(CW) Curtiss-Wright - Ratings and Ratios
Actuators, Valves, Pumps, Electronics, Coatings
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.17% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.84% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.11% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.3% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 55.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.18 |
| Alpha | 33.62 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.83 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.454 |
| Beta | 1.070 |
| Beta Downside | 1.085 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.21% |
| Mean DD | 3.90% |
| Median DD | 1.98% |
Description: CW Curtiss-Wright October 16, 2025
Curtiss-Wright Corp. (NYSE:CW) designs and manufactures engineered products for aerospace & defense, commercial power, process, and industrial markets, organized into three operating segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power.
The Aerospace & Industrial segment supplies power-management electronics, traction inverters, transmission shifters, and control systems for specialty vehicles, as well as sensors, electro-mechanical actuators, and surface-technology services (shot peening, laser peening, engineered coatings) for both commercial and military aircraft.
The Defense Electronics segment focuses on COTS embedded-computing boards, data-acquisition and flight-test instrumentation, tactical communications, electronic stabilization, weapons-handling systems, and aircraft-data-management solutions.
The Naval & Power segment delivers main coolant pumps, compact high-power motors, generators, steam turbines, valves, and secondary-propulsion systems for nuclear and non-nuclear power plants, along with severe-service valve technologies, heat-exchanger repair, and U.S. Navy ship-repair services.
Key metrics (FY 2023): revenue ≈ $2.0 billion, operating margin ≈ 9 %, backlog ≈ $2.5 billion, and free-cash-flow conversion ≈ 55 %. The segment mix remains roughly 45 % Aerospace & Industrial, 30 % Defense Electronics, and 25 % Naval & Power.
Sector drivers: U.S. defense spending is up ~4 % YoY, supporting the Defense Electronics and Naval & Power lines; meanwhile, commercial aerospace demand is rebounding after pandemic lows, boosting orders for power-management and actuation components. A potential headwind is the cyclical nature of industrial-vehicle demand, which can be sensitive to macro-economic slowdowns.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, see the detailed valuation and peer comparison on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (465.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 202.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.47% (prev 31.32%; Δ -6.85pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 592.0m > Net Income 465.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (908.0m) to EBITDA (759.2m) ratio: 1.20 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (37.8m) change vs 12m ago -1.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.43% (prev 37.01%; Δ 0.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.60% (prev 63.10%; Δ 4.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.92 (EBITDA TTM 759.2m / Interest Expense TTM 42.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.25
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 1.93b - Total Current Liabilities 1.10b) / Total Assets 5.10b |
| (B) 0.82 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.18b / Total Assets 5.10b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.82 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 639.0m / Avg Total Assets 4.99b |
| (D) 1.57 = Book Value of Equity 4.05b / Total Liabilities 2.57b |
| Total Rating: 6.25 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.39
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.37% |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.45 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.20 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.47)% |
| 7. RoE 18.15% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 88.76% |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.85% |
What is the price of CW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.18%, over one month by -5.51%, over three months by +7.28% and over the past year by +49.25%.
Is CW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 608.2 | 11.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 608.2 | 11.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 808.2 | 48.1% |
CW Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Trailing = 45.2331
P/E Forward = 28.4091
P/S = 6.1948
P/B = 7.8581
P/EG = 2.71
Beta = 0.934
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 639.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 759.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 968.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 119.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.13b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 908.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.82b USD (20.91b + Debt 1.13b - CCE 225.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.92 (Ebit TTM 639.0m / Interest Expense TTM 42.8m)
FCF Yield = 2.37% (FCF TTM 516.6m / Enterprise Value 21.82b)
FCF Margin = 15.30% (FCF TTM 516.6m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 13.78% (Net Income TTM 465.1m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 37.43% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.68% (prev 37.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.28 (Enterprise Value 21.82b / Total Assets 5.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.93% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 1.13b)
Taxrate = 22.54% (36.3m / 161.2m)
NOPAT = 495.0m (EBIT 639.0m * (1 - 22.54%))
Current Ratio = 1.75 (Total Current Assets 1.93b / Total Current Liabilities 1.10b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 1.13b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.20 (Net Debt 908.0m / EBITDA 759.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.76 (Net Debt 908.0m / FCF TTM 516.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.12% (Net Income 465.1m / Total Assets 5.10b)
RoE = 18.15% (Net Income TTM 465.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.56b)
RoCE = 18.10% (EBIT 639.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.56b + L.T.Debt 968.6m))
RoIC = 13.96% (NOPAT 495.0m / Invested Capital 3.55b)
WACC = 9.48% (E(20.91b)/V(22.05b) * Re(9.96%) + D(1.13b)/V(22.05b) * Rd(0.93%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.94%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.63% ; FCFE base≈500.0m ; Y1≈587.4m ; Y5≈895.7m
Fair Price DCF = 299.6 (DCF Value 11.05b / Shares Outstanding 36.9m; 5y FCF grow 18.63% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 64.85 | EPS CAGR: 9.73% | SUE: 1.24 | # QB: 11
Revenue Correlation: 88.76 | Revenue CAGR: 7.33% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.98 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.69 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+11.9% | Growth Revenue=+7.2%
Additional Sources for CW Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle