(COP) ConocoPhillips - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 143.028m USD | Total Return: 43% in 12m

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Bitumen, Liquefied Natural Gas
Total Rating 65
Safety 75
Buy Signal 0.58
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: +37.0
Market Cap: 143B
Avg Turnover: 899M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.30%
VaR vs Median9.59%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.23
Rel. Str. IBD80.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group47.6
Character TTM
Beta0.291
Beta Downside0.499
Hurst Exponent0.400
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD36.52%
CAGR/Max DD0.26
CAGR/Mean DD0.60
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of COP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.69, "2021-06": 1.27, "2021-09": 1.77, "2021-12": 2.27, "2022-03": 3.27, "2022-06": 3.91, "2022-09": 3.6, "2022-12": 2.71, "2023-03": 2.38, "2023-06": 1.84, "2023-09": 2.16, "2023-12": 2.4, "2024-03": 2.03, "2024-06": 1.98, "2024-09": 1.76, "2024-12": 1.98, "2025-03": 2.09, "2025-06": 1.42, "2025-09": 1.61, "2025-12": 1.02, "2026-03": 1.89,
EPS CAGR: -17.62%
EPS Trend: -60.0%
Last SUE: 2.29
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of COP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 10105, 2021-06: 9656, 2021-09: 11809, 2021-12: 14486, 2022-03: 18169, 2022-06: 21174, 2022-09: 21142, 2022-12: 18097, 2023-03: 14811, 2023-06: 12367, 2023-09: 14261, 2023-12: 14644, 2024-03: 13794, 2024-06: 13588, 2024-09: 12992, 2024-12: 14238, 2025-03: 16458, 2025-06: 13979, 2025-09: 14969, 2025-12: 13308, 2026-03: 16054,
Rev. CAGR: -7.12%
Rev. Trend: -48.6%
Last SUE: -0.13
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence, Garp

Description: COP ConocoPhillips

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is a Houston-based independent exploration and production (E&P) company with a diverse global portfolio. Its operations span crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, and liquefied natural gas (LNG), organized across five geographic segments: Alaska, the Lower 48, Canada, Asia Pacific, and Europe, Middle East, and North Africa.

The company maintains a mix of unconventional resource plays, such as shale in North America, and conventional long-cycle assets internationally. As an E&P firm, its business model is highly sensitive to global commodity price cycles and capital expenditure efficiency. The sector currently faces structural shifts as companies balance traditional fossil fuel extraction with increasing global demand for LNG as a transition fuel.

For a more granular look at these financial drivers, consider reviewing the detailed metrics available on ValueRay. ConocoPhillips continues to leverage its geographic diversification and technical inventory to manage production across varied regulatory environments and resource types.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global crude oil price fluctuations directly impact upstream revenue and cash flow
  • Production growth in Lower 48 unconventional plays drives total volume targets
  • Expansion of global LNG portfolio secures long term natural gas market share
  • Low breakeven costs across asset portfolio support shareholder capital return programs
  • Federal and international environmental regulations influence future drilling and development costs
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 7.32b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.96 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.25% < 20% (prev 6.25%; Δ 0.00% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 17.98b > Net Income 7.32b
Net Debt (17.45b) to EBITDA (22.44b): 0.78 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.22b) vs 12m ago -3.92% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.18% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 2.89k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 47.22% > 50% (prev 46.10%; Δ 1.12% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.42 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 22.44b / Interest Expense TTM 1.13b)
Altman Z'' 3.79
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 16.23b - Total Current Liabilities 12.59b) / Total Assets 122.72b
B: 0.57 (Retained Earnings 70.02b / Total Assets 122.72b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 10.66b / Avg Total Assets 123.49b)
D: 1.10 (Book Value of Equity 64.01b / Total Liabilities 58.18b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 3.79 = AA
Beneish M -3.01
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 7.05b/6.40b, Revenue 58.31b/57.28b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 29.18% / 29.33%)
AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 58.31b / 57.28b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 7.32b - CFO 17.98b) / TA 122.72b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of COP shares? As of May 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 125.11 with a total of 4,538,002 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.14%, over one month by +8.24%, over three months by +12.95% and over the past year by +42.97%.
Is COP a buy, sell or hold? ConocoPhillips has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.37. Therefore, it is recommended to buy COP.
  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 13
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the COP price?
Analysts Target Price 140.6 12.4%
ConocoPhillips (COP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 19.8646
P/E Forward = 12.0919
P/S = 2.4088
P/B = 2.1494
P/EG = 1.0557
Revenue TTM = 58.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 22.44b USD
Long Term Debt = 22.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 17.45b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 159.99b USD (143.03b + Debt 23.33b - CCE 6.36b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.42 (Ebit TTM 10.66b / Interest Expense TTM 1.13b)
EV/FCF = 8.73x (Enterprise Value 159.99b / FCF TTM 18.33b)
FCF Yield = 11.46% (FCF TTM 18.33b / Enterprise Value 159.99b)
FCF Margin = 31.44% (FCF TTM 18.33b / Revenue TTM 58.31b)
Net Margin = 12.56% (Net Income TTM 7.32b / Revenue TTM 58.31b)
Gross Margin = 29.18% ((Revenue TTM 58.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 41.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.69% (prev 19.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 159.99b / Total Assets 122.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.85% (Interest Expense 198.0m / Debt 23.33b)
Taxrate = 35.09% (1.18b / 3.36b)
NOPAT = 6.92b (EBIT 10.66b * (1 - 35.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 16.23b / Total Current Liabilities 12.59b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 23.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 64.54b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.78 (Net Debt 17.45b / EBITDA 22.44b)
Debt / FCF = 0.95 (Net Debt 17.45b / FCF TTM 18.33b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 64.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.93% (Net Income 7.32b / Total Assets 122.72b)
RoE = 11.29% (Net Income TTM 7.32b / Total Stockholder Equity 64.88b)
RoCE = 12.23% (EBIT 10.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 64.88b + L.T.Debt 22.26b))
RoIC = 7.85% (NOPAT 6.92b / Invested Capital 88.13b)
WACC = 6.10% (E(143.03b)/V(166.35b) * Re(7.01%) + D(23.33b)/V(166.35b) * Rd(0.85%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 7.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 28.89 | Cagr: 1.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 84.83% ; FCFF base≈14.47b ; Y1≈13.11b ; Y5≈11.43b
[DCF] Fair Price = 258.4 (EV 332.30b - Net Debt 17.45b = Equity 314.85b / Shares 1.22b; r=6.10% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -11.66% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -59.97 | EPS CAGR: -17.62% | SUE: 2.29 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -48.56 | Revenue CAGR: -7.12% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.68 | Chg30d=+33.20% | Revisions=+5% | Analysts=18
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=+26.09% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.40 | Chg30d=+27.95% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+52.6% | GrowthRev=+10.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.78 | Chg30d=+11.91% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=-6.6% | GrowthRev=-2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%