DECK Stock Analysis: Deckers Outdoor | NYSE
Footwear & Accessories | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.946m USD | 12M Return: -14.5% | US2435371073 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 257M
EPS Trend: 94.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation is a footwear, apparel, and accessories company that markets products under multiple owned brands, including UGG (casual lifestyle), HOKA (running, trail, hiking, and fitness), Teva (sandals and outdoor footwear), Koolaburra (casual fashion), and AHNU. The company sells through wholesale retailers and international distributors as well as directly to consumers via e-commerce websites and company-operated retail stores, with operations spanning the United States and international markets.
The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Goleta, California, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker DECK within the Consumer Discretionary sectors Footwear sub-industry. Deckers portfolio approach-owning distinct brands targeting separate consumer segments from luxury casual to performance athletic-is a common business model in the footwear industry, allowing it to operate across multiple price points and distribution channels rather than competing in a single category.
- HOKA running shoe sales drive double-digit revenue growth
- UGG brand faces seasonal demand and wholesale concentration risk
- Direct-to-consumer e-commerce margin expansion lifts profitability
| Net Income: 1.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.26 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.11 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 33.62% < 20% (prev 39.57%; Δ -5.95% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.31 > 3% & CFO 1.19b > Net Income 1.01b |
| Net Debt (-1.13b) to EBITDA (1.39b): -0.81 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.75 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (138.6m) vs 12m ago -7.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 57.80% > 18% (prev 57.63%; Δ 0.17% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 143.4% > 50% (prev 133.5%; Δ 9.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 344.4 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.32b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82m) |
| A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 2.92b - Total Current Liabilities 1.06b) / Total Assets 3.87b |
| B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 2.03b / Total Assets 3.87b) |
| C: 0.34 (EBIT TTM 1.32b / Avg Total Assets 3.85b) |
| D: 1.47 (Book Value of Equity 2.30b / Total Liabilities 1.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.70 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 382.5m/391.8m, Revenue 5.53b/5.12b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 57.63% / 57.80%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 5.53b / 5.12b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.01b - CFO 1.19b) / TA 3.87b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 84.02 with a total of 2,999,810 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.89%, over one month by +4.32%, over three months by -22.06% and over the past year by -14.54%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 81.20 (which is 3.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Deckers Outdoor has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DECK.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 120.4 | 43.3% |
P/E Trailing = 11.3692
P/E Forward = 10.6496
P/S = 1.9804
P/B = 4.7232
P/EG = 0.9765
Revenue TTM = 5.53b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.32b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 399.0m USD (estimated: total debt 472.3m - short term 73.4m)
Short Term Debt = 73.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 472.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 472.3m already included)
Net Debt = -1.13b USD (calculated: Debt 472.3m - CCE 1.60b)
Enterprise Value = 9.82b USD (10.9b + Debt 472.3m - CCE 1.60b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 344.4 (Ebit TTM 1.32b / Interest Expense TTM 3.82m)
EV/FCF = 9.67x (Enterprise Value 9.82b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
FCF Yield = 10.35% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Enterprise Value 9.82b)
FCF Margin = 18.37% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 5.53b)
Net Margin = 18.36% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Revenue TTM 5.53b)
Gross Margin = 57.80% ((Revenue TTM 5.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.41% (prev 57.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.54 (Enterprise Value 9.82b / Total Assets 3.87b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 3.82m / Debt 472.3m)
Taxrate = 22.67% (297.5m / 1.31b)
NOPAT = 1.02b (EBIT 1.32b * (1 - 22.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 2.92b / Total Current Liabilities 1.79b)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 472.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.81 (Net Debt -1.13b / EBITDA 1.39b)
Debt / FCF = -1.11 (Net Debt -1.13b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 26.33% (Net Income 1.01b / Total Assets 3.87b)
RoE = 41.10% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.47b)
RoCE = 45.89% (EBIT 1.32b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.47b + L.T.Debt 399.0m))
RoIC = 39.12% (NOPAT 1.02b / Invested Capital 2.60b)
WACC = 8.18% (E(10.9b)/V(11.4b) * Re(8.51%) + D(472.3m)/V(11.4b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.53 | Cagr: -4.78%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.48% ; FCFF base≈1.01b ; Y1≈1.02b ; Y5≈1.09b
[DCF] Fair Price = 132.5 (EV 16.9b - Net Debt -1.13b = Equity 18.0b / Shares 136.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.33% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.94 | EPS CAGR: 22.78% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.24 | Revenue CAGR: 13.56% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=-0.02% | Revisions=-74% | Analysts=19
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.71 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=+53% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.51 | Chg30d=-0.21% | Revisions=+74% | GrowthEPS=+7.0% | GrowthRev=+7.4%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=8.35 | Chg30d=-0.55% | Revisions=+76% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=46, down=20)