DECK Stock Analysis: Deckers Outdoor | NYSE
Footwear & Accessories | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.677m USD | 12M Return: -15.2% | US2435371073 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 229M
EPS Trend: 94.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK) is a multi-brand footwear, apparel, and accessories company founded in 1973 and headquartered in Goleta, California. It markets and distributes products under the UGG, HOKA, Teva, Koolaburra, and AHNU brands, spanning both casual lifestyle and high-performance categories such as running, trail, hiking, and fitness. The company sells through domestic and international retailers, distributors, and a direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel comprising e-commerce websites and company-operated retail stores.
The footwear sub-industry is part of the broader Consumer Discretionary sector and is highly brand-driven, with growth tied to fashion trends, consumer spending, and brand heat cycles. A multi-brand portfolio, like Deckers, is a common strategy used to diversify exposure across lifestyle segments and reduce reliance on any single label, while the DTC channel is increasingly emphasized industry-wide as brands seek higher margins and greater control over pricing and customer experience.
- HOKA running brand fuels double-digit revenue and margin growth
- UGG segment faces seasonal demand softness and fashion cycle risk
- China sourcing tariff exposure pressures footwear costs and gross margins
| Net Income: 1.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.42 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 33.62% < 20% (prev 39.57%; Δ -5.95% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.31 > 3% & CFO 1.19b > Net Income 1.01b |
| Net Debt (-1.13b) to EBITDA (1.39b): -0.81 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.6m) vs 12m ago -7.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 57.80% > 18% (prev 57.63%; Δ 0.17% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 143.4% > 50% (prev 133.5%; Δ 9.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 344.4 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.32b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82m) |
| A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 2.92b - Total Current Liabilities 1.06b) / Total Assets 3.87b |
| B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 2.03b / Total Assets 3.87b) |
| C: 0.34 (EBIT TTM 1.32b / Avg Total Assets 3.85b) |
| D: 1.47 (Book Value of Equity 2.30b / Total Liabilities 1.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.70 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 382.5m/391.8m, Revenue 5.53b/5.12b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 57.63% / 57.80%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 5.53b / 5.12b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.01b - CFO 1.19b) / TA 3.87b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 89.51 with a total of 2,153,440 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.61%, over one month by -13.97%, over three months by -5.39% and over the past year by -15.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 85.30 (which is 4.7% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Deckers Outdoor has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.83. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DECK.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 122.8 | 37.2% |
P/E Trailing = 13.2418
P/E Forward = 12.4069
P/S = 2.2936
P/B = 5.5078
P/EG = 1.1387
Revenue TTM = 5.53b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.32b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 399.0m USD (estimated: total debt 472.3m - short term 73.4m)
Short Term Debt = 73.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 472.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 472.3m already included)
Net Debt = -1.13b USD (calculated: Debt 472.3m - CCE 1.60b)
Enterprise Value = 11.5b USD (12.7b + Debt 472.3m - CCE 1.60b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 344.4 (Ebit TTM 1.32b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82m)
EV/FCF = 11.96x (Enterprise Value 11.5b / FCF TTM 965.1m)
FCF Yield = 8.36% (FCF TTM 965.1m / Enterprise Value 11.5b)
FCF Margin = 17.46% (FCF TTM 965.1m / Revenue TTM 5.53b)
Net Margin = 18.36% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Revenue TTM 5.53b)
Gross Margin = 57.80% ((Revenue TTM 5.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.41% (prev 57.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.98 (Enterprise Value 11.5b / Total Assets 3.87b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 3.82m / Debt 472.3m)
Taxrate = 22.67% (297.5m / 1.31b)
NOPAT = 1.02b (EBIT 1.32b * (1 - 22.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 2.92b / Total Current Liabilities 1.79b)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 472.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.81 (Net Debt -1.13b / EBITDA 1.39b)
Debt / FCF = -1.17 (Net Debt -1.13b / FCF TTM 965.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 26.33% (Net Income 1.01b / Total Assets 3.87b)
RoE = 41.10% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.47b)
RoCE = 45.89% (EBIT 1.32b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.47b + L.T.Debt 399.0m))
RoIC = 39.12% (NOPAT 1.02b / Invested Capital 2.60b)
WACC = 8.22% (E(12.7b)/V(13.1b) * Re(8.50%) + D(472.3m)/V(13.1b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.53 | Cagr: -4.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.79% ; FCFF base≈983.9m ; Y1≈949.5m ; Y5≈929.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 115.3 (EV 14.6b - Net Debt -1.13b = Equity 15.7b / Shares 136.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -4.65% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.94 | EPS CAGR: 22.78% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.24 | Revenue CAGR: 13.56% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=-5.48% | Revisions=-74% | Analysts=18
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.72 | Chg30d=+1.42% | Revisions=+53% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.53 | Chg30d=+0.50% | Revisions=+74% | GrowthEPS=+7.2% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=8.40 | Chg30d=+0.82% | Revisions=+76% | GrowthEPS=+11.5% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=46, down=20)