(CTRA) Coterra Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids
CTRA EPS (Earnings per Share)
CTRA Revenue
Description: CTRA Coterra Energy October 16, 2025
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) is an independent U.S. oil-and-gas producer focused on three core acreage packages: roughly 2.97 million net acres in the Permian Basin (West Texas & SE New Mexico), about 1.86 million net acres in the Marcellus Shale (Susquehanna County, PA), and approximately 1.81 million net acres in the Anadarko Basin (mid-continent Oklahoma). The company also operates natural-gas and salt-water gathering and disposal infrastructure in Texas and markets its gas to a broad mix of industrial, utility, and pipeline customers. Coterra was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Recent quarterly data (Q4 2023) show average production of ~200 k boe/d, with a 12 % year-over-year increase driven largely by higher Permian output. The firm generated $1.1 billion of operating cash flow and reduced net debt to $2.3 billion, reflecting a disciplined capital-allocation strategy. Key economic drivers include the ongoing recovery in oil prices (WTI ≈ $85/bbl) and the volatility of natural-gas prices (Henry Hub ≈ $2.80/MMBtu), both of which are heavily influenced by U.S. macro-policy on energy security and the pace of global LNG demand growth.
For a deeper dive into Coterra’s valuation metrics, production forecasts, and sensitivity to commodity price swings, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for extending your research.
CTRA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 18,056m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 1990-02-08 |
CTRA Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 3.65% |
| Fundamental | 67.7% |
| Dividend Rating | 66.5% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -3.32% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.31 of 5 |
CTRA Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.37% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.84% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 20.38% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 49.2% |
CTRA Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -28.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -50.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 64.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 0.31% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.01 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.03 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.68 |
| Alpha | 3.32 |
| Beta | 0.270 |
| Volatility | 25.80% |
| Current Volume | 27211.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 8881.3k |
| Stop Loss | 25 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | 0.52 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (1.58b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 389.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.62% (prev 12.07%; Δ -9.45pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.46b > Net Income 1.58b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.20b) to EBITDA (4.15b) ratio: 1.01 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.13 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (759.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.47% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 34.79% (prev 34.88%; Δ -0.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 29.01% (prev 26.82%; Δ 2.19pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.21 (EBITDA TTM 4.15b / Interest Expense TTM 159.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.31
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 1.52b - Total Current Liabilities 1.35b) / Total Assets 23.98b |
| (B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.54b / Total Assets 23.98b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 2.10b / Avg Total Assets 22.37b |
| (D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 6.64b / Total Liabilities 9.43b |
| Total Rating: 2.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.70
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 14.54% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 49.87% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.30 = 2.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.01 = 1.75 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.64)% = 4.55 |
| 7. RoE 11.48% = 0.96 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -33.24% = -2.49 |
| 9. EPS Trend -60.43% = -3.02 |
What is the price of CTRA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.56%, over one month by +8.43%, over three months by +9.01% and over the past year by +15.96%.
Is Coterra Energy a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CTRA is around 24.37 USD . This means that CTRA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.73%.
Is CTRA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 10
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CTRA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 32 | 23.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 32 | 23.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.5 | 2.6% |
CTRA Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.3206
P/E Forward = 7.3692
P/S = 2.8973
P/B = 1.2137
P/EG = 44.6673
Beta = 0.27
Revenue TTM = 6.49b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.10b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 103.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.25b USD (18.06b + Debt 4.39b - CCE 192.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.21 (Ebit TTM 2.10b / Interest Expense TTM 159.0m)
FCF Yield = 14.54% (FCF TTM 3.24b / Enterprise Value 22.25b)
FCF Margin = 49.87% (FCF TTM 3.24b / Revenue TTM 6.49b)
Net Margin = 24.28% (Net Income TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 6.49b)
Gross Margin = 34.79% ((Revenue TTM 6.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.08% (prev 44.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 22.25b / Total Assets 23.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.21% (Interest Expense 53.0m / Debt 4.39b)
Taxrate = 22.34% (147.0m / 658.0m)
NOPAT = 1.63b (EBIT 2.10b * (1 - 22.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 1.52b / Total Current Liabilities 1.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 4.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.01 (Net Debt 4.20b / EBITDA 4.15b)
Debt / FCF = 1.30 (Net Debt 4.20b / FCF TTM 3.24b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.57% (Net Income 1.58b / Total Assets 23.98b)
RoE = 11.48% (Net Income TTM 1.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.73b)
RoCE = 11.73% (EBIT 2.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.73b + L.T.Debt 4.17b))
RoIC = 9.46% (NOPAT 1.63b / Invested Capital 17.25b)
WACC = 5.82% (E(18.06b)/V(22.44b) * Re(7.01%) + D(4.39b)/V(22.44b) * Rd(1.21%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.31%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.29% ; FCFE base≈2.33b ; Y1≈2.33b ; Y5≈2.47b
Fair Price DCF = 57.36 (DCF Value 43.77b / Shares Outstanding 763.1m; 5y FCF grow -0.58% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -60.43 | EPS CAGR: -68.72% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -33.24 | Revenue CAGR: -14.61% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for CTRA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle