(CVNA) Carvana - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US1468691027
Used Cars, E-Commerce, Financing, Logistics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 84.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.09% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.24 |
| Alpha | 71.99 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 5.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.451 |
| Beta | 2.400 |
| Beta Downside | 2.968 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.47% |
| Mean DD | 14.82% |
| Median DD | 10.11% |
Description: CVNA Carvana December 04, 2025
Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA) runs a U.S.-focused e-commerce platform that lets consumers buy and sell used cars online, handling everything from acquisition and inspection to financing, logistics, and post-sale support, and also operates its own auction sites. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, the firm positions itself as a vertically integrated “one-stop shop” for used-vehicle retail.
Key recent metrics: • 2023 revenue reached $9.0 billion, up ~15 % YoY, reflecting continued unit-growth despite a softening used-car market. • Average transaction price fell to $23,200, tracking the broader decline in used-car values as new-car inventories normalize. • Inventory turnover accelerated to 5.8 times per year, indicating faster vehicle movement but also tighter working-capital cycles. Economic drivers to watch include consumer credit conditions (interest-rate hikes can suppress financing demand), residual-value risk (used-car price volatility), and the ongoing shift toward digital retail that pressures traditional franchised dealers.
If you want a more granular look at Carvana’s valuation levers and scenario analysis, ValueRay’s research hub offers a concise, data-rich overview worth checking out.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 629.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.71 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.82% < 20% (prev 20.76%; Δ 5.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 666.0m > Net Income 629.0m |
| Net Debt (3.53b) to EBITDA (1.93b): 1.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (146.3m) vs 12m ago 9.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.72% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 2053 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 212.1% > 50% (prev 170.3%; Δ 41.81% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.98 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.93b / Interest Expense TTM 555.0m) |
Altman Z'' 4.01
| A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 6.26b - Total Current Liabilities 1.55b) / Total Assets 9.85b |
| B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -866.0m / Total Assets 9.85b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 1.65b / Avg Total Assets 8.61b) |
| D: -0.13 (Book Value of Equity -866.0m / Total Liabilities 6.90b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.01 = AA |
Beneish M -1.97
| DSRI: 2.01 (Receivables 1.08b/367.0m, Revenue 18.27b/12.55b) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 20.72% / 18.71%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.46 (Revenue 18.27b / 12.55b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 629.0m - CFO 666.0m) / TA 9.85b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.97 = B |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.86
| 1. Piotroski: 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 0.53% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 2.99% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 2.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 1.82 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 3.99% |
| 7. RoE: 37.15% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 45.67% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 82.47% |
What is the price of CVNA shares?
As of January 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 473.31 with a total of 2,231,223 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.81%, over one month by +8.22%, over three months by +38.39% and over the past year by +94.68%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.81%, over one month by +8.22%, over three months by +38.39% and over the past year by +94.68%.
Is CVNA a buy, sell or hold?
Carvana has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.70.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold CVNA.
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the CVNA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 478.3 | 1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 478.3 | 1.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 588.4 | 24.3% |
CVNA Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Trailing = 105.2237
P/E Forward = 68.0272
P/S = 5.4703
P/B = 28.5999
P/EG = -0.13
Revenue TTM = 18.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.93b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 536.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.53b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 102.96b USD (99.92b + Debt 5.75b - CCE 2.71b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.98 (Ebit TTM 1.65b / Interest Expense TTM 555.0m)
EV/FCF = 188.6x (Enterprise Value 102.96b / FCF TTM 546.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.53% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Enterprise Value 102.96b)
FCF Margin = 2.99% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Revenue TTM 18.27b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 629.0m / Revenue TTM 18.27b)
Gross Margin = 20.72% ((Revenue TTM 18.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.33% (prev 21.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.45 (Enterprise Value 102.96b / Total Assets 9.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.17% (Interest Expense 125.0m / Debt 5.75b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.31b (EBIT 1.65b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 4.05 (Total Current Assets 6.26b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 5.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.82 (Net Debt 3.53b / EBITDA 1.93b)
Debt / FCF = 6.46 (Net Debt 3.53b / FCF TTM 546.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.31% (Net Income 629.0m / Total Assets 9.85b)
RoE = 37.15% (Net Income TTM 629.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.69b)
RoCE = 25.42% (EBIT 1.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.69b + L.T.Debt 4.81b))
RoIC = 18.04% (NOPAT 1.31b / Invested Capital 7.24b)
WACC = 14.05% (E(99.92b)/V(105.67b) * Re(14.76%) + D(5.75b)/V(105.67b) * Rd(2.17%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -14.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 48.33% ; FCFF base≈541.2m ; Y1≈355.3m ; Y5≈162.1m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.60b - Net Debt 3.53b = -1.92b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 82.47 | EPS CAGR: 160.5% | SUE: -2.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 45.67 | Revenue CAGR: 11.51% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.54 | Chg30d=-0.032 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.04 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+43.4% | Growth Revenue=+27.8%
P/E Forward = 68.0272
P/S = 5.4703
P/B = 28.5999
P/EG = -0.13
Revenue TTM = 18.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.93b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 536.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.53b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 102.96b USD (99.92b + Debt 5.75b - CCE 2.71b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.98 (Ebit TTM 1.65b / Interest Expense TTM 555.0m)
EV/FCF = 188.6x (Enterprise Value 102.96b / FCF TTM 546.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.53% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Enterprise Value 102.96b)
FCF Margin = 2.99% (FCF TTM 546.0m / Revenue TTM 18.27b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 629.0m / Revenue TTM 18.27b)
Gross Margin = 20.72% ((Revenue TTM 18.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.33% (prev 21.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.45 (Enterprise Value 102.96b / Total Assets 9.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.17% (Interest Expense 125.0m / Debt 5.75b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.31b (EBIT 1.65b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 4.05 (Total Current Assets 6.26b / Total Current Liabilities 1.55b)
Debt / Equity = 2.52 (Debt 5.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.82 (Net Debt 3.53b / EBITDA 1.93b)
Debt / FCF = 6.46 (Net Debt 3.53b / FCF TTM 546.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.31% (Net Income 629.0m / Total Assets 9.85b)
RoE = 37.15% (Net Income TTM 629.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.69b)
RoCE = 25.42% (EBIT 1.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.69b + L.T.Debt 4.81b))
RoIC = 18.04% (NOPAT 1.31b / Invested Capital 7.24b)
WACC = 14.05% (E(99.92b)/V(105.67b) * Re(14.76%) + D(5.75b)/V(105.67b) * Rd(2.17%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -14.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 48.33% ; FCFF base≈541.2m ; Y1≈355.3m ; Y5≈162.1m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.60b - Net Debt 3.53b = -1.92b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 82.47 | EPS CAGR: 160.5% | SUE: -2.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 45.67 | Revenue CAGR: 11.51% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.54 | Chg30d=-0.032 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.04 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+43.4% | Growth Revenue=+27.8%
Additional Sources for CVNA Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle