Overview Dividends

(COP) ConocoPhillips - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US20825C1045

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Lng, Bitumen, Natural Gas Liquids

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Market Cap in USD: 118,600m
IPO / Inception: 1981-12-31
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -14.8%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of COP over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": -0.19, "2021-03": 0.69, "2021-06": 1.27, "2021-09": 1.77, "2021-12": 2.27, "2022-03": 3.27, "2022-06": 3.91, "2022-09": 3.6, "2022-12": 2.71, "2023-03": 2.38, "2023-06": 1.84, "2023-09": 2.16, "2023-12": 2.4, "2024-03": 2.03, "2024-06": 1.98, "2024-09": 1.76, "2024-12": 1.98, "2025-03": 2.09, "2025-06": 1.42, "2025-09": 1.61,
EPS CAGR: -8.75%
EPS Trend: -80.4%
Last SUE: 2.62
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Revenue of COP over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 5502, 2021-03: 10105, 2021-06: 9656, 2021-09: 11809, 2021-12: 14486, 2022-03: 18169, 2022-06: 21174, 2022-09: 21142, 2022-12: 18097, 2023-03: 14811, 2023-06: 12367, 2023-09: 14261, 2023-12: 14644, 2024-03: 13794, 2024-06: 13588, 2024-09: 12992, 2024-12: 14238, 2025-03: 16458, 2025-06: 13979, 2025-09: 15522,
Rev. CAGR: 1.86%
Rev. Trend: -47.8%
Last SUE: 0.72
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield 3.45%
Yield on Cost 5y 9.41%
Yield CAGR 5y 10.50%
Payout Consistency 94.7%
Payout Ratio 44.8%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 32.3%
Value at Risk 5%th 52.9%
Relative Tail Risk -0.33%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.04
Alpha -16.63
CAGR/Max DD -0.09
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.415
Beta 0.956
Beta Downside 1.419
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 36.52%
Mean DD 16.78%
Median DD 16.48%

Description: COP ConocoPhillips December 02, 2025

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) is an integrated upstream company that explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, LNG, and natural-gas liquids across six geographic segments: Alaska, the Lower 48, Canada, Europe-Middle East-North Africa, Asia Pacific, and other international locations. Its asset mix spans unconventional shale plays in the United States, conventional fields in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia, oil-sand operations in Canada, and a pipeline of global LNG development projects.

Key operating metrics (as of FY 2023) include 1.2 million barrels of oil-equivalent per day (BOE/d) of production, a record-high free cash flow of $6.3 billion, and a dividend yield around 4.2 %. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to crude-oil price movements (especially WTI) and to LNG price spreads, while capital-intensive projects are constrained by rising financing costs and ESG-related capital allocation pressures. A recent strategic shift emphasizes divesting non-core assets to reduce debt, which lowered the net debt/EBITDA ratio from 2.6× in 2022 to 1.9× in 2023.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, consult ValueRay’s COP analysis.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (8.83b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.61b TTM)
FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 6.44% (prev 5.85%; Δ 0.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 19.93b > Net Income 8.83b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (18.22b) to EBITDA (25.75b) ratio: 0.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.25b) change vs 12m ago 7.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 29.97% (prev 30.11%; Δ -0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 54.93% (prev 56.90%; Δ -1.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 12.89 (EBITDA TTM 25.75b / Interest Expense TTM 1.12b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.06

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 15.88b - Total Current Liabilities 12.01b) / Total Assets 122.47b
(B) 0.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 68.46b / Total Assets 122.47b
(C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 14.51b / Avg Total Assets 109.59b
(D) 1.08 = Book Value of Equity 62.41b / Total Liabilities 57.55b
Total Rating: 4.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.47

1. Piotroski 5.50pt
2. FCF Yield 12.15%
3. FCF Margin 27.61%
4. Debt/Equity 0.36
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.71
6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.59)%
7. RoE 13.56%
8. Rev. Trend -47.79%
9. EPS Trend -80.44%

What is the price of COP shares?

As of December 19, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 92.23 with a total of 7,336,898 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.63%, over one month by +2.84%, over three months by -0.42% and over the past year by -0.45%.

Is COP a buy, sell or hold?

ConocoPhillips has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.37. Therefore, it is recommended to buy COP.
  • Strong Buy: 14
  • Buy: 13
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the COP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 112.3 21.8%
Analysts Target Price 112.3 21.8%
ValueRay Target Price 94.4 2.4%

COP Fundamental Data Overview December 19, 2025

Market Cap USD = 118.60b (118.60b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.8151
P/E Forward = 14.6199
P/S = 1.9354
P/B = 1.7277
P/EG = 3.2165
Beta = 0.328
Revenue TTM = 60.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 22.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.48b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 18.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 136.82b USD (118.60b + Debt 23.48b - CCE 5.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.89 (Ebit TTM 14.51b / Interest Expense TTM 1.12b)
FCF Yield = 12.15% (FCF TTM 16.62b / Enterprise Value 136.82b)
FCF Margin = 27.61% (FCF TTM 16.62b / Revenue TTM 60.20b)
Net Margin = 14.67% (Net Income TTM 8.83b / Revenue TTM 60.20b)
Gross Margin = 29.97% ((Revenue TTM 60.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.82% (prev 24.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 136.82b / Total Assets 122.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.95% (Interest Expense 223.0m / Debt 23.48b)
Taxrate = 41.05% (1.20b / 2.93b)
NOPAT = 8.55b (EBIT 14.51b * (1 - 41.05%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 15.88b / Total Current Liabilities 12.01b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 23.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 64.92b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.71 (Net Debt 18.22b / EBITDA 25.75b)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 18.22b / FCF TTM 16.62b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 65.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.21% (Net Income 8.83b / Total Assets 122.47b)
RoE = 13.56% (Net Income TTM 8.83b / Total Stockholder Equity 65.13b)
RoCE = 16.56% (EBIT 14.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 65.13b + L.T.Debt 22.47b))
RoIC = 9.64% (NOPAT 8.55b / Invested Capital 88.68b)
WACC = 8.06% (E(118.60b)/V(142.08b) * Re(9.54%) + D(23.48b)/V(142.08b) * Rd(0.95%) * (1-Tc(0.41)))
Discount Rate = 9.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.37%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.21% ; FCFE base≈13.67b ; Y1≈12.39b ; Y5≈10.79b
Fair Price DCF = 122.5 (DCF Value 151.38b / Shares Outstanding 1.24b; 5y FCF grow -11.66% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -80.44 | EPS CAGR: -8.75% | SUE: 2.62 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -47.79 | Revenue CAGR: 1.86% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.41 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=17
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.24 | Chg30d=-0.088 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-3.7% | Growth Revenue=-5.7%

Additional Sources for COP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle