CTA ETF Analysis: Simplify Managed Futures | NYSE

Systematic Trend | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.572m USD | 12M Return: 8.5% | US82889N6994 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Equity Futures, Treasury Futures, Commodity Futures, Currency Futures
Total Rating 43
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.45
Systematic Trend
Category Rotation: +1.7
TER: 0.78%
AUM: 1.57B
Avg Turnover: 11.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.0%
VaR 5th Pctl5.12%
VaR vs Median-1.87%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.29
Rel. Str. IBD22.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7
Character TTM
Beta-0.147
Beta Downside0.090
Hurst Exponent0.445
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.79%
CAGR/Max DD0.49
CAGR/Mean DD1.91

Warnings

Extended 1w

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.4 years of data

Jan +0.6% 34
Feb +5.4% 17
Mar -0.5% 20
Apr +6.1% 29
May -2.4% 23
Jun -1.0% 43
Jul +0.6% 19
Aug -0.1% 11
Sep +1.3% 12
Oct -3.6% 19
Nov -0.1% 11
Dec -0.4% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CTA Simplify Managed Futures

The Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) invests under normal market conditions in a portfolio of futures contracts spanning equities, U.S. Treasuries, commodities, and foreign exchange. Rather than holding commodity futures directly, the fund gains exposure to those markets by allocating up to 25% of its assets to a wholly-owned Cayman Islands subsidiary, a structure commonly used by U.S. funds to access certain commodity-linked instruments while maintaining tax efficiency.

As a Systematic Trend ETF launched in March 2022, the fund falls within the managed futures category, which relies on rule-based models to identify and follow directional price trends across global asset classes. Managed futures strategies are often used by investors seeking diversification from traditional stock-and-bond holdings, as futures positions can be held long or short and are not directly correlated with equity market returns.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Sustained market trends boost managed futures performance
  • Federal Reserve rate path shifts Treasury futures positioning
  • Commodity volatility drives returns across oil and gold
What is the price of CTA shares?

As of August 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 28.48 with a total of 229,371 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.72%, over one month by +4.64%, over three months by -7.82% and over the past year by +8.47%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.10 (which is 4.8% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).

Is CTA a buy, sell or hold?

Simplify Managed Futures has no consensus analysts rating.