(DECK) Deckers Outdoor - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Footwear & Accessories | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 15.153m USD | Total Return: 3.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 209M
EPS Trend: 95.5%
Qual. Beats: 8
Rev. Trend: 98.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK) is a multi-brand footwear, apparel, and accessories company founded in 1973 and headquartered in Goleta, California. It markets and distributes products under the UGG, HOKA, Teva, Koolaburra, and AHNU brands, spanning both casual lifestyle and high-performance categories such as running, trail, hiking, and fitness. The company sells through domestic and international retailers, distributors, and a direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel comprising e-commerce websites and company-operated retail stores.
The footwear sub-industry is part of the broader Consumer Discretionary sector and is highly brand-driven, with growth tied to fashion trends, consumer spending, and brand heat cycles. A multi-brand portfolio, like Deckers, is a common strategy used to diversify exposure across lifestyle segments and reduce reliance on any single label, while the DTC channel is increasingly emphasized industry-wide as brands seek higher margins and greater control over pricing and customer experience.
- HOKA running brand fuels double-digit revenue and margin growth
- UGG segment faces seasonal demand softness and fashion cycle risk
- China sourcing tariff exposure pressures footwear costs and gross margins
| Net Income: 1.02b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.32 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.21 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 37.43% < 20% (prev 41.93%; Δ -4.50% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.32 > 3% & CFO 1.18b > Net Income 1.02b |
| Net Debt (-1.53b) to EBITDA (1.41b): -1.09 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.54 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (141.5m) vs 12m ago -7.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 57.31% > 18% (prev 57.88%; Δ -0.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 150.6% > 50% (prev 139.6%; Δ 11.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 355.2 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.33b / Interest Expense TTM 3.75m) |
| A: 0.55 (Total Current Assets 2.85b - Total Current Liabilities 804.1m) / Total Assets 3.69b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 2.25b / Total Assets 3.69b) |
| C: 0.37 (EBIT TTM 1.33b / Avg Total Assets 3.63b) |
| D: 2.10 (Book Value of Equity 2.50b / Total Liabilities 1.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 10.30 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.75 (Receivables 320.8m/390.6m, Revenue 5.47b/4.99b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 57.88% / 57.31%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 5.47b / 4.99b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.02b - CFO 1.18b) / TA 3.69b) |
| Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 103.63 with a total of 1,507,769 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.88%, over one month by -7.01%, over three months by +1.15% and over the past year by +3.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 95.10 (which is 8.2% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Deckers Outdoor has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.83. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DECK.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 126.9 | 22.4% |
P/E Trailing = 15.5427
P/E Forward = 14.8148
P/S = 2.7691
P/B = 6.0622
P/EG = 1.3582
Revenue TTM = 5.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 291.3m USD (estimated: total debt 375.2m - short term 83.9m)
Short Term Debt = 83.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 375.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 375.2m already included)
Net Debt = -1.53b USD (calculated: Debt 375.2m - CCE 1.91b)
Enterprise Value = 13.6b USD (15.2b + Debt 375.2m - CCE 1.91b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 355.2 (Ebit TTM 1.33b / Interest Expense TTM 3.75m)
EV/FCF = 11.52x (Enterprise Value 13.6b / FCF TTM 1.18b)
FCF Yield = 8.68% (FCF TTM 1.18b / Enterprise Value 13.6b)
FCF Margin = 21.62% (FCF TTM 1.18b / Revenue TTM 5.47b)
Net Margin = 18.73% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 5.47b)
Gross Margin = 57.31% ((Revenue TTM 5.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.67% (prev 59.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.69 (Enterprise Value 13.6b / Total Assets 3.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 3.75m / Debt 375.2m)
Taxrate = 22.79% (302.3m / 1.33b)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.33b * (1 - 22.79%))
Current Ratio = 3.54 (Total Current Assets 2.85b / Total Current Liabilities 804.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.15 (Debt 375.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.09 (Net Debt -1.53b / EBITDA 1.41b)
Debt / FCF = -1.30 (Net Debt -1.53b / FCF TTM 1.18b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.22% (Net Income 1.02b / Total Assets 3.69b)
RoE = 40.79% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.51b)
RoCE = 47.47% (EBIT 1.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.51b + L.T.Debt 291.3m))
RoIC = 38.12% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 2.69b)
WACC = 9.39% (E(15.2b)/V(15.5b) * Re(9.60%) + D(375.2m)/V(15.5b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -3.93%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.69% ; FCFF base≈1.09b ; Y1≈1.25b ; Y5≈1.84b
[DCF] Fair Price = 179.9 (EV 23.5b - Net Debt -1.53b = Equity 25.0b / Shares 138.9m; r=9.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.53 | EPS CAGR: 29.17% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 8
Revenue Correlation: 98.58 | Revenue CAGR: 15.32% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-5.87% | Revisions=-53% | Analysts=18
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.89 | Chg30d=+1.30% | Revisions=+18% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.49 | Chg30d=+2.10% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+6.6% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=8.33 | Chg30d=+3.00% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+11.3% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -53%