CVI Stock Analysis: CVR Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.241m USD | 12M Return: 49.9% | US12662P1084 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 53.5M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -71.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE: CVI) is a U.S.-based, mid-cap energy company that operates across three segments: Petroleum, Renewables, and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The Petroleum segment runs a coking, medium-sour crude refinery in Kansas and a second crude refinery in Oklahoma, producing and marketing transportation fuels (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, distillates) to retailers, railroads, farm cooperatives, and other refiners. The Renewables segment converts renewable feedstocks such as soybean oil and corn oil into renewable diesel, which functions as a drop-in replacement for petroleum diesel in existing engines and infrastructure. The Nitrogen Fertilizer segment operates two facilities-one in Coffeyville, Kansas, which uses pet coke gasification to convert a petroleum-refining byproduct into nitrogen fertilizer, and one in East Dubuque, Illinois-producing ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and nitric acid sold primarily to agricultural customers.
Founded in 1906 and headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, CVR Energy is classified within the GICS Energy sector under Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. The company is a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., and it has been publicly traded since its 2007 IPO.
- Mid-Continent crack spreads compress on weak distillate demand
- Renewable diesel ramp at Wynnewood expands renewable segment margins
- Nitrogen fertilizer prices swing on UAN and ammonia market dynamics
| Net Income: 69.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.78 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.97% < 20% (prev 2.80%; Δ 3.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 678.0m > Net Income 69.0m |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (743.0m): 1.52 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.42 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (100.5m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 3.40% > 18% (prev -2.21%; Δ 5.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 210.1% > 50% (prev 180.4%; Δ 29.75% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.25 > 6 (EBIT TTM 328.0m / Interest Expense TTM 101.0m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 1.72b - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 4.08b |
| B: -0.24 (Retained Earnings -982.0m / Total Assets 4.08b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 328.0m / Avg Total Assets 4.03b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 525.0m / Total Liabilities 3.33b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.74 = B |
| DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 327.0m/245.0m, Revenue 8.47b/7.19b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.76 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 8.47b / 7.19b) |
| TATA: -0.15 (NI 69.0m - CFO 678.0m) / TA 4.08b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 51.80 with a total of 1,230,920 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.36%, over one month by +36.21%, over three months by +91.05% and over the past year by +49.91%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 48.40 (which is 6.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
CVR Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.57. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CVI.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 33.4 | -35.5% |
P/E Trailing = 76.6618
P/E Forward = 40.4858
P/S = 0.6185
P/B = 10.1775
P/EG = 0.7142
Revenue TTM = 8.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 328.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 743.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.72b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.87b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 68.0m
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (calculated: Debt 1.87b - CCE 737.0m)
Enterprise Value = 6.37b USD (5.24b + Debt 1.87b - CCE 737.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.25 (Ebit TTM 328.0m / Interest Expense TTM 101.0m)
EV/FCF = 18.41x (Enterprise Value 6.37b / FCF TTM 346.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.43% (FCF TTM 346.0m / Enterprise Value 6.37b)
FCF Margin = 4.08% (FCF TTM 346.0m / Revenue TTM 8.47b)
Net Margin = 0.81% (Net Income TTM 69.0m / Revenue TTM 8.47b)
Gross Margin = 3.40% ((Revenue TTM 8.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 4.27% (prev -14.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.56 (Enterprise Value 6.37b / Total Assets 4.08b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.41% (Interest Expense 101.0m / Debt 1.87b)
Taxrate = 26.61% (62.0m / 233.0m)
NOPAT = 240.7m (EBIT 328.0m * (1 - 26.61%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 1.72b / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 3.56 (Debt 1.87b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 525.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.52 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 743.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.27 (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM 346.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 658.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.71% (Net Income 69.0m / Total Assets 4.08b)
RoE = 10.48% (Net Income TTM 69.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 658.2m)
RoCE = 13.80% (EBIT 328.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 658.2m + L.T.Debt 1.72b))
RoIC = 9.74% (NOPAT 240.7m / Invested Capital 2.47b)
WACC = 6.22% (E(5.24b)/V(7.11b) * Re(7.02%) + D(1.87b)/V(7.11b) * Rd(5.41%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 7.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈346.0m ; Y1≈347.4m ; Y5≈368.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 45.70 (EV 5.72b - Net Debt 1.13b = Equity 4.59b / Shares 100.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -71.43 | Revenue CAGR: -8.00% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=+95.48% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.22 | Chg30d=+951.07% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+200.4% | GrowthRev=+24.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.03 | Chg30d=+38.47% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+147.5% | GrowthRev=-14.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=8, down=1)