CRGY Stock Analysis: Crescent Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.085m USD | 12M Return: 8.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 63.8M
EPS Trend: -79.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 4.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Crescent Energy Company (NYSE: CRGY) is a U.S.-based exploration and production company focused on crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its operations are concentrated in three major U.S. shale basins: the Eagle Ford (South Texas), the Permian Basin (West Texas/New Mexico), and the Uinta Basin (Utah). In addition to operated production activities, the company holds non-operating mineral and royalty interests across various U.S. oil and natural gas basins, generating passive revenue from production on acreage it does not develop. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, Crescent Energy went public in December 2021 and is classified within the Energy sector under Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Operating multiple basins allows for geographic diversification, which can help mitigate regional commodity pricing and production risks.
- WTI crude prices drive Permian and Eagle Ford cash flow
- Production growth across core basins boosts revenue
- Disciplined capital allocation targets debt reduction and bolt-on acquisitions
| Net Income: -284.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.97 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -17.63% < 20% (prev -5.92%; Δ -11.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 1.75b > Net Income -284.8m |
| Net Debt (5.49b) to EBITDA (1.26b): 4.36 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.57 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (328.3m) vs 12m ago 27.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 70.31% > 18% (prev 82.64%; Δ -12.33% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.86% > 50% (prev 32.65%; Δ 2.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.07 > 6 (EBIT TTM 21.5m / Interest Expense TTM 329.8m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 896.4m - Total Current Liabilities 1.57b) / Total Assets 12.0b |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -419.8m / Total Assets 12.0b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 21.5m / Avg Total Assets 10.9b) |
| D: 0.64 (Book Value of Equity 4.68b / Total Liabilities 7.31b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.20 = B |
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 787.9m/612.8m, Revenue 3.81b/3.22b) |
| GMI: 1.18 (GM 82.64% / 70.31%) |
| AQI: 2.75 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 3.81b / 3.22b) |
| TATA: -0.17 (NI -284.8m - CFO 1.75b) / TA 12.0b) |
| Beneish M = -1.65 (Cap -4..+1) = CCC |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.14 with a total of 5,117,344 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.68%, over one month by -22.34%, over three months by -31.67% and over the past year by +8.30%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.30 (which is 9.2% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Crescent Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CRGY.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 17.4 | 89.9% |
P/E Forward = 3.8124
P/S = 0.8091
P/B = 0.6592
Revenue TTM = 3.81b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.24b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 131.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 133.5m
Net Debt = 5.49b USD (calculated: Debt 5.50b - CCE 9.78m)
Enterprise Value = 8.58b USD (3.08b + Debt 5.50b - CCE 9.78m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.07 (Ebit TTM 21.5m / Interest Expense TTM 329.8m)
EV/FCF = 22.94x (Enterprise Value 8.58b / FCF TTM 374.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.36% (FCF TTM 374.0m / Enterprise Value 8.58b)
FCF Margin = 9.81% (FCF TTM 374.0m / Revenue TTM 3.81b)
Net Margin = -7.47% (Net Income TTM -284.8m / Revenue TTM 3.81b)
Gross Margin = 70.31% ((Revenue TTM 3.81b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.37% (prev 18.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 8.58b / Total Assets 12.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.99% (Interest Expense 329.8m / Debt 5.50b)
Taxrate = 17.11% (34.5m / 201.7m)
NOPAT = 17.8m (EBIT 21.5m * (1 - 17.11%))
Current Ratio = 0.57 (Total Current Assets 896.4m / Total Current Liabilities 1.57b)
Debt / Equity = 1.18 (Debt 5.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.36 (Net Debt 5.49b / EBITDA 1.26b)
Debt / FCF = 14.69 (Net Debt 5.49b / FCF TTM 374.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.70b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.60% (Net Income -284.8m / Total Assets 12.0b)
RoE = -6.06% (Net Income TTM -284.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.70b)
RoCE = 0.22% (EBIT 21.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.70b + L.T.Debt 5.24b))
RoIC = 0.17% (NOPAT 17.8m / Invested Capital 10.6b)
WACC = 6.91% (E(3.08b)/V(8.59b) * Re(10.37%) + D(5.50b)/V(8.59b) * Rd(5.99%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 54.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈374.0m ; Y1≈375.5m ; Y5≈397.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.10 (EV 6.19b - Net Debt 5.49b = Equity 692.0m / Shares 330.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -79.23 | EPS CAGR: -26.98% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.04 | Revenue CAGR: 19.86% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.60 | Chg30d=-3.52% | Revisions=+42% | Analysts=12
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.66 | Chg30d=-0.58% | Revisions=+55% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.44 | Chg30d=-0.38% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+35.6% | GrowthRev=+39.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.41 | Chg30d=-1.13% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=-1.2% | GrowthRev=-6.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +70% (up=36, down=5)