DG Stock Analysis: Dollar General | NYSE
Discount Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 25.392m USD | 12M Return: 2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 347M
EPS Trend: -60.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG) is a U.S. discount retailer that operates small-box stores primarily in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. Founded in 1939 and headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, the company was originally known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. before adopting its current name in 1968. It is classified within the Consumer Staples sector (GICS sub-industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail), reflecting its focus on everyday essentials rather than discretionary goods.
The companys merchandise mix is centered on consumables and other low-cost everyday items, including packaged food, perishables such as milk, eggs, bread, and produce, household paper goods, cleaning supplies, over-the-counter medicines, and personal care products. It also sells tobacco, pet supplies, candy and snacks, and beverages (including beer and wine where permitted). Beyond consumables, Dollar General offers seasonal merchandise (holiday items, toys, greeting cards, gardening supplies), home goods (kitchen supplies, small appliances, candles, bed and bath), and a limited apparel assortment for infants through adults, as well as accessories such as socks, underwear, and shoes.
As a discount retailer, Dollar Generals business model is built on a low-price, high-volume strategy, typically operating smaller-format stores in rural, small-town, and suburban communities that are often underserved by larger grocers and big-box competitors. This focus on convenience and value, combined with a heavy weighting toward consumables, gives the chain a defensive, repeat-visit customer base that tends to be resilient across economic cycles.
- Same-store sales growth slows as low-income consumers tighten spending
- Margin pressure persists from elevated shrink and freight costs
- New store expansion continues driving unit growth
| Net Income: 1.56b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.93 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.84% < 20% (prev 3.63%; Δ -0.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 4.51b > Net Income 1.56b |
| Net Debt (25.7b) to EBITDA (3.32b): 7.73 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (221.6m) vs 12m ago 0.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.83% > 18% (prev 29.80%; Δ 1.03% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 137.4% > 50% (prev 132.7%; Δ 4.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.59 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.26b / Interest Expense TTM 213.2m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 8.47b - Total Current Liabilities 7.24b) / Total Assets 31.7b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 4.71b / Total Assets 31.7b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 2.26b / Avg Total Assets 31.3b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 8.84b / Total Liabilities 22.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.63 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.36 (Receivables 12.0m/31.9m, Revenue 43.1b/41.1b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 29.80% / 30.83%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 43.1b / 41.1b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 1.56b - CFO 4.51b) / TA 31.7b) |
| Beneish M = -3.57 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 116.27 with a total of 2,140,928 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.71%, over one month by +8.85%, over three months by -6.55% and over the past year by +2.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 110.90 (which is 4.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Dollar General has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.58. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DG.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 131.2 | 12.9% |
P/E Trailing = 16.2815
P/E Forward = 16.1031
P/S = 0.5895
P/B = 2.9314
P/EG = 1.6857
Revenue TTM = 43.1b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.26b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.32b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.57b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 27.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.2b
Net Debt = 25.7b USD (calculated: Debt 27.0b - CCE 1.35b)
Enterprise Value = 51.1b USD (25.4b + Debt 27.0b - CCE 1.35b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.59 (Ebit TTM 2.26b / Interest Expense TTM 213.2m)
EV/FCF = 17.65x (Enterprise Value 51.1b / FCF TTM 2.89b)
FCF Yield = 5.66% (FCF TTM 2.89b / Enterprise Value 51.1b)
FCF Margin = 6.71% (FCF TTM 2.89b / Revenue TTM 43.1b)
Net Margin = 3.63% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 43.1b)
Gross Margin = 30.83% ((Revenue TTM 43.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.62% (prev 30.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.61 (Enterprise Value 51.1b / Total Assets 31.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.79% (Interest Expense 213.2m / Debt 27.0b)
Taxrate = 23.47% (479.9m / 2.04b)
NOPAT = 1.73b (EBIT 2.26b * (1 - 23.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 8.47b / Total Current Liabilities 7.24b)
Debt / Equity = 3.06 (Debt 27.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.73 (Net Debt 25.7b / EBITDA 3.32b)
Debt / FCF = 8.87 (Net Debt 25.7b / FCF TTM 2.89b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.99% (Net Income 1.56b / Total Assets 31.7b)
RoE = 18.65% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.39b)
RoCE = 17.43% (EBIT 2.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.39b + L.T.Debt 4.56b))
RoIC = 7.00% (NOPAT 1.73b / Invested Capital 24.7b)
WACC = 3.74% (E(25.4b)/V(52.4b) * Re(7.08%) + D(27.0b)/V(52.4b) * Rd(0.79%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.78 | Cagr: 0.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.50b ; Y1≈2.87b ; Y5≈4.22b
[DCF] Fair Price = 171.8 (EV 63.6b - Net Debt 25.7b = Equity 37.9b / Shares 220.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -60.29 | EPS CAGR: -12.50% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.37 | Revenue CAGR: 4.24% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.99 | Chg30d=+0.33% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=21
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.39 | Chg30d=+0.52% | Revisions=-11% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=7.37 | Chg30d=+1.56% | Revisions=+77% | GrowthEPS=+7.6% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=7.99 | Chg30d=+0.68% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+8.5% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=46, down=21)