(CVX) Chevron - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline, Petrochemicals, Renewable Fuels
CVX EPS (Earnings per Share)
CVX Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -6.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.373 |
| Beta | 0.651 |
| Beta Downside | 1.046 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 22.26% |
| Mean DD | 12.26% |
| Median DD | 12.12% |
Description: CVX Chevron September 24, 2025
Chelsea Corporation (NYSE:CVX) is an integrated energy and chemicals company operating globally, organized into two primary segments: Upstream and Downstream.
The Upstream segment covers the full hydrocarbon value chain-from exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas to the liquefaction, transport, and regasification of LNG, as well as pipeline transportation, gas processing, carbon capture and storage (CCS), and a gas-to-liquids (GTL) plant.
The Downstream segment focuses on refining crude oil into fuels and lubricants, marketing those products alongside crude oil and petrochemicals, producing renewable fuels, and moving both crude and refined products via pipelines, marine vessels, rail, and trucks. It also manufactures commodity petrochemicals, plastics, and fuel/lubricant additives.
Key operational metrics (2023) include ≈ 3.0 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) of total production, ≈ $10 billion of capital expenditures, and a dividend yield around 4.5 %. The segment mix remains roughly 55 % upstream and 45 % downstream, making Chevron relatively insulated from short-term refining spreads but still exposed to oil-price cycles. Macro drivers such as global LNG demand growth, tightening ESG regulations, and the ongoing transition to low-carbon fuels are central to its long-term outlook.
If you’re looking to deepen the quantitative analysis of CVX’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s data dashboards can provide the granular financial models and scenario tools you need.
CVX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 309,940m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Oil & Gas |
| IPO / Inception | 2001-10-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -10.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.88 of 5 |
CVX Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.35% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.43% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.02% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 87.4% |
CVX Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -1.78% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.08 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.15 |
| Current Volume | 7998.7k |
| Average Volume | 6976.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (12.78b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.31b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.70pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.86% (prev 1.27%; Δ 1.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 31.70b > Net Income 12.78b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (33.82b) to EBITDA (41.71b) ratio: 0.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.81b) change vs 12m ago 0.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.79% (prev 29.85%; Δ -11.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.36% (prev 74.84%; Δ -10.48pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 21.12 (EBITDA TTM 41.71b / Interest Expense TTM 1.05b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.32
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 40.87b - Total Current Liabilities 35.47b) / Total Assets 326.50b |
| (B) 0.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 206.01b / Total Assets 326.50b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 22.28b / Avg Total Assets 292.87b |
| (D) 1.57 = Book Value of Equity 205.25b / Total Liabilities 130.90b |
| Total Rating: 4.32 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.13
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.41% = 2.20 |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.04% = 2.01 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.22 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.81 = 2.01 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.85)% = 1.07 |
| 7. RoE 8.01% = 0.67 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -59.98% = -4.50 |
| 9. EPS Trend -96.18% = -4.81 |
What is the price of CVX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.73%, over one month by +2.40%, over three months by +0.93% and over the past year by +2.47%.
Is Chevron a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CVX is around 146.07 USD . This means that CVX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.11%.
Is CVX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the CVX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 172.2 | 10.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 172.2 | 10.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 161.5 | 3.8% |
CVX Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.7725
P/E Forward = 16.2338
P/S = 1.6426
P/B = 2.1105
P/EG = 2.4589
Beta = 0.669
Revenue TTM = 188.49b USD
EBIT TTM = 22.28b USD
EBITDA TTM = 41.71b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.59b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 41.54b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 33.82b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 343.76b USD (309.94b + Debt 41.54b - CCE 7.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.12 (Ebit TTM 22.28b / Interest Expense TTM 1.05b)
FCF Yield = 4.41% (FCF TTM 15.16b / Enterprise Value 343.76b)
FCF Margin = 8.04% (FCF TTM 15.16b / Revenue TTM 188.49b)
Net Margin = 6.78% (Net Income TTM 12.78b / Revenue TTM 188.49b)
Gross Margin = 18.79% ((Revenue TTM 188.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 153.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.57% (prev 11.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.05 (Enterprise Value 343.76b / Total Assets 326.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 370.0m / Debt 41.54b)
Taxrate = 33.27% (1.80b / 5.41b)
NOPAT = 14.87b (EBIT 22.28b * (1 - 33.27%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 40.87b / Total Current Liabilities 35.47b)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 41.54b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 189.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.81 (Net Debt 33.82b / EBITDA 41.71b)
Debt / FCF = 2.23 (Net Debt 33.82b / FCF TTM 15.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 159.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.91% (Net Income 12.78b / Total Assets 326.50b)
RoE = 8.01% (Net Income TTM 12.78b / Total Stockholder Equity 159.46b)
RoCE = 12.45% (EBIT 22.28b / Capital Employed (Equity 159.46b + L.T.Debt 19.59b))
RoIC = 8.40% (NOPAT 14.87b / Invested Capital 177.02b)
WACC = 7.55% (E(309.94b)/V(351.48b) * Re(8.48%) + D(41.54b)/V(351.48b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.33% ; FCFE base≈16.70b ; Y1≈13.73b ; Y5≈9.83b
Fair Price DCF = 83.92 (DCF Value 167.78b / Shares Outstanding 2.00b; 5y FCF grow -21.46% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -96.18 | EPS CAGR: -25.51% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -59.98 | Revenue CAGR: -4.41% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for CVX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle