(CNL) Collective Mining - Overview
Stock: Gold, Silver, Copper, Tungsten
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 88.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.88 |
| Alpha | 176.91 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.386 |
| Beta Downside | 0.091 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.61 |
Description: CNL Collective Mining January 17, 2026
Collective Mining Ltd. (NYSE:CNL) is a Toronto-based explorer focused on acquiring and developing mineral concessions in Colombia, primarily targeting gold, silver, copper, and tungsten. Its core asset is the 100 % owned Guayabales Project in the Middle Cauca belt of Caldas Department, which comprises exploration licences, pending applications, and multiple surface-rights option agreements.
Key operating metrics (Q3 2024) show the company holding approximately CAD 5 million in cash and short-term investments, providing runway for an estimated 30 – 45 months of exploration spending at current burn rates. The Guayabales corridor lies within a region that historically yields > 5 g/t Au equivalents in comparable deposits, and recent macro-economic trends-namely a + 12 % year-over-year increase in the global gold price and a + 8 % rise in copper prices-enhance the upside potential of any discovered resources. However, Colombian permitting timelines remain a material risk, with average approval periods of 12-18 months for comparable projects.
For a deeper, data-driven view of CNL’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the free tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCF/TA: -0.38 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 80.48 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.37 > 3% & CFO -28.7m > Net Income -45.9m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 4.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (84.9m) vs 12m ago 24.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -140.7 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -44.9m / Interest Expense TTM 324.3k) |
Altman Z'' -5.96
| A: 0.54 (Total Current Assets 54.3m - Total Current Liabilities 11.7m) / Total Assets 78.4m |
| B: -1.51 (Retained Earnings -118.6m / Total Assets 78.4m) |
| C: -0.94 (EBIT TTM -45.6m / Avg Total Assets 48.8m) |
| D: 1.62 (Book Value of Equity 28.2m / Total Liabilities 17.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -5.96 = D |
What is the price of CNL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.55%, over one month by +13.09%, over three months by +56.09% and over the past year by +189.17%.
Is CNL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CNL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 25 | 53.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 25 | 53.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.5 | 62.8% |
CNL Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -45.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -44.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 155.5k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 603.9k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.72m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -51.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.46b USD (1.51b + Debt 1.72m - CCE 52.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -140.7 (Ebit TTM -45.6m / Interest Expense TTM 324.3k)
EV/FCF = -48.53x (Enterprise Value 1.46b / FCF TTM -30.1m)
FCF Yield = -2.06% (FCF TTM -30.1m / Enterprise Value 1.46b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 314.8k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 18.65 (Enterprise Value 1.46b / Total Assets 78.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.15% (Interest Expense 123.2k / Debt 1.72m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -36.0m (EBIT -45.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.64 (Total Current Assets 54.3m / Total Current Liabilities 11.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 1.72m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 61.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.14 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -51.2m / EBITDA -44.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.70 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -51.2m / FCF TTM -30.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 61.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -94.11% (Net Income -45.9m / Total Assets 78.4m)
RoE = -74.11% (Net Income TTM -45.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 61.9m)
RoCE = -73.50% (EBIT -45.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 61.9m + L.T.Debt 155.5k))
RoIC = -57.92% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -36.0m / Invested Capital 62.2m)
WACC = 7.34% (E(1.51b)/V(1.51b) * Re(7.34%) + D(1.72m)/V(1.51b) * Rd(7.15%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 19.56%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -30.1m)
EPS Correlation: 25.33 | EPS CAGR: 100.4% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.38 | Chg30d=-0.016 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+17.6% | Growth Revenue=+100.0%