(DIN) Dine Brands Global - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 363m USD | Total Return: 29.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +5.0
Avg Turnover: 10.8M
EPS Trend: -66.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -6.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (11.4) with thin interest coverage (1.3)
Altman Z'' 0.63 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN) is a Pasadena-based restaurant company that manages a portfolio of major brands including Applebees Neighborhood Grill + Bar, IHOP, and Fuzzy’s Taco Shop. The company operates through a multi-segment model comprising franchised locations, company-owned restaurants, and rental operations. Its portfolio spans the casual dining, family dining, and fast-casual categories, offering a diversified range of American and Mexican-inspired fare.
The company utilizes an asset-light business model, common in the restaurant sector, where the majority of locations are owned and operated by independent franchisees. This structure allows the parent company to generate consistent royalty streams and rental income while shifting local operational costs and capital expenditures to third-party operators. Diversification across dining categories helps mitigate risks associated with shifts in consumer spending habits between full-service and quick-service formats.
Investors can evaluate the underlying fundamentals of this franchise model on ValueRay. Dine Brands continues to focus on international expansion and brand acquisition to drive long-term revenue growth beyond its established domestic footprint.
- Franchisee profitability and unit count growth drive recurring royalty revenue streams
- Elevated food costs and labor inflation pressure restaurant-level operating margins
- Consumer discretionary spending shifts impact same-store sales at IHOP and Applebees
- Expansion of Fuzzy’s Taco Shop concept accelerates fast-casual segment revenue growth
- High debt leverage makes interest rate fluctuations critical to net income levels
| Net Income: 16.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.47 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.11% < 20% (prev -6.65%; Δ 2.53% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 80.4m > Net Income 16.3m |
| Net Debt (1.47b) to EBITDA (128.2m): 11.43 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.6m) vs 12m ago -15.48% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.92% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 3.85k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 51.50% > 50% (prev 46.47%; Δ 5.03% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.34 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 128.2m / Interest Expense TTM 62.7m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 283.7m - Total Current Liabilities 320.3m) / Total Assets 1.69b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 180.0m / Total Assets 1.69b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 83.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.73b) |
| D: 0.09 (Book Value of Equity 180.1m / Total Liabilities 1.98b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.63 = B |
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 89.5m/91.2m, Revenue 889.7m/820.9m) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 38.92% / 44.86%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.53 / AQ_t-1 0.52) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 889.7m / 820.9m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 16.3m - CFO 80.4m) / TA 1.69b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.51%, over one month by +1.64%, over three months by -11.82% and over the past year by +29.44%.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 29.8 | -0.2% |
P/E Forward = 6.5189
P/S = 0.4085
P/B = 3.407
P/EG = 1.2862
Revenue TTM = 889.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 83.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 128.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 74.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.47b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.83b USD (363.4m + Debt 1.62b - CCE 150.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.34 (Ebit TTM 83.8m / Interest Expense TTM 62.7m)
EV/FCF = 52.99x (Enterprise Value 1.83b / FCF TTM 34.5m)
FCF Yield = 1.89% (FCF TTM 34.5m / Enterprise Value 1.83b)
FCF Margin = 3.88% (FCF TTM 34.5m / Revenue TTM 889.7m)
Net Margin = 1.83% (Net Income TTM 16.3m / Revenue TTM 889.7m)
Gross Margin = 38.92% ((Revenue TTM 889.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 543.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.10% (prev 39.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.08 (Enterprise Value 1.83b / Total Assets 1.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.35% (Interest Expense 21.8m / Debt 1.62b)
Taxrate = 26.73% (2.70m / 10.1m)
NOPAT = 61.4m (EBIT 83.8m * (1 - 26.73%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 283.7m / Total Current Liabilities 320.3m)
Debt / Equity = -5.58 (negative equity) (Debt 1.62b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -290.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.43 (Net Debt 1.47b / EBITDA 128.2m)
Debt / FCF = 42.46 (Net Debt 1.47b / FCF TTM 34.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -252.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.94% (Net Income 16.3m / Total Assets 1.69b)
RoE = -6.47% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 16.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -252.1m)
RoCE = 8.95% (EBIT 83.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -252.1m + L.T.Debt 1.19b))
RoIC = 6.48% (NOPAT 61.4m / Invested Capital 948.0m)
WACC = 2.71% (E(363.4m)/V(1.98b) * Re(10.38%) + D(1.62b)/V(1.98b) * Rd(1.35%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 10.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -7.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.90% ; FCFF base≈52.6m ; Y1≈42.5m ; Y5≈29.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 899.6m - Net Debt 1.47b = -566.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -66.44 | EPS CAGR: -10.91% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -6.23 | Revenue CAGR: -1.44% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-9.08% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=-1.91% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.49 | Chg30d=-5.11% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+0.9% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.12 | Chg30d=-1.57% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+14.0% | GrowthRev=+0.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%