(CRC) California Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Carbon Storage
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.29% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.32% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 32.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.3% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 54.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.19% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.15 |
| Alpha | -31.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.473 |
| Beta | 1.261 |
| Beta Downside | 1.872 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.75% |
| Mean DD | 12.50% |
| Median DD | 11.47% |
Description: CRC California Resources November 07, 2025
California Resources Corp (NYSE: CRC) is an independent U.S. energy and carbon-management firm headquartered in Long Beach, California. It operates two primary segments: Oil & Natural Gas, which explores, develops and produces crude oil, condensate, natural-gas liquids and dry gas for California refiners and other buyers; and Carbon Management, which delivers its “Carbon TerraVault” service-design, construction, operation and maintenance of CO₂ capture equipment, pipelines and storage facilities-while also running ancillary power-generation assets that support its upstream operations.
Recent operating metrics show CRC produced roughly 30 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) in Q2 2024, generating $450 million of operating cash flow and maintaining a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.1×, indicating moderate leverage for a mid-size E&P. The company’s cash-flow profile is highly sensitive to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices, which have hovered around $85 per barrel, and to California’s stringent emissions regulations that are driving demand for carbon-capture capacity-a market projected to grow at a CAGR of ~12 % through 2030.
For investors seeking a deeper quantitative view of CRC’s valuation and risk factors, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst dashboards can help surface the most material assumptions and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (384.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 211.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.97% (prev -0.95%; Δ -2.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 835.0m > Net Income 384.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (904.0m) to EBITDA (1.26b) ratio: 0.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.89 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (84.4m) change vs 12m ago -7.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.89% (prev 42.91%; Δ -5.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 50.88% (prev 37.01%; Δ 13.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.95 (EBITDA TTM 1.26b / Interest Expense TTM 105.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.07
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 812.0m - Total Current Liabilities 917.0m) / Total Assets 6.75b |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.93b / Total Assets 6.75b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 625.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.94b |
| (D) 0.60 = Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 3.31b |
| Total Rating: 2.07 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.91
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.41% |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.71 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.08)% |
| 7. RoE 11.05% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 12.28% |
| 9. EPS Trend -13.97% |
What is the price of CRC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.70%, over one month by +4.07%, over three months by -2.97% and over the past year by -12.47%.
Is CRC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CRC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 66.4 | 39.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 66.4 | 39.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 50.6 | 6.2% |
CRC Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.0911
P/E Forward = 17.7305
P/S = 1.1046
P/B = 1.1245
P/EG = 0.5615
Beta = 1.143
Revenue TTM = 3.53b USD
EBIT TTM = 625.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 889.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 144.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 904.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.78b USD (3.87b + Debt 1.10b - CCE 196.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.95 (Ebit TTM 625.0m / Interest Expense TTM 105.0m)
FCF Yield = 11.41% (FCF TTM 545.0m / Enterprise Value 4.78b)
FCF Margin = 15.43% (FCF TTM 545.0m / Revenue TTM 3.53b)
Net Margin = 10.88% (Net Income TTM 384.0m / Revenue TTM 3.53b)
Gross Margin = 37.89% ((Revenue TTM 3.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.38% (prev 37.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 4.78b / Total Assets 6.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.27% (Interest Expense 25.0m / Debt 1.10b)
Taxrate = 14.67% (11.0m / 75.0m)
NOPAT = 533.3m (EBIT 625.0m * (1 - 14.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 812.0m / Total Current Liabilities 917.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 1.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.44b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.71 (Net Debt 904.0m / EBITDA 1.26b)
Debt / FCF = 1.66 (Net Debt 904.0m / FCF TTM 545.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.69% (Net Income 384.0m / Total Assets 6.75b)
RoE = 11.05% (Net Income TTM 384.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.48b)
RoCE = 14.32% (EBIT 625.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.48b + L.T.Debt 889.0m))
RoIC = 11.81% (NOPAT 533.3m / Invested Capital 4.52b)
WACC = 8.73% (E(3.87b)/V(4.97b) * Re(10.66%) + D(1.10b)/V(4.97b) * Rd(2.27%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 10.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 9.22%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.41% ; FCFE base≈442.6m ; Y1≈546.0m ; Y5≈931.6m
Fair Price DCF = 122.8 (DCF Value 10.28b / Shares Outstanding 83.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -13.97 | EPS CAGR: -9.58% | SUE: 0.47 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 12.28 | Revenue CAGR: 5.95% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-0.072 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.23 | Chg30d=-0.143 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=-23.6% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
Additional Sources for CRC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle