(DECK) Deckers Outdoor - Ratings and Ratios
Footwear, Apparel, Accessories, Sandals, Boots
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.97% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.08 |
| Alpha | -74.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.576 |
| Beta | 1.299 |
| Beta Downside | 0.961 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 64.35% |
| Mean DD | 19.85% |
| Median DD | 9.54% |
Description: DECK Deckers Outdoor January 03, 2026
Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE:DECK) designs, markets and distributes premium footwear, apparel and accessories across casual lifestyle and high-performance segments, operating globally through wholesale partners, distributors and a growing direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel that includes e-commerce and owned retail stores.
The portfolio includes four core brands: UGG (luxury casual footwear and apparel), HOKA ONE ONE (performance running, trail and hiking shoes), Teva (outdoor sandals and boots) and Koolaburra (fashion-forward casual shoes), with the newer AHNU line targeting the upscale athleisure niche.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $4.6 bn, a 12% YoY increase driven largely by a 28% surge in DTC sales, and an operating margin of 13.5%-the highest in the company’s history, reflecting strong pricing power and efficient supply-chain management.
Sector drivers that materially affect Deckers include discretionary consumer spending trends, which are sensitive to U.S. household confidence and employment levels, and raw-material cost dynamics (e.g., sheepskin, rubber) that can compress margins if not hedged.
Analysts watch the “run-rate” growth of HOKA, which has posted double-digit sales expansion for five consecutive quarters, as a bellwether for the broader performance-footwear market’s shift toward premium, tech-enabled products.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of DECK’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (1.02b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 314.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.26 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.69pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 38.19% (prev 39.20%; Δ -1.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.28 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.07b > Net Income 1.02b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.06b) to EBITDA (1.38b) ratio: -0.77 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.07 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (148.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 57.66% (prev 57.11%; Δ 0.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 146.0% (prev 137.0%; Δ 8.99pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 406.8 (EBITDA TTM 1.38b / Interest Expense TTM 3.21m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 9.60
| (A) 0.53 = (Total Current Assets 2.97b - Total Current Liabilities 968.8m) / Total Assets 3.78b |
| (B) 0.59 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.25b / Total Assets 3.78b |
| (C) 0.36 = EBIT TTM 1.30b / Avg Total Assets 3.59b |
| (D) 1.67 = Book Value of Equity 2.20b / Total Liabilities 1.32b |
| Total Rating: 9.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.96
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.89% |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.69% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.77 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 30.07)% |
| 7. RoE 40.31% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 44.83% |
| 9. EPS Trend -50.08% |
What is the price of DECK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.82%, over one month by +0.62%, over three months by +3.56% and over the past year by -50.24%.
Is DECK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DECK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 110.7 | 8.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 110.7 | 8.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 102.7 | 0.8% |
DECK Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.9254
P/S = 2.9146
P/B = 6.0898
P/EG = 1.6648
Beta = 1.15
Revenue TTM = 5.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.30b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 350.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 75.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 350.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.06b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.22b USD (15.29b + Debt 350.7m - CCE 1.41b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 406.8 (Ebit TTM 1.30b / Interest Expense TTM 3.21m)
EV/FCF = 14.51x (Enterprise Value 14.22b / FCF TTM 979.9m)
FCF Yield = 6.89% (FCF TTM 979.9m / Enterprise Value 14.22b)
FCF Margin = 18.69% (FCF TTM 979.9m / Revenue TTM 5.24b)
Net Margin = 19.36% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 5.24b)
Gross Margin = 57.66% ((Revenue TTM 5.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.18% (prev 55.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.76 (Enterprise Value 14.22b / Total Assets 3.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.27% (Interest Expense 935.0k / Debt 350.7m)
Taxrate = 21.67% (74.2m / 342.4m)
NOPAT = 1.02b (EBIT 1.30b * (1 - 21.67%))
Current Ratio = 3.07 (Total Current Assets 2.97b / Total Current Liabilities 968.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 350.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.77 (Net Debt -1.06b / EBITDA 1.38b)
Debt / FCF = -1.09 (Net Debt -1.06b / FCF TTM 979.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.28% (Net Income 1.02b / Total Assets 3.78b)
RoE = 40.31% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.52b)
RoCE = 45.43% (EBIT 1.30b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.52b + L.T.Debt 350.7m))
RoIC = 40.54% (NOPAT 1.02b / Invested Capital 2.52b)
WACC = 10.46% (E(15.29b)/V(15.64b) * Re(10.70%) + D(350.7m)/V(15.64b) * Rd(0.27%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 10.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.03%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.68% ; FCFF base≈930.5m ; Y1≈1.15b ; Y5≈1.95b
Fair Price DCF = 157.8 (EV 21.94b - Net Debt -1.06b = Equity 23.01b / Shares 145.7m; r=10.46% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -50.08 | EPS CAGR: -46.04% | SUE: -2.39 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 44.83 | Revenue CAGR: 5.09% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=6.41 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+1.2% | Growth Revenue=+7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=6.85 | Chg30d=+0.011 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+6.8% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%
Additional Sources for DECK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle