(DAY) Dayforce - Ratings and Ratios
Cloud Platform, Payroll, Workforce, Benefits
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 1.88% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 2.91% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.89% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.26 |
| Alpha | -30.79 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.452 |
| Beta | 1.157 |
| Beta Downside | 1.344 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.69% |
| Mean DD | 17.77% |
| Median DD | 15.89% |
Description: DAY Dayforce November 04, 2025
Dayforce Inc. (NYSE: DAY) is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) software provider operating in the United States, Canada, Australia, and other international markets. Its flagship platform, Dayforce, integrates HR, payroll and tax, workforce management, employee benefits, a digital wallet, and talent-intelligence modules, while the Powerpay solution targets small-business payroll needs. The firm also delivers payroll-related services, professional implementation and training, and hardware such as time-clock devices, distributing its offerings through a direct sales force and third-party partners.
Founded in 1992 and headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the company rebranded from Ceridian HCM Holding Inc. to Dayforce Inc. in February 2024. In FY 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly $1.6 billion, a year-over-year increase of about 12%, and its subscription annual recurring revenue (ARR) now exceeds $2.1 billion with a reported churn rate near 5%-metrics that signal strong customer stickiness in a market where cloud HCM spend is projected to grow at a ~10% CAGR through 2028.
Key economic drivers include a tight labor market that pushes employers toward automated payroll and compliance solutions, as well as rising regulatory complexity around payroll taxes and benefits administration, both of which bolster demand for integrated, cloud-native HCM platforms.
If you want a data-driven, quantitative view of Dayforce’s valuation and risk profile, ValueRay’s analytical toolkit can provide a useful next step for your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-149.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 113.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.32pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -222.1% (prev 36.94%; Δ -259.0pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 274.5m > Net Income -149.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (599.3m) to EBITDA (144.2m) ratio: 4.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.21 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (159.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.90% (prev 47.28%; Δ 5.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.55% (prev 20.88%; Δ 1.67pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.25 (EBITDA TTM 144.2m / Interest Expense TTM 29.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.58
| (A) -0.48 = (Total Current Assets 1.10b - Total Current Liabilities 5.30b) / Total Assets 8.68b |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -556.3m / Total Assets 8.68b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -65.5m / Avg Total Assets 8.40b |
| (D) -0.13 = Book Value of Equity -795.6m / Total Liabilities 5.98b |
| Total Rating: -3.58 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.65
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.76% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.16 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -11.51)% |
| 7. RoE -5.69% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend -1.28% |
What is the price of DAY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.07%, over one month by +1.05%, over three months by -0.39% and over the past year by -12.82%.
Is DAY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DAY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 69.9 | 1.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 69.9 | 1.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 68.4 | -1% |
DAY Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Forward = 27.8552
P/S = 5.8281
P/B = 4.0889
P/EG = 5.3581
Beta = 1.201
Revenue TTM = 1.89b USD
EBIT TTM = -65.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 144.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 631.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 587.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 599.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.63b USD (11.03b + Debt 1.23b - CCE 627.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.25 (Ebit TTM -65.5m / Interest Expense TTM 29.1m)
FCF Yield = 1.43% (FCF TTM 165.8m / Enterprise Value 11.63b)
FCF Margin = 8.76% (FCF TTM 165.8m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Net Margin = -7.91% (Net Income TTM -149.8m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Gross Margin = 52.90% ((Revenue TTM 1.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 891.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.73% (prev 51.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 11.63b / Total Assets 8.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.55% (Interest Expense 6.70m / Debt 1.23b)
Taxrate = -28.71% (negative due to tax credits) (43.9m / -152.9m)
NOPAT = -84.3m (EBIT -65.5m * (1 - -28.71%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.21 (Total Current Assets 1.10b / Total Current Liabilities 5.30b)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 1.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.16 (Net Debt 599.3m / EBITDA 144.2m)
Debt / FCF = 3.61 (Net Debt 599.3m / FCF TTM 165.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.73% (Net Income -149.8m / Total Assets 8.68b)
RoE = -5.69% (Net Income TTM -149.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.63b)
RoCE = -2.01% (EBIT -65.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.63b + L.T.Debt 631.1m))
RoIC = -2.19% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -84.3m / Invested Capital 3.85b)
WACC = 9.32% (E(11.03b)/V(12.26b) * Re(10.28%) + D(1.23b)/V(12.26b) * Rd(0.55%) * (1-Tc(-0.29)))
Discount Rate = 10.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.19%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.52% ; FCFE base≈171.9m ; Y1≈212.1m ; Y5≈361.9m
Fair Price DCF = 26.32 (DCF Value 4.21b / Shares Outstanding 160.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -1.28 | EPS CAGR: -60.72% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.10 | Revenue CAGR: 15.33% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.73 | Chg30d=-0.013 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+22.9% | Growth Revenue=+11.5%
Additional Sources for DAY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle