(COP) ConocoPhillips - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 153.061m USD | Total Return: 52.2% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -38.9
Avg Turnover: 1.21B USD
Peers RS (IBD): 49.2
EPS Trend: -67.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -62.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
ConocoPhillips (COP) is an independent exploration and production (E&P) company. E&P companies focus on finding and extracting hydrocarbons, rather than refining or retailing them.
The companys operations span crude oil, natural gas, LNG, and natural gas liquids across five geographic segments: Alaska, Lower 48 (contiguous US), Canada, Europe/Middle East/North Africa, and Asia Pacific. This diversified portfolio includes unconventional plays, conventional assets, and oil sands.
ConocoPhillips has a global presence, operating in numerous countries including the United States, Canada, the UK, and China. Consider exploring ValueRay for further in-depth analysis of COPs operational efficiency and financial performance.
- Global crude oil prices dictate exploration and production revenue
- Natural gas demand and pricing impact LNG profitability
- Regulatory changes in carbon emissions increase operating costs
- Geopolitical instability threatens international production and transport
| Net Income: 7.99b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.06% < 20% (prev 6.45%; Δ -0.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 19.80b > Net Income 7.99b |
| Net Debt (16.95b) to EBITDA (23.18b): 0.73 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.30 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.23b) vs 12m ago 4.50% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.63% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 2.43k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.98% > 50% (prev 44.48%; Δ 3.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.32 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 23.18b / Interest Expense TTM 1.23b) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 15.53b - Total Current Liabilities 11.97b) / Total Assets 121.94b |
| B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 68.86b / Total Assets 121.94b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 11.49b / Avg Total Assets 122.36b) |
| D: 1.10 (Book Value of Equity 62.98b / Total Liabilities 57.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.81 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.81 (Receivables 5.81b/6.70b, Revenue 58.71b/54.61b) |
| GMI: 1.19 (GM 24.63% / 29.35%) |
| AQI: 1.13 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 58.71b / 54.61b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 7.99b - CFO 19.80b) / TA 121.94b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.91%, over one month by +7.36%, over three months by +29.32% and over the past year by +52.18%.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 13
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 131 | 6.9% |
P/E Forward = 32.1543
P/S = 2.5392
P/B = 2.4669
P/EG = 4.3443
Revenue TTM = 58.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 11.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 23.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 22.42b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.02b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.95b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 170.01b USD (153.06b + Debt 23.44b - CCE 6.50b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.32 (Ebit TTM 11.49b / Interest Expense TTM 1.23b)
EV/FCF = 10.14x (Enterprise Value 170.01b / FCF TTM 16.77b)
FCF Yield = 9.87% (FCF TTM 16.77b / Enterprise Value 170.01b)
FCF Margin = 28.57% (FCF TTM 16.77b / Revenue TTM 58.71b)
Net Margin = 13.60% (Net Income TTM 7.99b / Revenue TTM 58.71b)
Gross Margin = 24.63% ((Revenue TTM 58.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 44.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.64% (prev 23.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 170.01b / Total Assets 121.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.24% (Interest Expense 290.0m / Debt 23.44b)
Taxrate = 35.77% (803.0m / 2.25b)
NOPAT = 7.38b (EBIT 11.49b * (1 - 35.77%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 15.53b / Total Current Liabilities 11.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 23.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 64.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.73 (Net Debt 16.95b / EBITDA 23.18b)
Debt / FCF = 1.01 (Net Debt 16.95b / FCF TTM 16.77b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 65.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.53% (Net Income 7.99b / Total Assets 121.94b)
RoE = 12.28% (Net Income TTM 7.99b / Total Stockholder Equity 65.06b)
RoCE = 13.14% (EBIT 11.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 65.06b + L.T.Debt 22.42b))
RoIC = 8.35% (NOPAT 7.38b / Invested Capital 88.41b)
WACC = 6.57% (E(153.06b)/V(176.51b) * Re(7.46%) + D(23.44b)/V(176.51b) * Rd(1.24%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 7.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.83%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.79% ; FCFF base≈13.27b ; Y1≈12.02b ; Y5≈10.48b
[DCF] Fair Price = 203.7 (EV 265.20b - Net Debt 16.95b = Equity 248.25b / Shares 1.22b; r=6.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -11.66% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -67.57 | EPS CAGR: -26.70% | SUE: -0.80 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -62.49 | Revenue CAGR: -7.97% | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.97 | Chg7d=+0.207 | Chg30d=+0.829 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.80 | Chg7d=+0.383 | Chg30d=+1.982 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=-2.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.40 | Chg7d=+0.206 | Chg30d=+0.635 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+8.9% | Growth Revenue=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (6 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.1% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 4.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -3.8% (Analyst -0.7% - Implied 3.1%)