DECK Stock Analysis: Deckers Outdoor | NYSE
Footwear & Accessories | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 11.574m USD | 12M Return: 12.5% | US2435371073 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 286M
EPS Trend: 96.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 97.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation is a footwear, apparel, and accessories company that markets products under multiple owned brands, including UGG (casual lifestyle), HOKA (running, trail, hiking, and fitness), Teva (sandals and outdoor footwear), Koolaburra (casual fashion), and AHNU. The company sells through wholesale retailers and international distributors as well as directly to consumers via e-commerce websites and company-operated retail stores, with operations spanning the United States and international markets.
The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Goleta, California, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker DECK within the Consumer Discretionary sectors Footwear sub-industry. Deckers portfolio approach-owning distinct brands targeting separate consumer segments from luxury casual to performance athletic-is a common business model in the footwear industry, allowing it to operate across multiple price points and distribution channels rather than competing in a single category.
- HOKA running shoe sales drive double-digit revenue growth
- UGG brand faces seasonal demand and wholesale concentration risk
- Direct-to-consumer e-commerce margin expansion lifts profitability
| Net Income: 1.06b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.27 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 33.04% < 20% (prev 38.19%; Δ -5.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 1.13b > Net Income 1.06b |
| Net Debt (-670.2m) to EBITDA (1.45b): -0.46 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.72 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (135.3m) vs 12m ago -8.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 58.93% > 18% (prev 57.66%; Δ 1.26% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 144.2% > 50% (prev 138.6%; Δ 5.66% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 293.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.38b / Interest Expense TTM 4.70m) |
| A: 0.47 (Total Current Assets 2.91b - Total Current Liabilities 1.07b) / Total Assets 3.95b |
| B: 0.52 (Retained Earnings 2.05b / Total Assets 3.95b) |
| C: 0.36 (EBIT TTM 1.38b / Avg Total Assets 3.87b) |
| D: 1.43 (Book Value of Equity 2.32b / Total Liabilities 1.63b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.64 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 690.7m/546.8m, Revenue 5.58b/5.24b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 57.66% / 58.93%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 5.58b / 5.24b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 1.06b - CFO 1.13b) / TA 3.95b) |
| Beneish M = -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 89.79 with a total of 2,866,427 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.78%, over one month by +6.55%, over three months by -7.85% and over the past year by +12.46%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 84.50 (which is 5.9% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Deckers Outdoor has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.44. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DECK.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 96.7 | 7.7% |
P/E Trailing = 11.4848
P/E Forward = 10.9769
P/S = 2.0753
P/B = 4.9856
P/EG = 1.0258
Revenue TTM = 5.58b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.45b USD
Long Term Debt = 459.3m USD (estimated: total debt 539.5m - short term 80.2m)
Short Term Debt = 80.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 539.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 539.5m already included)
Net Debt = -670.2m USD (calculated: Debt 539.5m - CCE 1.21b)
Enterprise Value = 10.9b USD (11.6b + Debt 539.5m - CCE 1.21b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 293.0 (Ebit TTM 1.38b / Interest Expense TTM 4.70m)
EV/FCF = 10.36x (Enterprise Value 10.9b / FCF TTM 1.05b)
FCF Yield = 9.65% (FCF TTM 1.05b / Enterprise Value 10.9b)
FCF Margin = 18.87% (FCF TTM 1.05b / Revenue TTM 5.58b)
Net Margin = 19.00% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Revenue TTM 5.58b)
Gross Margin = 58.93% ((Revenue TTM 5.58b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.46% (prev 56.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.76 (Enterprise Value 10.9b / Total Assets 3.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.87% (Interest Expense 4.70m / Debt 539.5m)
Taxrate = 22.83% (313.6m / 1.37b)
NOPAT = 1.06b (EBIT 1.38b * (1 - 22.83%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 2.91b / Total Current Liabilities 1.07b)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 539.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.46 (Net Debt -670.2m / EBITDA 1.45b)
Debt / FCF = -0.64 (Net Debt -670.2m / FCF TTM 1.05b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 27.41% (Net Income 1.06b / Total Assets 3.95b)
RoE = 43.56% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.43b)
RoCE = 47.65% (EBIT 1.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.43b + L.T.Debt 459.3m))
RoIC = 39.66% (NOPAT 1.06b / Invested Capital 2.68b)
WACC = 7.46% (E(11.6b)/V(12.1b) * Re(7.78%) + D(539.5m)/V(12.1b) * Rd(0.87%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.09 | Cagr: -5.45%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.37% ; FCFF base≈1.02b ; Y1≈1.09b ; Y5≈1.30b
[DCF] Fair Price = 154.9 (EV 20.0b - Net Debt -670.2m = Equity 20.7b / Shares 133.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 7.42% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.49 | EPS CAGR: 18.50% | SUE: 3.03 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.65 | Revenue CAGR: 11.87% | SUE: -0.62 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.61 | Chg30d=-2.68% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.86 | Chg30d=+4.62% | Revisions=+68% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=8.12 | Chg30d=-2.82% | Revisions=-75% | GrowthEPS=+3.2% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=21, down=30)