CYD Stock Analysis: China Yuchai International | NYSE
Auto Manufacturers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.737m USD | 12M Return: 93.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 11.4M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 51.4%
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
China Yuchai International Limited (NYSE: CYD) is a Singapore-based engine manufacturer founded in 1951 that designs, assembles, and distributes diesel and natural gas engines for commercial vehicles (trucks, buses, pickups), construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. The company operates through two segments: the core Yuchai segment, which produces on- and off-road powertrain solutions, and the HLGE segment, which handles hospitality and property development. Its product portfolio spans 4- and 6-cylinder diesel engines, high-horsepower marine and generator engines, natural gas, hydrogen, and methanol combustion engines, as well as newer offerings such as plug-in hybrid powertrains, electric drive axles, range extenders, and fuel cell systems, complemented by remanufacturing, repair, maintenance, and training services.
Distribution is handled directly to vehicle OEMs as well as through agents and retailers, serving both the Chinese market and international customers. Within the GICS Industrials sector (Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry), China Yuchai competes alongside other commercial-vehicle engine suppliers in a market shaped by Chinas tightening emissions standards and the gradual shift from diesel toward alternative fuels and electrified powertrains, which aligns with the companys expanding range of natural gas, hybrid, and hydrogen-based products.
- China heavy truck market recovery drives diesel engine volumes
- LNG diesel price gap boosts natural gas engine demand
- Electric powertrain transition threatens legacy diesel engine share
| Net Income: 561.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.54% < 20% (prev 38.10%; Δ -17.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 2.72b > Net Income 561.1m |
| Net Debt (-5.68b) to EBITDA (1.58b): -3.58 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.5m) vs 12m ago -0.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.95% > 18% (prev 14.73%; Δ 2.21% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 116.8% > 50% (prev 70.74%; Δ 46.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.40 > 6 (EBIT TTM 871.2m / Interest Expense TTM 92.7m) |
| A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 25.2b - Total Current Liabilities 18.1b) / Total Assets 32.0b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 6.95b / Total Assets 32.0b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 871.2m / Avg Total Assets 29.5b) |
| D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 9.58b / Total Liabilities 19.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.89 = A |
| DSRI: 0.69 (Receivables 11.4b/9.26b, Revenue 34.4b/19.1b) |
| GMI: 0.87 (GM 14.73% / 16.95%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.80 (Revenue 34.4b / 19.1b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 561.1m - CFO 2.72b) / TA 32.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 47.08 with a total of 128,177 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.70%, over one month by -16.76%, over three months by +14.05% and over the past year by +93.27%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.10 (which is 8.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
China Yuchai International has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CYD.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 64 | 35.8% |
Market Cap CNY = 11.8b (1.74b USD * 6.7942 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 21.9384
P/E Forward = 16.5017
P/S = 0.0704
P/B = 1.2323
P/EG = 0.3725
Revenue TTM = 34.4b CNY
EBIT TTM = 871.2m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 1.58b CNY
Long Term Debt = 20.0m CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.04b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.18b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 77.7m
Net Debt = -5.68b CNY (calculated: Debt 2.18b - CCE 7.85b)
Enterprise Value = 6.12b CNY (11.8b + Debt 2.18b - CCE 7.85b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.40 (Ebit TTM 871.2m / Interest Expense TTM 92.7m)
EV/FCF = 2.96x (Enterprise Value 6.12b / FCF TTM 2.07b)
FCF Yield = 33.75% (FCF TTM 2.07b / Enterprise Value 6.12b)
FCF Margin = 6.00% (FCF TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 34.4b)
Net Margin = 1.63% (Net Income TTM 561.1m / Revenue TTM 34.4b)
Gross Margin = 16.95% ((Revenue TTM 34.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.91% (prev 18.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.19 (Enterprise Value 6.12b / Total Assets 32.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.26% (Interest Expense 92.7m / Debt 2.18b)
Taxrate = 35.62% (490.4m / 1.38b)
NOPAT = 560.8m (EBIT 871.2m * (1 - 35.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 25.2b / Total Current Liabilities 18.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 2.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.58 (Net Debt -5.68b / EBITDA 1.58b)
Debt / FCF = -2.75 (Net Debt -5.68b / FCF TTM 2.07b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.90% (Net Income 561.1m / Total Assets 32.0b)
RoE = 5.95% (Net Income TTM 561.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.43b)
RoCE = 9.22% (EBIT 871.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.43b + L.T.Debt 20.0m))
RoIC = 3.95% (NOPAT 560.8m / Invested Capital 14.2b)
WACC = 8.86% (E(11.8b)/V(14.0b) * Re(9.99%) + D(2.18b)/V(14.0b) * Rd(4.26%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 9.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -83.15 | Cagr: -3.72%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.33% ; FCFF base≈1.33b ; Y1≈1.53b ; Y5≈2.25b
[DCF] Fair Price = 979.4 (EV 31.1b - Net Debt -5.68b = Equity 36.7b / Shares 37.5m; r=8.86% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 51.41 | Revenue CAGR: 15.00% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=16.95 | Chg30d=+6.42% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+106.5% | GrowthRev=+38.1%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.37 | Chg30d=+8.83% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+49.2% | GrowthRev=+12.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)