(CTO) CTO Realty Growth - Overview
Sector: Real EstateIndustry: REIT - Diversified | Exchange NYSE (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 605m | Total Return 3.8% in 12m
Stock: Real Estate, Retail, Properties, Investments
Total Rating 51
Risk 60
Buy Signal -0.59
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.50% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.08 |
| Alpha | -2.44 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.197 |
| Beta Downside | 0.453 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.39% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.56 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
Fundamental:
P/E ratio: 232.125
Description: CTO CTO Realty Growth March 04, 2026
CTO Realty Growth Inc. (CTO) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT). REITs are companies that own, operate, or finance income-producing real estate across a range of property sectors.
CTOs portfolio primarily consists of retail properties located in high-growth U.S. markets. Retail properties often involve long-term leases with tenants.
The firm also manages and holds a significant stake in Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc., another publicly traded net lease REIT. Net lease REITs typically involve tenants paying for most property expenses, in addition to rent.
Further analysis of CTOs financial performance and property specifics is available on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Retail property occupancy rates impact rental income
- Interest rate hikes increase borrowing costs for acquisitions
- Consumer spending trends affect tenant sales and lease renewals
- Alpine Income Property Trust performance influences CTOs equity value
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 10.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.22% < 20% (prev 86.47%; Δ -68.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 64.6m > Net Income 10.2m |
| Net Debt (641.6m) to EBITDA (84.9m): 7.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (32.2m) vs 12m ago 4.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -5.62% > 18% (prev 0.73%; Δ -635.6% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 12.23% > 50% (prev 10.54%; Δ 1.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.95 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 84.9m / Interest Expense TTM 26.3m) |
Altman Z'' 1.03
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 47.8m - Total Current Liabilities 20.5m) / Total Assets 1.26b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 184.9m / Total Assets 1.26b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 24.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.22b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 184.8m / Total Liabilities 696.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.03 = BB |
Beneish M -2.96
| DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 129.5m/125.7m, Revenue 149.5m/124.5m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.14 (AQ_t 0.96 / AQ_t-1 0.85) |
| SGI: 1.20 (Revenue 149.5m / 124.5m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 10.2m - CFO 64.6m) / TA 1.26b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of CTO shares?
As of March 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 18.22 with a total of 153,518 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.88%, over one month by -4.82%, over three months by +3.38% and over the past year by +3.82%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.88%, over one month by -4.82%, over three months by +3.38% and over the past year by +3.82%.
Is CTO a buy, sell or hold?
CTO Realty Growth has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy CTO.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CTO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 22.2 | 21.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 22.2 | 21.7% |
CTO Fundamental Data Overview March 25, 2026
P/E Trailing = 232.125
P/E Forward = 121.9512
P/S = 4.0431
P/B = 1.0526
Revenue TTM = 149.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 24.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 84.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 616.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 648.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 641.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.20b USD (604.6m + Debt 648.1m - CCE 47.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.95 (Ebit TTM 24.9m / Interest Expense TTM 26.3m)
EV/FCF = 18.65x (Enterprise Value 1.20b / FCF TTM 64.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.36% (FCF TTM 64.6m / Enterprise Value 1.20b)
FCF Margin = 43.20% (FCF TTM 64.6m / Revenue TTM 149.5m)
Net Margin = 6.83% (Net Income TTM 10.2m / Revenue TTM 149.5m)
Gross Margin = -5.62% ((Revenue TTM 149.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 158.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 75.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 1.20b / Total Assets 1.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 7.10m / Debt 648.1m)
Taxrate = 0.50% (143k / 28.5m)
NOPAT = 24.8m (EBIT 24.9m * (1 - 0.50%))
Current Ratio = 2.33 (Total Current Assets 47.8m / Total Current Liabilities 20.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.14 (Debt 648.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 567.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.56 (Net Debt 641.6m / EBITDA 84.9m)
Debt / FCF = 9.93 (Net Debt 641.6m / FCF TTM 64.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 573.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.83% (Net Income 10.2m / Total Assets 1.26b)
RoE = 1.78% (Net Income TTM 10.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 573.1m)
RoCE = 2.09% (EBIT 24.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 573.1m + L.T.Debt 616.3m))
RoIC = 2.10% (NOPAT 24.8m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 3.79% (E(604.6m)/V(1.25b) * Re(6.68%) + D(648.1m)/V(1.25b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 6.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.44% ; FCFF base≈66.5m ; Y1≈82.0m ; Y5≈140.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 105.0 (EV 4.06b - Net Debt 641.6m = Equity 3.42b / Shares 32.6m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 30.79 | EPS CAGR: 35.20% | SUE: 3.43 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.29 | Revenue CAGR: 23.81% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.02 | Chg7d=-0.005 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg7d=-0.075 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+18.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.26 | Chg7d=+0.255 | Chg30d=+0.255 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+168.4% | Growth Revenue=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.5% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 0.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.1% (Analyst 5.4% - Implied 7.5%)
P/E Forward = 121.9512
P/S = 4.0431
P/B = 1.0526
Revenue TTM = 149.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 24.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 84.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 616.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 648.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 641.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.20b USD (604.6m + Debt 648.1m - CCE 47.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.95 (Ebit TTM 24.9m / Interest Expense TTM 26.3m)
EV/FCF = 18.65x (Enterprise Value 1.20b / FCF TTM 64.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.36% (FCF TTM 64.6m / Enterprise Value 1.20b)
FCF Margin = 43.20% (FCF TTM 64.6m / Revenue TTM 149.5m)
Net Margin = 6.83% (Net Income TTM 10.2m / Revenue TTM 149.5m)
Gross Margin = -5.62% ((Revenue TTM 149.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 158.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 75.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 1.20b / Total Assets 1.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 7.10m / Debt 648.1m)
Taxrate = 0.50% (143k / 28.5m)
NOPAT = 24.8m (EBIT 24.9m * (1 - 0.50%))
Current Ratio = 2.33 (Total Current Assets 47.8m / Total Current Liabilities 20.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.14 (Debt 648.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 567.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.56 (Net Debt 641.6m / EBITDA 84.9m)
Debt / FCF = 9.93 (Net Debt 641.6m / FCF TTM 64.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 573.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.83% (Net Income 10.2m / Total Assets 1.26b)
RoE = 1.78% (Net Income TTM 10.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 573.1m)
RoCE = 2.09% (EBIT 24.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 573.1m + L.T.Debt 616.3m))
RoIC = 2.10% (NOPAT 24.8m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 3.79% (E(604.6m)/V(1.25b) * Re(6.68%) + D(648.1m)/V(1.25b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 6.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 88.44% ; FCFF base≈66.5m ; Y1≈82.0m ; Y5≈140.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 105.0 (EV 4.06b - Net Debt 641.6m = Equity 3.42b / Shares 32.6m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 30.79 | EPS CAGR: 35.20% | SUE: 3.43 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.29 | Revenue CAGR: 23.81% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.02 | Chg7d=-0.005 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg7d=-0.075 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+18.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.26 | Chg7d=+0.255 | Chg30d=+0.255 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+168.4% | Growth Revenue=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.5% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 0.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.1% (Analyst 5.4% - Implied 7.5%)