(COP) ConocoPhillips - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US20825C1045

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Lng, Bitumen, Natural Gas Liquids

Stock: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Age 44.1y
MCap 122,634m
Avg Vol 7.93M (756M USD)
Beta 0.996
Volatility 29.06%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of COP over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": -0.19, "2021-03": 0.69, "2021-06": 1.27, "2021-09": 1.77, "2021-12": 2.27, "2022-03": 3.27, "2022-06": 3.91, "2022-09": 3.6, "2022-12": 2.71, "2023-03": 2.38, "2023-06": 1.84, "2023-09": 2.16, "2023-12": 2.4, "2024-03": 2.03, "2024-06": 1.98, "2024-09": 1.76, "2024-12": 1.98, "2025-03": 2.09, "2025-06": 1.42, "2025-09": 1.61,
EPS CAGR: -8.75%
EPS Trend: -80.4%
Last SUE: 2.62
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Revenue of COP over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 5502, 2021-03: 10105, 2021-06: 9656, 2021-09: 11809, 2021-12: 14486, 2022-03: 18169, 2022-06: 21174, 2022-09: 21142, 2022-12: 18097, 2023-03: 14811, 2023-06: 12367, 2023-09: 14261, 2023-12: 14644, 2024-03: 13794, 2024-06: 13588, 2024-09: 12992, 2024-12: 14238, 2025-03: 16458, 2025-06: 13979, 2025-09: 15522,
Rev. CAGR: 1.86%
Rev. Trend: -47.8%
Last SUE: 0.72
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield 3.45%
Yield on Cost 5y 8.89%
Yield CAGR 5y 13.01%
Payout Consistency 95.5%
Payout Ratio 44.8%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 29.1%
Value at Risk 5%th 46.8%
Relative Tail Risk -2.12%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.00
Alpha -16.21
CAGR/Max DD -0.12
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.366
Beta 0.996
Beta Downside 1.503
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 36.52%
Mean DD 17.35%
Median DD 16.90%

Description: COP ConocoPhillips December 02, 2025

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) is an integrated upstream company that explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, LNG, and natural-gas liquids across six geographic segments: Alaska, the Lower 48, Canada, Europe-Middle East-North Africa, Asia Pacific, and other international locations. Its asset mix spans unconventional shale plays in the United States, conventional fields in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia, oil-sand operations in Canada, and a pipeline of global LNG development projects.

Key operating metrics (as of FY 2023) include 1.2 million barrels of oil-equivalent per day (BOE/d) of production, a record-high free cash flow of $6.3 billion, and a dividend yield around 4.2 %. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to crude-oil price movements (especially WTI) and to LNG price spreads, while capital-intensive projects are constrained by rising financing costs and ESG-related capital allocation pressures. A recent strategic shift emphasizes divesting non-core assets to reduce debt, which lowered the net debt/EBITDA ratio from 2.6× in 2022 to 1.9× in 2023.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, consult ValueRay’s COP analysis.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income: 8.83b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.01 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.44% < 20% (prev 5.85%; Δ 0.59% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 19.93b > Net Income 8.83b
Net Debt (18.22b) to EBITDA (25.75b): 0.71 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.32 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.25b) vs 12m ago 7.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.97% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 2967 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 54.93% > 50% (prev 56.90%; Δ -1.96% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.89 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 25.75b / Interest Expense TTM 1.12b)

Altman Z'' 4.06

A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 15.88b - Total Current Liabilities 12.01b) / Total Assets 122.47b
B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 68.46b / Total Assets 122.47b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 14.51b / Avg Total Assets 109.59b)
D: 1.08 (Book Value of Equity 62.41b / Total Liabilities 57.55b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 4.06 = AA

Beneish M -3.05

DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 5.74b/4.82b, Revenue 60.20b/55.02b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 29.97% / 30.11%)
AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.12)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 60.20b / 55.02b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 8.83b - CFO 19.93b) / TA 122.47b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.05 = AA

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.36

1. Piotroski: 6.50pt
2. FCF Yield: 11.80%
3. FCF Margin: 27.61%
4. Debt/Equity: 0.36
5. Debt/Ebitda: 0.71
6. ROIC - WACC: 1.50%
7. RoE: 13.56%
8. Revenue Trend: -47.79%
9. EPS Trend: -80.44%

What is the price of COP shares?

As of January 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 98.35 with a total of 6,944,586 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.16%, over one month by +6.06%, over three months by +10.19% and over the past year by -2.15%.

Is COP a buy, sell or hold?

ConocoPhillips has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.37. Therefore, it is recommended to buy COP.
  • Strong Buy: 14
  • Buy: 13
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the COP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 112.1 14%
Analysts Target Price 112.1 14%
ValueRay Target Price 100.2 1.9%

COP Fundamental Data Overview January 18, 2026

P/E Trailing = 13.8686
P/E Forward = 15.9236
P/S = 2.0012
P/B = 1.883
P/EG = 3.5057
Revenue TTM = 60.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 22.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.48b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 18.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 140.86b USD (122.63b + Debt 23.48b - CCE 5.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.89 (Ebit TTM 14.51b / Interest Expense TTM 1.12b)
EV/FCF = 8.48x (Enterprise Value 140.86b / FCF TTM 16.62b)
FCF Yield = 11.80% (FCF TTM 16.62b / Enterprise Value 140.86b)
FCF Margin = 27.61% (FCF TTM 16.62b / Revenue TTM 60.20b)
Net Margin = 14.67% (Net Income TTM 8.83b / Revenue TTM 60.20b)
Gross Margin = 29.97% ((Revenue TTM 60.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.82% (prev 24.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 140.86b / Total Assets 122.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.95% (Interest Expense 223.0m / Debt 23.48b)
Taxrate = 41.05% (1.20b / 2.93b)
NOPAT = 8.55b (EBIT 14.51b * (1 - 41.05%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 15.88b / Total Current Liabilities 12.01b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 23.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 64.92b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.71 (Net Debt 18.22b / EBITDA 25.75b)
Debt / FCF = 1.10 (Net Debt 18.22b / FCF TTM 16.62b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 65.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.06% (Net Income 8.83b / Total Assets 122.47b)
RoE = 13.56% (Net Income TTM 8.83b / Total Stockholder Equity 65.13b)
RoCE = 16.56% (EBIT 14.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 65.13b + L.T.Debt 22.47b))
RoIC = 9.64% (NOPAT 8.55b / Invested Capital 88.68b)
WACC = 8.14% (E(122.63b)/V(146.12b) * Re(9.59%) + D(23.48b)/V(146.12b) * Rd(0.95%) * (1-Tc(0.41)))
Discount Rate = 9.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.37%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.02% ; FCFF base≈13.67b ; Y1≈12.39b ; Y5≈10.77b
Fair Price DCF = 137.5 (EV 188.14b - Net Debt 18.22b = Equity 169.92b / Shares 1.24b; r=8.14% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -11.66% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -80.44 | EPS CAGR: -8.75% | SUE: 2.62 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -47.79 | Revenue CAGR: 1.86% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.30 | Chg30d=-0.118 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=20
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.61 | Chg30d=-0.559 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-11.2% | Growth Revenue=-7.5%

Additional Sources for COP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle