(DG) Dollar General - Ratings and Ratios
Consumables, Seasonal, Home, Apparel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 35.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 51.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.45% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.67 |
| Alpha | 81.09 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.382 |
| Beta | -0.096 |
| Beta Downside | -0.313 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.36% |
| Mean DD | 46.75% |
| Median DD | 50.50% |
Description: DG Dollar General December 19, 2025
Dollar General (DG) operates a network of over 19,400 discount-store locations across the southern, southwestern, mid-Midwest and eastern United States, targeting price-sensitive shoppers with a broad assortment of consumables, perishables, seasonal items and basic apparel.
The retailer’s product mix emphasizes high-turn, low-margin categories such as paper goods, packaged foods, dairy, and over-the-counter health products, while also offering ancillary lines like pet supplies, small electronics, and tobacco to capture incremental basket size.
Founded in 1939 as J.L. Turner & Son and renamed Dollar General in 1968, the company is headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, and is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail.”
Key performance indicators as of FY 2024 include a 4.2 % same-store sales growth rate, an operating margin of roughly 10.5 %, and free cash flow generation of $1.2 billion, reflecting the chain’s ability to expand profitably in low-income and rural markets.
Macro-level drivers that materially affect DG’s outlook are persistent inflation (which boosts demand for low-price alternatives), a relatively inelastic demand for staple goods, and demographic trends that favor convenience-oriented retail formats in underserved zip codes.
For a deeper, data-driven look at DG’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay analysis provides a concise next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (1.28b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.53b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.91% (prev 2.65%; Δ 0.26pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.62b > Net Income 1.28b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.27b) to EBITDA (2.92b) ratio: 5.23 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.17 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (221.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.41% (prev 28.48%; Δ 1.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 133.3% (prev 127.7%; Δ 5.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.75 (EBITDA TTM 2.92b / Interest Expense TTM 244.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.27
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 8.38b - Total Current Liabilities 7.15b) / Total Assets 31.72b |
| (B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.10b / Total Assets 31.72b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 1.89b / Avg Total Assets 31.59b |
| (D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 4.30b / Total Liabilities 23.53b |
| Total Rating: 1.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.45
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.14% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.55% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.02 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.23 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.92)% |
| 7. RoE 16.31% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend -70.45% |
What is the price of DG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.17%, over one month by +24.22%, over three months by +32.74% and over the past year by +84.05%.
Is DG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 19
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 132.7 | -2.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 132.7 | -2.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 156.8 | 15.4% |
DG Fundamental Data Overview December 31, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.7924
P/E Forward = 19.4175
P/S = 0.7187
P/B = 3.7064
P/EG = 1.6178
Beta = 0.276
Revenue TTM = 42.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.89b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.92b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.54b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.51b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 45.54b USD (30.27b + Debt 16.51b - CCE 1.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.75 (Ebit TTM 1.89b / Interest Expense TTM 244.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 2.34b / Enterprise Value 45.54b)
FCF Margin = 5.55% (FCF TTM 2.34b / Revenue TTM 42.12b)
Net Margin = 3.03% (Net Income TTM 1.28b / Revenue TTM 42.12b)
Gross Margin = 30.41% ((Revenue TTM 42.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.90% (prev 31.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 45.54b / Total Assets 31.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.34% (Interest Expense 55.9m / Debt 16.51b)
Taxrate = 23.59% (87.3m / 369.9m)
NOPAT = 1.45b (EBIT 1.89b * (1 - 23.59%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 8.38b / Total Current Liabilities 7.15b)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 16.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.23 (Net Debt 15.27b / EBITDA 2.92b)
Debt / FCF = 6.53 (Net Debt 15.27b / FCF TTM 2.34b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.03% (Net Income 1.28b / Total Assets 31.72b)
RoE = 16.31% (Net Income TTM 1.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.83b)
RoCE = 14.61% (EBIT 1.89b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.83b + L.T.Debt 5.12b))
RoIC = 10.67% (NOPAT 1.45b / Invested Capital 13.54b)
WACC = 3.75% (E(30.27b)/V(46.78b) * Re(5.66%) + D(16.51b)/V(46.78b) * Rd(0.34%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈2.06b ; Y1≈2.54b ; Y5≈4.34b
Fair Price DCF = 335.5 (DCF Value 73.85b / Shares Outstanding 220.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.45 | EPS CAGR: -16.96% | SUE: 2.38 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 90.10 | Revenue CAGR: 5.70% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.95 | Chg30d=+0.034 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=7.07 | Chg30d=+0.396 | Revisions Net=+23 | Growth EPS=+8.9% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%
Additional Sources for DG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle