(COP) ConocoPhillips - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Bitumen, Natural Gas, Lng, Natural Gas Liquids
COP EPS (Earnings per Share)
COP Revenue
Description: COP ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is an integrated upstream company that explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, LNG, and natural-gas liquids across a diversified global footprint.
The firm’s operations are organized into six geographic segments: Alaska; Lower 48 (contiguous United States); Canada; Europe, Middle East & North Africa (EMENA); Asia Pacific; and “Other International,” which captures its smaller-scale assets and joint-venture interests.
Its asset portfolio blends unconventional shale plays (e.g., the Permian Basin and Bakken) with conventional fields in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia, plus a growing presence in global LNG projects and Canadian oil-sands operations.
ConocoPhillips serves a broad customer base that includes the United States, Canada, China, Equatorial Guinea, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and other international markets.
Founded in 1917 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.”
**Key recent metrics (as of Q2 2024):**
• Net production averaged 1.2 million boe/d, with crude oil accounting for roughly 70 % of the mix.
• Adjusted operating cash flow reached $5.8 billion, supporting a dividend yield of ~3.2 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.1×.
• Capital expenditures were disciplined at $3.4 billion, emphasizing high-return projects and the de-risking of lower-margin assets.
**Sector drivers that materially affect COP’s outlook:**
• OPEC+ production policies and global crude-price volatility remain the primary macro-risk, with Brent hovering around $85–$90 per barrel in early 2025.
• The accelerating transition to lower-carbon energy sources is pressuring upstream capital allocation, while LNG demand growth-particularly in Europe and Asia-offers a counterbalancing revenue stream.
• Regulatory and ESG considerations, especially around methane emissions and oil-sands development, can affect permitting timelines and cost structures.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of COP’s valuation relative to peers, the ValueRay platform offers a data-driven toolkit you may find useful.
COP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 117,600m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 1981-12-31 |
COP Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -24.4% |
| Fundamental | 59.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 73.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -26.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.37 of 5 |
COP Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.56% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.46% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 10.50% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 43.0% |
COP Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 16.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -58.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 62.4% |
| CAGR 5y | -6.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.18 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.38 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.03 |
| Alpha | -29.61 |
| Beta | 0.635 |
| Volatility | 26.34% |
| Current Volume | 7839k |
| Average Volume 20d | 6812.9k |
| Stop Loss | 84.4 (-3.7%) |
| Signal | -0.94 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (9.16b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.46b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.12% (prev 6.06%; Δ -0.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 19.82b > Net Income 9.16b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (18.63b) to EBITDA (25.58b) ratio: 0.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.27 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.26b) change vs 12m ago 7.58% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.83% (prev 31.14%; Δ -3.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 52.76% (prev 58.64%; Δ -5.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 12.69 (EBITDA TTM 25.58b / Interest Expense TTM 1.17b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.01
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 13.94b - Total Current Liabilities 10.99b) / Total Assets 122.60b |
| (B) 0.55 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 67.71b / Total Assets 122.60b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 14.86b / Avg Total Assets 109.30b |
| (D) 1.08 = Book Value of Equity 61.83b / Total Liabilities 57.03b |
| Total Rating: 4.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.46
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.10% = 2.55 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.01% = 3.00 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.36 = 2.44 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.73 = 2.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.50)% = 5.62 |
| 7. RoE 14.92% = 1.24 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -47.51% = -3.56 |
| 9. EPS Trend -78.62% = -3.93 |
What is the price of COP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.66%, over one month by -5.18%, over three months by -6.17% and over the past year by -17.36%.
Is ConocoPhillips a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of COP is around 78.48 USD . This means that COP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -10.45%.
Is COP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 13
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the COP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 116.3 | 32.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 116.3 | 32.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 86.4 | -1.4% |
Last update: 2025-10-04 03:48
COP Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 12.622
P/E Forward = 14.1044
P/S = 1.9803
P/B = 1.7786
P/EG = 9.9261
Beta = 0.635
Revenue TTM = 57.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.86b USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 23.11b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 414.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 18.63b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 135.79b USD (117.60b + Debt 23.53b - CCE 5.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.69 (Ebit TTM 14.86b / Interest Expense TTM 1.17b)
FCF Yield = 5.10% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Enterprise Value 135.79b)
FCF Margin = 12.01% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Revenue TTM 57.67b)
Net Margin = 15.88% (Net Income TTM 9.16b / Revenue TTM 57.67b)
Gross Margin = 27.83% ((Revenue TTM 57.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 41.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.39% (prev 30.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 135.79b / Total Assets 122.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 327.0m / Debt 23.53b)
Taxrate = 34.67% (1.05b / 3.02b)
NOPAT = 9.71b (EBIT 14.86b * (1 - 34.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 13.94b / Total Current Liabilities 10.99b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 23.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 65.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.73 (Net Debt 18.63b / EBITDA 25.58b)
Debt / FCF = 2.69 (Net Debt 18.63b / FCF TTM 6.92b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 61.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.47% (Net Income 9.16b / Total Assets 122.60b)
RoE = 14.92% (Net Income TTM 9.16b / Total Stockholder Equity 61.37b)
RoCE = 17.59% (EBIT 14.86b / Capital Employed (Equity 61.37b + L.T.Debt 23.11b))
RoIC = 11.61% (NOPAT 9.71b / Invested Capital 83.62b)
WACC = 7.11% (E(117.60b)/V(141.13b) * Re(8.35%) + D(23.53b)/V(141.13b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.86%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.60% ; FCFE base≈7.87b ; Y1≈7.14b ; Y5≈6.22b
Fair Price DCF = 84.90 (DCF Value 106.03b / Shares Outstanding 1.25b; 5y FCF grow -11.66% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -78.62 | EPS CAGR: -28.70% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -47.51 | Revenue CAGR: -13.97% | SUE: -0.71 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for COP Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle