DG Stock Analysis: Dollar General | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 27.773m USD | 12M Return: 21.1% | US2566771059 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 272M
EPS Trend: -23.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG) is a U.S. discount retailer that operates small-box stores primarily in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. Founded in 1939 and headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, the company was originally known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. before adopting its current name in 1968. It is classified within the Consumer Staples sector (GICS sub-industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail), reflecting its focus on everyday essentials rather than discretionary goods.
The companys merchandise mix is centered on consumables and other low-cost everyday items, including packaged food, perishables such as milk, eggs, bread, and produce, household paper goods, cleaning supplies, over-the-counter medicines, and personal care products. It also sells tobacco, pet supplies, candy and snacks, and beverages (including beer and wine where permitted). Beyond consumables, Dollar General offers seasonal merchandise (holiday items, toys, greeting cards, gardening supplies), home goods (kitchen supplies, small appliances, candles, bed and bath), and a limited apparel assortment for infants through adults, as well as accessories such as socks, underwear, and shoes.
As a discount retailer, Dollar Generals business model is built on a low-price, high-volume strategy, typically operating smaller-format stores in rural, small-town, and suburban communities that are often underserved by larger grocers and big-box competitors. This focus on convenience and value, combined with a heavy weighting toward consumables, gives the chain a defensive, repeat-visit customer base that tends to be resilient across economic cycles.
- Same-store sales growth slows as low-income consumers tighten spending
- Margin pressure persists from elevated shrink and freight costs
- New store expansion continues driving unit growth
| Net Income: 1.70b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.55 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.48% < 20% (prev 4.07%; Δ -0.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 4.32b > Net Income 1.70b |
| Net Debt (25.2b) to EBITDA (3.49b): 7.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (221.5m) vs 12m ago 0.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.16% > 18% (prev 30.15%; Δ 1.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 136.8% > 50% (prev 131.6%; Δ 5.16% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.44b / Interest Expense TTM 198.4m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 8.78b - Total Current Liabilities 7.27b) / Total Assets 32.2b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 5.13b / Total Assets 32.2b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 2.44b / Avg Total Assets 31.9b) |
| D: 0.41 (Book Value of Equity 9.29b / Total Liabilities 22.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.77 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 75.4m/81.7m, Revenue 43.6b/41.7b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 30.15% / 31.16%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 43.6b / 41.7b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 1.70b - CFO 4.32b) / TA 32.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 131.09 with a total of 3,878,579 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.94%, over one month by +2.64%, over three months by +19.86% and over the past year by +21.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 125.90 (which is 4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Dollar General has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.58. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DG.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 132.7 | 1.2% |
P/E Trailing = 17.8062
P/E Forward = 16.8067
P/S = 0.6448
P/B = 3.0626
P/EG = 1.7612
Revenue TTM = 43.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.44b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.49b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.57b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.58b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.2b
Net Debt = 25.2b USD (calculated: Debt 26.8b - CCE 1.59b)
Enterprise Value = 53.0b USD (27.8b + Debt 26.8b - CCE 1.59b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.30 (Ebit TTM 2.44b / Interest Expense TTM 198.4m)
EV/FCF = 19.63x (Enterprise Value 53.0b / FCF TTM 2.70b)
FCF Yield = 5.09% (FCF TTM 2.70b / Enterprise Value 53.0b)
FCF Margin = 6.19% (FCF TTM 2.70b / Revenue TTM 43.6b)
Net Margin = 3.90% (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Revenue TTM 43.6b)
Gross Margin = 31.16% ((Revenue TTM 43.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 30.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.60% (prev 31.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.65 (Enterprise Value 53.0b / Total Assets 32.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 198.4m / Debt 26.8b)
Taxrate = 23.72% (529.5m / 2.23b)
NOPAT = 1.86b (EBIT 2.44b * (1 - 23.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 8.78b / Total Current Liabilities 7.27b)
Debt / Equity = 2.89 (Debt 26.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.24 (Net Debt 25.2b / EBITDA 3.49b)
Debt / FCF = 9.35 (Net Debt 25.2b / FCF TTM 2.70b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.34% (Net Income 1.70b / Total Assets 32.2b)
RoE = 19.56% (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.71b)
RoCE = 18.38% (EBIT 2.44b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.71b + L.T.Debt 4.57b))
RoIC = 7.48% (NOPAT 1.86b / Invested Capital 24.9b)
WACC = 3.24% (E(27.8b)/V(54.6b) * Re(5.83%) + D(26.8b)/V(54.6b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.37 | Cagr: 0.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.36b ; Y1≈2.71b ; Y5≈3.98b
[DCF] Fair Price = 157.2 (EV 59.9b - Net Debt 25.2b = Equity 34.7b / Shares 220.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -23.78 | EPS CAGR: -2.92% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.23 | Revenue CAGR: 4.58% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=7.39 | Chg30d=+0.23% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+7.9% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=8.03 | Chg30d=+0.54% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+8.7% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +30% (up=5, down=2)