/EG = 1.6416
Beta = 0.476
Revenue TTM = 185.86b USD
EBIT TTM = -4.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = -2.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 38.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 525.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.44b USD (19.91b + Debt 17.58b - CCE 17.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -6.09 (Ebit TTM -4.16b / Interest Expense TTM 682.0m)
FCF Yield = 16.42% (FCF TTM 3.36b / Enterprise Value 20.44b)
FCF Margin = 1.81% (FCF TTM 3.36b / Revenue TTM 185.86b)
Net Margin = -2.85% (Net Income TTM -5.29b / Revenue TTM 185.86b)
Gross Margin = 10.76% ((Revenue TTM 185.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 165.85b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.38% (prev 6.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.25 (Enterprise Value 20.44b / Total Assets 82.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 170.0m / Debt 17.58b)
Taxrate = 0.63% (-42.0m / -6.67b)
NOPAT = -4.13b (EBIT -4.16b * (1 - 0.63%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.08 (Total Current Assets 44.06b / Total Current Liabilities 40.63b)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 17.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.18 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 525.0m / EBITDA -2.90b)
Debt / FCF = 0.16 (Net Debt 525.0m / FCF TTM 3.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 25.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.44% (Net Income -5.29b / Total Assets 82.09b)
RoE = -20.61% (Net Income TTM -5.29b / Total Stockholder Equity 25.67b)
RoCE = -9.62% (EBIT -4.16b / Capital Employed (Equity 25.67b + L.T.Debt 17.55b))
RoIC = -9.46% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -4.13b / Invested Capital 43.67b)
WACC = 3.95% (E(19.91b)/V(37.49b) * Re(6.59%) + D(17.58b)/V(37.49b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 6.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.95% ; FCFE base≈2.11b ; Y1≈1.48b ; Y5≈775.4m
Fair Price DCF = 30.37 (DCF Value 14.93b / Shares Outstanding 491.5m; 5y FCF grow -34.97% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -48.47 | EPS CAGR: -29.42% | SUE: 3.12 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 92.73 | Revenue CAGR: 11.93% | SUE: 1.81 | # QB: 11
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.07 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.89 | Chg30d=-0.031 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+42.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.1%
Additional Sources for CNC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle