DG Stock Analysis: Dollar General | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 27.542m USD | 12M Return: 18.1% | US2566771059 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 305M
EPS Trend: -23.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG) is a U.S. discount retailer that operates small-format stores primarily across the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. Founded in 1939 and headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, the company was originally known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. before adopting its current name in 1968.
The companys merchandise mix is heavily weighted toward consumables, including packaged food, perishables, household paper goods, cleaning supplies, over-the-counter medicines, and personal care items, along with pet supplies and tobacco products. It also sells seasonal merchandise (such as holiday items, toys, and gardening supplies), home goods (including kitchenware, small appliances, and bed and bath items), and basic apparel for the whole family.
As a member of the Consumer Staples sector, Dollar Generals business model is built around providing low-priced everyday essentials, typically in rural and small-town locations that are often underserved by larger grocery and general merchandise chains. The discount retail format relies on a limited assortment of fast-moving products and lean store operations to sustain low price points and drive high store-level turnover.
- Low-income consumer spending pressured by persistent inflation
- Inventory shrink and higher costs compress operating margins
- Aggressive store expansion offsets weak same-store sales growth
| Net Income: 1.70b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.55 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.48% < 20% (prev 4.07%; Δ -0.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 4.32b > Net Income 1.70b |
| Net Debt (25.2b) to EBITDA (3.52b): 7.16 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (221.5m) vs 12m ago 0.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.16% > 18% (prev 30.15%; Δ 1.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 136.8% > 50% (prev 131.6%; Δ 5.16% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.44b / Interest Expense TTM 198.4m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 8.78b - Total Current Liabilities 7.27b) / Total Assets 32.2b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 5.13b / Total Assets 32.2b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 2.44b / Avg Total Assets 31.9b) |
| D: 0.41 (Book Value of Equity 9.29b / Total Liabilities 22.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.77 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 75.4m/81.7m, Revenue 43.6b/41.7b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 30.15% / 31.16%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 43.6b / 41.7b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 1.70b - CFO 4.32b) / TA 32.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 119.58 with a total of 2,580,564 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.85%, over one month by -5.66%, over three months by +4.41% and over the past year by +18.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 114.80 (which is 4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Dollar General has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.58. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DG.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 140.8 | 17.7% |
P/E Trailing = 16.213
P/E Forward = 15.3139
P/S = 0.6311
P/B = 2.8644
P/EG = 1.6026
Revenue TTM = 43.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.44b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.52b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.58b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.2b
Net Debt = 25.2b USD (calculated: Debt 26.8b - CCE 1.59b)
Enterprise Value = 52.8b USD (27.5b + Debt 26.8b - CCE 1.59b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.30 (Ebit TTM 2.44b / Interest Expense TTM 198.4m)
EV/FCF = 19.54x (Enterprise Value 52.8b / FCF TTM 2.70b)
FCF Yield = 5.12% (FCF TTM 2.70b / Enterprise Value 52.8b)
FCF Margin = 6.19% (FCF TTM 2.70b / Revenue TTM 43.6b)
Net Margin = 3.90% (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Revenue TTM 43.6b)
Gross Margin = 31.16% ((Revenue TTM 43.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.60% (prev 31.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.64 (Enterprise Value 52.8b / Total Assets 32.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 198.4m / Debt 26.8b)
Taxrate = 23.72% (529.5m / 2.23b)
NOPAT = 1.86b (EBIT 2.44b * (1 - 23.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 8.78b / Total Current Liabilities 7.27b)
Debt / Equity = 2.89 (Debt 26.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.16 (Net Debt 25.2b / EBITDA 3.52b)
Debt / FCF = 9.34 (Net Debt 25.2b / FCF TTM 2.70b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.34% (Net Income 1.70b / Total Assets 32.2b)
RoE = 19.56% (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.71b)
RoCE = 18.39% (EBIT 2.44b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.71b + L.T.Debt 4.56b))
RoIC = 7.48% (NOPAT 1.86b / Invested Capital 24.9b)
WACC = 3.25% (E(27.5b)/V(54.4b) * Re(5.86%) + D(26.8b)/V(54.4b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.37 | Cagr: 0.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.36b ; Y1≈2.71b ; Y5≈3.98b
[DCF] Fair Price = 157.3 (EV 59.9b - Net Debt 25.2b = Equity 34.7b / Shares 220.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -23.78 | EPS CAGR: -2.92% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.23 | Revenue CAGR: 4.58% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.41 | Chg30d=+0.89% | Revisions=+53% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=7.91 | Chg30d=+7.08% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=8.37 | Chg30d=+4.17% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+5.8% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +85% (up=55, down=3)