(DIN) Dine Brands Global - Ratings and Ratios
Applebees, IHOP, Fuzzys Taco Shop
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.55% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.15% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 28.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 70.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 45.3% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 52.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 80.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.01% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 |
| Alpha | -1.72 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.21 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.550 |
| Beta | 1.052 |
| Beta Downside | 1.000 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.33% |
| Mean DD | 46.23% |
| Median DD | 51.63% |
Description: DIN Dine Brands Global October 25, 2025
Dine Brands Global Inc. (NYSE:DIN) owns, franchises, and operates three restaurant concepts-Applebee’s Neighborhood Grill + Bar (casual dining), IHOP (family dining), and Fuzzy’s Taco Shop (fast-casual)-through four business segments: franchise operations, rental operations, financing operations, and company-owned restaurants.
Applebee’s and IHOP are primarily U.S. franchise systems, while Fuzzy’s, acquired in 2022, expands the company’s presence in the fast-casual Mexican segment, a market that has grown at a ~9% CAGR over the past five years.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) to watch include comparable-store sales growth (comps) for each brand, franchisee royalty yields (typically 5-6% of sales), and same-store rental income per square foot, which has been trending upward as the company renegotiates leases in high-traffic locations.
Macro-level drivers affecting Dine Brands include discretionary consumer spending, which is sensitive to employment rates and inflation; the ongoing shift toward off-premise dining (takeout and delivery), which has boosted franchise royalty streams; and labor cost pressures that are prompting many locations to adopt labor-saving technology.
For investors seeking a data-driven assessment of DIN’s valuation relative to peers, a deeper dive into ValueRay’s analytical tools can provide the granular financial modeling needed to test these assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (34.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 52.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.12% (prev -6.81%; Δ 8.93pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 113.8m > Net Income 34.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.40b) to EBITDA (165.2m) ratio: 8.46 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (14.4m) change vs 12m ago -3.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.39% (prev 47.73%; Δ -7.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 49.89% (prev 47.89%; Δ 2.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.67 (EBITDA TTM 165.2m / Interest Expense TTM 74.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.00
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 358.5m - Total Current Liabilities 340.1m) / Total Assets 1.77b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 189.8m / Total Assets 1.77b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 123.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.74b |
| (D) 0.09 = Book Value of Equity 190.0m / Total Liabilities 2.01b |
| Total Rating: 1.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.82
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.37% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.06% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -7.02 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 8.46 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.16)% |
| 7. RoE -15.75% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -44.63% |
| 9. EPS Trend -64.76% |
What is the price of DIN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.98%, over one month by +33.90%, over three months by +45.52% and over the past year by +16.48%.
Is DIN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DIN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27 | -20.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27 | -20.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 36.7 | 7.8% |
DIN Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 15.4955
P/E Forward = 7.8493
P/S = 0.6161
P/EG = 2.55
Beta = 0.919
Revenue TTM = 866.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 123.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 165.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 70.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.99b USD (533.8m + Debt 1.63b - CCE 167.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.67 (Ebit TTM 123.8m / Interest Expense TTM 74.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.37% (FCF TTM 87.2m / Enterprise Value 1.99b)
FCF Margin = 10.06% (FCF TTM 87.2m / Revenue TTM 866.5m)
Net Margin = 3.98% (Net Income TTM 34.5m / Revenue TTM 866.5m)
Gross Margin = 40.39% ((Revenue TTM 866.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 516.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.00% (prev 39.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 1.99b / Total Assets 1.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.28% (Interest Expense 20.8m / Debt 1.63b)
Taxrate = 27.21% (2.74m / 10.1m)
NOPAT = 90.1m (EBIT 123.8m * (1 - 27.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 358.5m / Total Current Liabilities 340.1m)
Debt / Equity = -7.02 (negative equity) (Debt 1.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -231.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.46 (Net Debt 1.40b / EBITDA 165.2m)
Debt / FCF = 16.03 (Net Debt 1.40b / FCF TTM 87.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -219.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.95% (Net Income 34.5m / Total Assets 1.77b)
RoE = -15.75% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 34.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -219.1m)
RoCE = 12.78% (EBIT 123.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -219.1m + L.T.Debt 1.19b))
RoIC = 9.31% (NOPAT 90.1m / Invested Capital 968.0m)
WACC = 3.14% (E(533.8m)/V(2.16b) * Re(9.89%) + D(1.63b)/V(2.16b) * Rd(1.28%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.33%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.59% ; FCFE base≈97.9m ; Y1≈79.1m ; Y5≈54.8m
Fair Price DCF = 52.42 (DCF Value 756.1m / Shares Outstanding 14.4m; 5y FCF grow -23.04% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -64.76 | EPS CAGR: -14.61% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -44.63 | Revenue CAGR: -1.60% | SUE: -1.07 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=+0.046 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.87 | Chg30d=+0.279 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+21.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
Additional Sources for DIN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle