(CVNA) Carvana - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto & Truck Dealerships | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 66.583m USD | Total Return: 46.8% in 12m
Stock
Used Cars, Online Platform, Financing, Logistics
Total Rating 42
Risk 37
Buy Signal -0.28
Market Cap:
66,583m
Avg Trading Vol: 876M USD
Avg Trading Vol: 876M USD
ATR:
7.02%
Peers RS (IBD): 58.3
Peers RS (IBD): 58.3
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility78.9%
Rel. Tail Risk-13.0%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.87
Alpha14.55
Character TTM
Beta2.476
Beta Downside2.844
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD53.47%
CAGR/Max DD4.20
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: 67.02%
EPS Trend: 80.0%
EPS Trend: 80.0%
Last SUE: -1.50
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 13.39%
Rev. Trend: 64.3%
Rev. Trend: 64.3%
Last SUE: 1.87
Qual. Beats: 6
Qual. Beats: 6
Risks
Technicals:
volatile
Description: CVNA Carvana
March 04, 2026
Carvana Co. operates an e-commerce platform for used car transactions. This business model leverages technology to streamline the car buying and selling process, a growing trend in retail.
The company manages the entire used car lifecycle, from acquisition and reconditioning to online sales, financing, and logistics. This integrated approach is common among online automotive retailers seeking to control the customer experience.
Carvana also runs auction sites, supplementing its direct-to-consumer sales. Founded in 2012 and based in Tempe, Arizona, Carvana is a significant player in the online used car market. To understand the companys performance metrics, consider exploring its financials on ValueRay.
- Used vehicle demand impacts sales volume and pricing
- Interest rate hikes increase financing costs and reduce affordability
- Logistics network efficiency affects delivery times and operational expenses
- Regulatory scrutiny on online auto sales could increase compliance costs
- Consumer credit availability influences loan approvals and purchase volumes
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10)
4.0
| Net Income: 1.41b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.75% < 20% (prev 25.82%; Δ -1.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.04b > Net Income 1.41b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 4.31 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (225.5m) vs 12m ago 61.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.24% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 2.00k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 187.4% > 50% (prev 161.2%; Δ 26.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.76 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -110.0m / Interest Expense TTM 505.0m) |
Altman Z''
2.26
| A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 6.55b - Total Current Liabilities 1.52b) / Total Assets 13.20b |
| B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -9.00m / Total Assets 13.20b) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -385.0m / Avg Total Assets 10.84b) |
| D: -0.00 (Book Value of Equity -9.00m / Total Liabilities 9.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.26 = BBB |
Beneish M
-0.42
| DSRI: 0.54 (Receivables 245.0m/303.0m, Revenue 20.32b/13.67b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 20.24% / 19.83%) |
| AQI: 5.43 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 20.32b / 13.67b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 1.41b - CFO 1.04b) / TA 13.20b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -0.42 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of CVNA shares?
As of April 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 314.38 with a total of 4,554,543 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.14%, over one month by -3.41%, over three months by -22.03% and over the past year by +46.80%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.14%, over one month by -3.41%, over three months by -22.03% and over the past year by +46.80%.
Is CVNA a buy, sell or hold?
Carvana has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.70.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold CVNA.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the CVNA price?
| ISSUER | TARGET | UP/DOWN |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 428.5 | 36.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 428.5 | 36.3% |
CVNA Fundamental Data Overview
March 29, 2026
P/E Trailing = 35.7021 P/E Forward = 40.6504
P/S = 3.2764
P/B = 11.6678
P/EG = -0.13
Revenue TTM = 20.32b USD
EBIT TTM = -385.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -110.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 227.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 633.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.69b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 64.89b USD (66.58b + Debt 633.0m - CCE 2.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.76 (Ebit TTM -385.0m / Interest Expense TTM 505.0m)
EV/FCF = 72.99x (Enterprise Value 64.89b / FCF TTM 889.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.37% (FCF TTM 889.0m / Enterprise Value 64.89b)
FCF Margin = 4.37% (FCF TTM 889.0m / Revenue TTM 20.32b)
Net Margin = 6.92% (Net Income TTM 1.41b / Revenue TTM 20.32b)
Gross Margin = 20.24% ((Revenue TTM 20.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.76% (prev 20.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.92 (Enterprise Value 64.89b / Total Assets 13.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.48% (Interest Expense 98.0m / Debt 633.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -304.1m (EBIT -385.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.31 (Total Current Assets 6.55b / Total Current Liabilities 1.52b)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 633.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.44b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.40 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.69b / EBITDA -110.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.91 (Net Debt -1.69b / FCF TTM 889.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.98% (Net Income 1.41b / Total Assets 13.20b)
RoE = 62.85% (Net Income TTM 1.41b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.24b)
RoCE = -5.45% (EBIT -385.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.24b + L.T.Debt 4.83b))
RoIC = -3.97% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -304.1m / Invested Capital 7.66b)
WACC = 14.67% (E(66.58b)/V(67.22b) * Re(14.69%) + D(633.0m)/V(67.22b) * Rd(15.48%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 5.57%
[DCF] Terminal Value 46.91% ; FCFF base≈864.2m ; Y1≈567.4m ; Y5≈259.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 35.55 (EV 2.46b - Net Debt -1.69b = Equity 4.16b / Shares 116.9m; r=14.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 80.00 | EPS CAGR: 67.02% | SUE: -1.50 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.28 | Revenue CAGR: 13.39% | SUE: 1.87 | # QB: 6
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.88 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.199 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.89 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.363 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=-18.5% | Growth Revenue=+32.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.09 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.496 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+46.6% | Growth Revenue=+22.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (3 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 11.9% (Discount Rate 14.7% - Earnings Yield 2.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +23.4% (Analyst 35.3% - Implied 11.9%)