Overview Dividends

(CP) Canadian Pacific Railway - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA13646K1084

Rail Freight, Bulk Commodities, Merchandise Freight, Intermodal

Rail Transportation
Market Cap in USD: 64,029m
IPO / Inception: 1983-12-30
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -14.3%

Dividends

Dividend Yield 1.03%
Yield on Cost 5y 1.18%
Yield CAGR 5y -32.41%
Payout Consistency 89.7%
Payout Ratio 13.0%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 19.9%
Value at Risk 5%th 31.1%
Relative Tail Risk -4.80%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.15
Alpha -13.58
CAGR/Max DD -0.06
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.483
Beta 0.722
Beta Downside 0.372
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 25.88%
Mean DD 10.50%
Median DD 10.74%

Description: CP Canadian Pacific Railway December 03, 2025

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) operates a roughly 20,000-mile transcontinental freight railway across Canada, the United States and Mexico, moving bulk commodities (grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, sulphur), merchandise freight (forest products, energy, chemicals, plastics, metals, consumer goods, automotive) and intermodal containers of retail goods. The company rebranded from Canadian Pacific Railway Limited in April 2023, but its corporate lineage dates back to its 1881 incorporation and its headquarters remain in Calgary, Canada.

In Q1 2024 CP reported an operating ratio of 58.2%, a modest improvement of 30 basis points versus Q1 2023, driven by higher intermodal volumes (+5% YoY) and better fuel-cost management. Grain shipments, which account for roughly 20% of total carloads, rose 7% as U.S. Midwest harvests exceeded forecasts, while coal traffic continued its multi-year decline, down 12% YoY. The broader sector is sensitive to macro-drivers such as North-American manufacturing activity (PMI) and cross-border trade volumes, both of which have shown resilience despite tightening credit conditions.

For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform’s CP valuation model provides granular scenario analysis and comparable peer metrics.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (4.26b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 901.7m TTM)
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.31pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -9.21% (prev -18.87%; Δ 9.66pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.49b > Net Income 4.26b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (16.86b) to EBITDA (8.29b) ratio: 2.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (911.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.56% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 56.65% (prev 52.20%; Δ 4.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 20.81% (prev 17.57%; Δ 3.23pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 7.42 (EBITDA TTM 8.29b / Interest Expense TTM 849.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.36

(A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 2.35b - Total Current Liabilities 3.73b) / Total Assets 62.24b
(B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 13.77b / Total Assets 62.24b
(C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 6.30b / Avg Total Assets 72.23b
(D) 1.14 = Book Value of Equity 32.74b / Total Liabilities 28.74b
Total Rating: 2.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.99

1. Piotroski 7.0pt
2. FCF Yield 2.27%
3. FCF Margin 15.92%
4. Debt/Equity 0.52
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.03
6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.61)%
7. RoE 9.74%
8. Rev. Trend 90.29%
9. EPS Trend 55.25%

What is the price of CP shares?

As of December 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 73.76 with a total of 2,483,961 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.93%, over one month by +4.05%, over three months by -2.92% and over the past year by -1.62%.

Is CP a buy, sell or hold?

Canadian Pacific Railway has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CP.
  • Strong Buy: 16
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the CP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 85.6 16%
Analysts Target Price 85.6 16%
ValueRay Target Price 71.1 -3.6%

CP Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025

Market Cap CAD = 88.46b (64.03b USD * 1.3815 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 21.4693
P/E Forward = 18.5529
P/S = 4.2604
P/B = 1.9382
P/EG = 2.3684
Beta = 1.116
Revenue TTM = 15.03b CAD
EBIT TTM = 6.30b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 8.29b CAD
Long Term Debt = 21.59b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.65b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.15b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.86b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 105.31b CAD (88.46b + Debt 17.15b - CCE 295.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.42 (Ebit TTM 6.30b / Interest Expense TTM 849.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.27% (FCF TTM 2.39b / Enterprise Value 105.31b)
FCF Margin = 15.92% (FCF TTM 2.39b / Revenue TTM 15.03b)
Net Margin = 28.38% (Net Income TTM 4.26b / Revenue TTM 15.03b)
Gross Margin = 56.65% ((Revenue TTM 15.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.64% (prev 53.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.69 (Enterprise Value 105.31b / Total Assets 62.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 222.0m / Debt 17.15b)
Taxrate = 24.40% (296.0m / 1.21b)
NOPAT = 4.76b (EBIT 6.30b * (1 - 24.40%))
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 2.35b / Total Current Liabilities 3.73b)
Debt / Equity = 0.52 (Debt 17.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 32.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.03 (Net Debt 16.86b / EBITDA 8.29b)
Debt / FCF = 7.04 (Net Debt 16.86b / FCF TTM 2.39b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 43.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.85% (Net Income 4.26b / Total Assets 62.24b)
RoE = 9.74% (Net Income TTM 4.26b / Total Stockholder Equity 43.79b)
RoCE = 9.63% (EBIT 6.30b / Capital Employed (Equity 43.79b + L.T.Debt 21.59b))
RoIC = 6.82% (NOPAT 4.76b / Invested Capital 69.87b)
WACC = 7.43% (E(88.46b)/V(105.61b) * Re(8.68%) + D(17.15b)/V(105.61b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.21%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.65% ; FCFE base≈2.27b ; Y1≈2.66b ; Y5≈4.05b
Fair Price DCF = 68.37 (DCF Value 61.59b / Shares Outstanding 900.8m; 5y FCF grow 18.49% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 55.25 | EPS CAGR: 3.99% | SUE: -1.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.29 | Revenue CAGR: 16.88% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.32 | Chg30d=-0.027 | Revisions Net=-11 | Growth EPS=+14.3% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%

Additional Sources for CP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle