(CNI) Canadian National Railway - Ratings and Ratios
Rail Services, Intermodal Services, Trucking, Logistics, Transportation
CNI EPS (Earnings per Share)
CNI Revenue
Description: CNI Canadian National Railway
Canadian National Railway Company is a leading transportation company operating in Canada and the United States, providing a comprehensive range of rail, intermodal, trucking, and related services to various industries, including automotive, coal, fertilizers, and consumer goods. The companys diversified service offerings enable it to cater to different customer needs, from equipment and custom brokerage to transloading and distribution, as well as specialized services like flatbed trucks and expedited cargo.
To evaluate the companys performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as Revenue Growth, Operating Ratio, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) can be considered. A stable and efficient rail network like CNs typically generates significant free cash flow, which can be used to fund strategic initiatives, such as infrastructure upgrades and dividend payments. With a strong presence in the North American rail market, CN is well-positioned to capitalize on growing demand for rail transportation, driven by factors like e-commerce and international trade.
In terms of operational efficiency, metrics like Revenue Ton Miles (RTM) and Carload Volume can provide insights into the companys ability to manage its network and adapt to changing market conditions. Additionally, CNs commitment to safety and sustainability can be assessed through metrics like the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) injury rate and greenhouse gas emissions intensity. By analyzing these KPIs, investors can gain a more comprehensive understanding of CNs financial and operational performance.
From a valuation perspective, CNs market capitalization and enterprise value can be used to estimate its relative attractiveness compared to peers in the rail transportation industry. Furthermore, metrics like the Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio and Dividend Yield can help investors assess the companys valuation and income generation potential. By considering these factors, investors can make more informed decisions about investing in CNI.
CNI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 58,372m |
| Sub-Industry | Rail Transportation |
| IPO / Inception | 1996-11-26 |
CNI Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -39.6% |
| Fundamental | 62.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 63.4% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -31.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.69 of 5 |
CNI Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.55% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.58% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 7.14% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 34.1% |
CNI Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -66% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -69% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 9.3% |
| CAGR 5y | -4.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.17 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.50 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.03 |
| Alpha | -36.46 |
| Beta | 0.977 |
| Volatility | 20.12% |
| Current Volume | 1696.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1754.8k |
| Stop Loss | 92.4 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 1.59 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (4.56b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.03b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.74% (prev -10.57%; Δ 6.82pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.68b > Net Income 4.56b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (20.54b) to EBITDA (8.86b) ratio: 2.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.82 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (628.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 41.27% (prev 42.35%; Δ -1.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.95% (prev 31.56%; Δ -0.60pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.58 (EBITDA TTM 8.86b / Interest Expense TTM 913.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.50
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 2.87b - Total Current Liabilities 3.51b) / Total Assets 56.78b |
| (B) 0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 19.20b / Total Assets 56.78b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 6.92b / Avg Total Assets 55.38b |
| (D) 0.60 = Book Value of Equity 21.28b / Total Liabilities 35.24b |
| Total Rating: 2.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.50
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.21% = 1.61 |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.86% = 4.72 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.95 = 2.07 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.30 = -0.59 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 4.80% = 6.00 |
| 7. RoE 21.82% = 1.82 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -16.69% = -0.83 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -1.98% = -0.33 |
| 10. EPS Trend -34.93% = -0.87 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -4.62% = -0.58 |
What is the price of CNI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.09%, over one month by +2.83%, over three months by -8.40% and over the past year by -19.00%.
Is Canadian National Railway a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CNI is around 85.87 USD . This means that CNI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.93%.
Is CNI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the CNI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 110.6 | 16% |
| Analysts Target Price | 110.6 | 16% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 95.2 | -0.2% |
Last update: 2025-09-15 04:33
CNI Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 216.0m CAD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 17.8623
P/E Forward = 15.3846
P/S = 3.405
P/B = 3.7534
P/EG = 2.0481
Beta = 0.855
Revenue TTM = 17.14b CAD
EBIT TTM = 6.92b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 8.86b CAD
Long Term Debt = 19.30b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.12b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.43b CAD (Calculated: Short Term 1.12b + Long Term 19.30b)
Net Debt = 20.54b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 100.62b CAD (80.41b + Debt 20.43b - CCE 216.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.58 (Ebit TTM 6.92b / Interest Expense TTM 913.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.21% (FCF TTM 3.23b / Enterprise Value 100.62b)
FCF Margin = 18.86% (FCF TTM 3.23b / Revenue TTM 17.14b)
Net Margin = 26.62% (Net Income TTM 4.56b / Revenue TTM 17.14b)
Gross Margin = 41.27% ((Revenue TTM 17.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.73 (Enterprise Value 100.62b / Book Value Of Equity 21.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 219.0m / Debt 20.43b)
Taxrate = 23.99% (1.40b / 5.85b)
NOPAT = 5.26b (EBIT 6.92b * (1 - 23.99%))
Current Ratio = 0.82 (Total Current Assets 2.87b / Total Current Liabilities 3.51b)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 20.43b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 21.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.30 (Net Debt 20.54b / EBITDA 8.86b)
Debt / FCF = 6.32 (Debt 20.43b / FCF TTM 3.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 20.92b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 8.04% (Net Income 4.56b, Total Assets 56.78b )
RoE = 21.82% (Net Income TTM 4.56b / Total Stockholder Equity 20.92b)
RoCE = 17.20% (Ebit 6.92b / (Equity 20.92b + L.T.Debt 19.30b))
RoIC = 12.63% (NOPAT 5.26b / Invested Capital 41.62b)
WACC = 7.84% (E(80.41b)/V(100.83b) * Re(9.62%)) + (D(20.43b)/V(100.83b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.00 | Cagr: -0.78%
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.90% ; FCFE base≈3.37b ; Y1≈3.22b ; Y5≈3.11b
Fair Price DCF = 68.11 (DCF Value 42.52b / Shares Outstanding 624.2m; 5y FCF grow -5.99% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -34.93 | EPS CAGR: -4.62% | SUE: -0.12 | # QB: False
Revenue Correlation: -16.69 | Revenue CAGR: -1.98%
Additional Sources for CNI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle