(DEC) Diversified Energy - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.126m USD | Total Return: 42.7% in 12m

Stock Natural Gas, Liquids, Production, Transportation

Total Rating 46

Safety 30

Buy Signal -0.18

Oil & Gas Integrated +10.6
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production +7.5

Market Cap: 1,126m
Avg Trading Vol: 24.4M USD

ATR: 3.47%
Peers RS (IBD): 40.8

Risk 5d forecast

Volatility51.0%

Rel. Tail Risk-3.04%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.91

Alpha24.96

Character TTM

Beta0.803

Beta Downside2.590

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD50.10%

CAGR/Max DD0.05

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 50.52%
Rev. Trend: 6.8%

Qual. Beats: 0

Description: DEC Diversified Energy

Diversified Energy Company plc (DEC) is an independent energy producer operating in the United States. The company focuses on the production, transportation, and marketing of natural gas and liquids.

DECs operations span multiple key regions, including the Appalachian and Central US, along with significant shale formations like Bossier, Haynesville, and Barnett, and the Permian Basin. This geographic diversification is common among independent exploration and production (E&P) companies seeking to optimize resource extraction.

The company, founded in 2001 and headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, operates within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry. E&P companies are directly involved in the upstream segment of the oil and gas industry, focusing on finding and extracting hydrocarbon reserves.

For more detailed financial and operational insights, consider exploring ValueRays comprehensive analysis.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Natural gas and oil prices dictate revenue
Acquisition strategy drives production growth
Regulatory pressure impacts environmental compliance
Interest rate hikes increase debt servicing costs
Hedging strategies mitigate commodity price volatility

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 5.5

Net Income: 253.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.43 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -17.68% < 20% (prev -17.32%; Δ -0.37% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 729.2m > Net Income 253.6m
Net Debt (206.9m) to EBITDA (1.09b): 0.19 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.60 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (74.5m) vs 12m ago 56.61% < -2%
Gross Margin: 21.65% > 18% (prev 0.65%; Δ 2.10k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 49.91% > 50% (prev 55.50%; Δ -5.59% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.69 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 616.0m)

Altman Z'' -0.23

A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 650.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.08b) / Total Assets 6.17b
B: -0.08 (Retained Earnings -507.8m / Total Assets 6.17b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 425.0m / Avg Total Assets 4.82b)
D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -507.7m / Total Liabilities 5.17b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -0.23 = B

Beneish M 1.00

DSRI: 1.72 (Receivables 408.4m/190.2m, Revenue 2.41b/1.93b)
GMI: 3.01 (GM 21.65% / 65.24%)
AQI: 12.82 (AQ_t 0.82 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 2.41b / 1.93b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 253.6m - CFO 729.2m) / TA 6.17b)
Beneish M-Score: 6.50 (Cap -4..+1) = D

What is the price of DEC shares? As of April 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.44 with a total of 1,903,491 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.89%, over one month by +17.70%, over three months by +22.53% and over the past year by +42.74%.

Is DEC a buy, sell or hold? Diversified Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DEC.

StrongBuy: 7
Buy: 1
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DEC price?

Wallstreet Target Price	20.8	19.4%
Analysts Target Price	20.8	19.4%

DEC Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 April 2026

P/E Forward = 5.3447
P/S = 0.815
P/B = 1.1906
Revenue TTM = 2.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 425.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.72b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 236.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 236.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 206.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.33b USD (1.13b + Debt 236.6m - CCE 29.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.69 (Ebit TTM 425.0m / Interest Expense TTM 616.0m)
EV/FCF = 2.32x (Enterprise Value 1.33b / FCF TTM 573.6m)
FCF Yield = 43.03% (FCF TTM 573.6m / Enterprise Value 1.33b)
FCF Margin = 23.84% (FCF TTM 573.6m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Net Margin = 10.54% (Net Income TTM 253.6m / Revenue TTM 2.41b)
Gross Margin = 21.65% ((Revenue TTM 2.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -2.39% (prev 58.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.22 (Enterprise Value 1.33b / Total Assets 6.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 132.7% (Interest Expense 313.9m / Debt 236.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 335.8m (EBIT 425.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.60 (Total Current Assets 650.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.08b)
Debt / Equity = 0.24 (Debt 236.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 984.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.19 (Net Debt 206.9m / EBITDA 1.09b)
Debt / FCF = 0.36 (Net Debt 206.9m / FCF TTM 573.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 672.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.26% (Net Income 253.6m / Total Assets 6.17b)
RoE = 37.73% (Net Income TTM 253.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 672.2m)
RoCE = 12.55% (EBIT 425.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 672.2m + L.T.Debt 2.72b))
RoIC = 11.51% (NOPAT 335.8m / Invested Capital 2.92b)
WACC = 7.28% (E(1.13b)/V(1.36b) * Re(8.81%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 25.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.13% ; FCFF base≈383.9m ; Y1≈252.1m ; Y5≈115.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 31.89 (EV 2.63b - Net Debt 206.9m = Equity 2.43b / Shares 76.1m; r=7.28% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 6.78 | Revenue CAGR: 50.52% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.01 | Chg7d=+0.376 | Chg30d=+0.259 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+88.0% | Growth Revenue=+7.7%

External Resources

Dataroma Stockcircle