DCH Stock Analysis: Dauch | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.218m USD | 12M Return: 15% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 22.8M
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 11.0%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dauch Corporation (NYSE: DCH) is a global automotive supplier that designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies for electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. The company operates through two segments: Driveline, which supplies axles, driveshafts, differentials, clutch modules, and electrified driveline systems, and Metal Forming, which produces engine, transmission, driveline, and safety-critical components for light vehicles, commercial vehicles, off-highway equipment, and industrial markets. Headquartered in Detroit, Michigan, and founded in 1994, Dauch maintains operations across North America, Asia, Europe, and South America. The company was previously known as American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. before rebranding to Dauch Corporation in January 2026.
As a tier-1 supplier serving both legacy automakers and the EV transition, Dauch sits in the Auto Parts segment of the Consumer Cyclical sector, with its product portfolio positioned to address the industrys shift toward electrified powertrains alongside continued demand for traditional ICE components.
- EV driveline ramp accelerates revenue mix shift
- Key OEM production schedules drive Driveline segment volumes
- Commercial vehicle cycle pressures Metal Forming margins
| Net Income: -127.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.30 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.23% < 20% (prev 14.32%; Δ 1.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 291.3m > Net Income -127.1m |
| Net Debt (4.52b) to EBITDA (637.8m): 7.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.40 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.7m) vs 12m ago -3.18% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 9.75% > 18% (prev 11.81%; Δ -2.06% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 82.92% > 50% (prev 115.4%; Δ -32.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 108.7m / Interest Expense TTM 247.9m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 3.89b - Total Current Liabilities 2.79b) / Total Assets 11.3b |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -368.2m / Total Assets 11.3b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 108.7m / Avg Total Assets 8.21b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 1.50b / Total Liabilities 9.77b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.79 = B |
| DSRI: 1.64 (Receivables 1.54b/817.4m, Revenue 6.80b/5.93b) |
| GMI: 1.21 (GM 11.81% / 9.75%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 6.80b / 5.93b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI -127.1m - CFO 291.3m) / TA 11.3b) |
| Beneish M = -2.22 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.13 with a total of 2,527,850 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -15.07%, over three months by -14.21% and over the past year by +15.02%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.70 (which is 8.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Dauch has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Forward = 27.7778
P/S = 0.179
P/B = 0.8127
P/EG = 0.4294
Revenue TTM = 6.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 108.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 637.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.16b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 185.2m
Net Debt = 4.52b USD (calculated: Debt 5.53b - CCE 1.01b)
Enterprise Value = 5.74b USD (1.22b + Debt 5.53b - CCE 1.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.44 (Ebit TTM 108.7m / Interest Expense TTM 247.9m)
EV/FCF = 1000.0x (Enterprise Value 5.74b / FCF TTM 500k)
FCF Yield = 0.01% (FCF TTM 500k / Enterprise Value 5.74b)
FCF Margin = 0.01% (FCF TTM 500k / Revenue TTM 6.80b)
Net Margin = -1.87% (Net Income TTM -127.1m / Revenue TTM 6.80b)
Gross Margin = 9.75% ((Revenue TTM 6.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.14b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.41% (prev 8.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 5.74b / Total Assets 11.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.49% (Interest Expense 247.9m / Debt 5.53b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 85.9m (EBIT 108.7m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.40 (Total Current Assets 3.89b / Total Current Liabilities 2.79b)
Debt / Equity = 3.69 (Debt 5.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.09 (Net Debt 4.52b / EBITDA 637.8m)
Debt / FCF = 9.04k (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 4.52b / FCF TTM 500k)
Total Stockholder Equity = 882.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.55% (Net Income -127.1m / Total Assets 11.3b)
RoE = -14.40% (Net Income TTM -127.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 882.4m)
RoCE = 1.80% (EBIT 108.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 882.4m + L.T.Debt 5.16b))
RoIC = 1.05% (NOPAT 85.9m / Invested Capital 8.18b)
WACC = 5.30% (E(1.22b)/V(6.74b) * Re(13.30%) + D(5.53b)/V(6.74b) * Rd(4.49%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 8.99 | Cagr: 0.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈88.7m ; Y1≈77.8m ; Y5≈62.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.01b - Net Debt 4.52b = -3.51b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 10.97 | Revenue CAGR: 0.52% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.16 | Chg30d=+1.29% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=+0.77% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+15.56% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+43.9% | GrowthRev=+81.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=-2.38% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+41.0% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=14, down=7)