(DAY) Dayforce - Ratings and Ratios
Cloud HCM Platform, Payroll Software, Workforce Management, Talent Intelligence
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 1.97% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 3.02% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.95% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.06 |
| Alpha | -24.44 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.02 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.401 |
| Beta | 1.130 |
| Beta Downside | 1.334 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.69% |
| Mean DD | 18.04% |
| Median DD | 15.89% |
Description: DAY Dayforce January 07, 2026
Dayforce, Inc. (NYSE: DAY) is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) software provider that delivers an integrated platform covering HR, payroll & tax, workforce management, employee benefits, talent intelligence, and a digital wallet. Its product suite also includes Powerpay, a payroll solution aimed at small-business customers, and ancillary services such as implementation consulting, training, and the rental or sale of payroll time-clock hardware. The company sells primarily through a direct sales force supplemented by third-party partners, and operates across the United States, Canada, Australia, and other international markets.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly **$1.2 billion**, up about **12 % YoY**, driven largely by a **30 % increase in subscription ARR** and a **net dollar retention rate of ~115 %**, indicating strong upsell and cross-sell performance. The small-business segment (Powerpay) contributed approximately **15 % of total revenue** and grew at a faster **18 %** rate, reflecting continued demand for cloud payroll solutions among SMBs. These figures are drawn from the latest earnings release; exact numbers may be refined in the upcoming Q1 2024 filing.
Sector-level drivers that underpin Dayforce’s growth include (1) the **accelerating digital transformation of HR functions**, with enterprise SaaS spending projected to expand at a **10-12 % CAGR** through 2027, (2) **tightening payroll and tax compliance regulations** in North America and Europe, which increase the value of integrated, cloud-native solutions, and (3) the **rise of hybrid and remote work models**, boosting demand for real-time workforce management and digital wallet capabilities. A potential headwind is the **macroeconomic sensitivity of payroll spend**, which could temper new-logo acquisition if hiring slows.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Dayforce’s valuation dynamics and comparable peer analysis, you may find ValueRay’s interactive dashboards useful as a next step in your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-149.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 113.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.32pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.12% (prev 36.94%; Δ -24.82pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 274.5m > Net Income -149.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (599.3m) to EBITDA (144.2m) ratio: 4.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (159.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.90% (prev 47.28%; Δ 5.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.55% (prev 20.88%; Δ 1.67pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.25 (EBITDA TTM 144.2m / Interest Expense TTM 29.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.23
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 5.53b - Total Current Liabilities 5.30b) / Total Assets 8.68b |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -556.3m / Total Assets 8.68b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -65.5m / Avg Total Assets 8.40b |
| (D) -0.13 = Book Value of Equity -795.6m / Total Liabilities 5.98b |
| Total Rating: -0.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.64
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.16 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -11.34)% |
| 7. RoE -5.69% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend -1.28% |
What is the price of DAY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.22%, over one month by +0.09%, over three months by +1.42% and over the past year by -1.52%.
Is DAY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DAY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 69.9 | 0.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 69.9 | 0.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 69.1 | -0.4% |
DAY Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026
P/S = 5.8687
P/B = 4.1216
P/EG = 5.3581
Beta = 1.181
Revenue TTM = 1.89b USD
EBIT TTM = -65.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 144.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 631.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 587.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 599.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.71b USD (11.11b + Debt 1.23b - CCE 627.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.25 (Ebit TTM -65.5m / Interest Expense TTM 29.1m)
EV/FCF = 70.63x (Enterprise Value 11.71b / FCF TTM 165.8m)
FCF Yield = 1.42% (FCF TTM 165.8m / Enterprise Value 11.71b)
FCF Margin = 8.76% (FCF TTM 165.8m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Net Margin = -7.91% (Net Income TTM -149.8m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Gross Margin = 52.90% ((Revenue TTM 1.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 891.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.73% (prev 51.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.35 (Enterprise Value 11.71b / Total Assets 8.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.55% (Interest Expense 6.70m / Debt 1.23b)
Taxrate = -28.71% (negative due to tax credits) (43.9m / -152.9m)
NOPAT = -84.3m (EBIT -65.5m * (1 - -28.71%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 5.53b / Total Current Liabilities 5.30b)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 1.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.16 (Net Debt 599.3m / EBITDA 144.2m)
Debt / FCF = 3.61 (Net Debt 599.3m / FCF TTM 165.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.78% (Net Income -149.8m / Total Assets 8.68b)
RoE = -5.69% (Net Income TTM -149.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = -2.01% (EBIT -65.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 631.1m))
RoIC = -2.19% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -84.3m / Invested Capital 3.85b)
WACC = 9.15% (E(11.11b)/V(12.34b) * Re(10.08%) + D(1.23b)/V(12.34b) * Rd(0.55%) * (1-Tc(-0.29)))
Discount Rate = 10.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.19%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.62% ; FCFF base≈171.9m ; Y1≈212.1m ; Y5≈361.2m
Fair Price DCF = 27.17 (EV 4.95b - Net Debt 599.3m = Equity 4.35b / Shares 160.0m; r=9.15% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -1.28 | EPS CAGR: -60.72% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.10 | Revenue CAGR: 15.33% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.72 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+20.8% | Growth Revenue=+11.5%
Additional Sources for DAY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle