Overview Dividends

(CTOS) Custom Truck One Source - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US23204X1037

Trucks, Cranes, Trailers, Equipment

CTOS EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -43.06%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -63.1%

CTOS Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 13.88%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -36.8%

Description: CTOS Custom Truck One Source

Custom Truck One Source Inc (NYSE:CTOS) is a US-based trading company and distributor, as classified under the GICS Sub Industry. The companys quarterly tax provision is being analyzed, suggesting a focus on financial performance and potential tax implications.

To better understand CTOSs financial health, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow should be examined. A high gross margin could indicate a competitive advantage, while a strong operating cash flow would suggest the companys ability to generate liquidity. Additionally, the return on equity (RoE) of 1.61% indicates a relatively low return on shareholders equity, potentially due to high operating expenses or inefficient capital allocation.

The stocks market capitalization stands at $1.359 billion, categorizing it as a mid-cap stock. The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 384.62 is unusually high, potentially indicating high growth expectations or a lack of earnings in the near term. Key economic drivers for CTOS may include industry trends, such as demand for heavy equipment and trucks, as well as macroeconomic factors like interest rates and GDP growth. A thorough analysis of these drivers is necessary to understand the companys prospects.

To further evaluate CTOSs investment potential, an examination of its financial statements, managements discussion and analysis (MD&A), and industry reports would be necessary. This could involve analyzing the companys debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage, and other metrics to assess its financial stability and ability to navigate potential economic downturns.

CTOS Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,294m
Sub-Industry	Trading Companies & Distributors
IPO / Inception	2017-10-06

CTOS Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	4.28%
Fundamental	42.4%
Dividend Rating	-
Return 12m vs S&P 500	22.7%
Analyst Rating	4.0 of 5

CTOS Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

CTOS Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	67.9%
Growth Correlation 12m	50.5%
Growth Correlation 5y	-64.7%
CAGR 5y	-4.14%
CAGR/Max DD 3y	-0.07
CAGR/Mean DD 3y	-0.19
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.78
Alpha	0.14
Beta	0.681
Volatility	43.36%
Current Volume	491.4k
Average Volume 20d	527.9k
Stop Loss	5.3 (-5.4%)
Signal	-1.74

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5

Net Income (-18.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 88.8m TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 15.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 18.33% (prev 17.65%; Δ 0.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 154.3m > Net Income -18.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (2.50b) to EBITDA (388.1m) ratio: 6.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.26 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (226.5m) change vs 12m ago -5.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 21.15% (prev 22.01%; Δ -0.87pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 41.68% (prev 50.81%; Δ -9.13pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.83 (EBITDA TTM 388.1m / Interest Expense TTM 165.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -0.06

(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 1.33b - Total Current Liabilities 1.06b) / Total Assets 3.58b

(B) -0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -632.7m / Total Assets 3.58b

(D) -0.23 = Book Value of Equity -642.6m / Total Liabilities 2.79b

Total Rating: -0.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.44

1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50

2. FCF Yield 3.68% = 1.84

3. FCF Margin 9.21% = 2.30

4. Debt/Equity 3.05 = -0.85

5. Debt/Ebitda 6.21 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.45)% = -0.57

7. RoE -2.21% = -0.37

8. Rev. Trend -36.83% = -2.76

9. EPS Trend -63.06% = -3.15

What is the price of CTOS shares?

As of September 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 5.60 with a total of 491,447 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.93%, over one month by -8.79%, over three months by +19.15% and over the past year by +45.45%.

Is Custom Truck One Source a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 42.44 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CTOS is around 5.82 USD . This means that CTOS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 3.93%.

Is CTOS a buy, sell or hold?

Custom Truck One Source has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CTOS.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 0
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CTOS price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	7.1	26.8%
Analysts Target Price	7.1	26.8%
ValueRay Target Price	6.2	10.9%

Last update: 2025-09-12 04:34

CTOS Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 1.29b (1.29b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 5.26m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 63.2911
P/S = 0.6803
P/B = 1.6373
Beta = 1.23
Revenue TTM = 1.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 138.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 388.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 821.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.41b USD (Calculated: Short Term 821.7m + Long Term 1.59b)
Net Debt = 2.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.70b USD (1.29b + Debt 2.41b - CCE 5.26m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.83 (Ebit TTM 138.0m / Interest Expense TTM 165.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.68% (FCF TTM 136.3m / Enterprise Value 3.70b)
FCF Margin = 9.21% (FCF TTM 136.3m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Net Margin = -1.23% (Net Income TTM -18.2m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Gross Margin = 21.15% ((Revenue TTM 1.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -5.76 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 3.70b / Book Value Of Equity -642.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.67% (Interest Expense 40.2m / Debt 2.41b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = 109.0m (EBIT 138.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.26 (Total Current Assets 1.33b / Total Current Liabilities 1.06b)
Debt / Equity = 3.05 (Debt 2.41b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 790.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.21 (Net Debt 2.50b / EBITDA 388.1m)
Debt / FCF = 17.70 (Debt 2.41b / FCF TTM 136.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 825.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.51% (Net Income -18.2m, Total Assets 3.58b )
RoE = -2.21% (Net Income TTM -18.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 825.6m)
RoCE = 5.71% (Ebit 138.0m / (Equity 825.6m + L.T.Debt 1.59b))
RoIC = 3.38% (NOPAT 109.0m / Invested Capital 3.23b)
WACC = 3.83% (E(1.29b)/V(3.71b) * Re(8.52%)) + (D(2.41b)/V(3.71b) * Rd(1.67%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -96.97 | Cagr: -0.81%
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.91% ; FCFE base≈136.3m ; Y1≈168.1m ; Y5≈286.8m
Fair Price DCF = 19.64 (DCF Value 4.45b / Shares Outstanding 226.6m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -63.06 | EPS CAGR: -43.06% | SUE: -1.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -36.83 | Revenue CAGR: 13.88% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None

Additional Sources for CTOS Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle