CVI Stock Analysis: CVR Energy | NYSE

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.828m USD | 12M Return: 36.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gasoline, Diesel, Renewable Diesel, Nitrogen Fertilizer
Total Rating 48
Safety 58
Buy Signal -0.43
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Industry Rotation: +9.7
Market Cap: 3.83B
Avg Turnover: 32.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility57.9%
VaR 5th Pctl9.97%
VaR vs Median4.47%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.76
Rel. Str. IBD52.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group14.7
Character TTM
Beta0.464
Beta Downside0.630
Hurst Exponent0.557
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD56.17%
CAGR/Max DD0.05
CAGR/Mean DD0.12
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CVI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.32, "2021-09": -0.24, "2021-12": -0.2, "2022-03": 0.02, "2022-06": 2.45, "2022-09": 1.9, "2022-12": 1.68, "2023-03": 1.44, "2023-06": 1.64, "2023-09": 1.89, "2023-12": 0.65, "2024-03": 0.04, "2024-06": 0.09, "2024-09": -0.5, "2024-12": -0.13, "2025-03": -0.58, "2025-06": -0.23, "2025-09": 0.4, "2025-12": -0.8, "2026-03": -1.24, "2026-06": 0.34,
Last SUE: 0.48
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CVI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1783, 2021-09: 1883, 2021-12: 2113, 2022-03: 2373, 2022-06: 3144, 2022-09: 2699, 2022-12: 2680, 2023-03: 2286, 2023-06: 2236, 2023-09: 2522, 2023-12: 2202, 2024-03: 1863, 2024-06: 1967, 2024-09: 1833, 2024-12: 1947, 2025-03: 1646, 2025-06: 1761, 2025-09: 1944, 2025-12: 1810, 2026-03: 1980, 2026-06: null,
Rev. CAGR: -11.79%
Rev. Trend: -93.5%
Last SUE: 1.28
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +4.8% 11
Feb -3.6% 18
Mar +5.8% 14
Apr +0.2% 2
May -2.7% 17
Jun -0.5% 7
Jul +1.3% 19
Aug -2.3% 14
Sep +1.9% 14
Oct +0.9% 11
Nov +0.1% 0
Dec -2.1% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CVI CVR Energy

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE: CVI) is a U.S.-based, mid-cap energy company that operates across three segments: Petroleum, Renewables, and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The Petroleum segment runs a coking, medium-sour crude refinery in Kansas and a second crude refinery in Oklahoma, producing and marketing transportation fuels (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, distillates) to retailers, railroads, farm cooperatives, and other refiners. The Renewables segment converts renewable feedstocks such as soybean oil and corn oil into renewable diesel, which functions as a drop-in replacement for petroleum diesel in existing engines and infrastructure. The Nitrogen Fertilizer segment operates two facilities-one in Coffeyville, Kansas, which uses pet coke gasification to convert a petroleum-refining byproduct into nitrogen fertilizer, and one in East Dubuque, Illinois-producing ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and nitric acid sold primarily to agricultural customers.

Founded in 1906 and headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, CVR Energy is classified within the GICS Energy sector under Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. The company is a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., and it has been publicly traded since its 2007 IPO.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Mid-Continent crack spreads compress on weak distillate demand
  • Renewable diesel ramp at Wynnewood expands renewable segment margins
  • Nitrogen fertilizer prices swing on UAN and ammonia market dynamics
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: -42.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.71 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.75% < 20% (prev 2.72%; Δ 4.03% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 547.0m > Net Income -42.0m
Net Debt (1.10b) to EBITDA (563.0m): 1.96 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.42 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last fiscal year (100.5m) vs prev 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 1.43% > 18% (prev -0.54%; Δ 1.97% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 185.9% > 50% (prev 185.6%; Δ 0.34% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 150.0m / Interest Expense TTM 105.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.54
A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 1.72b - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 4.08b
B: -0.24 (Retained Earnings -982.0m / Total Assets 4.08b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 150.0m / Avg Total Assets 4.03b)
D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 525.0m / Total Liabilities 2.12b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.54 = B
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.32 (Receivables 327.0m/245.0m, Revenue 7.50b/7.39b)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.76 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.11)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 7.50b / 7.39b)
TATA: -0.14 (NI -42.0m - CFO 547.0m) / TA 4.08b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of CVI shares?

As of August 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.33 with a total of 759,320 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.22%, over one month by +15.41%, over three months by -2.25% and over the past year by +36.18%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 30.50 (which is 8.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is CVI a buy, sell or hold?

CVR Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.57. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CVI.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 3
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CVI price?
Analysts Target Price 29.4 -11.8%
CVR Energy (CVI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.83b (3.83b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 32.4675
P/S = 0.5107
P/B = 6.4691
P/EG = 0.7142
Revenue TTM = 7.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 150.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 563.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 71.0m
Net Debt = 1.10b USD (calculated: Debt 1.84b - CCE 737.0m)
Enterprise Value = 4.93b USD (3.83b + Debt 1.84b - CCE 737.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.43 (Ebit TTM 150.0m / Interest Expense TTM 105.0m)
EV/FCF = 71.50x (Enterprise Value 4.93b / FCF TTM 69.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.40% (FCF TTM 69.0m / Enterprise Value 4.93b)
FCF Margin = 0.92% (FCF TTM 69.0m / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Net Margin = -0.56% (Net Income TTM -42.0m / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Gross Margin = 1.43% ((Revenue TTM 7.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -14.49% (prev -5.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 4.93b / Total Assets 4.08b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.70% (Interest Expense 105.0m / Debt 1.84b)
Taxrate = 22.22% (10.0m / 45.0m)
NOPAT = 116.7m (EBIT 150.0m * (1 - 22.22%))
Current Ratio = 1.42 (Total Current Assets 1.72b / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 3.51 (Debt 1.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 525.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.96 (Net Debt 1.10b / EBITDA 563.0m)
Debt / FCF = 16.01 (Net Debt 1.10b / FCF TTM 69.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 658.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.04% (Net Income -42.0m / Total Assets 4.08b)
RoE = -6.38% (Net Income TTM -42.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 658.2m)
RoCE = 6.37% (EBIT 150.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 658.2m + L.T.Debt 1.70b))
RoIC = 4.62% (NOPAT 116.7m / Invested Capital 2.52b)
WACC = 6.58% (E(3.83b)/V(5.67b) * Re(7.61%) + D(1.84b)/V(5.67b) * Rd(5.70%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈69.0m ; Y1≈69.3m ; Y5≈73.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 0.36 (EV 1.14b - Net Debt 1.10b = Equity 36.5m / Shares 100.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -93.51 | Revenue CAGR: -11.79% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-9.99% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.53 | Chg30d=-134.92% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+56.4% | GrowthRev=+13.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.80 | Chg30d=-11.25% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+438.6% | GrowthRev=-7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)