(CP) Canadian Pacific Railway - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Railroads | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 70.860m USD | Total Return: 14.3% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +0.1
Avg Turnover: 200M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 29.3
EPS Trend: 65.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 88.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) operates a freight railway network across Canada, the United States, and Mexico. This transcontinental reach is a key aspect of its business model, allowing it to connect diverse markets.
The company transports a variety of bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulfur. It also handles merchandise freight, such as forest products, energy, chemicals, plastics, metals, minerals, consumer goods, and automotive parts. Additionally, CP provides intermodal services for retail goods in overseas containers, a common practice in the logistics sector for efficient long-distance transport.
CPs network spans approximately 20,000 miles, connecting major business centers. The company was established in 1881 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Its name changed from Canadian Pacific Railway Limited to Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited in April 2023, reflecting a significant expansion or merger. For more detailed analysis, consider exploring its financials on ValueRay.
- Grain harvest volumes impact bulk commodity revenue
- Fuel price fluctuations affect operating costs
- Intermodal traffic growth drives merchandise freight
- Regulatory approval for mergers expands network
- North American economic activity influences all freight segments
| Net Income: 4.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.24% < 20% (prev -15.65%; Δ -4.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 5.31b > Net Income 4.14b |
| Net Debt (23.00b) to EBITDA (8.38b): 2.75 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (917.1m) vs 12m ago -1.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.16% > 18% (prev 0.51%; Δ 5.16k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 17.30% > 50% (prev 16.45%; Δ 0.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.26 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 8.38b / Interest Expense TTM 876.0m) |
| A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.94b - Total Current Liabilities 5.99b) / Total Assets 85.94b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 19.78b / Total Assets 85.94b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 6.36b / Avg Total Assets 87.17b) |
| D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 45.77b / Total Liabilities 39.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.24 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 2.03b/1.97b, Revenue 15.08b/14.55b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 52.16% / 51.43%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 15.08b / 14.55b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 4.14b - CFO 5.31b) / TA 85.94b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.47%, over one month by -3.68%, over three months by +12.86% and over the past year by +14.27%.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 87.4 | 8.4% |
P/E Trailing = 24.2985
P/E Forward = 21.322
P/S = 4.6996
P/B = 2.1476
P/EG = 2.2189
Revenue TTM = 15.08b CAD
EBIT TTM = 6.36b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 8.38b CAD
Long Term Debt = 19.95b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.24b CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.19b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 23.00b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 120.95b CAD (97.95b + Debt 23.19b - CCE 184.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.26 (Ebit TTM 6.36b / Interest Expense TTM 876.0m)
EV/FCF = 55.76x (Enterprise Value 120.95b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
FCF Yield = 1.79% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Enterprise Value 120.95b)
FCF Margin = 14.39% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 15.08b)
Net Margin = 27.46% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Revenue TTM 15.08b)
Gross Margin = 52.16% ((Revenue TTM 15.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.86% (prev 68.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 120.95b / Total Assets 85.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.99% (Interest Expense 230.0m / Debt 23.19b)
Taxrate = 27.08% (400.0m / 1.48b)
NOPAT = 4.64b (EBIT 6.36b * (1 - 27.08%))
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 2.94b / Total Current Liabilities 5.99b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 23.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.75 (Net Debt 23.00b / EBITDA 8.38b)
Debt / FCF = 10.61 (Net Debt 23.00b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 43.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 4.14b / Total Assets 85.94b)
RoE = 9.57% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 43.28b)
RoCE = 10.05% (EBIT 6.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 43.28b + L.T.Debt 19.95b))
RoIC = 6.67% (NOPAT 4.64b / Invested Capital 69.51b)
WACC = 6.95% (E(97.95b)/V(121.14b) * Re(8.43%) + D(23.19b)/V(121.14b) * Rd(0.99%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.90%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.94% ; FCFF base≈2.26b ; Y1≈2.57b ; Y5≈3.53b
[DCF] Fair Price = 61.55 (EV 78.23b - Net Debt 23.00b = Equity 55.23b / Shares 897.3m; r=6.95% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 65.60 | EPS CAGR: 20.06% | SUE: -1.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.20 | Revenue CAGR: 22.41% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.25 | Chg7d=-0.009 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.15 | Chg7d=-0.010 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.89 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=+0.017 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 4.3% (Discount Rate 8.4% - Earnings Yield 4.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.3% (Analyst 6.6% - Implied 4.3%)