CTA ETF Analysis: Simplify Managed Futures | NYSE

Managed Futures & Macro | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.278m USD | 12M Return: 1.2% | US82889N6994 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Equity Futures, Treasury Futures, Commodity Futures, Foreign Exchange
Total Rating 36
Safety 45
Buy Signal -0.58
Managed Futures & Macro
Category Rotation: -32.6
TER: 0.79%
AUM: 1.28B
Avg Turnover: 11.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.2%
VaR 5th Pctl5.01%
VaR vs Median-1.34%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.02
Rel. Str. IBD29.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.136
Beta Downside0.121
Hurst Exponent0.520
Choppyness67.7%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD20.80%
CAGR/Max DD0.38
CAGR/Mean DD1.43

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.7 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan +1.0% 7
Feb +7.0% 7
Mar -0.6% 7
Apr +7.1% 14
May -1.2% 14
Jun -1.1% 0
Jul +2.1% 14
Aug +1.3% 0
Sep -0.4% 0
Oct +0.3% 0
Nov -1.4% 0
Dec -0.9% 7

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: CTA Simplify Managed Futures

The Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) is a systematic trend-focused exchange-traded fund that invests primarily in equity, U.S. Treasury, commodity, and foreign exchange futures contracts. Rather than holding commodity futures directly, the fund typically gains exposure to these assets through a wholly-owned Cayman Islands subsidiary, into which it may allocate up to 25% of its assets. Listed on the NYSE since its March 2022 IPO, the fund operates within the managed futures segment of the ETF market, which seeks to profit from directional movements across asset classes using derivatives rather than traditional long-only equity or bond holdings.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • CTA performance tied to managed futures trend-following signals
  • Rising interest rates boost collateral yields on Treasury holdings
  • Commodity and FX volatility drives underlying futures contract returns
What is the price of CTA shares?

As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 26.59 with a total of 537,868 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.21%, over one month by -9.84%, over three months by -0.14% and over the past year by +1.20%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.60 (which is 3.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is CTA a buy, sell or hold?

Simplify Managed Futures has no consensus analysts rating.