DEC Stock Analysis: Diversified Energy | NYSE
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 969m USD | 12M Return: 10.4% | US25520W1071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.2M
Rev. Trend: 84.2%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
DECs asset base spans several major U.S. producing regions, including the Appalachian and Central basins as primary operating areas, alongside the Haynesville and Bossier shales, Cotton Valley sandstones (East Texas/West Louisiana), the Barnett Shale (North Texas), Mid-Continent areas (Central Texas), the Anadarko Basin (North Texas/Oklahoma), and the Permian Basin (West Texas/New Mexico). The Haynesville Shale ranks among the most prolific U.S. natural gas plays, while the Permian Basin is one of the worlds most productive oil-producing regions.
- Natural gas price exposure drives Appalachian basin revenue
- Acquisitions of mature wells fuel production growth strategy
- Carbon credit sales from retired wells boost margins
| Net Income: 965.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.69% < 20% (prev -34.71%; Δ 22.02% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 766.9m > Net Income 965.2m |
| Net Debt (2.99b) to EBITDA (2.24b): 1.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.57 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (74.7m) vs 12m ago 57.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.54% > 18% (prev 12.95%; Δ 14.58% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.00% > 50% (prev 21.33%; Δ 34.67% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.76 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.39b / Interest Expense TTM 793.0m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 551.5m - Total Current Liabilities 969.8m) / Total Assets 6.11b |
| B: -0.08 (Retained Earnings -468.3m / Total Assets 6.11b) |
| C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 1.39b / Avg Total Assets 5.89b) |
| D: 0.18 (Book Value of Equity 950.7m / Total Liabilities 5.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.09 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.45 (Receivables 407.8m/334.4m, Revenue 3.30b/1.21b) |
| GMI: 0.47 (GM 12.95% / 27.54%) |
| AQI: 11.00 (AQ_t 0.83 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 2.73 (Revenue 3.30b / 1.21b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 965.2m - CFO 766.9m) / TA 6.11b) |
| Beneish M = 3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.10 with a total of 797,726 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.99%, over one month by -8.62%, over three months by +3.13% and over the past year by +10.38%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.10 (which is 7.1% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Diversified Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.80. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DEC.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 21.3 | 50.7% |
P/E Trailing = 2.2556
P/E Forward = 4.6882
P/S = 0.4984
P/B = 1.034
Revenue TTM = 3.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.39b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.24b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.82b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 118.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 31.5m
Net Debt = 2.99b USD (calculated: Debt 2.99b - CCE 8.24m)
Enterprise Value = 3.95b USD (968.6m + Debt 2.99b - CCE 8.24m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.76 (Ebit TTM 1.39b / Interest Expense TTM 793.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.54x (Enterprise Value 3.95b / FCF TTM 463.2m)
FCF Yield = 11.71% (FCF TTM 463.2m / Enterprise Value 3.95b)
FCF Margin = 14.05% (FCF TTM 463.2m / Revenue TTM 3.30b)
Net Margin = 29.28% (Net Income TTM 965.2m / Revenue TTM 3.30b)
Gross Margin = 27.54% ((Revenue TTM 3.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.69% (prev -2.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 3.95b / Total Assets 6.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 26.49% (Interest Expense 793.0m / Debt 2.99b)
Taxrate = 5.12% (52.1m / 1.02b)
NOPAT = 1.32b (EBIT 1.39b * (1 - 5.12%))
Current Ratio = 0.57 (Total Current Assets 551.5m / Total Current Liabilities 969.8m)
Debt / Equity = 3.15 (Debt 2.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 950.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.33 (Net Debt 2.99b / EBITDA 2.24b)
Debt / FCF = 6.45 (Net Debt 2.99b / FCF TTM 463.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 908.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.40% (Net Income 965.2m / Total Assets 6.11b)
RoE = 106.2% (Net Income TTM 965.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 908.7m)
RoCE = 37.35% (EBIT 1.39b / Capital Employed (Equity 908.7m + L.T.Debt 2.82b))
RoIC = 25.19% (NOPAT 1.32b / Invested Capital 5.25b)
WACC = 20.70% (E(968.6m)/V(3.96b) * Re(7.0%) + D(2.99b)/V(3.96b) * Rd(26.49%) * (1-Tc(0.05)))
Discount Rate = 7.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.24 | Cagr: 23.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 40.33% ; FCFF base≈496.3m ; Y1≈435.2m ; Y5≈351.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.92b - Net Debt 2.99b = -1.07b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.25 | Revenue CAGR: 59.38% | SUE: 1.36 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-20.81% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.99 | Chg30d=+111.76% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-31.9% | GrowthRev=+17.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.67 | Chg30d=+58.10% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+89.5% | GrowthRev=+26.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=0, down=2)