(DBD) Diebold Nixdorf - Ratings and Ratios
Atm, Cash, Recyclers, Pos, Kiosks
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 56.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.58 |
| Alpha | 47.18 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.59 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.412 |
| Beta | 1.181 |
| Beta Downside | 1.248 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.76% |
| Mean DD | 6.55% |
| Median DD | 5.16% |
Description: DBD Diebold Nixdorf December 01, 2025
Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD) delivers end-to-end automation and digitisation solutions for banking and retail, split into Banking and Retail segments. Its portfolio includes cash recyclers, intelligent deposit terminals, teller-automation tools, kiosk and physical-security hardware, plus software that links front-end consumer touchpoints to back-end transaction processing, analytics, remote asset management and omnichannel commerce.
Beyond hardware, the firm offers a suite of services: proactive remote monitoring, on-site incident resolution, preventive and on-demand maintenance, managed-service outsourcing (including transaction processing and solution upgrades), and cash-management logistics. In retail, DBD supplies the DN Vynamic software platform, modular POS and self-checkout terminals, printers, scales, mobile scanners, and full-cycle store-life-management services.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue of roughly $1.4 billion, with the Banking segment contributing about 55 % of sales; a 5 % CAGR projected for the global cash-recycling market through 2028; and an operating margin of ~ 7 % despite pressure from declining cash usage as digital payments accelerate. Macro-level drivers include central-bank policies that influence cash demand, the retail shift toward contactless checkout, and the broader trend of banks outsourcing physical-branch infrastructure to improve cost efficiency.
For a deeper, data-driven view of DBD’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analyst tools on ValueRay to see how these trends are reflected in the company’s forward-looking metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (50.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 221.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.42% (prev 15.45%; Δ -3.03pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 279.4m > Net Income 50.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (804.8m) to EBITDA (355.4m) ratio: 2.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.36 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (37.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.95% (prev 24.04%; Δ 0.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 96.80% (prev 97.38%; Δ -0.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.16 (EBITDA TTM 355.4m / Interest Expense TTM 99.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.28
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 1.72b - Total Current Liabilities 1.26b) / Total Assets 3.72b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 43.9m / Total Assets 3.72b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 215.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.81b |
| (D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 129.1m / Total Liabilities 2.61b |
| Total Rating: 1.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.80
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.05% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.96 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.26)% |
| 7. RoE 4.91% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 12.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend 44.91% |
What is the price of DBD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.26%, over one month by +5.21%, over three months by +23.11% and over the past year by +73.08%.
Is DBD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DBD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 79 | 12.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 79 | 12.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 96.6 | 37.4% |
DBD Fundamental Data Overview January 12, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.1655
P/S = 0.6691
P/B = 2.1834
Beta = 1.549
Revenue TTM = 3.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 215.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 355.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 934.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 48.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.07b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 804.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.26b USD (2.47b + Debt 1.07b - CCE 280.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.16 (Ebit TTM 215.3m / Interest Expense TTM 99.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.19x (Enterprise Value 3.26b / FCF TTM 229.5m)
FCF Yield = 7.05% (FCF TTM 229.5m / Enterprise Value 3.26b)
FCF Margin = 6.22% (FCF TTM 229.5m / Revenue TTM 3.69b)
Net Margin = 1.37% (Net Income TTM 50.6m / Revenue TTM 3.69b)
Gross Margin = 24.95% ((Revenue TTM 3.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.23% (prev 25.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 3.26b / Total Assets 3.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.04% (Interest Expense 21.8m / Debt 1.07b)
Taxrate = 18.71% (9.60m / 51.3m)
NOPAT = 175.0m (EBIT 215.3m * (1 - 18.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.36 (Total Current Assets 1.72b / Total Current Liabilities 1.26b)
Debt / Equity = 0.96 (Debt 1.07b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.26 (Net Debt 804.8m / EBITDA 355.4m)
Debt / FCF = 3.51 (Net Debt 804.8m / FCF TTM 229.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.33% (Net Income 50.6m / Total Assets 3.72b)
RoE = 4.91% (Net Income TTM 50.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.03b)
RoCE = 10.96% (EBIT 215.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.03b + L.T.Debt 934.0m))
RoIC = 8.93% (NOPAT 175.0m / Invested Capital 1.96b)
WACC = 7.67% (E(2.47b)/V(3.54b) * Re(10.27%) + D(1.07b)/V(3.54b) * Rd(2.04%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 10.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.85% ; FCFF base≈181.4m ; Y1≈131.5m ; Y5≈73.1m
Fair Price DCF = 18.70 (EV 1.48b - Net Debt 804.8m = Equity 670.9m / Shares 35.9m; r=7.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -32.43% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-32.43%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 44.91 | EPS CAGR: 130.7% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 12.68 | Revenue CAGR: -3.00% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.70 | Chg30d=-0.085 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.02 | Chg30d=+0.060 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+21.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
Additional Sources for DBD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle