(CRC) California Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Carbon Capture, Power Generation
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.00% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 25.54% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.3% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 57.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.11% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.19 |
| Alpha | -34.90 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.474 |
| Beta | 1.266 |
| Beta Downside | 1.862 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.75% |
| Mean DD | 13.13% |
| Median DD | 12.42% |
Description: CRC California Resources January 10, 2026
California Resources Corp (NYSE: CRC) is an independent U.S. energy and carbon-management firm that operates two primary segments: Oil & Natural Gas and Carbon Management. The company explores, develops, and produces crude oil, condensate, natural-gas liquids and dry gas for California refiners and other buyers, while its Carbon TerraVault business designs, builds, and operates CO₂ capture, transport and storage infrastructure. CRC also runs several power-generation assets, including small gas-fired plants that supply electricity to its upstream operations. Incorporated in 2014 and headquartered in Long Beach, California, CRC is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.”
Key quantitative points (as of the latest 2023 filings) include: ≈ 30 MMboe of proved reserves, a 2023 average production of ~ 35 MMboe ÷ year, and a net debt of roughly $1.2 billion, giving a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.5×. The firm’s revenue is highly sensitive to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude prices and to California’s Low-Carbon Fuel Standard, which creates a premium for low-carbon oil and can offset carbon-management costs. Additionally, CRC’s carbon-capture projects are positioned to benefit from the U.S. 45Q tax credit, which currently offers up to $85 per tonne of CO₂ sequestered.
For a deeper dive into CRC’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, ValueRay’s analyst notes provide a concise, data-driven overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (384.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 211.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.97% (prev -0.95%; Δ -2.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 835.0m > Net Income 384.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (904.0m) to EBITDA (1.26b) ratio: 0.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (84.4m) change vs 12m ago -7.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.89% (prev 42.91%; Δ -5.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 50.88% (prev 37.01%; Δ 13.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.95 (EBITDA TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 105.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.07
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 812.0m - Total Current Liabilities 917.0m) / Total Assets 6.75b |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.93b / Total Assets 6.75b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 625.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.94b |
| (D) 0.60 = Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 3.31b |
| Total Rating: 2.07 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.33
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.96% |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.71 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.07)% |
| 7. RoE 11.05% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 12.28% |
| 9. EPS Trend -25.43% |
What is the price of CRC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.69%, over one month by -1.52%, over three months by -6.64% and over the past year by -12.06%.
Is CRC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CRC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 64.6 | 40.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 64.6 | 40.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 46.1 | -0.1% |
CRC Fundamental Data Overview January 12, 2026
P/E Forward = 24.3309
P/S = 1.1604
P/B = 1.1813
P/EG = 8.1176
Beta = 1.143
Revenue TTM = 3.53b USD
EBIT TTM = 625.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 889.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 144.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 904.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.97b USD (4.07b + Debt 1.10b - CCE 196.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.95 (Ebit TTM 625.0m / Interest Expense TTM 105.0m)
EV/FCF = 9.12x (Enterprise Value 4.97b / FCF TTM 545.0m)
FCF Yield = 10.96% (FCF TTM 545.0m / Enterprise Value 4.97b)
FCF Margin = 15.43% (FCF TTM 545.0m / Revenue TTM 3.53b)
Net Margin = 10.88% (Net Income TTM 384.0m / Revenue TTM 3.53b)
Gross Margin = 37.89% ((Revenue TTM 3.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.38% (prev 37.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 4.97b / Total Assets 6.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.27% (Interest Expense 25.0m / Debt 1.10b)
Taxrate = 14.67% (11.0m / 75.0m)
NOPAT = 533.3m (EBIT 625.0m * (1 - 14.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 812.0m / Total Current Liabilities 917.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 1.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.44b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.71 (Net Debt 904.0m / EBITDA 1.26b)
Debt / FCF = 1.66 (Net Debt 904.0m / FCF TTM 545.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.53% (Net Income 384.0m / Total Assets 6.75b)
RoE = 11.05% (Net Income TTM 384.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.48b)
RoCE = 14.32% (EBIT 625.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.48b + L.T.Debt 889.0m))
RoIC = 11.81% (NOPAT 533.3m / Invested Capital 4.52b)
WACC = 8.74% (E(4.07b)/V(5.17b) * Re(10.58%) + D(1.10b)/V(5.17b) * Rd(2.27%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 10.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 9.22%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.89% ; FCFF base≈442.6m ; Y1≈546.0m ; Y5≈929.8m
Fair Price DCF = 142.8 (EV 13.66b - Net Debt 904.0m = Equity 12.75b / Shares 89.3m; r=8.74% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -25.43 | EPS CAGR: -47.58% | SUE: -1.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 12.28 | Revenue CAGR: 5.95% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.37 | Chg30d=-0.059 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=-0.289 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=-47.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%
Additional Sources for CRC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle